天天财经

AI巨额支出疑虑引爆 全球对冲基金遭遇疫情以来罕见卖压 三大策略同步跌逾1%

2026-10-24 13:03:00 网络 阅读(2)

全球对冲基金遭遇新一波科技股抛售冲击,10月22日各大股票投资策略同步下跌,创下新冠疫情以来少见的全面性跌势。随着市场对人工智慧(AI)巨额投资能否带来相应回报的疑虑升高,加上油价上涨加剧通膨担忧,美国大型科技股遭到抛售,迫使持有高度集中AI相关部位的基金降低杠杆、缩减曝险,市场卖压也从美国延伸至亚洲。

AI巨额支出疑虑引爆 全球对冲基金遭遇疫情以来罕见卖压 三大策略同步跌逾1%

高盛主经纪商部门指出,10月22日是新冠疫情以来,基本面多空、系统化多空及多策略基金三大主要股票策略首次在同一天全部下跌逾1%。高盛团队在提供客户的报告中形容,当天市场表现甚至比前一周的跌势更为严峻。

数据显示,全球基本面多空基金经理人当日下跌1.4%,创7月16日以来最差单日表现;其中聚焦电信、媒体及科技产业的基金平均下跌2.7%。全球系统化多空基金下跌1.3%,创2023年12月以来第三差的单日表现。多策略基金平台则下跌1.9%,创2025年4月关税冲击引发市场抛售以来第二差的单日表现。

这波跌势主要受到美国科技股重挫拖累。市场对大型科技企业持续投入数千亿美元建置AI模型、资料中心及相关基础设施的回报能力愈来愈不安,投资人开始重新评估AI投资热潮能否转化为足够的营收与获利。

Meta Platforms (META-US)成为当天市场焦点之一。该公司宣布将发行新类别股票以协助筹措资金,引发投资人对其融资需求及AI投资支出的关注,股价10月22日重挫7%,创7月以来最大单日跌幅。辉达 (NVIDIA) (NVDA-US)同日下跌4%,那斯达克综合指数下挫2.6%,创6月5日以来最大单日跌幅;那斯达克100指数则下跌2.9%,为6月以来最大跌幅。

除了AI投资效益的不确定性,油价走高带来的通膨压力也加重市场负担。亚洲股市同样受到冲击,从南韩到中国的股票市场均面临卖压,科技股及与AI供应链相关的投资部位尤其承压。

高盛数据显示,超过三分之二的对冲基金在10月22日收盘时录得亏损。除了科技股下跌,部分基金原本建立的集中放空部位也遭遇轧空,尤其在交易时段后半段,空头部位反而进一步扩大损失。这使得基金即使看空市场,也未必能在剧烈波动的财报季中获利。

市场人士指出,AI相关交易过度集中,促使基金开始去杠杆并削减风险部位。当多家基金持有相似的热门股票或交易策略时,一旦市场方向反转,投资人同步减仓便可能放大价格波动,进一步拖累基金绩效。

高盛估计,全球基本面多空基金10月迄今下跌3.8%,主要受到中国及科技股持仓亏损,以及集中放空部位遭轧空影响。不过,这类基金今年以来仍上涨8.8%,显示近期回档尚未完全抵销年初至今的累积报酬。

从投资主题来看,科技型及亚洲型对冲基金是10月截至22日的主要输家,分别下跌约10%及9%。另一组高盛统计则显示,亚洲基本面多空基金本月迄今下跌9.3%,但今年以来仍上涨14.2%。不同统计涵盖的基金分类与样本有所差异,但均反映亚洲相关策略在近期市场波动中承受显著压力。

东京TriVista Capital合伙人Masaki Gotoh表示,该基金自6月底以来已缩减硬体投资部位。他仍看好AI的长期发展,但认为市场目前的持仓集中程度令人忧心,与过去网路科技泡沫时期的集中现象有相似之处。此外,AI产业内部资金循环与相互融资的情况,也可能成为市场风险来源。

这波对冲基金回档凸显,AI投资热潮正进入更重视资本支出回报的阶段。大型科技企业持续投入AI模型及基础设施,市场却开始要求更明确的获利证据;当投资人对支出规模、融资需求与实际回报产生疑虑,科技股估值便可能受到重新评价,并透过集中持仓与杠杆交易扩大至整体基金产业。

短期而言,对冲基金绩效仍将受到科技企业财报、AI支出展望、油价与通膨走势,以及空头部位变化影响。若市场持续质疑AI投资的回报速度,基金进一步减仓可能加剧股价波动;反之,若企业能提出更具体的营收成长与获利成果,市场对AI资本支出的疑虑才有机会逐步缓解。

