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川普陷入困境 保守派开始重新思考「川普主义」?

2026-10-07 10:51:18 网络 阅读(1)

美国总统川普的支持率跌至新低,国会共和党议员离开华盛顿、返回各自选区时,对即将到来的期中选举胜算表现出更深忧虑。《融合主义:自由、美德与美国右翼的未来》(Fusionism: Liberty, Virtue and the Future of the American Right)一书作者Stephanie Slade,与《纽约时报》观点版编辑John Guida就相关问题展开对谈。

川普陷入困境 保守派开始重新思考「川普主义」?

Guida:川普和共和党的政治前景看起来有些不稳,至少眼下如此。你是否听到保守派对川普主义本身,或保守主义的发展方向,表达担忧或疑虑?

Slade:当然有。我举两个例子。在与保守派选民交谈时,包括那些连续三次大选都投票支持川普的人,我越来越常听到他们说,自己感到遭到了背叛:因为他主动选择在中东发动战争,因为他不愿公开爱泼斯坦档案,也因为他的政府似乎什么都在关注,唯独不关注民众最在意的降低生活成本。川普曾说,就算他在第五大道向一个人开枪,基本盘也会继续支持他。但我认为,这种情况终于开始改变了,至少已出现一些松动。

第二个值得注意的例子,是去年冬天学者、捐助者和董事会成员纷纷离开美国传统基金会。塔克·卡尔森邀请Nick Fuentes做了一场亲热友好的访谈后,传统基金会会长凯文·罗伯茨(Kevin Roberts)还自豪地为卡尔森辩护。一些保守派这才猛然意识到,意识形态极端主义和道德腐败已经在部分右翼群体中扎根。许多人也相当明确地表明,无论他们怎么看川普,都不愿与「Groypers运动」有任何瓜葛。

Guida:在你看来,这些变化是否意味着,保守派正在放弃川普主义的某些政策主张,比如关税?还是说,他们只是对川普本人感到失望?

Slade:人们开始意识到,川普本人是一个靠不住的盟友。他在竞选时可以喊出「不再发动新战争!」,但上任后却丝毫不觉得自己应受这些承诺约束。另一个问题是以权谋私:总统权力被滥用,为他的盟友和家人谋取财富,有时甚至由纳税人买单。这是实实在在的腐败,规模之大堪称历史罕见。人们看到这些,不免要问:说好的「抽干沼泽」呢?

Guida:本周,一些民粹右翼知识分子将齐聚耶路撒冷,参加民族保守主义大会。他们也被称为新右派(New Right),或者用你的说法,异议右派。2019年,这一系列会议首次在华盛顿举行时,以色列哲学家约Yoram Hazony宣布,这是他们告别许多保守主义前辈及其原则的「独立日」。川普声望的下滑,即便幅度有限,会不会影响民族保守主义更广泛的事业?

Slade:许多自称民族保守主义者的人,包括哈佐尼和前面提到的凯文·罗伯茨,都把全部筹码押在川普和川普主义身上,认定他们代表保守主义运动的未来。现在看来,这场豪赌至少比以前更值得怀疑。民调显示,美国民众并不认为「让美国再次伟大」(MAGA)议程正在为他们带来实惠。有些人把全部思想工作和机构使命都转向了推广我所说的「权力意志政治」,理由是这才是选民真正想要的。眼下的形势无疑会给这些人带来挑战。

Guida:什么是「权力意志政治」?

Slade:这种政治观把政治纯粹视为一场战争,目的就是决定哪一方有权奖赏朋友、惩罚敌人。在右翼阵营中,它明确否定了里根式传统保守主义对有限政府和自由市场的坚持,转而要求保守派表现得更「强悍」,在动用国家强制力量落实自己的价值观和共同善理念时,少些顾忌。

说到底,对反对阵营的仇恨被当成了一种美德。压倒一切的目标是击败、摧毁对方,而不是设法在一个有3.42亿人口的多元社会中和平共处。

Guida:你为保守主义提出了另一条道路,想必与雷根式路线有关:共和党人应重新发现融合主义。这种哲学兴起于二战之后,在川普主义出现以前,一直在右翼占据主导地位。什么是融合主义?

