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"title": "〈纽约汇市〉油价大涨、Fed升息在即 美元攀高",
"shortTitle": "〈纽约汇市〉油价大涨、Fed升息在即 美元攀高",
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"description": "美元对主要货币周一(14日)多上扬，中东冲突刺激油价上涨，促使投资人涌向美元避险，并提高了联准会(Fed)本周升息的可能性，都助长美元升势。 纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币走势的ICE美元指数(DXY)上涨0.3%，约报99.41，盘中一度触及99.735，是9月2日以来最高。 欧元贬至一个月低点1.153美元，英镑也贬值0.2%至1.3512美元。 油价跳升令投资人感到不安，并推动全球债券殖利率回到多年高点附近。布兰特原油一度上涨5%至每桶109.8美元，之后涨幅收敛，报每桶105.61美元",
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"content": "<p>美元对主要货币周一(14日)多上扬，中东冲突刺激油价上涨，促使投资人涌向美元避险，并提高了联准会(Fed)本周升息的可能性，都助长美元升势。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606038/l/413e53b1a4d164cacc7f8468e59218b4.jpg\" alt=\"〈纽约汇市〉油价大涨、Fed升息在即 美元攀高\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币走势的ICE美元指数(DXY)上涨0.3%，约报99.41，盘中一度触及99.735，是9月2日以来最高。</p>\n\n<p>欧元贬至一个月低点1.153美元，英镑也贬值0.2%至1.3512美元。</p>\n\n<p>油价跳升令投资人感到不安，并推动全球债券殖利率回到多年高点附近。布兰特原油一度上涨5%至每桶109.8美元，之后涨幅收敛，报每桶105.61美元。</p>\n\n<p>近几日油价受到多重力量支撑，最主要支撑来自伊朗支持的胡塞组织攻击全球最大石油出口国沙乌地阿拉伯。沙国先前已关闭一条用于绕过荷姆兹海峡、通往红海的主要输油管线，如今红海也受到胡塞组织威胁。</p>\n\n<p>美伊战争的外交斡旋似乎陷入停滞，目前伊朗与其他波斯湾国家的会议遭到延后，加上中东地区船只遭到攻击，也进一步加剧市场对石油供应的疑虑。</p>\n\n<p>ING外汇策略师Francesco Pesole说：「波斯湾局势仍令人担忧，加上部分与AI相关的消息进一步打压股市，在这样的环境下，美元应可持续获得支撑。」</p>\n\n<p>市场愈来愈确信，Fed将在本周三升息，以因应能源价格跳升。能源价格上涨已推动柴油价格创下历史新高，也使8月核心通膨升幅高于预期。</p>\n\n<p>芝商所集团(CME Group)的FedWatch工具数据显示，交易员押注Fed升息的机率约为90%，高于一周前的约60%。</p>\n\n<p>三菱UFJ金融集团(MUFG)资深外汇分析师Lee Hardman说：「本周初美元温和走强，受到市场对联准会将开始收紧货币政策的预期升温所提振。」</p>\n\n<p>不过，美元近期走强并非没有风险。</p>\n\n<p>Scotiabank分析师Shaun Osborne领导的团队在报告中表示，「如果Fed维持利率不变，将令市场感到意外，并明显对美元不利。但如果是一次『鸽派升息』，没有明确承诺将进一步升息，也可能令美元承压。」</p>\n\n<p>日元走弱 美元重返154日圆上方</p>\n\n<p>日元明显走弱，近期因市场押注日本银行(BOJ，央行)升息而出现的强劲涨势有所收敛。</p>\n\n<p>美元兑日元上扬0.5%至154.355，脱离上周触及的近七个月低点153下方。</p>\n\n<p>全球升息预期升温，已推动美国、欧洲及日本债券殖利率升至多年甚至数十年高点。不过，目前对外汇市场的影响相对有限，因各主要市场殖利率大致同步走高。</p>\n\n<p>市场几乎笃定日银周五将升息。日元市场情绪也开始转变，投机客自2月以来首度转为净做多日圆。</p>\n\n<p>英国央行(BOE)预期周四将维持利率不变，但交易员如今预期今年稍晚将升息，并在2027年进一步升息。欧洲央行(ECB)上周已升息。</p>\n\n<p>比特币上涨2%至79152.23美元。</p>\n\n<h6>截至周一(14日)台湾时间约6:00价格：</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>美元指数报99.4522。-0.0207%</li>\n<li>欧元兑美元(EUR/USD)汇率报1欧元兑换1.1551美元。+0.01%</li>\n<li>英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1英镑兑换1.3504美元。+0.02%</li>\n<li>澳币兑美元(AUD/USD)汇率报1澳币兑换0.7140美元。+0.00%</li>\n<li>美元兑加币(USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑换1.3898加币。-0.02%</li>\n<li>美元兑日元(USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑换154.27日元。-0.04%</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8378.html\" title=\"福特重返国防市场！F系列皮卡变身美军战术车\">福特重返国防市场！F系列皮卡变身美军战术车</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-11631.html\" title=\"Fed今年真的不升息了？近八成经济学家押利率冻结至年底\">Fed今年真的不升息了？近八成经济学家押利率冻结至年底</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13470.html\" title=\"10年期美债殖利率升破4.75% 市场开始「提高警觉」\">10年期美债殖利率升破4.75% 市场开始「提高警觉」</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-12491.html\" title=\"《大卖空》贝瑞抛售阿里巴巴、称「股价太贵」！转手买入「这一股」\">《大卖空》贝瑞抛售阿里巴巴、称「股价太贵」！转手买入「这一股」</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15033.html\" title=\"摩根士丹利看好软体股转机？AI投资转向「现金流」、「这家公司」自由现金流殖利率居冠\">摩根士丹利看好软体股转机？AI投资转向「现金流」、「这家公司」自由现金流殖利率居冠</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-12952.html\" title=\"折叠iPhone真的来了！苹果9月9日正式揭晓 特纳斯迎执行长首秀\">折叠iPhone真的来了！苹果9月9日正式揭晓 特纳斯迎执行长首秀</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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