iPhone Duo供货吃紧、交货延至明年1月美银仍看好苹果

《Benzinga》报导，苹果(AAPL-US)持续致力于扩大高阶装置产品线，并布局长期AI商机，投资人则密切关注iPhone Duo上市初期的需求，以及最新iPhone机型的供货情况。美银分析师Wamsi Mohan周一(26日)重申对苹果的买进评级，并维持370美元的目标价。

iPhone Duo上市超过一周后仍不容易买到，全球平均交货等待时间达79天，出货时间延至2027年1月。

Wamsi Mohan表示，截至10月26日，iPhone Duo全球平均交货等待时间为79天，显示这款装置仍面临持续性的供应限制。相较之下，iPhone 18 Pro的交货时间从一周前的8天缩短至4天，而iPhone 18 Pro Max则维持在15天。

这些数据显示，苹果最新iPhone产品线的供货情况出现分歧：iPhone Duo仍难以买到，标准版Pro机型的供应则持续恢复正常。

美国电信业者与全球出货趋势

在美国，透过无线电信业者购买iPhone Duo的平均交货时间，从前一周的50天增加至57天。不过，电信业者的供货情况仍优于苹果官网；官网各种记忆体容量与颜色配置的平均交货时间为91天。

美银表示，电信业者交货时间增加，「可能反映库存分配的变化」。

在国际市场方面，iPhone Duo的预估出货日期仍为2027年1月22日，相当于88天的交货等待时间。等待时间看似从一周前的95天下降，但这反映的是时间经过，而非预计交货日期有所提前。

iPhone 18 Pro在各市场的供应改善

美银的追踪数据也显示，自开始监测以来，iPhone 18 Pro的全球交货时间已缩短10天，相较之下，Pro Max仅缩短3天。

最新数据显示，iPhone 18 Pro的供应情况正在改善，而高阶的Pro Max供货仍相对受限。

中国市场的iPhone 18 Pro供应改善幅度最大，交货时间从一周前的4天下降至仅1天，是美银追踪的市场中最短的等待时间。

中国以外市场的Pro机型平均国际交货时间为4天，低于前一周的11天。另一方面，根据这份报告，中国市场的iPhone 18 Pro Max交货时间仍维持在15天。

门市供货情况凸显供应落差

门市供货情况也呈现类似趋势。虽然iPhone Duo于10月24日星期六重新开放门市取货选项，但美银在最新一次调查中发现，没有任何门市提供可预约的取货时段，显示库存仍然有限。

相较之下，iPhone 18 Pro的门市供货情况看来充足，而Pro Max仍相对不容易买到。

苹果AI布局与换机周期支撑乐观看法

Mohan的乐观看法，建立在对多年期iPhone换机周期、服务营收成长、自行研发晶片带来的更高利润率，以及持续回馈股东等因素的预期之上。

这位分析师也认为，AI功能可能促使消费者升级至较新的硬体，让苹果受惠；此外，苹果也有机会拓展新产品与新市场。

美银的370美元目标价，是以2027历年预估每股盈余9.98美元的37倍本益比计算。该机构认为，苹果在代理式AI领域的潜力，以及长期换机需求带来的机会，足以支持这项估值溢价。