Slade:它认为,要实现人的充分发展,自由与美德缺一不可。20世纪中叶的融合主义者主张,美国立国体现了两种传统的融合:一是犹太教与基督教的道德传统,它教导人们,怎样的习惯和选择能让生活充实而有意义;二是我们后来所称的古典自由主义政治传统,它坚持个人权利、法治等原则。直到大约十年前,这还大体是美国右翼的共识。但如今,这个共识已经瓦解。

Guida:所以,它把你所说的美德,也就是道德传统,与自由结合起来。公民需要懂得,如何运用个人自由,过一种有德行的生活。两者缺一不可。

Slade:正是如此。在其他时代、其他地方,保守派可能捍卫的是君主制与贵族、王权与教权。而在美国,保守派长期以来既致力于保护个人自由,使其免遭政府暴政侵害,也致力于培育一种扎根于宗教真理的健全道德文化。

Guida:你提到,川普的出现让这一共识瓦解。如果从美德和自由这两个维度衡量,你尤其会如何评价川普第二届政府?

Slade:川普在自由和美德这两个维度上都严重背离了这些原则。从辱骂到嘲弄政治对手,他在美德方面的表现不言自明。虽然他有时声称自己关心保护个人自由,比如试图通过政府效率部缩小政府规模、收缩政府职能,但总体而言,他似乎认为,自己动用总统权力满足任何一时兴起的念头,都几乎不应受到约束,无论这种约束来自法律、选举还是其他方面。想想他要求司法部调查自己的敌人;想想他威胁说,如果法院不允许他把自己的名字加到肯尼迪中心上,就要把它拆掉;再想想他的宣言:「拯救国家的人,不会违反任何法律。」这些做法与古典自由主义所坚持的分权、制衡、权力分散等原则完全背道而驰。

Guida:那么,自由和美德究竟在哪些方面不再满足保守派的愿望与抱负?又或者,米特·罗姆尼(Mitt Romney)这样的人提出的国家愿景,为什么不再能满足他们?

Slade:坦白说,大批美国选民,包括一些曾经坚定支持民主党的人口群体中的选民,逐渐感到极度愤懑。他们认为,民主党和许多影响力巨大的文化机构,包括高等教育机构和主流媒体,都在全力推行一种咄咄逼人的身份政治,把更重视传统的美国人视为邪恶或落后。

这造成了一种强烈的被围困心态。人们因此倾向于选择追随一个他们认为站在自己这边、并且承诺会与敌视他们的力量作斗争的人。在人们看来,米特·罗姆尼没有能力在文化战争中保护他们。可悲的是,在文化战争的语境下,人们很容易把对自由、美德等理念的原则性坚守抛诸脑后,甚至连宪法和美国立国理念也不例外。

Guida:如今,十来年过去了,民主党失去了执政权,也正以各种方式应对「觉醒主义1.0」的过火之举;川普则掌握着权力,在外交政策、司法部等各个领域强力动用联邦政府。你是否觉得,人们又开始愿意接受融合主义了?

Slade:是的。就在三年前,还有人对我说:「融合主义已经死了,也不会再回来了。放弃吧。」但我发现,人们其实非常渴望另一种政治方式,以取代极左和极右都在推行的那种把政治当作战争的做法。

大多数美国人确实希望找到一种方式,即使与邻居意见不同,也能在共同的国家里和平相处。大多数美国人确实相信,每个人都应在法律面前受到平等对待。无论是觉醒主义的过火之举,还是从互联网阴暗角落中冒出来、如今又经由J.D.范斯、施密特(Eric Schmitt)和弗伦奇(Bo French)等更主流人物表达出来的白人民族主义,都让大多数美国人感到震惊。

总有人联系我,说他们过去不知道有一个词可以概括自己的思想立场,现在终于知道了。融合主义近来虽然不再时兴,但它深深植根于我们的文化记忆。

Guida:共和党能不能走出川普主义,重新回到融合主义?眼下看起来,它离这一步还很远,不是吗?

Slade:是的,它已经偏离得很远。而川普眼下最有望接班的人,也就是副总统万斯,公开支持反融合主义的异议右派思想。所以,我不认为这场思想分歧很快就能得到明确解决。但我确实认为,这仍是一场正在展开的争论,那些认定融合主义者已经出局的人,下结论太早了。

Guida:你能不能谈谈,自由和美德可以怎样抗衡MAGA?如果像你所说,融合主义所推崇的那些美德,在左翼带来的文化威胁面前瓦解了,那么它们是否有所发展,足以让保守主义运动更坚定地追随?

