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民主党蓝潮来袭,AI资料中心投资放缓,其实水电等条件都可以谈

2026-11-06 18:33:05 网络 阅读(1)

影响AI资料中心投资风向的是三个关键州州长

民主党蓝潮来袭,AI资料中心投资放缓,其实水电等条件都可以谈

参、众两院席次过半,民主党重回多数党,这点事前已被预期,不过更为重要的参议院门槛是60席,民主党并未越过,因此关于重大立法、阻挠议事(Filibuster)等权利并未到手。而参众两院以全国性的政策转向为主,其中包含1.众议院领袖喊话撤销关税、2.调查加密货币、3.媾和停战等。

至于AI资料中心兴建的相关议案,主要是地方州政府所决定,因为盖资料中心,「电网并网、环评、水、土地及租税优惠」的许可都是掌握在州政府手中。例如各州的公用事业委员会与环保部门,这些官员都是直接由州长任命。

美国资料中心的兴建高度集中在10个州,如左图所呈现,10个州占据70%的兴建容量。

维吉尼亚州(VA)本次并未改选州长,现任州长是民主党籍,其他三大州德州、乔治亚州、俄亥俄州州长全数由在野的民主党拿下。

三个州直面影响2028年(含)后资料中心兴建的容量,估计德州16.7GW、俄亥俄州4.8GW、乔治亚州3.2GW

三位新州长对资料中心的政见立场:

◆德州 Hinojosa:全州暂停兴建新的资料中心、取消租税优惠、要求负担电力,并赋予地方自治兴建的决定权

◆乔治亚 Bottoms:全州暂停兴建新的资料中心,优先保障民众水电费用的控管

◆俄亥俄 Acton:有条件的暂停开发令,必须符合水电自付、绿能比例、非农业用地等达标条件

战争→通膨是最大问题,资料中心对「民生通膨」的直接贡献有限,是连带观感不佳

这次的选举动向是大量中间选民转向民主党,或正确来说是反川普/共和党,这点得利于选战策略上定下主打执政失利,不打文化战ex:DEI等议题,因此从通膨议题来发挥,任何有关通膨议题的事项采取反对态度,来争取通膨受苦的一般中间选民选票,包含中东战争、资料中心兴建…

从年初以来就不断提到,CPI或通膨数字反映最大、最敏感、最快的无非是能源项目的油价,而中东战争就是罪魁祸首,上述的三州州长对于资料中心的观点,重点其实也是高涨的电价,因此自带电力供应是最重要的条件,另外目前油价急坠,预期电力价格也随之向下,如果预期电力等价格高档修正20%,但因AI挤压只降15%,其实这也有助于民主党阵营松绑,毕竟资料中心的兴建,就是房地产急冻下,拉擡非都市地区GDP与就业最直接的机会,这也是取舍,民主党的地方州长并不会轻言放弃。

在选后,AI股暴跌两日,德州新任州长接受访谈表态并缓颊,「目前已取得许可的资料中心,都将被允许顺利完工(预计2028H1前预定完工)」、「我并不是讨厌资料中心。我讨厌它们利用德州的做法,而当我当上州长时,这种情况将会停止。」

因此云端厂商争取蓝州在年底前/上任前,协商谈判相关限制的程度、或应达标的优先条件式优先选项,预期取消租税补贴已确定,而自盖水、电,换取水、电价平稳是最有可能的交换条件。同时其他红州与海外也正争取尚未兴建的可能资料中心转移机会! 例如:Meta宣布路易斯安那州既有资料中心扩建,Google宣布怀俄明州资料中心与马来西亚资料中心。比起无谓恐慌,更实际地是滚动修正,密切留意民主党的政治人物发言,是否(迟早)出现更多缓颊言词。

(撰文者:永诚资产管理处分析师 范振峰)

