〈纽约汇市〉美元上涨日元因AI股重挫转强法国债务疑虑拖累欧元

美元周五(23日)小幅上涨，美元指数本周变动不大。欧元则受法国政府公债遭抛售影响走低，法国债务风险溢酬升至2011年欧元区主权债务危机以来最高水准，欧元兑美元与日元均以周线收黑作收。日元受惠于周四AI概念股遭抛售引发的避险资金流入，兑美元本周上涨。

纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)上涨0.25%，报101.82，本周上涨约0.03%。

市场对法国国内动荡加剧及预算问题恶化的忧虑，持续打击欧元。法国内政部长Laurent Nuñez表示，法国将于周六部署7万名警察，并由特种警力支援，以因应抗议活动。此外，穆迪（Moody’s）也可能于周五调降法国的信用评等。

Bannockburn Global Forex 首席市场策略师 Marc Chandler 表示，「今天欧洲债券市场的压力已有所缓解，但穆迪稍晚对法国债务评等的检视仍是一项挑战。尽管马克宏政府已威胁动用军事力量平息社会动荡，但周末可能仍会有更多活动发生。」

欧元兑美元下跌0.21%，至1.1191美元，本周下跌约0.43%。

欧元兑日元跌幅更大，一度触及175.08日圆，创2025年10月以来最低。欧元兑日元下跌0.11%，本周跌约1.1%。

日元兑美元下跌0.1%，至156.9日元，但本周上涨约0.7%，创下9月中旬以来最佳单周表现。

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）资深外汇分析师 Lee Hardman 表示，「随着本周尾声的避险交易气氛升温，日元持续维持在较强势水准。」

央行政策会议成市场焦点

交易员正关注下周美国联准会（Fed）、欧洲央行（ECB）及日本银行（BoJ）的政策会议。市场预期三家央行都将维持利率不变，但投资人将寻找未来货币政策走向的线索。

根据伦敦证券交易所集团（LSEG）数据，周四股市遭抛售后，联邦基金利率期货交易员下调了对联准会12月升息的押注，但市场仍认为升息机率达81%。

交易员目前预估，欧洲央行12月升息的机率为66%。投资人将仔细检视任何有关利率前景的讯号。欧洲央行总裁拉加德（Christine Lagarde）9月底曾表示，面对通膨，采取适度的政策反应是合适的。

采购经理人指数（PMI）数据显示，欧元区民间部门10月成长速度放缓，降至四个月来最疲弱水准，主要受到法国经济活动再度萎缩拖累。

花旗经济学家 Giada Giani 表示，「我们认为，这次数据下滑让PMI回到与其他经济成长指标一致的水准，而非意味着未来下行风险正在增加。法国仍是拖累因素，但欧元区其他地区依然展现韧性。」

日本方面，周五公布的数据显示，9月核心消费者物价年增率九个月来首度超过日本央行2%的通膨目标。分析师表示，这项数据显示价格压力正扩大至更多领域，也强化日银近期升息的理由。

交易员目前预估，日本银行12月升息的机率为61%。

截至台湾时间周六 (24 日) 约 6:00 价格:

美元指数报 101.7520。+0.1280%
欧元兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1欧元兑1.1201美元。-0.1337%
英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1英镑兑1.3375美元。-0.1866%
澳币兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1澳币兑0.7034美元。+0.2137%
美元兑加币 (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.4005加币。-0.0214%
美元兑日元 (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑156.8100日元。+0.0383%

