【袁志峰专栏】美国9月通胀高于预期

今日推介 - 石药集团(1093, $8.81), 目标价$9.70, 止损价$8.40

【袁志峰专栏】美国9月通胀高于预期

1) 股市前景

周三港股表现分化，恒指跌0.1%，恒生科指升0.9%，成交平稳，南向资金维持净卖出。港股估值偏低，建议长线投资者适量增加仓位，高息股将继续跑赢大市。

2) 上日中港股市况总结

周三恒指低开63点，早段最多曾跌230点，随后辗转上扬，午后最多曾升179点，尾市偏软，收报24314点，跌31点或0.1%。成交额按日增3%至1935亿元，9月份日均成交额2016亿元。

港股通南向资金净卖出约1亿元。阿里(9988)、康方生物(9926)及美团(3690)录得11.9、7.7及2.8亿元净买入。中芯国际(981)、长飞光纤(6869)及小米(1810)录得7.8、4.9及4.9亿元净卖出。10月以来累积净买入约88亿元。9月净买入约608亿元。

恒指跌0.1%，成份股37升54跌4持平。美团(3690)及小米(1810)涨逾6%及5%，为升幅最大蓝筹。创科实业(669)、蒙牛乳业(2319)及国药控股(1099)升逾3%。安踏体育(2020)升逾2%。中海油(883)、中石油(857)、中石化(386)及东方海外(316)升逾1%。信达生物(1801)及龙湖集团(960)跌逾4%，为跌幅最大蓝筹。宁德时代(3750)、中生制药(1177)、翰森制药(3692)及极兔速递(1519)跌逾3%。中银香港(2388)、新鸿基地产(16)、百济神州(6160)、药明生物(2269)、中国宏桥(1378)、中国人寿(2628)、紫金矿业(2899)及吉利汽车(175)跌逾2%。汇丰(57)、港交所(388)、建设银行(939)及中国银行(3988)跌逾1%。

恒生科指升0.9%，收报4174点，成份股16升12跌2持平。大型科技股普涨，京东(9618)及快手(1024)升逾1%，阿里(9988)升逾3%，美团(3690)及小米(1810)涨逾6%及5%。天数智芯(9903)涨逾8%，为升幅最大成份股。小鹏集团(9868)、蔚来(9866)及京东健康(6618)升逾2%。哔哩哔哩(9626)及智谱(2513)跌逾4%，为跌幅最大成份股。Minimax (100)跌逾3%。联想(992)、华虹宏力(1347)、中芯国际(981)及地平线机器人(9660)跌逾2%。

板块方面，人工智能、晶片、医药及黄金股下跌，跌幅居前。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)跌逾4%及3%。中芯国际(981)及华虹宏力跌逾2%。信达生物(1801)跌逾4%，中生制药(1177)及翰森制药(3692)跌逾3%。山东黄金(1787)及招金矿业(1818)跌逾5%及4%。五矿资源(1208)及洛阳钼业(3993)跌3%及2%。

乳制品、体育用品及食品股上升，涨幅居前。蒙牛乳业(2319)及中国飞鹤(6186)升逾3%及1%。安踏体育(2020)及李宁(2331)升逾2%及1%。中国旺旺(151)升逾2%，康师傅(322)升近2%。

周三上证指数低开0.3%，早段曾倒升0.3%，随后辗转下滑，午后最多曾跌1.0%，收报3767.23点，跌0.9%。深证成指跌2.0%。科创50指数跌3.3%。沪深两市总成交约14100亿元(人民币·下同)，环比减少约2600亿元，9月份日均成交额约18100亿元。

3) 宏观/行业讯息

国家统计局公布，9月全国居民消费价格(CPI)按年升0.9%。今年首9个月，CPI按年升0.9%。9月工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)按年上升5%，创2022年6月以来最高。今年首9个月，PPI上升2.3%。(信报)

中国9月以美元计价，出口及进口表现均胜预期。海关总署公布，9月出口4471.8亿美元，升36.3%，远高于市场预期增25.7%；进口3136.5亿美元，升31%，亦优于市场预期升25%。9月贸易顺差1335.3亿美元。(信报)

