目标价上看800美元！华尔街唱旺SpaceX「如同当年的铁路与网路」

随着 SpaceX(SPCX-US)首次公开发行 (IPO) 后的缄默期结束，多家券商刚获得解禁，得以发布对 SpaceX 的研究报告，而他们大多抱持极其乐观的看法。

德意志银行 (Deutsche Bank) 的 Edison Yu 在周二 (7 日 ) 的客户报告中写道：「在我们看来，SpaceX 代表人类文明雄心的巅峰，这种雄心时常透过钢铁与烈火来展现，扭转历史的弧线以使人类成为跨行星物种。」他对 SpaceX 的投资建议评等为「买进」，目标价为每股 255 美元。

而由 Doug Anmuth 领导的摩根大通 (J.P. Morgan) 分析师团队指出，SpaceX「对人类的潜在影响」超越以往在任何公司身上所见到的规模。该行给 SpaceX「加码」评等，目标价为每股 225 美元。

Raymond James 的 Brian Gesuale 则给了每股 800 美元的目标价，是是华尔街目前的最高价，以 SpaceX 周二收盘的每股 149.47 美元来看，这代表 SpaceX 将可涨至现行水准逾五倍高。

Gesuale 写道：「正如铁路、电网和网际网路重塑了先前的经济时代一样，我们相信 SpaceX 正在为下一代工业产能建立基础平台。」

根据法规，银行在参与首次公开募股 (IPO) 后，必须等待一段时间才能发布投资建议，而 SpaceX 的历史性 IPO 共吸引将近 20 家金融机构参与，因此许多分析师必须等待一段时间才能发布投资建议。

根据 FactSet 汇整的预估数据，SpaceX 的平均目标价为每股 220 美元。

SpaceX 周二收盘重挫 6.8% 至每股 149.47 美元。当天也是该公司纳入那斯达克 100 指数交易的首日，此举将迫使追踪该指数的被动基金将 SpaceX 纳入投资组合中。

整体而言，华尔街给 SpaceX 的目标价范围很广，并非所有人都认为其有极端的上涨潜力。例如，Stifel 对该股的目标价为 190 美元，评等为买进。

也有人采取不同的做法，马斯克的长期支持者、摩根士丹利 (Morgan Stanley) 的 Adam Jonas 以 300 美元的目标价展开对 SpaceX 的研究追踪。他同时提出多空两种情境，在下行情境中，SpaceX 股价可能跌至 75 美元，而在上行情境里，则可望飙升至 600 美元。

Jonas 表示，这样的预估平衡了 SpaceX 的「独特能力」与其面临的风险。

SpaceX 抱有宏大梦想，包括殖民火星、营运轨道资料中心，还有在月球上设置质量弹射器 (mass driver)，以便更轻松将卫星送入轨道。然而，要落实这些蓝图仍有赖于未经证实的技术，摩根大通的 Anmuth 因而指出，成功可能需要大量的资本支出，以及突破供应限制的能力。

几位分析师预估，SpaceX 至少要到 2031 年才能实现自由现金流转正。伯恩斯坦 (Bernstein) 则预测，该公司 2030 年的资本支出将达到 2450 亿美元。

此外，SpaceX 的计划高度依赖「星舰」(Starship) 巨型火箭的改良，而该火箭目前仍处于测试阶段，下一次发射预定本月稍晚进行，这将是新版本的第二次测试。

分析师表示，「星舰」的任何延误或挫折，都可能阻碍 SpaceX 各项业务的预期成长。Stifel 的 Jonathan Siegman 说：「SpaceX 的时程表总是会延后，这已经是众所皆知的常识了。」

然而，花旗 (Citi) 的 John Godyn 在报告中指出，如果 SpaceX 能够成功，「星舰」将使其能够「涉足其他公司实际上无法触及的兆美元等级市场」。他给 SpaceX 买进评等，目标价为 200 美元，他称这是迈向长期 900 美元目标过程中的一个里程碑。
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尽管如此，市场上仍有对 SpaceX 持怀疑态度的分析师。根据 FactSet 的数据，至少有四家机构对该股给予「持有」评等，另有几家给予相当于「卖出」的评等。