Slade:20世纪60年代,作家、学者和青年活动人士第一次为融合主义奔走论辩时,并不知道自己的论点会影响雷根(Ronald Reagan),更不知道雷根后来会借助这些思想席卷政坛。

这需要合适的人,也需要合适的时机。但在我看来,重新唤起这些思想、为它们提出有力论证,是重要的第一步。如今,选民有机会亲眼看到MAGA理念如何付诸实践,又如何远远未能兑现承诺,这应该也会有所帮助。

Guida:哪些人可能成为未来的雷根?或者至少,有哪些领导人让你觉得,你所主张的保守主义愿景还有希望蓬勃发展?

Slade:我还不清楚,未来几年谁能在全国政治舞台上成为融合主义思想的代表人物。遗憾的是,大多数融合主义者已被挤出了我们的政坛。这需要争取下一代,因为只有他们才能带来新的人才,以新的表达方式,让这些古老思想回应当下。

Guida:如果回顾过去,你会把谁视为杰出的融合主义领袖?我想里根肯定算一个。还有谁?

Slade:比如内布拉斯加州前参议员本·萨斯(Ben Sasse),就是一个较近的例子。他原则坚定,明确把自由和美德都视为不可妥协的信念。他在访谈中讲述自己与癌症抗争的经历,坦诚谈论自己的信仰,也直言我们政治体制运转失灵的种种令人难以接受的实情。他得到的积极回应表明,人们如今对这些思想的需求,比几年前更强烈了。

过去,大多数共和党人基本上都是融合主义者。但另一方面,有些人十年前还在国会里雄辩地捍卫融合主义思想,一旦觉得抛弃这些思想对自己的政治利益有利,就表现得毫不犹豫。

Guida:这听起来不像是美德。在这里,你如何定义美德?

Slade:我同意。看着这一切发生,确实令人失望。在犹太教与基督教的理解中,美德是这样一些习惯:它们符合人按上帝形象受造的本性,促进人的充分发展,让我们成为最好的自己。

Guida:一个人必须信仰犹太教或基督教,才能具备美德吗?还是说,你只是从这一传统塑造美国文化的意义上使用这个说法?或者两层意思都有?

Slade:我绝不会主张,只有犹太教徒或基督徒才能具备美德。许多宗教传统都对什么是美好生活、如何追求美好生活提供了相似的指引。我也认识许多没有宗教信仰的人,他们是你能遇到的最善良、最慷慨的朋友和邻居。

倘若融合主义代表着犹太-基督教传统与古典自由主义的结合,那么融合主义者指的就是这样的人:他们敬畏代代相传的传统智慧,并认定绝不能借着追求最大自由的旗号将这些前人教诲弃若敝屣。按照这一标准,并非所有人都能归入融合主义者的阵营,但你就算不信教,也完全可以认同这一传统中有值得守护的价值。

Guida:你区分政府与非政府领域。能不能举出川普第二任期,或此前民主党政府时期的一些情形或议题,在你看来,这两者的界线被模糊了?

Slade:在传统融合主义的框架下,政府的职责是保护基本权利与自由,让个人能够追求有德行的生活。按照这一框架,替我们决定美德要求人们做什么,再以法律强制推行,并不是政府的职责。

遗憾的是,两党如今都很坦然地接受这样一种想法:政治人物比普通人更懂得什么是美德。无论是禁止燃气灶,还是要求加强对所谓危险思想的审查,我们都太愿意让政府替我们规定什么是好的选择了。当然,尤其是在发号施令的是我们自己这一方时。

Guida:你也强调教会、体育联盟这类社会组织的重要性,对吗?它们发挥什么作用?

Slade:马克斯·韦伯曾对「国家」下过一个著名定义:它是在社会中垄断了暴力使用权的实体。因此,政府无论推行何种作为,都无可避免地带有自上而下强推「一刀切」解决方案的性质。

另一种出路,是让人们自行联合,成立体现其价值观的团体,追求共同目标。在生活的非政府领域,没有人被强迫;人们可以自由选择加入或退出。这样一来,我们就不必把每场选举、每次政策分歧都当成一场殊死搏斗,争的是究竟哪一群人的生活方式会被强加给整个社会。

健全的多元主义,有赖于丰富多样、彼此交织的公民社会组织。它们既竞争又合作,以满足人们的需要。但政府少加干预时,公民社会才能发展得最好。

Guida:沿着同样的思路,你还说过,「法律不是魔杖」。我的理解是,我们不能靠制定规则解决分歧,说服更有效。我理解得对吗?