人民银行公布，今年首9个月新增贷款11.52万亿元(人民币‧下同)。按此计算，9月人民币贷款增加1.08万亿元。9月底，人民币贷款余额283.44万亿元，按年增长4.8%。9月底，广义货币(M2)余额359.63万亿元，按年增长7.2%。(信报)

美国9月消费物价指数(CPI)按月升0.6%，符合市场预期；按年升3.7%，市场预期升3.6%。期内，核心CPI按月升0.3%，市场预期升0.2%；按年升2.6%，预期上涨2.5%。(信报)

4) 个股讯息

腾讯控股(700)公布，根据全球中期票据计划对18亿美元及260亿元人民币票据进行定价，所得款项净额将分别约为17.9亿美元及258.9亿元人民币，拟用于一般企业用途。(信报)

康方生物(9926)公布，配售2000万股新股，每股配售价97.76元，较周二收市价折让约6.9%，集资19.55亿元。配售股份相当于扩大后已发行股本约2.1%。(信报)

有关选股表现，欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合： www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model

https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK

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"/public/uploads/default/image/2026/05/29/1780041002118_6c29yp.jpg", "path": "/whhq" } ], "cate": { "id": 26, "pid": 15, "name": "港股", "pinyin": "hk", "path": "/new/hk", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, "article": { "id": 20320, "cid": 26, "subCid": null, "title": "【袁志峰专栏】美国9月通胀高于预期", "shortTitle": "【袁志峰专栏】美国9月通胀高于预期", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "港股周三分化，恒指跌0.1%，科指升0.9%；南向资金净卖出约1亿元。
内地9月CPI按年升0.9%、PPI升5%；出口升36.3%、进口升31%，均胜预期。
腾讯发18亿美元及260亿元人民币票据；康方生物配股2000万股，集资19.55亿元。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6628860/l/23a2e63a8ff315974bc4295f2ecc710f.jpg", "content": "今日推介 - 石药集团(1093, $8.81), 目标价$9.70, 止损价$8.40\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6628860/l/23a2e63a8ff315974bc4295f2ecc710f.jpg\" alt=\"【袁志峰专栏】美国9月通胀高于预期\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n1) 股市前景\n\n周三港股表现分化，恒指跌0.1%，恒生科指升0.9%，成交平稳，南向资金维持净卖出。港股估值偏低，建议长线投资者适量增加仓位，高息股将继续跑赢大市。\n\n2) 上日中港股市况总结\n\n周三恒指低开63点，早段最多曾跌230点，随后辗转上扬，午后最多曾升179点，尾市偏软，收报24314点，跌31点或0.1%。成交额按日增3%至1935亿元，9月份日均成交额2016亿元。\n\n港股通南向资金净卖出约1亿元。阿里(9988)、康方生物(9926)及美团(3690)录得11.9、7.7及2.8亿元净买入。中芯国际(981)、长飞光纤(6869)及小米(1810)录得7.8、4.9及4.9亿元净卖出。10月以来累积净买入约88亿元。9月净买入约608亿元。\n\n恒指跌0.1%，成份股37升54跌4持平。美团(3690)及小米(1810)涨逾6%及5%，为升幅最大蓝筹。创科实业(669)、蒙牛乳业(2319)及国药控股(1099)升逾3%。安踏体育(2020)升逾2%。中海油(883)、中石油(857)、中石化(386)及东方海外(316)升逾1%。信达生物(1801)及龙湖集团(960)跌逾4%，为跌幅最大蓝筹。宁德时代(3750)、中生制药(1177)、翰森制药(3692)及极兔速递(1519)跌逾3%。中银香港(2388)、新鸿基地产(16)、百济神州(6160)、药明生物(2269)、中国宏桥(1378)、中国人寿(2628)、紫金矿业(2899)及吉利汽车(175)跌逾2%。汇丰(57)、港交所(388)、建设银行(939)及中国银行(3988)跌逾1%。\n\n恒生科指升0.9%，收报4174点，成份股16升12跌2持平。大型科技股普涨，京东(9618)及快手(1024)升逾1%，阿里(9988)升逾3%，美团(3690)及小米(1810)涨逾6%及5%。天数智芯(9903)涨逾8%，为升幅最大成份股。小鹏集团(9868)、蔚来(9866)及京东健康(6618)升逾2%。哔哩哔哩(9626)及智谱(2513)跌逾4%，为跌幅最大成份股。Minimax (100)跌逾3%。联想(992)、华虹宏力(1347)、中芯国际(981)及地平线机器人(9660)跌逾2%。\n\n板块方面，人工智能、晶片、医药及黄金股下跌，跌幅居前。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)跌逾4%及3%。