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"title": "美国人对中国态度大转弯?挺合作比例两年升至57%",
"shortTitle": "美国人对中国态度大转弯?挺合作比例两年升至57%",
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"description": "美民调显示对中国观感回暖,皮尤称54%美国人仍「冷淡」,但已较2021年的68%下降 芝加哥委员会:支持对中友好合作升至57%,较2024年40%逆转;盖洛普好感度升至34% 专家指年轻人更看好中国、对川普贸易战不满与美国焦虑,推动对中态度转向",
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"content": "<p>根据《纽约时报中文网》9月24日报导,美国总统川普转向更友好的对中国立场,折射出公众舆论中令人惊讶的变化。无论政治立场如何,越来越多的美国人正以积极眼光看待中国。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6618348/l/cc50e10fffab9a03cdd092cbc5d0fdc1.jpg\" alt=\"美国人对中国态度大转弯?挺合作比例两年升至57%\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>包括本周发布的两份报告在内,来自主流民调机构的调查显示,近年来中国在美国的形象显著改善。人们对中国仍存疑虑,但随着川普本周在华盛顿热烈欢迎中国国家主席习近平,他的顺应态度印证了部分专家的观点,即美国人渴望与北京建立更稳定的关系。</p>\n\n<p>皮尤研究中心副主任劳拉·西尔弗(Laura Silver)表示,「对中国态度确实在回暖,即使整体看法依然相当负面。」该中心于周三发布的调查数据显示,目前有54%的美国人对中国持「冷淡」看法,而2021年该比例为68%。</p>\n\n<p>这些调查并未阐明情绪转变的具体原因,且这种转变在年轻美国人中似乎相对显著。但专家指出,对新冠大流行的记忆淡化、对中国科技创新的认知,以及对川普贸易战的不满,共同促成了一种可能影响美国政客对中国态度的情绪转变。</p>\n\n<p>长期研究美国外交政策观点的智库芝加哥全球事务委员会发现,仅在过去两年里就发生了一次态度逆转。2024年,支持「与中国进行友好合作与接触」的美国人比例一度降至仅40%。然而,根据本周公布的数据,当该组织今年7月再次调查此问题时,这项比例已升至57%,其中包括68%的民主党人和43%的共和党人。</p>\n\n<p>负责监督芝加哥委员会民调的前国务院官员迪娜·斯梅尔茨说,「民众对中国的态度着实令人惊讶,他们已从多数人希望限制中国的崛起与影响力,转变为如今多数美国人希望与中国合作接触。」</p>\n\n<p>研究机构盖洛普今年早些时候发现,对中国持好感的美国人比例已升至34%,是2023年低谷时期的两倍多。</p>\n\n<p>这些调查均反映出与十年前截然不同的国民情绪,当时川普严厉的反华言论助推了他的胜选。前总统拜登在很大程度上维持并扩大了川普的强硬政策,包括关税和出口管制,巩固了一个似乎是两党共识的观念:美国需要强硬反击中国的崛起。</p>\n\n<p>正如川普本人所表明的那样,现在这种共识已经弱化。去年,他从高达145%的关税政策上退让,似乎在寻求对华和解。这体现在他4月访问北京时的恭顺,以及预计本周对习近平的隆重欢迎中——而这一切都是在北京没有就贸易或安全等美国长期诉求做出重大让步的情况下发生的。</p>\n\n<p>民调表明,共和党人在对华问题上仍比民主党人更为鹰派,不过共和党人对中国的看法也变得更加正面——这或许反映了川普自身的立场转变。尽管美国存在政治极化,但民主党人也正朝着相同方向发展。</p>\n\n<p>仅仅一两年前,政客们「提出几乎任何针对中国的强硬政策,公众都会予以支持」,智库德国马歇尔基金会外交政策民调专家布鲁斯·斯托克斯说。「这些民调数据似乎表明,对强硬对华政策的支持已略有减弱。」</p>\n\n<p>当然,美国人对中国的看法可能会再次迅速转变,特别是在对其AI实力的担忧及因台湾问题引发武装冲突风险的背景下。民调专家指出,美国人通常很少花时间思考外交政策,也极少让国际问题决定其投票意向。</p>\n\n<p>但研究美中关系的人士认为,民调数据反映出不断变化的地缘政治动态,或许也折射出对美国国际地位的焦虑。在皮尤和芝加哥委员会的民调中,较年轻成年人对中国的态度明显更加积极,这印证了代际转变。</p>\n\n<p>「年轻人所认识的中国是一个超级大国,」皮尤研究员西尔弗说。她表示,相比之下,老一代人更有可能将中国与发展中国家、共产主义以及1989年的天安门广场大屠杀联系起来。</p>\n\n<p>年轻群体可能也对中国的技术创新和文化输出有更多认知,在网路上风靡的「中国最大化(Chinamaxxing)」趋势便是明证。这种认知与对美国全球地位衰退的感受形成反差:根据芝加哥委员会的数据,62%的美国人认为,当今美国在世界上受到的尊重不如10年前。</p>\n\n<p>「你会发现,对美国现状的恐惧通过对中国的评估折射出来,」位于亚特兰大的卡特中心追踪中美互视视角的学者尼克·泽勒表示。「这种对中国的正面评估更多地与美国国内的政治动荡有关,而非中国本身。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17793.html\" title=\"〈美股早盘〉油价、美债殖利率终于降温!标普、那指开高喘口气\">〈美股早盘〉油价、美债殖利率终于降温!标普、那指开高喘口气</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17788.html\" title=\"美股「虚高」警报!标普500广度急剧萎缩 能否顶住债券风暴冲击?\">美股「虚高」警报!标普500广度急剧萎缩 能否顶住债券风暴冲击?</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17760.html\" title=\"暴雨重创泰国 水患冲击泰航、本田等核心产业 政府加大救灾规模\">暴雨重创泰国 水患冲击泰航、本田等核心产业 政府加大救灾规模</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17851.html\" title=\"明年俄罗斯军费开支17.1兆卢布 大增近30%\">明年俄罗斯军费开支17.1兆卢布 大增近30%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17832.html\" title=\"〈贵金属盘后〉金价从七周低点反弹 仍低于100日均线\">〈贵金属盘后〉金价从七周低点反弹 仍低于100日均线</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17789.html\" title=\"东京连续34天下雨 刷新自1886年统计以来史上最长 加剧通膨压力\">东京连续34天下雨 刷新自1886年统计以来史上最长 加剧通膨压力</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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