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      "id": 38,
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          "name": "证券入门",
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      "id": 39,
      "pid": 10,
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文章指资料中心受电价与环评等州政府许可左右,云端业者恐需在上任前协商。",
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    "content": "<p>影响AI资料中心投资风向的是三个关键州州长</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/l/f830ba45c348cf92847e2585d47109c1.jpg\" alt=\"民主党蓝潮来袭,AI资料中心投资放缓,其实水电等条件都可以谈\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>参、众两院席次过半,民主党重回多数党,这点事前已被预期,不过更为重要的参议院门槛是60席,民主党并未越过,因此关于重大立法、阻挠议事(Filibuster)等权利并未到手。而参众两院以全国性的政策转向为主,其中包含1.众议院领袖喊话撤销关税、2.调查加密货币、3.媾和停战等。</p>\n\n<p>至于AI资料中心兴建的相关议案,主要是地方州政府所决定,因为盖资料中心,「电网并网、环评、水、土地及租税优惠」的许可都是掌握在州政府手中。例如各州的公用事业委员会与环保部门,这些官员都是直接由州长任命。</p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"442\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4547511312217194\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/m/a35aa0de232b60edc0de468d518c1f0f.jpg\" data-width=\"643\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/l/a35aa0de232b60edc0de468d518c1f0f.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p>美国资料中心的兴建高度集中在10个州,如左图所呈现,10个州占据70%的兴建容量。</p>\n\n<p>维吉尼亚州(VA)本次并未改选州长,现任州长是民主党籍,其他三大州德州、乔治亚州、俄亥俄州州长全数由在野的民主党拿下。</p>\n\n<p>三个州直面影响2028年(含)后资料中心兴建的容量,估计德州16.7GW、俄亥俄州4.8GW、乔治亚州3.2GW</p>\n\n<p>三位新州长对资料中心的政见立场:</p>\n\n<p>◆德州 Hinojosa:全州暂停兴建新的资料中心、取消租税优惠、要求负担电力,并赋予地方自治兴建的决定权</p>\n\n<p>◆乔治亚 Bottoms:全州暂停兴建新的资料中心,优先保障民众水电费用的控管</p>\n\n<p>◆俄亥俄 Acton:有条件的暂停开发令,必须符合水电自付、绿能比例、非农业用地等达标条件</p>\n\n<p>战争&rarr;通膨是最大问题,资料中心对「民生通膨」的直接贡献有限,是连带观感不佳</p>\n\n<p>这次的选举动向是大量中间选民转向民主党,或正确来说是反川普/共和党,这点得利于选战策略上定下主打执政失利,不打文化战ex:DEI等议题,因此从通膨议题来发挥,任何有关通膨议题的事项采取反对态度,来争取通膨受苦的一般中间选民选票,包含中东战争、资料中心兴建&hellip;</p>\n\n<p>从年初以来就不断提到,CPI或通膨数字反映最大、最敏感、最快的无非是能源项目的油价,而中东战争就是罪魁祸首,上述的三州州长对于资料中心的观点,重点其实也是高涨的电价,因此自带电力供应是最重要的条件,另外目前油价急坠,预期电力价格也随之向下,如果预期电力等价格高档修正20%,但因AI挤压只降15%,其实这也有助于民主党阵营松绑,毕竟资料中心的兴建,就是房地产急冻下,拉擡非都市地区GDP与就业最直接的机会,这也是取舍,民主党的地方州长并不会轻言放弃。</p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"411\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.8491484184914841\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/m/0a8a04a9104239df397159ebeaadbc9e.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/l/0a8a04a9104239df397159ebeaadbc9e.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/l/0a8a04a9104239df397159ebeaadbc9e.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/xl/0a8a04a9104239df397159ebeaadbc9e.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/xl/0a8a04a9104239df397159ebeaadbc9e.