中芯国际(981)及华虹宏力跌逾2%。信达生物(1801)跌逾4%，中生制药(1177)及翰森制药(3692)跌逾3%。山东黄金(1787)及招金矿业(1818)跌逾5%及4%。五矿资源(1208)及洛阳钼业(3993)跌3%及2%。\n\n乳制品、体育用品及食品股上升，涨幅居前。蒙牛乳业(2319)及中国飞鹤(6186)升逾3%及1%。安踏体育(2020)及李宁(2331)升逾2%及1%。中国旺旺(151)升逾2%，康师傅(322)升近2%。\n\n周三上证指数低开0.3%，早段曾倒升0.3%，随后辗转下滑，午后最多曾跌1.0%，收报3767.23点，跌0.9%。深证成指跌2.0%。科创50指数跌3.3%。沪深两市总成交约14100亿元(人民币·下同)，环比减少约2600亿元，9月份日均成交额约18100亿元。\n\n3) 宏观/行业讯息\n\n国家统计局公布，9月全国居民消费价格(CPI)按年升0.9%。今年首9个月，CPI按年升0.9%。9月工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)按年上升5%，创2022年6月以来最高。今年首9个月，PPI上升2.3%。(信报)\n\n中国9月以美元计价，出口及进口表现均胜预期。海关总署公布，9月出口4471.8亿美元，升36.3%，远高于市场预期增25.7%；进口3136.5亿美元，升31%，亦优于市场预期升25%。9月贸易顺差1335.3亿美元。(信报)\n\n人民银行公布，今年首9个月新增贷款11.52万亿元(人民币‧下同)。按此计算，9月人民币贷款增加1.08万亿元。9月底，人民币贷款余额283.44万亿元，按年增长4.8%。9月底，广义货币(M2)余额359.63万亿元，按年增长7.2%。(信报)\n\n美国9月消费物价指数(CPI)按月升0.6%，符合市场预期；按年升3.7%，市场预期升3.6%。期内，核心CPI按月升0.3%，市场预期升0.2%；按年升2.6%，预期上涨2.5%。(信报)\n\n4) 个股讯息\n\n腾讯控股(700)公布，根据全球中期票据计划对18亿美元及260亿元人民币票据进行定价，所得款项净额将分别约为17.9亿美元及258.9亿元人民币，拟用于一般企业用途。(信报)\n\n康方生物(9926)公布，配售2000万股新股，每股配售价97.76元，较周二收市价折让约6.9%，集资19.55亿元。配售股份相当于扩大后已发行股本约2.1%。(信报)\n\n有关选股表现，欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合： <a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"0\" data-outlook-id=\"a071582a-828d-4cfe-bf88-204115703341\" href=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\" id=\"x_ms-outlook-mobile-sharing-link-anchor-7f60a2bf-f86c-4ab8-ba34-c55434c979d5\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\">www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model</a>\n\n<a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"1\" data-outlook-id=\"1d8d7948-ec8b-4f00-8ee2-b5029aa4274b\" href=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\">https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK</a> \n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-354.html\" title=\"港股迎商业航太第一股！拓璞数控上市大涨37% 外部股东帐面暴赚58倍\">港股迎商业航太第一股！拓璞数控上市大涨37% 外部股东帐面暴赚58倍</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-19713.html\" title=\"吉利汽车正式进军加拿大首批车款2027年登场\">吉利汽车正式进军加拿大首批车款2027年登场</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-4430.html\" title=\"自驾领域迎全球法规落地！嘀嗒出行早盘飙逾90% 文远知行、知行科技等股集体跟涨\">自驾领域迎全球法规落地！嘀嗒出行早盘飙逾90% 文远知行、知行科技等股集体跟涨</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-13124.html\" title=\"【袁志峰专栏】港股暂无方向\">【袁志峰专栏】港股暂无方向</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-15100.html\" title=\"税务冻结未平印度拟对小米启动欺诈调查\">税务冻结未平印度拟对小米启动欺诈调查</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-3939.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 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