该券商预期，苹果每股盈余将从预估的2026会计年度8.85美元，升至2027会计年度的9.46美元，并于2028会计年度进一步增至10.91美元。

主要风险与长期成长前景

不过，美银也指出数项可能影响其展望的风险，包括消费支出疲弱、智慧型手机换机周期拉长、服务业务成长放缓、苹果执行AI策略面临挑战，以及潜在的贸易冲突或关税。

最新出货数据凸显苹果最新智慧型手机的供货情况并不一致，不过，单凭交货时间仍无法确定消费者需求的实际程度。

目前，美银仍看好苹果的长期前景，理由包括股东资本回馈、AI商机，以及从新产品与新市场中受惠的潜力。

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iPhone Duo供应仍紧俏，全球平均交货79天；美国官网91天，电信业者57天。
iPhone 18 Pro供货改善，全球交货缩至4天，中国市场仅1天；Pro Max仍偏紧。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6638060/l/939538348d81d4b140438ea840b30eea.jpg", "content": "《Benzinga》报导，苹果(AAPL-US)持续致力于扩大高阶装置产品线，并布局长期AI商机，投资人则密切关注iPhone Duo上市初期的需求，以及最新iPhone机型的供货情况。美银分析师Wamsi Mohan周一(26日)重申对苹果的买进评级，并维持370美元的目标价。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6638060/l/939538348d81d4b140438ea840b30eea.jpg\" alt=\"iPhone Duo供货吃紧、交货延至明年1月美银仍看好苹果\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\niPhone Duo上市超过一周后仍不容易买到，全球平均交货等待时间达79天，出货时间延至2027年1月。\n\nWamsi Mohan表示，截至10月26日，iPhone Duo全球平均交货等待时间为79天，显示这款装置仍面临持续性的供应限制。相较之下，iPhone 18 Pro的交货时间从一周前的8天缩短至4天，而iPhone 18 Pro Max则维持在15天。\n\n这些数据显示，苹果最新iPhone产品线的供货情况出现分歧：iPhone Duo仍难以买到，标准版Pro机型的供应则持续恢复正常。\n\n美国电信业者与全球出货趋势\n\n在美国，透过无线电信业者购买iPhone Duo的平均交货时间，从前一周的50天增加至57天。不过，电信业者的供货情况仍优于苹果官网；官网各种记忆体容量与颜色配置的平均交货时间为91天。\n\n美银表示，电信业者交货时间增加，「可能反映库存分配的变化」。\n\n在国际市场方面，iPhone Duo的预估出货日期仍为2027年1月22日，相当于88天的交货等待时间。等待时间看似从一周前的95天下降，但这反映的是时间经过，而非预计交货日期有所提前。\n\niPhone 18 Pro在各市场的供应改善\n\n美银的追踪数据也显示，自开始监测以来，iPhone 18 Pro的全球交货时间已缩短10天，相较之下，Pro Max仅缩短3天。\n\n最新数据显示，iPhone 18 Pro的供应情况正在改善，而高阶的Pro Max供货仍相对受限。\n\n中国市场的iPhone 18 Pro供应改善幅度最大，交货时间从一周前的4天下降至仅1天，是美银追踪的市场中最短的等待时间。\n\n中国以外市场的Pro机型平均国际交货时间为4天，低于前一周的11天。另一方面，根据这份报告，中国市场的iPhone 18 Pro Max交货时间仍维持在15天。\n\n门市供货情况凸显供应落差\n\n门市供货情况也呈现类似趋势。虽然iPhone Duo于10月24日星期六重新开放门市取货选项，但美银在最新一次调查中发现，没有任何门市提供可预约的取货时段，显示库存仍然有限。\n\n相较之下，iPhone 18 Pro的门市供货情况看来充足，而Pro Max仍相对不容易买到。\n\n苹果AI布局与换机周期支撑乐观看法\n\nMohan的乐观看法，建立在对多年期iPhone换机周期、服务营收成长、自行研发晶片带来的更高利润率，以及持续回馈股东等因素的预期之上。\n\n这位分析师也认为，AI功能可能促使消费者升级至较新的硬体，让苹果受惠；此外，苹果也有机会拓展新产品与新市场。\n\n美银的370美元目标价，是以2027历年预估每股盈余9.98美元的37倍本益比计算。该机构认为，苹果在代理式AI领域的潜力，以及长期换机需求带来的机会，足以支持这项估值溢价。\n\n该券商预期，苹果每股盈余将从预估的2026会计年度8.85美元，升至2027会计年度的9.46美元，并于2028会计年度进一步增至10.91美元。\n\n主要风险与长期成长前景\n\n不过，美银也指出数项可能影响其展望的风险，包括消费支出疲弱、智慧型手机换机周期拉长、服务业务成长放缓、苹果执行AI策略面临挑战，以及潜在的贸易冲突或关税。\n\n最新出货数据凸显苹果最新智慧型手机的供货情况并不一致，不过，单凭交货时间仍无法确定消费者需求的实际程度。\n\n目前，美银仍看好苹果的长期前景，理由包括股东资本回馈、AI商机，以及从新产品与新市场中受惠的潜力。\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5582.html\" title=\"剑指英特尔、超微！辉达Vera CPU获得Perplexity采用积极抢进AI代理市场\">剑指英特尔、超微！辉达Vera CPU获得Perplexity采用积极抢进AI代理市场</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-3314.html\" title=\"Palantir跌破关键支撑！还会跌多少？分析师怎这样说\">Palantir跌破关键支撑！还会跌多少？分析师怎这样说</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-14208.html\" title=\"AI光通讯股重新点火！Marvell大涨4.88%、Coherent劲扬6%，资金重回资料中心高速互连\">AI光通讯股重新点火！Marvell大涨4.88%、Coherent劲扬6%，资金重回资料中心高速互连</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15072.html\" title=\"AI基设压力测试来了！纽时：OpenAI估2030年算力支出7500亿美元仍大喊「算力非常不够」\">AI基设压力测试来了！纽时：OpenAI估2030年算力支出7500亿美元仍大喊「算力非常不够」</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-1859.html\" title=\"辉达将在韩设立研发中心！黄仁勋：已开始招募人才\">辉达将在韩设立研发中心！黄仁勋：已开始招募人才</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-9236.html\" title=\"AI泡沫恐更像2008金融危机？《彭博》示警：比网路泡沫更糟！\">AI泡沫恐更像2008金融危机？《彭博》示警：比网路泡沫更糟！</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", "status": 0, "pv": 2, "link": "https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/6638060", "createdAt": "2026-10-27T03:30:07.000Z", "updatedAt": "2026-10-27T05:05:23.000Z" }, "position": [ { "id": 15, "pid": 0, "name": "热点新闻", "pinyin": "new", "path": "/new", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "children": [ { "id": 25, "pid": 15, "name": "美股", "pinyin": "mg", "path": "/new/mg", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 26, "pid": 15, "name": "港股", "pinyin": "hk", "path": "/new/hk", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 27, "pid": 15, "name": "台股", "pinyin": "tw", "path": "/new/tw", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 28, "pid": 15, "name": "科技", "pinyin": "AI", "path": "/new/AI", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "level": 1 }, { "id": 25, "pid": 15, "name": "美股", "pinyin": "mg", "path": "/new/mg", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "_locals": {}, "cache": false }

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