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别只盯辉达和美光!贝莱德点名AI下一波投资机会

2026-09-19 15:41:21 网络 阅读(45)

《Benzinga》报导,在 AI 热潮的大部分时间里,投资人一直将这项交易视为前往晶片货架的一次越来越昂贵的购物之旅。辉达 (NVDA-US)、超微(AMD-US) 和美光 (MU-US) 已成为人工智慧的明显代名词。

别只盯辉达和美光!贝莱德点名AI下一波投资机会

GPU、高带宽记忆体及矽供应链维持着这台机器的运转。但 AI 经济的下一阶段可能不再聚焦于让机器变得更大,而更多关注于让它「活」起来。电力、电力设备、电网连接、涡轮机、变压器…… 这些不起眼却至关重要的业务,负责及时将电力输送到资料中心。

贝莱德投资研究所目前正引导投资人关注这项第二阶段交易机会。该机构在近期的一份报告中写道:「脆弱的能源供应与不断增长的电力需求共同施压,使能源安全成为一个持久的投资主题,利好基础设施和关键瓶颈领域。」

美国国内电力生产的逆转规模令人震惊。根据 Exponential View 6 月 25 日的报告,美国电力净发电量在过去 16 年里几乎毫无增长,在 2008 年至 2024 年间记录为「±0% 增长」。

相比之下,1950 年至 2008 年期间的历史平均每月新增发电量(年化)约为 6 太瓦时。

如今,这条曲线已急剧向上。自 2024 年以来,美国电力发电量每月增长约 9 太瓦时,比战后旧平均水准高出 50%。一个原本为缓慢预测而建立的公用事业部门,突然被要求服务于以 12 至 18 个月部署周期运行的超大规模资料中心经济。然而,问题不仅在于需求本身,更在于时机。

ING 分析师 Coco Zhang 最近写道,「电力供应如今已成为资料中心行业的首要关切。」她指出,传统电网接入和新建发电设施通常需要超过四年时间,而资料中心则几乎立即就需要电力容量。

这种错配正在催生一个并行的电力系统。超大规模企业和资料中心营运商不再耐心地在公用事业公司的排队中等待,而是计划直接在现场发电。ING 估计,美国资料中心已规划超过 55 GW 的表后发电容量,超过纽约州的总装机容量。其中约 75% 的美国规划现场发电容量预计将来自天然气涡轮机、发动机和燃料电池。

这一现实使得相关交易的影响范围远远超出了辉达、超微和美光科技。GE Vernova(GEV-US) 是最明显的受益者之一。微软最近与雪佛龙就西德州的 Kilby 专案签署为期 20 年的供电合约,便体现了这一模式。GE Vernova 将为该座 2.67 GW 设施提供大部分硬体设备。

该公司的电气化业务部门也经历需求激增,包括于 2026 年第一季取得创纪录的 24 亿美元资料中心设备订单,超过此前全年的总额。

伊顿公司 (Eaton)(ETN-US) 是另一家正处于关键节点的企业。该公司生产开关设备、智慧变压器、配电及电网管理设备,这些正是资料中心在启动任何 GPU 之前所必需的基础设施。

此外,还有独立发电商 Vistra(VST-US)。对于那些需要在缓慢且受监管的公用事业体系之外获得可调度、持续供电的超大规模企业而言,拥有可用发电能力并能签署长期双边合约的公司,将成为极具吸引力的合作对象。

这其中还存在政治因素。Wood Mackenzie 近期的一项分析将这场新兴的角力描述为「电力的新政治格局」。

自 2021 年以来,美国住宅用电价格已上涨逾 40%;而在如今已成为主要资料中心枢纽的俄亥俄州,零售电价更年增 22%。消费者可能并不关心导致电价上涨的原因究竟是 AI、天气、燃料、输电问题,还是老旧的公用事业监管制度,他们真正看到的只有帐单上的金额。