Slade:对。我由衷希望我们能戒除这种下意识的思维惯性:一遇到社会问题,就本能地认定立法规制是最佳良方。正如自由意志主义者常言,政府是一件「钝器」。倘若你未曾去开展那些艰苦、缓慢的劝导工作,未曾去塑造文化、感召人心,那么贸然通过一项法律往往不仅无助于解决问题,反而可能使事态进一步恶化。

我们应当把自己看作解决社区问题的一线参与者,而不只是把责任外包给远方某个政府官僚机构、等着它替我们解决问题的纳税人。

Guida:你推崇「辅助性原则」,也就是州政府治理优于联邦政府,地方政府治理又优于州政府,以此类推。你是否认为,民主党和共和党都应该尽量少借助联邦政府行事?

Slade:完全同意。两党在联邦层面上都应当主动克制、减少干预。华盛顿天然不擅长体察地方社区的真实需求;当不同社区的痛点千差万别时,华盛顿更难以权衡应对。

话虽如此,「辅助性原则」的核心始终在于将决策的重心尽可能下沉至个人身边。因此在我看来,地方政府的治理固然优于州政府,但若政府能退居其位、不过度越界,放手让家庭和民间自愿组织去化解难题,往往才是更上乘的治理之道。

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      "pid": 0,
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          "id": 67,
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          "id": 68,
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      "description": "黄金周二(6日)上涨,美债殖利率升势暂停和美元疲软是主因,投资人静待即将公布的9月会议纪录,以研判未来货币政策的可能走向。 黄金现货上涨0.7%,报每盎司4168.33美元。 美国黄金期货收高0.7%,报每盎司4187.10美元。 美国黄金交易所(American Gold Exchange)市场分析师Jim Wyckoff说:「法国债券市场动荡,加上市场对美国公债市场的疑虑升温,带动部分避险需求进入黄金市场。」 美国10年期公债殖利率周一攀升至逾20年高点后小幅回落,美元也从一年高点下滑,使以",
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      "shortTitle": "俄国疑传鼠疫 川普称很快与普丁通话、最快明日说明",
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      "description": "川普称已安排与普丁通话,讨论俄罗斯疑似鼠疫病例,并指美方可能明天公布更多资讯。
俄罗斯伊尔库茨克一间鼠疫研究所员工死亡,近200名接触者被列观察,疑因接触鼠疫细菌。
卢比欧吁俄罗斯公开病例细节;CDC称密切追踪,未见美国有更广泛威胁。",
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      "shortTitle": "疲弱就业难改抛售预期!美长债殖利率续徘徊近24年高点  交易",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T23:05:26.000Z",
      "description": "美长债殖利率徘徊近24年高位,10年债期货未平仓合约18个交易日中有14日增加,显示空头加码。
花旗称美债仓位仍处「极端做空」;美银指CTA空仓接近最高、明显高于2022年。
10月6日10年、30年美债殖利率分别触及5.34%、5.70%;分析师称若就业再弱或Fed暂停升息,拥挤空单恐引发回补。",
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      "id": 18953,
      "title": "贝思半导体目标价近乎腰斩!美银示警艾司摩尔竞争威胁",
      "shortTitle": "贝思半导体目标价近乎腰斩!美银示警艾司摩尔竞争威胁",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623183/l/543083b42f45ff1a89e9ac313c6e1e9e.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T17:00:05.000Z",
      "description": "美银警告艾司摩尔切入混合键合市场,恐威胁贝思半导体成长前景,将评等由买进降至中立,目标价近乎腰斩。
贝思在混合键合领先,Bernstein估2028年全球设备每4台有3台来自贝思;但艾司摩尔公开表达进军意向,恐迫使贝思加大研发。
混合键合是贝思核心成长题材,市场忧记忆体厂延后采用拖累股价。",
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    {
      "id": 18988,
      "title": "荷姆兹海峡重开也救不了?高盛:柴油高价恐拖到明年  全球炼油体系逼近20年极限",