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    "content": "<p>全球对冲基金遭遇新一波科技股抛售冲击,10月22日各大股票投资策略同步下跌,创下新冠疫情以来少见的全面性跌势。随着市场对人工智慧(AI)巨额投资能否带来相应回报的疑虑升高,加上油价上涨加剧通膨担忧,美国大型科技股遭到抛售,迫使持有高度集中AI相关部位的基金降低杠杆、缩减曝险,市场卖压也从美国延伸至亚洲。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6637089/l/a732cd5d66407b63468543a8c30faa8e.jpg\" alt=\"AI巨额支出疑虑引爆 全球对冲基金遭遇疫情以来罕见卖压 三大策略同步跌逾1%\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>高盛主经纪商部门指出,10月22日是新冠疫情以来,基本面多空、系统化多空及多策略基金三大主要股票策略首次在同一天全部下跌逾1%。高盛团队在提供客户的报告中形容,当天市场表现甚至比前一周的跌势更为严峻。</p>\n\n<p>数据显示,全球基本面多空基金经理人当日下跌1.4%,创7月16日以来最差单日表现;其中聚焦电信、媒体及科技产业的基金平均下跌2.7%。全球系统化多空基金下跌1.3%,创2023年12月以来第三差的单日表现。多策略基金平台则下跌1.9%,创2025年4月关税冲击引发市场抛售以来第二差的单日表现。</p>\n\n<p>这波跌势主要受到美国科技股重挫拖累。市场对大型科技企业持续投入数千亿美元建置AI模型、资料中心及相关基础设施的回报能力愈来愈不安,投资人开始重新评估AI投资热潮能否转化为足够的营收与获利。</p>\n\n<p>Meta Platforms (META-US)成为当天市场焦点之一。该公司宣布将发行新类别股票以协助筹措资金,引发投资人对其融资需求及AI投资支出的关注,股价10月22日重挫7%,创7月以来最大单日跌幅。辉达 (NVIDIA) (NVDA-US)同日下跌4%,那斯达克综合指数下挫2.6%,创6月5日以来最大单日跌幅;那斯达克100指数则下跌2.9%,为6月以来最大跌幅。</p>\n\n<p>除了AI投资效益的不确定性,油价走高带来的通膨压力也加重市场负担。亚洲股市同样受到冲击,从南韩到中国的股票市场均面临卖压,科技股及与AI供应链相关的投资部位尤其承压。</p>\n\n<p>高盛数据显示,超过三分之二的对冲基金在10月22日收盘时录得亏损。除了科技股下跌,部分基金原本建立的集中放空部位也遭遇轧空,尤其在交易时段后半段,空头部位反而进一步扩大损失。这使得基金即使看空市场,也未必能在剧烈波动的财报季中获利。</p>\n\n<p>市场人士指出,AI相关交易过度集中,促使基金开始去杠杆并削减风险部位。当多家基金持有相似的热门股票或交易策略时,一旦市场方向反转,投资人同步减仓便可能放大价格波动,进一步拖累基金绩效。</p>\n\n<p>高盛估计,全球基本面多空基金10月迄今下跌3.8%,主要受到中国及科技股持仓亏损,以及集中放空部位遭轧空影响。不过,这类基金今年以来仍上涨8.8%,显示近期回档尚未完全抵销年初至今的累积报酬。</p>\n\n<p>从投资主题来看,科技型及亚洲型对冲基金是10月截至22日的主要输家,分别下跌约10%及9%。另一组高盛统计则显示,亚洲基本面多空基金本月迄今下跌9.3%,但今年以来仍上涨14.2%。不同统计涵盖的基金分类与样本有所差异,但均反映亚洲相关策略在近期市场波动中承受显著压力。</p>\n\n<p>东京TriVista Capital合伙人Masaki Gotoh表示,该基金自6月底以来已缩减硬体投资部位。他仍看好AI的长期发展,但认为市场目前的持仓集中程度令人忧心,与过去网路科技泡沫时期的集中现象有相似之处。此外,AI产业内部资金循环与相互融资的情况,也可能成为市场风险来源。</p>\n\n<p>这波对冲基金回档凸显,AI投资热潮正进入更重视资本支出回报的阶段。大型科技企业持续投入AI模型及基础设施,市场却开始要求更明确的获利证据;当投资人对支出规模、融资需求与实际回报产生疑虑,科技股估值便可能受到重新评价,并透过集中持仓与杠杆交易扩大至整体基金产业。</p>\n\n<p>短期而言,对冲基金绩效仍将受到科技企业财报、AI支出展望、油价与通膨走势,以及空头部位变化影响。若市场持续质疑AI投资的回报速度,基金进一步减仓可能加剧股价波动;反之,若企业能提出更具体的营收成长与获利成果,市场对AI资本支出的疑虑才有机会逐步缓解。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-10130.html\" title=\"中国迎「最贵装机季」高阶笔电接近5万元大关\">中国迎「最贵装机季」高阶笔电接近5万元大关</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-84.html\" title=\"下周将迎I/O大会跟GLM两场关键活动!花旗:Gemini 4.0可能会来 但最重要事情是「它」\">下周将迎I/O大会跟GLM两场关键活动!花旗:Gemini 4.0可能会来 但最重要事情是「它」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-18419.html\" title=\"吉利48亿入股蔚来能源、持股30% 专家按赞:中国「反内卷」样本\">吉利48亿入股蔚来能源、持股30% 专家按赞:中国「反内卷」样本</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-8005.html\" title=\"中国恢复核发无人计程车许可 百度、小马智行股价齐走高\">中国恢复核发无人计程车许可 百度、小马智行股价齐走高</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-5558.html\" title=\"AI浪潮席卷全球  为何微软、亚马逊与甲骨文等科技巨头却掀起「繁荣式裁员」?\">AI浪潮席卷全球  为何微软、亚马逊与甲骨文等科技巨头却掀起「繁荣式裁员」?</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-18587.html\" title=\"AI狂热信徒也担心安全 孙正义:人类已无余裕彼此争斗\">AI狂热信徒也担心安全 孙正义:人类已无余裕彼此争斗</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-10-24T04:20:02.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:03:00.000Z"
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