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波士顿Fed总裁柯林斯:今年底前仍可能再升息

2026-10-14 06:47:52 网络 阅读(1)

《路透社》报导,波士顿联准银行(Fed)总裁柯林斯(Susan Collins)周二(13日)表示,为了降低居高不下的通膨,美国央行今年底前可能还需要再次升息。

波士顿Fed总裁柯林斯:今年底前仍可能再升息

柯林斯表示,她支持联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)上个月的升息决策,目前仍认为,「为确保通膨能及时且持续地回到委员会设定的2%目标,今年底前进一步小幅升息将是适当的做法。」

她在波士顿联准银行一场银行业会议的演讲中指出,「我是否认为有必要进一步采取货币政策行动,以及采取行动的适当时机,将在很大程度上取决于接下来公布的各项数据如何影响我的经济展望,以及相关风险的平衡。」

柯林斯表示,目前美国经济与就业市场表现良好,联准会因此能够将工作重心放在降低通膨、使其回到目标水准。过去五年多来,联准会一直未能达成这项通膨目标。

联准会上个月将政策利率调升0.25个百分点,使利率区间升至3.75%至4.00%。

联准会官员在当次会议公布的利率预测显示,2026年底前还会再升息一次。不过,近几周已有多名官员强烈暗示,下一次升息可能会在12月进行,而非10月27日至28日的会议。

柯林斯对经济前景整体持乐观看法,但也承认其中存在风险。

她表示,最有可能出现的情境「仍是国内生产毛额(GDP)维持健康成长,就业市场则接近充分就业」。在这种情境下,随着效率持续提升,有助于维持供给与需求之间的平衡,并降低通膨压力,通膨率将逐步回到 2%。

然而,她指出,科技业为建置人工智慧(AI)基础设施而增加的投资,以及关税与中东战争推升能源成本所带来的持续影响,都可能使降低通膨的工作更加复杂。

柯林斯补充,「考量到近期航空燃油、柴油及家庭取暖用油等精炼能源产品价格大幅上涨,我预期未来几个月,整体通膨率与核心通膨率都将再次高于联准会设定的2%目标。」

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    "title": "波士顿Fed总裁柯林斯:今年底前仍可能再升息",
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    "description": "柯林斯称,为让通膨回到2%,联准会今年底前可能还需再小幅升息。
她支持上月升息0.25个百分点,将利率升至3.75%至4.00%,并称后续取决于数据。
她指美国GDP与就业仍强,但AI投资、关税及中东战争推升能源成本,恐使通膨再高于2%。",
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    "content": "<p>《路透社》报导,波士顿联准银行(Fed)总裁柯林斯(Susan Collins)周二(13日)表示,为了降低居高不下的通膨,美国央行今年底前可能还需要再次升息。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6629827/l/15f685745aae99aae6aa11c87376e2a9.jpg\" alt=\"波士顿Fed总裁柯林斯:今年底前仍可能再升息\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>柯林斯表示,她支持联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)上个月的升息决策,目前仍认为,「为确保通膨能及时且持续地回到委员会设定的2%目标,今年底前进一步小幅升息将是适当的做法。」</p>\n\n<p>她在波士顿联准银行一场银行业会议的演讲中指出,「我是否认为有必要进一步采取货币政策行动,以及采取行动的适当时机,将在很大程度上取决于接下来公布的各项数据如何影响我的经济展望,以及相关风险的平衡。」</p>\n\n<p>柯林斯表示,目前美国经济与就业市场表现良好,联准会因此能够将工作重心放在降低通膨、使其回到目标水准。过去五年多来,联准会一直未能达成这项通膨目标。</p>\n\n<p>联准会上个月将政策利率调升0.25个百分点,使利率区间升至3.75%至4.00%。</p>\n\n<p>联准会官员在当次会议公布的利率预测显示,2026年底前还会再升息一次。不过,近几周已有多名官员强烈暗示,下一次升息可能会在12月进行,而非10月27日至28日的会议。</p>\n\n<p>柯林斯对经济前景整体持乐观看法,但也承认其中存在风险。</p>\n\n<p>她表示,最有可能出现的情境「仍是国内生产毛额(GDP)维持健康成长,就业市场则接近充分就业」。在这种情境下,随着效率持续提升,有助于维持供给与需求之间的平衡,并降低通膨压力,通膨率将逐步回到 2%。</p>\n\n<p>然而,她指出,科技业为建置人工智慧(AI)基础设施而增加的投资,以及关税与中东战争推升能源成本所带来的持续影响,都可能使降低通膨的工作更加复杂。</p>\n\n<p>柯林斯补充,「考量到近期航空燃油、柴油及家庭取暖用油等精炼能源产品价格大幅上涨,我预期未来几个月,整体通膨率与核心通膨率都将再次高于联准会设定的2%目标。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13794.html\" title=\"不只卖晶片 黄仁动的更大野心:让辉达架构「全球AI工厂」新蓝图\">不只卖晶片 黄仁动的更大野心:让辉达架构「全球AI工厂」新蓝图</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-12959.html\" title=\"〈美股盘后〉美国通膨顽强 三大指数同步收低 辉达财报揭晓\">〈美股盘后〉美国通膨顽强 三大指数同步收低 辉达财报揭晓</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-12577.html\" title=\"贝森特还有近兆美元银弹!美债回购火力可能超乎预期\">贝森特还有近兆美元银弹!美债回购火力可能超乎预期</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-7228.html\" title=\"AI概念股光环降温?SpaceX市值蒸发逾1兆美元\">AI概念股光环降温?SpaceX市值蒸发逾1兆美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-10365.html\" title=\"美国、中国AI投资收益有限!台湾、南韩、日本成最大赢家?\">美国、中国AI投资收益有限!台湾、南韩、日本成最大赢家?</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8248.html\" title=\"关键一飞!星舰完成SpaceX上市后首飞 成功部署V3星链 低轨卫星概念股行情将重燃?\">关键一飞!星舰完成SpaceX上市后首飞 成功部署V3星链 低轨卫星概念股行情将重燃?</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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