      "shortTitle": "荷姆兹海峡重开也救不了?高盛:柴油高价恐拖到明年  全球炼油",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623197/l/148b1a293fe9d89a46ac900f0c01dc28.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T00:40:04.000Z",
      "description": "高盛估2027年全球柴油、航煤裂解价差均逾每桶40美元,高于正常约20美元,成品油市仍紧张。
高盛称需求若反弹,炼油体系恐需达20年来最高产能利用率;市场约束已转向炼油能力与库存。
高盛指2026年全球炼油产能恐再负增长、库存降至2015年来低点,柴油紧张将延续至2027年。",
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    {
      "id": 18989,
      "title": "比核电厂更惹人嫌!美国逾七成民众反对资料中心 有四大原因",
      "shortTitle": "比核电厂更惹人嫌!美国逾七成民众反对资料中心 有四大原因",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623265/l/24cf70ea4e4d0a82cddb849b26cf8b8d.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T00:10:06.000Z",
      "description": "盖洛普民调:71%美国民众反对在当地兴建AI资料中心,主因是电费、水费、噪音与就业有限。
美国资料中心耗电、用水庞大;2023年占全美用电4.4%,2028年恐升至6.7%至12%,得州并网需求已达474吉瓦。
地方反弹已冲击投资,今年前3个月至少75个计划遭叫停、延后或取消,涉及约1300亿美元。",
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    "title": "川普陷入困境 保守派开始重新思考「川普主义」?",
    "shortTitle": "川普陷入困境 保守派开始重新思考「川普主义」?",
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    "description": "川普支持率跌至新低,保守派忧虑期中选举;部分选民批他背叛减生活成本承诺、还纵容腐败。
Stephanie Slade称川普主义背离融合主义;她主张自由须与美德并重,反对把政治当战争的「权力意志政治」。
她认为共和党不应迷信MAGA,应回到里根式有限政府、分权与公民社会,靠地方与家庭而非联邦强推价值。",
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    "content": "<p>美国总统川普的支持率跌至新低,国会共和党议员离开华盛顿、返回各自选区时,对即将到来的期中选举胜算表现出更深忧虑。《融合主义:自由、美德与美国右翼的未来》(Fusionism: Liberty, Virtue and the Future of the American Right)一书作者Stephanie Slade,与《纽约时报》观点版编辑John Guida就相关问题展开对谈。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623286/l/b119b5c53708952104af1a444dfe382b.jpg\" alt=\"川普陷入困境 保守派开始重新思考「川普主义」?\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>Guida:川普和共和党的政治前景看起来有些不稳,至少眼下如此。你是否听到保守派对川普主义本身,或保守主义的发展方向,表达担忧或疑虑?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:当然有。我举两个例子。在与保守派选民交谈时,包括那些连续三次大选都投票支持川普的人,我越来越常听到他们说,自己感到遭到了背叛:因为他主动选择在中东发动战争,因为他不愿公开爱泼斯坦档案,也因为他的政府似乎什么都在关注,唯独不关注民众最在意的降低生活成本。川普曾说,就算他在第五大道向一个人开枪,基本盘也会继续支持他。但我认为,这种情况终于开始改变了,至少已出现一些松动。</p>\n\n<p>第二个值得注意的例子,是去年冬天学者、捐助者和董事会成员纷纷离开美国传统基金会。塔克&middot;卡尔森邀请Nick Fuentes做了一场亲热友好的访谈后,传统基金会会长凯文&middot;罗伯茨(Kevin Roberts)还自豪地为卡尔森辩护。一些保守派这才猛然意识到,意识形态极端主义和道德腐败已经在部分右翼群体中扎根。许多人也相当明确地表明,无论他们怎么看川普,都不愿与「Groypers运动」有任何瓜葛。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:在你看来,这些变化是否意味着,保守派正在放弃川普主义的某些政策主张,比如关税?还是说,他们只是对川普本人感到失望?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:人们开始意识到,川普本人是一个靠不住的盟友。