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法国债务风险溢酬升至2011年欧债危机以来最高，穆迪可能调降法国评等，法国周六将部署7万名警察
日元受避险买盘支撑本周升0.7%；市场聚焦下周Fed、ECB、BoJ会议，三者多预期按兵不动", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6636600/l/02dae882358da051e4cd950a10c30d9f.jpg", "content": "美元周五(23日)小幅上涨，美元指数本周变动不大。欧元则受法国政府公债遭抛售影响走低，法国债务风险溢酬升至2011年欧元区主权债务危机以来最高水准，欧元兑美元与日元均以周线收黑作收。日元受惠于周四AI概念股遭抛售引发的避险资金流入，兑美元本周上涨。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6636600/l/02dae882358da051e4cd950a10c30d9f.jpg\" alt=\"〈纽约汇市〉美元上涨日元因AI股重挫转强法国债务疑虑拖累欧元\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)上涨0.25%，报101.82，本周上涨约0.03%。\n\n市场对法国国内动荡加剧及预算问题恶化的忧虑，持续打击欧元。法国内政部长Laurent Nuñez表示，法国将于周六部署7万名警察，并由特种警力支援，以因应抗议活动。此外，穆迪（Moody’s）也可能于周五调降法国的信用评等。\n\nBannockburn Global Forex 首席市场策略师 Marc Chandler 表示，「今天欧洲债券市场的压力已有所缓解，但穆迪稍晚对法国债务评等的检视仍是一项挑战。尽管马克宏政府已威胁动用军事力量平息社会动荡，但周末可能仍会有更多活动发生。」\n\n欧元兑美元下跌0.21%，至1.1191美元，本周下跌约0.43%。\n\n欧元兑日元跌幅更大，一度触及175.08日圆，创2025年10月以来最低。欧元兑日元下跌0.11%，本周跌约1.1%。\n\n日元兑美元下跌0.1%，至156.9日元，但本周上涨约0.7%，创下9月中旬以来最佳单周表现。\n\n三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）资深外汇分析师 Lee Hardman 表示，「随着本周尾声的避险交易气氛升温，日元持续维持在较强势水准。」\n\n央行政策会议成市场焦点\n\n交易员正关注下周美国联准会（Fed）、欧洲央行（ECB）及日本银行（BoJ）的政策会议。市场预期三家央行都将维持利率不变，但投资人将寻找未来货币政策走向的线索。\n\n根据伦敦证券交易所集团（LSEG）数据，周四股市遭抛售后，联邦基金利率期货交易员下调了对联准会12月升息的押注，但市场仍认为升息机率达81%。\n\n交易员目前预估，欧洲央行12月升息的机率为66%。投资人将仔细检视任何有关利率前景的讯号。欧洲央行总裁拉加德（Christine Lagarde）9月底曾表示，面对通膨，采取适度的政策反应是合适的。\n\n采购经理人指数（PMI）数据显示，欧元区民间部门10月成长速度放缓，降至四个月来最疲弱水准，主要受到法国经济活动再度萎缩拖累。\n\n花旗经济学家 Giada Giani 表示，「我们认为，这次数据下滑让PMI回到与其他经济成长指标一致的水准，而非意味着未来下行风险正在增加。法国仍是拖累因素，但欧元区其他地区依然展现韧性。」\n\n日本方面，周五公布的数据显示，9月核心消费者物价年增率九个月来首度超过日本央行2%的通膨目标。分析师表示，这项数据显示价格压力正扩大至更多领域，也强化日银近期升息的理由。\n\n交易员目前预估，日本银行12月升息的机率为61%。\n\n截至台湾时间周六 (24 日) 约 6:00 价格:\n\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/index/GI/DXY\">美元指数</a>报 101.7520。+0.1280%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑1.1201美元。-0.1337%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑1.3375美元。-0.1866%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑0.7034美元。+0.2137%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a> (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.4005<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a>。-0.0214%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a> (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑156.8100<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a>。+0.0383%</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-3366.html\" title=\"可口可乐与美国国税局爆发200亿美元税务大战或将改写跨国企业规则\">可口可乐与美国国税局爆发200亿美元税务大战或将改写跨国企业规则</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15864.html\" title=\"Anthropic Opus 5.2传启动灰度测试！速度、自主程式设计能力提升 RSI真的来了？\">Anthropic Opus 5.2传启动灰度测试！速度、自主程式设计能力提升 RSI真的来了？</a></li>\n <li><a 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