天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-美期中选举引发AI监管疑虑韩股狂跌大摩：11月仍可能迎来转折

美期中选举引发AI监管疑虑韩股狂跌大摩：11月仍可能迎来转折

2026-11-05 20:27:16 网络阅读（1）
在美国期中选举由民主党取得参众两院控制权后，市场对美国政府可能加强人工智慧(AI)资料中心监管的疑虑升温，引发韩股周四(5日)抛售潮。摩根士丹利认为，这次政治格局的转变对南韩KOSPI的影响，关键不在于选举结果本身，而在于市场对AI的情绪；指数可能会在11月迎来转折。
美期中选举引发AI监管疑虑韩股狂跌大摩：11月仍可能迎来转折
南韩KOSPI指数周四收盘大跌 300.00 点，跌幅达 5.28%，收在 5,383.80 点；以科技股为主的 KOSDAQ 指数重挫 5.11%，失守 700 点整数关卡。南韩交易所(KRX)于盘中一度对 KOSPI 与 KOSDAQ 双双启动卖方sidecar机制与熔断暂停程式交易，外资单日卖超高达 3.39 兆韩元(约 25 亿美元)。
这波杀盘的主因源于政策预期翻转。随着民主党横扫国会与多州州长，市场担忧未来资料中心建置与营运将面临更严苛审查，若业者削减资本支出，将直接冷却高频宽记忆体(HBM)及设备需求。
半导体巨头三星电子与 SK 海力士应声领跌，周边设备厂如韩美半导体、三星电机及周晟工程(Jusung Engineering)等均遭大幅抛售。不过，生技、汽车与金融板块展现韧性，三星生物制药、现代汽车及 KB 金融集团逆势收红。
针对选后局势，摩根士丹利(大摩)在其最新报告指出，美政局变动对韩股的核心影响在于「AI 投资氛围」而非选举结果本身，预计 11 月 KOSPI 指数可能迎来转折点。
摩根士丹利美国政策团队分析，德州州长易主虽增加资料中心审查风险，但南韩晶片与电力股先前已部分反映「蓝潮」因素；布局上相对看好金融、非 AI 资本支出概念及优质消费股，国防股压力则大抵已反映。
摩根大通(小摩)选前模型显示，即便民主党掌控国会引发法规疑虑，但由于前总统川普仍握有否决权，能限制严苛法案实质生效，因此建议投资人应将科技股回档视为「逢低布局」的良机。
Wolfe Research 美国政策主管 Tobin Marcus提醒，虽然市场心理已接受民主党胜选可能性，但法人实际部位未完全提前布局，选后仍有重新定价的空间。
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      "title": "民主党「蓝潮」改写美股布局！一文掌握潜在赢家与输家",
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