〈美股盘后〉Meta重燃AI交易恐慌费半狂泻近7% 台积电ADR跌超4.5%

Meta 财报重燃华尔街人工智慧 (AI) 交易恐慌后，科技股暴跌。投资人纷纷抛售晶片股，转而投资更具防御性的板块。费半指数周四 (22日) 狂泻近7%，那斯达克指数下跌2.6%，创下四个多月以来的最大单日跌幅，债市出现逾 1 年来最大单日涨势。

中东局势升温，推升油价触及 5 个月高点，也加深市场不安，资金转向美债避险，10年期公债殖利率跌破5%。

市场传出，美国与以色列正研拟在美国期中选举后，再度对伊朗发动攻击的计划，加上沙乌地阿拉伯机场及油田遇袭并传出死伤，进一步升高能源供应疑虑。

《华尔街日报》周四引述美国官员报导，美国总统川普周三致电 SpaceX 执行长马斯克，要求解除对乌克兰军用版星链 (Starlink) 的限速措施。美乌官员表示，通话后，系统运作已于周四改善，但尚未完全恢复正常。

经济数据方面，美国上周初领失业金降至19.4万人，创三个月新低，低于预期，显示裁员活动仍维持低档。

随着科技股下挫、市场金融条件收紧，投资人下修联准会 (Fed) 年内再度升息的预期，货币市场已不再完全反映年底前升息 1 码的可能性。

美股周四 (22 日) 主要指数表现：

道琼工业指数上涨 11.89 点，或 0.02%，报 52,867.98 点。
那斯达克指数下跌 694.00 点，或 2.60%，报 26,008.86 点。
S&P 500 指数下跌 93.74 点，或 1.21%，报 7,663.43 点。
费城半导体指数下跌 773.58 点，或 6.72%，报 10,731.98 点。
NYSE FANG+ 指数下跌 587.66 点，或 3.12%，报 18,260.12 点。

焦点个股

NYSE FANG+ 指数中的科技五大巨头仅苹果收红。Meta (META-US) 重挫 6.98%；苹果 (AAPL-US) 上涨 1.23%；Alphabet (GOOGL-US) 下跌 3.15%；微软 (MSFT-US) 下跌 2.23%；亚马逊 (AMZN-US) 下跌 4.57%。

半导体主要个股全面下挫。AMD (AMD-US) 重挫 8.10%；博通 (AVGO-US) 下跌 4.31%；辉达 (NVDA-US) 下跌 4.40%；应用材料 (AMAT-US) 重挫 8.16%；高通 (QCOM-US) 下跌 2.88%。

记忆体与储存族群全面重挫。美光 (MU-US) 下跌 6.26%；威腾电子 (WDC-US) 下跌 6.43%；SanDisk (SNDK-US) 下跌 8.51%；希捷 (STX-US) 下跌 7.86%；SK 海力士 ADR (SKHY-US) 下跌 8.07%。

台股 ADR 跌多涨少。台积电 ADR (TSM-US) 下跌 4.52%；日月光 ADR (ASX-US) 重挫 11.01%；联电 ADR (UMC-US) 下跌 6.51%；中华电信 ADR (CHT-US) 上涨 2.57%。

企业新闻

威腾电子 (WDC-US) 周四收低超 6%，盘后续跌超 4%，尽管威腾电子盘后公布最新财报与财测均优于预期，仍难抵 AI 概念股整体走弱的压力。分析指出，投资人持续担忧硬碟产业荣景能否延续，加上东芝计划于 2027 会计年度将 AI 资料中心用硬碟产能提高至原来的 2 倍，引发市场对供给增加、威腾电子议价能力及毛利率成长空间受压的疑虑。

Facebook 母公司 Meta (META-US) 下跌 7%。Meta 第 3 季财报表现稳健，营收优于华尔街预期。尽管当季资本支出低于预期，公司仍上调全年资本支出预估中间值，且第 3 季自由现金流转为负值，这是自公司 IPO 以来首次出现负自由现金流。

同时，Meta 的 5 年期信用违约交换 (CDS) 利差周四升至历史新高，显示随着公司持续扩大 AI 支出，投资人对其信用风险的疑虑升温。

特斯拉 (TSLA-US) 收黑 3.1% 至每股 374.58 美元。马斯克旗下这家电动车制造商第 3 季获利略优于预期，营收则与去年同期大致持平。不过，随着新技术投入增加，营业利益不如预期。

SpaceX (SPCX-US) 下杀 9.1% 至每股 144.75 美元，主要随半导体大盘下滑，加上特斯拉财报电话会议也未提供SpaceX 与特斯拉潜在合并案的进一步消息。此外，《路透》报导，部分参与协商人士担心，马斯克公开支持合并，可能引发股东对交易公平性的质疑，并拖慢协商进度，为交易前景增添变数。

科林研发 (LRCX-US) 惨崩约 12% 至每股 230.15 美元，是标普最差的成分股之一。这家半导体设备制造商第 1 季度获利虽略优于华尔街预期，仍难以满足投资人对 AI 相关企业的高度期待。

华尔街分析

BMO Capital Markets 策略师 Ian Lyngen 表示，科技股估值修正，促使投资人重新思考联准会 (Fed) 政策方向。若股市下跌已使金融条件收紧，Fed 进一步紧缩的必要性可能降低，这也带动市场下修年底前再度升息的押注。

