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"title": "AI投资热潮还没结束？亚德尼点名「3大利多」",
"shortTitle": "AI投资热潮还没结束？亚德尼点名「3大利多」",
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"description": "AI投资遭质疑下，亚德尼称市场不必悲观，仍有三大正面讯号。 本周AI相关融资达2350亿美元，含Anthropic IPO 1000亿、Meta增发950亿、SpaceX借款400亿。 Anthropic上半年营收12亿增至163亿，SK海力士财报亮眼，显示AI需求强劲。",
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"content": "<p>人工智慧（AI）投资热潮近期遭遇市场质疑，Alphabet(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:GOOGL:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">GOOGL-US</a>) 第三季财报表现不如预期，更加深投资人对科技巨头巨额资本支出能否带来相应回报的疑虑。不过，资深市场策略师亚德尼（Ed Yardeni）认为，市场不必过度悲观，目前仍有三大正面讯号显示，AI投资热潮尚未退烧。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6642994/l/11587624a591a5296afcdeeef3fba984.jpg\" alt=\"AI投资热潮还没结束？亚德尼点名「3大利多」\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>根据《Business Insider》报导，随着AI基础建设支出持续攀升，投资人开始重新检视相关投资的经济效益。</p>\n\n<p>微软(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:MSFT:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">MSFT-US</a>) 下修全年AI资本支出预测，也让市场更加担心AI投资尚未产生预期回报，其他大型云端服务业者的资本支出规模同样受到关注。</p>\n\n<p>然而，亚德尼认为，尽管市场疑虑升高，目前AI产业的正面发展仍多于负面因素。</p>\n\n<p>他并提出三项值得投资人关注的指标，分别是科技业融资与支出动能依然强劲、AI商业模式逐渐展现获利潜力，以及半导体业者财报持续反映强劲需求。</p>\n\n<p><em>一、支出动能依然强劲</em></p>\n\n<p>尽管微软下修今年的资本支出预测，亚德尼仍看到其他科技业龙头持续投入大量资金。他特别指出，本周浮现的AI相关融资总额达2,350亿美元，显示这个产业很可能继续成长。</p>\n\n<p>这笔金额包括Anthropic可能透过首次公开募股（IPO）筹集的1,000亿美元、Meta(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:META:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">META-US</a>) 预计透过增发股票筹集的950亿美元，以及马斯克旗下SpaceX(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:SPCX:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">SPCX-US</a>) 计划借款400亿美元，用于采购新款GPU。</p>\n\n<p><em>二、AI商业模式展现正面讯号</em></p>\n\n<p>亚德尼对AI产业经济效益的观察，主要聚焦于Anthropic。他认为，这家AI实验室的成功有几项指标值得投资人注意，显示AI运算需求不仅强劲，也具有持续性。</p>\n\n<p>他列出四项值得关注的数据：</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>今年上半年营收年增，从12亿美元跃升至163亿美元。</li>\n<li>营业亏损从21亿美元降至6.93亿美元，第二季更首度实现单季营业获利。</li>\n<li>每年支出至少10万美元的客户已达1.19万家，远高于一年前的约950家。</li>\n<li>每投入1美元运算成本所创造的营收增加逾5倍，达2.08美元。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<p><em>三、晶片业者财报表现强劲</em></p>\n\n<p>亚德尼也表示，他相信AI基础设施需求将持续强劲，南韩记忆体大厂SK海力士(<a data-symbol-template=\"GF:000660KS:FUTURES:STOCK\" href=\"#\">000660KS</a>) 第三季财报表现亮眼，就是一项佐证。</p>\n\n<p>谈到这家南韩半导体业者时，他指出：「管理层预期，记忆体短缺将持续至2030年，产能实际上已经售罄至2029年，显示需求具有持续性，业者也具备价格主导能力。」</p>\n\n<p>他表示：「这些发展进一步强化我们的看法，也就是AI投资热潮将持续下去。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-22724.html\" title=\"中国战略矿产储量大增！铼资源暴增逾200% 黄金、镍相当于新增数十座大型矿床\">中国战略矿产储量大增！铼资源暴增逾200% 黄金、镍相当于新增数十座大型矿床</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-22743.html\" title=\"川普预告民主党若夺国会多数将成「否决先生」！扬言否决法案逼朝野协商\">川普预告民主党若夺国会多数将成「否决先生」！扬言否决法案逼朝野协商</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-22738.html\" title=\"美国期中选举共和党告急！民主党领先逾8个百分点 众议院恐易手、参议院也拉警报\">美国期中选举共和党告急！民主党领先逾8个百分点 众议院恐易手、参议院也拉警报</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-22732.html\" title=\"高盛示警AI资本支出成长恐见顶！科技巨头变现能力受考验、年底股市关键看油价\">高盛示警AI资本支出成长恐见顶！科技巨头变现能力受考验、年底股市关键看油价</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-22723.html\" title=\"币安已补回遭骇客窃走63亿美元中的60亿美元！ 北韩骇客组织遭FBI点名\">币安已补回遭骇客窃走63亿美元中的60亿美元！ 北韩骇客组织遭FBI点名</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-22735.html\" title=\"Meta携手中国傅里叶开发人形机器人「Max」！第二代启动研发、搭载辉达晶片\">Meta携手中国傅里叶开发人形机器人「Max」！第二代启动研发、搭载辉达晶片</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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