MoffettNathanson 的分析师周二展开追踪，给予「中立」评等及 131 美元的目标价，略低于 SpaceX 的 IPO 价格，理由是该公司的复杂性。他们指出，尽管「有很多地方可以吐槽」，但考量到 SpaceX 的过往实绩以及其计划可能带来的回报，很难忽视 SpaceX。

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"目标价上看800美元！华尔街唱旺SpaceX「如同当年的铁路", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "随着 SpaceX(SPCX-US)首次公开发行 (IPO) 后的缄默期结束，多家券商刚获得解禁，得以发布对 SpaceX 的研究报告，而他们大多抱持极其乐观的看法。德意志银行 (Deutsche Bank) 的 Edison Yu 在周二 (7 日 ) 的客户报告中写道：「在我们看来，SpaceX 代表人类文明雄心的巅峰，这种雄心时常透过钢铁与烈火来展现，扭转历史的弧线以使人类成为跨行星物种。」他对 SpaceX 的投资建议评等为「买进」，目标价为每股 255 美元。而由 Doug Anm", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6526280/l/bdd6dc80d8fecb17d5b33c9477cf0516.jpg", "content": "随着 SpaceX(SPCX-US)首次公开发行 (IPO) 后的缄默期结束，多家券商刚获得解禁，得以发布对 SpaceX 的研究报告，而他们大多抱持极其乐观的看法。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6526280/l/bdd6dc80d8fecb17d5b33c9477cf0516.jpg\" alt=\"目标价上看800美元！华尔街唱旺SpaceX「如同当年的铁路与网路」 \" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n德意志银行 (Deutsche Bank) 的 Edison Yu 在周二 (7 日 ) 的客户报告中写道：「在我们看来，SpaceX 代表人类文明雄心的巅峰，这种雄心时常透过钢铁与烈火来展现，扭转历史的弧线以使人类成为跨行星物种。」他对 SpaceX 的投资建议评等为「买进」，目标价为每股 255 美元。\n\n而由 Doug Anmuth 领导的摩根大通 (J.P. Morgan) 分析师团队指出，SpaceX「对人类的潜在影响」超越以往在任何公司身上所见到的规模。该行给 SpaceX「加码」评等，目标价为每股 225 美元。\n\nRaymond James 的 Brian Gesuale 则给了每股 800 美元的目标价，是是华尔街目前的最高价，以 SpaceX 周二收盘的每股 149.47 美元来看，这代表 SpaceX 将可涨至现行水准逾五倍高。\n\nGesuale 写道：「正如铁路、电网和网际网路重塑了先前的经济时代一样，我们相信 SpaceX 正在为下一代工业产能建立基础平台。」\n\n根据法规，银行在参与首次公开募股 (IPO) 后，必须等待一段时间才能发布投资建议，而 SpaceX 的历史性 IPO 共吸引将近 20 家金融机构参与，因此许多分析师必须等待一段时间才能发布投资建议。\n\n根据 FactSet 汇整的预估数据，SpaceX 的平均目标价为每股 220 美元。\n\nSpaceX 周二收盘重挫 6.8% 至每股 149.47 美元。当天也是该公司纳入那斯达克 100 指数交易的首日，此举将迫使追踪该指数的被动基金将 SpaceX 纳入投资组合中。\n\n整体而言，华尔街给 SpaceX 的目标价范围很广，并非所有人都认为其有极端的上涨潜力。例如，Stifel 对该股的目标价为 190 美元，评等为买进。\n\n也有人采取不同的做法，马斯克的长期支持者、摩根士丹利 (Morgan Stanley) 的 Adam Jonas 以 300 美元的目标价展开对 SpaceX 的研究追踪。他同时提出多空两种情境，在下行情境中，SpaceX 股价可能跌至 75 美元，而在上行情境里，则可望飙升至 600 美元。\n\nJonas 表示，这样的预估平衡了 SpaceX 的「独特能力」与其面临的风险。\n\nSpaceX 抱有宏大梦想，包括殖民火星、营运轨道资料中心，还有在月球上设置质量弹射器 (mass driver)，以便更轻松将卫星送入轨道。然而，要落实这些蓝图仍有赖于未经证实的技术，摩根大通的 Anmuth 因而指出，成功可能需要大量的资本支出，以及突破供应限制的能力。\n\n几位分析师预估，SpaceX 至少要到 2031 年才能实现自由现金流转正。伯恩斯坦 (Bernstein) 则预测，该公司 2030 年的资本支出将达到 2450 亿美元。\n\n此外，SpaceX 的计划高度依赖「星舰」(Starship) 巨型火箭的改良，而该火箭目前仍处于测试阶段，下一次发射预定本月稍晚进行，这将是新版本的第二次测试。\n\n分析师表示，「星舰」的任何延误或挫折，都可能阻碍 SpaceX 各项业务的预期成长。Stifel 的 Jonathan Siegman 说：「SpaceX 的时程表总是会延后，这已经是众所皆知的常识了。」