Edward Jones 经济学家 James McCann 指出，科技股经历大幅上涨后，市场越加要求企业拿出 AI 投资回报的具体证据，高利率也让投资人更加质疑庞大支出能否持续。他仍看好大型股，但提醒投资人维持投资组合的分散配置。

黑石总裁 Jon Gray 则淡化 AI 泡沫疑虑，表示 AI 需求正急速成长。他认为，典型泡沫往往是先扩建产能，再期待需求出现，但目前 AI 产业的情况是需求强劲，供给仍努力追赶。

不过，Citadel 创办人 Ken Griffin 日前警告，目前 AI 热潮中「几乎肯定存在泡沫」。他也指出，重大经济转型往往伴随泡沫，但仍可能孕育出长期胜出的企业。

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点。</li>\n<li>S&P 500 指数下跌 93.74 点，或 1.21%，报 7,663.43 点。</li>\n<li>费城半导体指数下跌 773.58 点，或 6.72%，报 10,731.98 点。</li>\n<li>NYSE FANG+ 指数下跌 587.66 点，或 3.12%，报 18,260.12 点。</li>\n</ul>\n\n焦点个股\n\nNYSE FANG+ 指数中的科技五大巨头仅苹果收红。Meta (META-US) 重挫 6.98%；苹果 (AAPL-US) 上涨 1.23%；Alphabet (GOOGL-US) 下跌 3.15%；微软 (MSFT-US) 下跌 2.23%；亚马逊 (AMZN-US) 下跌 4.57%。\n\n半导体主要个股全面下挫。AMD (AMD-US) 重挫 8.10%；博通 (AVGO-US) 下跌 4.31%；辉达 (NVDA-US) 下跌 4.40%；应用材料 (AMAT-US) 重挫 8.16%；高通 (QCOM-US) 下跌 2.88%。\n\n记忆体与储存族群全面重挫。美光 (MU-US) 下跌 6.26%；威腾电子 (WDC-US) 下跌 6.43%；SanDisk (SNDK-US) 下跌 8.51%；希捷 (STX-US) 下跌 7.86%；SK 海力士 ADR (SKHY-US) 下跌 8.07%。\n\n台股 ADR 跌多涨少。台积电 ADR (TSM-US) 下跌 4.52%；日月光 ADR (ASX-US) 重挫 11.01%；联电 ADR (UMC-US) 下跌 6.51%；中华电信 ADR (CHT-US) 上涨 2.57%。\n\n企业新闻\n\n威腾电子 (WDC-US) 周四收低超 6%，盘后续跌超 4%，尽管威腾电子盘后公布最新财报与财测均优于预期，仍难抵 AI 概念股整体走弱的压力。分析指出，投资人持续担忧硬碟产业荣景能否延续，加上东芝计划于 2027 会计年度将 AI 资料中心用硬碟产能提高至原来的 2 倍，引发市场对供给增加、威腾电子议价能力及毛利率成长空间受压的疑虑。\n\nFacebook 母公司 Meta (META-US) 下跌 7%。Meta 第 3 季财报表现稳健，营收优于华尔街预期。尽管当季资本支出低于预期，公司仍上调全年资本支出预估中间值，且第 3 季自由现金流转为负值，这是自公司 IPO 以来首次出现负自由现金流。\n\n同时，Meta 的 5 年期信用违约交换 (CDS) 利差周四升至历史新高，显示随着公司持续扩大 AI 支出，投资人对其信用风险的疑虑升温。\n\n特斯拉 (TSLA-US) 收黑 3.1% 至每股 374.58 美元。马斯克旗下这家电动车制造商第 3 季获利略优于预期，营收则与去年同期大致持平。不过，随着新技术投入增加，营业利益不如预期。\n\nSpaceX (SPCX-US) 下杀 9.1% 至每股 144.75 美元，主要随半导体大盘下滑，加上特斯拉财报电话会议也未提供SpaceX 与特斯拉潜在合并案的进一步消息。此外，《路透》报导，部分参与协商人士担心，马斯克公开支持合并，可能引发股东对交易公平性的质疑，并拖慢协商进度，为交易前景增添变数。\n\n科林研发 (LRCX-US) 惨崩约 12% 至每股 230.15 美元，是标普最差的成分股之一。这家半导体设备制造商第 1 季度获利虽略优于华尔街预期，仍难以满足投资人对 AI 相关企业的高度期待。\n\n华尔街分析\n\nBMO Capital Markets 策略师 Ian Lyngen 表示，科技股估值修正，促使投资人重新思考联准会 (Fed) 政策方向。若股市下跌已使金融条件收紧，Fed 进一步紧缩的必要性可能降低，这也带动市场下修年底前再度升息的押注。\n\nEdward Jones 经济学家 James McCann 指出，科技股经历大幅上涨后，市场越加要求企业拿出 AI 投资回报的具体证据，高利率也让投资人更加质疑庞大支出能否持续。他仍看好大型股，但提醒投资人维持投资组合的分散配置。\n\n黑石总裁 Jon Gray 则淡化 AI 泡沫疑虑，表示 AI 需求正急速成长。他认为，典型泡沫往往是先扩建产能，再期待需求出现，但目前 AI 产业的情况是需求强劲，供给仍努力追赶。\n\n不过，Citadel 创办人 Ken Griffin 日前警告，目前 AI 热潮中「几乎肯定存在泡沫」。他也指出，重大经济转型往往伴随泡沫，但仍可能孕育出长期胜出的企业。\n\n数字皆为截稿前更新，请依照实际报价为主<div 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