他在竞选时可以喊出「不再发动新战争!」,但上任后却丝毫不觉得自己应受这些承诺约束。另一个问题是以权谋私:总统权力被滥用,为他的盟友和家人谋取财富,有时甚至由纳税人买单。这是实实在在的腐败,规模之大堪称历史罕见。人们看到这些,不免要问:说好的「抽干沼泽」呢?</p>\n\n<p>Guida:本周,一些民粹右翼知识分子将齐聚耶路撒冷,参加民族保守主义大会。他们也被称为新右派(New Right),或者用你的说法,异议右派。2019年,这一系列会议首次在华盛顿举行时,以色列哲学家约Yoram Hazony宣布,这是他们告别许多保守主义前辈及其原则的「独立日」。川普声望的下滑,即便幅度有限,会不会影响民族保守主义更广泛的事业?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:许多自称民族保守主义者的人,包括哈佐尼和前面提到的凯文&middot;罗伯茨,都把全部筹码押在川普和川普主义身上,认定他们代表保守主义运动的未来。现在看来,这场豪赌至少比以前更值得怀疑。民调显示,美国民众并不认为「让美国再次伟大」(MAGA)议程正在为他们带来实惠。有些人把全部思想工作和机构使命都转向了推广我所说的「权力意志政治」,理由是这才是选民真正想要的。眼下的形势无疑会给这些人带来挑战。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:什么是「权力意志政治」?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:这种政治观把政治纯粹视为一场战争,目的就是决定哪一方有权奖赏朋友、惩罚敌人。在右翼阵营中,它明确否定了里根式传统保守主义对有限政府和自由市场的坚持,转而要求保守派表现得更「强悍」,在动用国家强制力量落实自己的价值观和共同善理念时,少些顾忌。</p>\n\n<p>说到底,对反对阵营的仇恨被当成了一种美德。压倒一切的目标是击败、摧毁对方,而不是设法在一个有3.42亿人口的多元社会中和平共处。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:你为保守主义提出了另一条道路,想必与雷根式路线有关:共和党人应重新发现融合主义。这种哲学兴起于二战之后,在川普主义出现以前,一直在右翼占据主导地位。什么是融合主义?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:它认为,要实现人的充分发展,自由与美德缺一不可。20世纪中叶的融合主义者主张,美国立国体现了两种传统的融合:一是犹太教与基督教的道德传统,它教导人们,怎样的习惯和选择能让生活充实而有意义;二是我们后来所称的古典自由主义政治传统,它坚持个人权利、法治等原则。直到大约十年前,这还大体是美国右翼的共识。但如今,这个共识已经瓦解。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:所以,它把你所说的美德,也就是道德传统,与自由结合起来。公民需要懂得,如何运用个人自由,过一种有德行的生活。两者缺一不可。</p>\n\n<p>Slade:正是如此。在其他时代、其他地方,保守派可能捍卫的是君主制与贵族、王权与教权。而在美国,保守派长期以来既致力于保护个人自由,使其免遭政府暴政侵害,也致力于培育一种扎根于宗教真理的健全道德文化。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:你提到,川普的出现让这一共识瓦解。如果从美德和自由这两个维度衡量,你尤其会如何评价川普第二届政府?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:川普在自由和美德这两个维度上都严重背离了这些原则。从辱骂到嘲弄政治对手,他在美德方面的表现不言自明。虽然他有时声称自己关心保护个人自由,比如试图通过政府效率部缩小政府规模、收缩政府职能,但总体而言,他似乎认为,自己动用总统权力满足任何一时兴起的念头,都几乎不应受到约束,无论这种约束来自法律、选举还是其他方面。想想他要求司法部调查自己的敌人;想想他威胁说,如果法院不允许他把自己的名字加到肯尼迪中心上,就要把它拆掉;再想想他的宣言:「拯救国家的人,不会违反任何法律。」这些做法与古典自由主义所坚持的分权、制衡、权力分散等原则完全背道而驰。</p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"507\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.4990138067061145\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623286/m/a8e623f3ee9d945b540436305a8c4896.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623286/l/a8e623f3ee9d945b540436305a8c4896.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623286/l/a8e623f3ee9d945b540436305a8c4896.