\n\n然而，花旗 (Citi) 的 John Godyn 在报告中指出，如果 SpaceX 能够成功，「星舰」将使其能够「涉足其他公司实际上无法触及的兆美元等级市场」。他给 SpaceX 买进评等，目标价为 200 美元，他称这是迈向长期 900 美元目标过程中的一个里程碑。 \n9 \n尽管如此，市场上仍有对 SpaceX 持怀疑态度的分析师。根据 FactSet 的数据，至少有四家机构对该股给予「持有」评等，另有几家给予相当于「卖出」的评等。\n\nMoffettNathanson 的分析师周二展开追踪，给予「中立」评等及 131 美元的目标价，略低于 SpaceX 的 IPO 价格，理由是该公司的复杂性。他们指出，尽管「有很多地方可以吐槽」，但考量到 SpaceX 的过往实绩以及其计划可能带来的回报，很难忽视 SpaceX。\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-6598.html\" title=\"美企AI采购「弃美投中」？低价开源模型搅动矽谷供应链\">美企AI采购「弃美投中」？低价开源模型搅动矽谷供应链</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-7155.html\" title=\"AI新股蜜月行情告终！SpaceX、SK海力士重挫美国新股表现跑输标普500 \">AI新股蜜月行情告终！SpaceX、SK海力士重挫美国新股表现跑输标普500 </a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-16110.html\" title=\"英特尔陈立武警告：记忆体短缺将恶化电力与散热是下一战场\">英特尔陈立武警告：记忆体短缺将恶化电力与散热是下一战场</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5140.html\" title=\"PCB成关键瓶颈？传辉达Kyber机架遇挑战恐延到2028年\">PCB成关键瓶颈？传辉达Kyber机架遇挑战恐延到2028年</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13140.html\" title=\"AI泡沫论被打脸？辉达、Salesforce财报炸裂克雷默：空头惨遭歼灭\">AI泡沫论被打脸？辉达、Salesforce财报炸裂克雷默：空头惨遭歼灭</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-16390.html\" title=\"殖利率压不下来美债这锅「毒汤」里到底煮了什么？\">殖利率压不下来美债这锅「毒汤」里到底煮了什么？</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", "status": 0, "pv": 59, "link": "https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/6526280", "createdAt": "2026-07-08T03:28:29.000Z", "updatedAt": "2026-09-18T06:28:21.000Z" }, "position": [ { "id": 15, "pid": 0, "name": "热点新闻", "pinyin": "new", "path": "/new", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "children": [ { "id": 25, "pid": 15, "name": "美股", "pinyin": "mg", "path": "/new/mg", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 26, "pid": 15, "name": "港股", "pinyin": "hk", "path": "/new/hk", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 27, "pid": 15, "name": "台股", "pinyin": "tw", "path": "/new/tw", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 28, "pid": 15, "name": "科技", "pinyin": "AI", "path": "/new/AI", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "level": 1 }, { "id": 25, "pid": 15, "name": "美股", "pinyin": "mg", "path": "/new/mg", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "_locals": {}, "cache": false }

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