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n<p>在选后,AI股暴跌两日,德州新任州长接受访谈表态并缓颊,「目前已取得许可的资料中心,都将被允许顺利完工(预计2028H1前预定完工)」、「我并不是讨厌资料中心。我讨厌它们利用德州的做法,而当我当上州长时,这种情况将会停止。」</p>\n\n<p>因此云端厂商争取蓝州在年底前/上任前,协商谈判相关限制的程度、或应达标的优先条件式优先选项,预期取消租税补贴已确定,而自盖水、电,换取水、电价平稳是最有可能的交换条件。同时其他红州与海外也正争取尚未兴建的可能资料中心转移机会! 例如:Meta宣布路易斯安那州既有资料中心扩建,Google宣布怀俄明州资料中心与马来西亚资料中心。比起无谓恐慌,更实际地是滚动修正,密切留意民主党的政治人物发言,是否(迟早)出现更多缓颊言词。</p>\n\n<p>(撰文者:永诚资产管理处分析师 范振峰)</p>\n\n<p>点击下图【60 秒测试 你的理财天赋有几分?】</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://quiz.big-econ.com/index.php?&QID=6\"><img alt=\"图片 1\" data-height=\"190\" data-ratio=\"4\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/m/5c1e53c560bb363db7d6a45ed17232b2.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/l/5c1e53c560bb363db7d6a45ed17232b2.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/l/5c1e53c560bb363db7d6a45ed17232b2.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/xl/5c1e53c560bb363db7d6a45ed17232b2.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650388/xxl/5c1e53c560bb363db7d6a45ed17232b2.jpg 3x\"></a></p>\n\n<p>「永诚资产管理处」是全台合法拥有金管字号的证券投资顾问公司中「唯一首创资产管理的部门」,20 年深耕专营台湾各大科技园区,以认真、诚信思维提供客户服务,让努力累积财富的你,也可贴身感受理财管家的 VIP 价值。</p>\n\n<p>没有代理金融商品,不以商品销售出发,减少你的财务漏洞!从资产配置出发,透过「专案客制化」、「服务精致化」、「获利系统化」,你不需牺牲时间体力,就能感受到资产提升!</p>\n\n<p>「卓越投资研究团队」加「顶尖财务顾问团队」共同与客户缔造里程碑</p>\n\n<p>立即加入 <a href=\"https://line.me/R/ti/p/@asset88598\">https://line.me/R/ti/p/%40asset88598</a></p>\n\n<p>进一步了解资产管理处 <a href=\"https://www.ycam.com.tw/\">https://www.ycam.com.tw/</a></p>\n\n<p>收听「资产汇谈」Podcast <a href=\"https://reurl.cc/nYeRQ8\">https://reurl.cc/nYeRQ8</a></p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23767.html\" title=\"美股暴跌、亚股跟杀!AI行情真变天? 巨亨买基金揭急跌后投资机会\">美股暴跌、亚股跟杀!AI行情真变天? 巨亨买基金揭急跌后投资机会</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23808.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 南亚(1303)10月营收349.42亿元年增率高达64.6%\">营收速报  - 南亚(1303)10月营收349.42亿元年增率高达64.6%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23834.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 大成钢(2027)10月营收133.11亿元年增率高达44.8%\">营收速报  - 大成钢(2027)10月营收133.11亿元年增率高达44.8%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23768.html\" title=\"AI股暴跌引发亚洲股汇震荡 避险买盘涌入日元 新台币一度失守33大关\">AI股暴跌引发亚洲股汇震荡 避险买盘涌入日元 新台币一度失守33大关</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23837.html\" title=\"【量大强涨股整理】【台股暴跌别慌!德州变天引爆AI股血洗?资安飙股再创新高!下一波捡钻石名单曝光!】\">【量大强涨股整理】【台股暴跌别慌!德州变天引爆AI股血洗?资安飙股再创新高!下一波捡钻石名单曝光!】</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23804.html\" title=\"15美元转走25亿美元!币安遇骇细节曝光:骇客利用新功能  三分半完成「完美犯罪」\">15美元转走25亿美元!币安遇骇细节曝光:骇客利用新功能  三分半完成「完美犯罪」</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-11-06T09:32:59.000Z",
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