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623286/xl/a8e623f3ee9d945b540436305a8c4896.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623286/xxl/a8e623f3ee9d945b540436305a8c4896.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n<p>Guida:那么,自由和美德究竟在哪些方面不再满足保守派的愿望与抱负?又或者,米特&middot;罗姆尼(Mitt Romney)这样的人提出的国家愿景,为什么不再能满足他们?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:坦白说,大批美国选民,包括一些曾经坚定支持民主党的人口群体中的选民,逐渐感到极度愤懑。他们认为,民主党和许多影响力巨大的文化机构,包括高等教育机构和主流媒体,都在全力推行一种咄咄逼人的身份政治,把更重视传统的美国人视为邪恶或落后。</p>\n\n<p>这造成了一种强烈的被围困心态。人们因此倾向于选择追随一个他们认为站在自己这边、并且承诺会与敌视他们的力量作斗争的人。在人们看来,米特&middot;罗姆尼没有能力在文化战争中保护他们。可悲的是,在文化战争的语境下,人们很容易把对自由、美德等理念的原则性坚守抛诸脑后,甚至连宪法和美国立国理念也不例外。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:如今,十来年过去了,民主党失去了执政权,也正以各种方式应对「觉醒主义1.0」的过火之举;川普则掌握着权力,在外交政策、司法部等各个领域强力动用联邦政府。你是否觉得,人们又开始愿意接受融合主义了?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:是的。就在三年前,还有人对我说:「融合主义已经死了,也不会再回来了。放弃吧。」但我发现,人们其实非常渴望另一种政治方式,以取代极左和极右都在推行的那种把政治当作战争的做法。</p>\n\n<p>大多数美国人确实希望找到一种方式,即使与邻居意见不同,也能在共同的国家里和平相处。大多数美国人确实相信,每个人都应在法律面前受到平等对待。无论是觉醒主义的过火之举,还是从互联网阴暗角落中冒出来、如今又经由J.D.范斯、施密特(Eric Schmitt)和弗伦奇(Bo French)等更主流人物表达出来的白人民族主义,都让大多数美国人感到震惊。</p>\n\n<p>总有人联系我,说他们过去不知道有一个词可以概括自己的思想立场,现在终于知道了。融合主义近来虽然不再时兴,但它深深植根于我们的文化记忆。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:共和党能不能走出川普主义,重新回到融合主义?眼下看起来,它离这一步还很远,不是吗?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:是的,它已经偏离得很远。而川普眼下最有望接班的人,也就是副总统万斯,公开支持反融合主义的异议右派思想。所以,我不认为这场思想分歧很快就能得到明确解决。但我确实认为,这仍是一场正在展开的争论,那些认定融合主义者已经出局的人,下结论太早了。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:你能不能谈谈,自由和美德可以怎样抗衡MAGA?如果像你所说,融合主义所推崇的那些美德,在左翼带来的文化威胁面前瓦解了,那么它们是否有所发展,足以让保守主义运动更坚定地追随?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:20世纪60年代,作家、学者和青年活动人士第一次为融合主义奔走论辩时,并不知道自己的论点会影响雷根(Ronald Reagan),更不知道雷根后来会借助这些思想席卷政坛。</p>\n\n<p>这需要合适的人,也需要合适的时机。但在我看来,重新唤起这些思想、为它们提出有力论证,是重要的第一步。如今,选民有机会亲眼看到MAGA理念如何付诸实践,又如何远远未能兑现承诺,这应该也会有所帮助。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:哪些人可能成为未来的雷根?或者至少,有哪些领导人让你觉得,你所主张的保守主义愿景还有希望蓬勃发展?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:我还不清楚,未来几年谁能在全国政治舞台上成为融合主义思想的代表人物。遗憾的是,大多数融合主义者已被挤出了我们的政坛。这需要争取下一代,因为只有他们才能带来新的人才,以新的表达方式,让这些古老思想回应当下。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:如果回顾过去,你会把谁视为杰出的融合主义领袖?我想里根肯定算一个。还有谁?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:比如内布拉斯加州前参议员本&middot;萨斯(Ben Sasse),就是一个较近的例子。他原则坚定,明确把自由和美德都视为不可妥协的信念。