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美以拟期中选后再袭伊朗 「3天密集猛打」锁定能源、核设施

2026-10-22 11:36:44 网络 阅读(1)

《纽约时报》引述美国官员及消息人士报导,美国与以色列军方已拟定具体计划,准备在美国期中选举后,再度对伊朗发动攻击。

美以拟期中选后再袭伊朗 「3天密集猛打」锁定能源、核设施

随着这场短期高强度军事行动的规划推进,美以军方已加强演习,派遣军机飞越伊拉克上空,演练攻击战术。美国官员表示,国防部长赫格塞斯本周在以色列与总理内唐亚胡会面,讨论新一轮攻击。

潜在目标可能包括伊朗的能源基础设施、核设施,以及飞弹与无人机武器库。部分官员认为,历经近八个月冲突后,再一轮大规模攻击可能使伊朗经济陷入崩溃,迫使其在外交上让步。

不过,外界有理由怀疑,重启战事能否比美以2月至4月间第一阶段的密集攻击取得更大成效。先前几轮战斗推升全球能源价格与通膨,削弱中东安全情势,也使五角大厦的拦截飞弹供应严重吃紧。

川普是否会批准新一轮攻击,也仍有很大变数。今年以来,他已多次否决恢复大规模作战的计划,包括本月美以军方几乎已准备好发动攻击之际。

伊朗官员扬言,这次将扩大报复目标,除了区域内的商船与能源基础设施,也将攻击资料中心及海底网路电缆。

他们表示,战事既不会迅速结束,也不会局限于有限规模。

美国正集结大批武器,预计11月初将全数部署到位;与此同时,外交努力仍持续进行。美方谈判代表以可能重启战事作为筹码,要求伊朗在核计划及荷姆兹海峡控制权问题上让步,推动谈判取得进展。

然而,伊朗谈判代表迄今不愿在核计划上妥协,坚持将此议题留待后续谈判处理。

部分美军规划人员深信,为期3天的高强度打击所造成的经济重创,足以扭转伊朗的立场;但美方官员过去亦多次过度乐观预测伊朗政权将崩溃,其他西方官员也提醒,德黑兰当局至今依然挺过了严峻的经济压力。

曾在拜登政府担任五角大厦中东政策最高官员的史卓尔(Dana Stroul)表示:「战事发展至今,已有一点相当明确:迄今发动的传统军事行动、目前严厉的经济制裁,以及美国海军的封锁,都未能促使伊朗政权重返谈判桌,进行有实质意义的谈判。」

目前任职于华盛顿近东政策研究所的史卓尔表示,川普与内坦亚胡「都未能提出令人信服的论述,说明在这个日益动荡、冲突不断的地区,扩大战事将如何改变这项战略困境」。

以色列10月27日的选举,可能使计划更加复杂。专家指出,若纳坦雅胡败选,他将成为看守总理,届时将难以发动战争。

不过,部分分析人士认为,纳坦雅胡可能利用美以即将联手攻击的可能性,施压政治对手加入团结政府,共同处理战事,借此延续执政。

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川普是否批准仍是变数;伊朗扬言扩大报复,恐波及商船、资料中心与海底电缆,推升能源与通膨风险",
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    "content": "<p>《纽约时报》引述美国官员及消息人士报导,美国与以色列军方已拟定具体计划,准备在美国期中选举后,再度对伊朗发动攻击。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635614/l/bd2d2482aeada1101f326b397a222916.jpg\" alt=\"美以拟期中选后再袭伊朗 「3天密集猛打」锁定能源、核设施\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>随着这场短期高强度军事行动的规划推进,美以军方已加强演习,派遣军机飞越伊拉克上空,演练攻击战术。美国官员表示,国防部长赫格塞斯本周在以色列与总理内唐亚胡会面,讨论新一轮攻击。</p>\n\n<p>潜在目标可能包括伊朗的能源基础设施、核设施,以及飞弹与无人机武器库。部分官员认为,历经近八个月冲突后,再一轮大规模攻击可能使伊朗经济陷入崩溃,迫使其在外交上让步。</p>\n\n<p>不过,外界有理由怀疑,重启战事能否比美以2月至4月间第一阶段的密集攻击取得更大成效。先前几轮战斗推升全球能源价格与通膨,削弱中东安全情势,也使五角大厦的拦截飞弹供应严重吃紧。</p>\n\n<p>川普是否会批准新一轮攻击,也仍有很大变数。今年以来,他已多次否决恢复大规模作战的计划,包括本月美以军方几乎已准备好发动攻击之际。</p>\n\n<p>伊朗官员扬言,这次将扩大报复目标,除了区域内的商船与能源基础设施,也将攻击资料中心及海底网路电缆。</p>\n\n<p>他们表示,战事既不会迅速结束,也不会局限于有限规模。</p>\n\n<p>美国正集结大批武器,预计11月初将全数部署到位;与此同时,外交努力仍持续进行。美方谈判代表以可能重启战事作为筹码,要求伊朗在核计划及荷姆兹海峡控制权问题上让步,推动谈判取得进展。</p>\n\n<p>然而,伊朗谈判代表迄今不愿在核计划上妥协,坚持将此议题留待后续谈判处理。</p>\n\n<p>部分美军规划人员深信,为期3天的高强度打击所造成的经济重创,足以扭转伊朗的立场;但美方官员过去亦多次过度乐观预测伊朗政权将崩溃,其他西方官员也提醒,德黑兰当局至今依然挺过了严峻的经济压力。</p>\n\n<p>曾在拜登政府担任五角大厦中东政策最高官员的史卓尔(Dana Stroul)表示:「战事发展至今,已有一点相当明确:迄今发动的传统军事行动、目前严厉的经济制裁,以及美国海军的封锁,都未能促使伊朗政权重返谈判桌,进行有实质意义的谈判。」</p>\n\n<p>目前任职于华盛顿近东政策研究所的史卓尔表示,川普与内坦亚胡「都未能提出令人信服的论述,说明在这个日益动荡、冲突不断的地区,扩大战事将如何改变这项战略困境」。</p>\n\n<p>以色列10月27日的选举,可能使计划更加复杂。专家指出,若纳坦雅胡败选,他将成为看守总理,届时将难以发动战争。</p>\n\n<p>不过,部分分析人士认为,纳坦雅胡可能利用美以即将联手攻击的可能性,施压政治对手加入团结政府,共同处理战事,借此延续执政。</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21368.html\" title=\"以色列数十架军队战机逼近伊朗边境后折返\">以色列数十架军队战机逼近伊朗边境后折返</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21352.html\" title=\"半导体热销难抵能源重伤 日本9月贸易赤字暴增93% 连5个月逆差\">半导体热销难抵能源重伤 日本9月贸易赤字暴增93% 连5个月逆差</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21373.html\" title=\"〈能源盘后〉中东冲突升温 美国库存下降 俄乌和平谈判 国际油价收盘涨跌互见\">〈能源盘后〉中东冲突升温 美国库存下降 俄乌和平谈判 国际油价收盘涨跌互见</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21430.html\" title=\"胡塞扩大攻击 美国下令「非紧急」政府雇员及家属撤离沙国\">胡塞扩大攻击 美国下令「非紧急」政府雇员及家属撤离沙国</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21431.html\" title=\"川普特使:美国无法永远保证波斯湾盟友安全\">川普特使:美国无法永远保证波斯湾盟友安全</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21384.html\" title=\"〈贵金属盘后〉金价从近一周低点反弹 殖利率下降和Fed决议受瞩\">〈贵金属盘后〉金价从近一周低点反弹 殖利率下降和Fed决议受瞩</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-10-22T02:46:39.000Z",
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