因此,AI 带动的电力投资机会,不仅仅是一个需求成长的故事,更涉及瓶颈限制、许可审批、地方政治,并且正逐渐演变为一项能源安全议题。

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    "content": "<p>《Benzinga》报导,在 AI 热潮的大部分时间里,投资人一直将这项交易视为前往晶片货架的一次越来越昂贵的购物之旅。辉达 (NVDA-US)、超微(AMD-US) 和美光 (MU-US) 已成为人工智慧的明显代名词。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6516623/l/a0da60f0d349321922e7c11074f37f2f.jpg\" alt=\"别只盯辉达和美光!贝莱德点名AI下一波投资机会\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>GPU、高带宽记忆体及矽供应链维持着这台机器的运转。但 AI 经济的下一阶段可能不再聚焦于让机器变得更大,而更多关注于让它「活」起来。电力、电力设备、电网连接、涡轮机、变压器&hellip;&hellip; 这些不起眼却至关重要的业务,负责及时将电力输送到资料中心。</p>\n\n<p>贝莱德投资研究所目前正引导投资人关注这项第二阶段交易机会。该机构在近期的一份报告中写道:「脆弱的能源供应与不断增长的电力需求共同施压,使能源安全成为一个持久的投资主题,利好基础设施和关键瓶颈领域。」</p>\n\n<p>美国国内电力生产的逆转规模令人震惊。根据 Exponential View 6 月 25 日的报告,美国电力净发电量在过去 16 年里几乎毫无增长,在 2008 年至 2024 年间记录为「&plusmn;0% 增长」。</p>\n\n<p>相比之下,1950 年至 2008 年期间的历史平均每月新增发电量(年化)约为 6 太瓦时。</p>\n\n<p>如今,这条曲线已急剧向上。自 2024 年以来,美国电力发电量每月增长约 9 太瓦时,比战后旧平均水准高出 50%。一个原本为缓慢预测而建立的公用事业部门,突然被要求服务于以 12 至 18 个月部署周期运行的超大规模资料中心经济。然而,问题不仅在于需求本身,更在于时机。</p>\n\n<p>ING 分析师 Coco Zhang 最近写道,「电力供应如今已成为资料中心行业的首要关切。」她指出,传统电网接入和新建发电设施通常需要超过四年时间,而资料中心则几乎立即就需要电力容量。</p>\n\n<p>这种错配正在催生一个并行的电力系统。超大规模企业和资料中心营运商不再耐心地在公用事业公司的排队中等待,而是计划直接在现场发电。ING 估计,美国资料中心已规划超过 55 GW 的表后发电容量,超过纽约州的总装机容量。其中约 75% 的美国规划现场发电容量预计将来自天然气涡轮机、发动机和燃料电池。</p>\n\n<p>这一现实使得相关交易的影响范围远远超出了辉达、超微和美光科技。GE Vernova(GEV-US) 是最明显的受益者之一。微软最近与雪佛龙就西德州的 Kilby 专案签署为期 20 年的供电合约,便体现了这一模式。GE Vernova 将为该座 2.67 GW 设施提供大部分硬体设备。</p>\n\n<p>该公司的电气化业务部门也经历需求激增,包括于 2026 年第一季取得创纪录的 24 亿美元资料中心设备订单,超过此前全年的总额。</p>\n\n<p>伊顿公司 (Eaton)(ETN-US) 是另一家正处于关键节点的企业。该公司生产开关设备、智慧变压器、配电及电网管理设备,这些正是资料中心在启动任何 GPU 之前所必需的基础设施。</p>\n\n<p>此外,还有独立发电商 Vistra(VST-US)。对于那些需要在缓慢且受监管的公用事业体系之外获得可调度、持续供电的超大规模企业而言,拥有可用发电能力并能签署长期双边合约的公司,将成为极具吸引力的合作对象。</p>\n\n<p>这其中还存在政治因素。Wood Mackenzie 近期的一项分析将这场新兴的角力描述为「电力的新政治格局」。</p>\n\n<p>自 2021 年以来,美国住宅用电价格已上涨逾 40%;而在如今已成为主要资料中心枢纽的俄亥俄州,零售电价更年增 22%。消费者可能并不关心导致电价上涨的原因究竟是 AI、天气、燃料、输电问题,还是老旧的公用事业监管制度,他们真正看到的只有帐单上的金额。</p>\n\n<p>因此,AI 带动的电力投资机会,不仅仅是一个需求成长的故事,更涉及瓶颈限制、许可审批、地方政治,并且正逐渐演变为一项能源安全议题。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-6204.html\" title=\"苹果不忍了!怒告OpenAI挖人窃取商业机密  要求销毁资料、重设AI硬体\">苹果不忍了!怒告OpenAI挖人窃取商业机密  要求销毁资料、重设AI硬体</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-11423.html\" title=\"波克夏重押Alphabet跃居第三大持股 加码达美航空、住宅建商\">波克夏重押Alphabet跃居第三大持股 加码达美航空、住宅建商</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-6305.html\" title=\"债市正向美股发出警报!高盛警告:市场风险遭低估、科技股恐迎修正\">债市正向美股发出警报!高盛警告:市场风险遭低估、科技股恐迎修正</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8938.html\" title=\"盘后跳水!苹果财报解读:零件短缺拖累财测、iPhone与Mac强攻、服务及大中华失色、特纳斯接班\">盘后跳水!苹果财报解读:零件短缺拖累财测、iPhone与Mac强攻、服务及大中华失色、特纳斯接班</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8389.html\" title=\"追随SpaceX脚步!SK海力士赴美上市热潮降温 ADR破发 盘中一度跌逾10%\">追随SpaceX脚步!SK海力士赴美上市热潮降温 ADR破发 盘中一度跌逾10%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13470.html\" title=\"10年期美债殖利率升破4.75% 市场开始「提高警觉」\">10年期美债殖利率升破4.75% 市场开始「提高警觉」</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-06-30T00:30:04.000Z",
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