他在访谈中讲述自己与癌症抗争的经历,坦诚谈论自己的信仰,也直言我们政治体制运转失灵的种种令人难以接受的实情。他得到的积极回应表明,人们如今对这些思想的需求,比几年前更强烈了。</p>\n\n<p>过去,大多数共和党人基本上都是融合主义者。但另一方面,有些人十年前还在国会里雄辩地捍卫融合主义思想,一旦觉得抛弃这些思想对自己的政治利益有利,就表现得毫不犹豫。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:这听起来不像是美德。在这里,你如何定义美德?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:我同意。看着这一切发生,确实令人失望。在犹太教与基督教的理解中,美德是这样一些习惯:它们符合人按上帝形象受造的本性,促进人的充分发展,让我们成为最好的自己。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:一个人必须信仰犹太教或基督教,才能具备美德吗?还是说,你只是从这一传统塑造美国文化的意义上使用这个说法?或者两层意思都有?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:我绝不会主张,只有犹太教徒或基督徒才能具备美德。许多宗教传统都对什么是美好生活、如何追求美好生活提供了相似的指引。我也认识许多没有宗教信仰的人,他们是你能遇到的最善良、最慷慨的朋友和邻居。</p>\n\n<p>倘若融合主义代表着犹太-基督教传统与古典自由主义的结合,那么融合主义者指的就是这样的人:他们敬畏代代相传的传统智慧,并认定绝不能借着追求最大自由的旗号将这些前人教诲弃若敝屣。按照这一标准,并非所有人都能归入融合主义者的阵营,但你就算不信教,也完全可以认同这一传统中有值得守护的价值。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:你区分政府与非政府领域。能不能举出川普第二任期,或此前民主党政府时期的一些情形或议题,在你看来,这两者的界线被模糊了?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:在传统融合主义的框架下,政府的职责是保护基本权利与自由,让个人能够追求有德行的生活。按照这一框架,替我们决定美德要求人们做什么,再以法律强制推行,并不是政府的职责。</p>\n\n<p>遗憾的是,两党如今都很坦然地接受这样一种想法:政治人物比普通人更懂得什么是美德。无论是禁止燃气灶,还是要求加强对所谓危险思想的审查,我们都太愿意让政府替我们规定什么是好的选择了。当然,尤其是在发号施令的是我们自己这一方时。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:你也强调教会、体育联盟这类社会组织的重要性,对吗?它们发挥什么作用?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:马克斯&middot;韦伯曾对「国家」下过一个著名定义:它是在社会中垄断了暴力使用权的实体。因此,政府无论推行何种作为,都无可避免地带有自上而下强推「一刀切」解决方案的性质。</p>\n\n<p>另一种出路,是让人们自行联合,成立体现其价值观的团体,追求共同目标。在生活的非政府领域,没有人被强迫;人们可以自由选择加入或退出。这样一来,我们就不必把每场选举、每次政策分歧都当成一场殊死搏斗,争的是究竟哪一群人的生活方式会被强加给整个社会。</p>\n\n<p>健全的多元主义,有赖于丰富多样、彼此交织的公民社会组织。它们既竞争又合作,以满足人们的需要。但政府少加干预时,公民社会才能发展得最好。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:沿着同样的思路,你还说过,「法律不是魔杖」。我的理解是,我们不能靠制定规则解决分歧,说服更有效。我理解得对吗?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:对。我由衷希望我们能戒除这种下意识的思维惯性:一遇到社会问题,就本能地认定立法规制是最佳良方。正如自由意志主义者常言,政府是一件「钝器」。倘若你未曾去开展那些艰苦、缓慢的劝导工作,未曾去塑造文化、感召人心,那么贸然通过一项法律往往不仅无助于解决问题,反而可能使事态进一步恶化。</p>\n\n<p>我们应当把自己看作解决社区问题的一线参与者,而不只是把责任外包给远方某个政府官僚机构、等着它替我们解决问题的纳税人。</p>\n\n<p>Guida:你推崇「辅助性原则」,也就是州政府治理优于联邦政府,地方政府治理又优于州政府,以此类推。你是否认为,民主党和共和党都应该尽量少借助联邦政府行事?</p>\n\n<p>Slade:完全同意。两党在联邦层面上都应当主动克制、减少干预。华盛顿天然不擅长体察地方社区的真实需求;当不同社区的痛点千差万别时,华盛顿更难以权衡应对。</p>\n\n<p>话虽如此,「辅助性原则」的核心始终在于将决策的重心尽可能下沉至个人身边。因此在我看来,地方政府的治理固然优于州政府,但若政府能退居其位、不过度越界,放手让家庭和民间自愿组织去化解难题,往往才是更上乘的治理之道。</p>\n<div 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