〈纽约汇市〉美元创一个月最大单周涨幅中东紧张局势与关税支撑

美元周五 (24 日) 小幅上涨，本周创一个多月来最佳单周表现，主要受到中东冲突扩大带动避险需求，以及市场预期联准会 (Fed) 可能升息以对抗油价推升的通膨压力所支撑。

纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数 (DXY) 上涨至 101.49，本周累计上涨 0.7%，为 6 月 19 日以来最佳单周表现。

美元本周走强，主要受到油价飙升引发的通膨疑虑，以及华府加征新关税后贸易紧张局势再起所支撑。

布兰特原油期货周四自 5 月以来首次突破每桶 100 美元，两周内涨幅可望超过 25%。

油价上涨之前，获伊朗支持的叶门武装组织青年运动 (Houthi) 表示，已对红海上的沙乌地阿拉伯油轮发动攻击。

除了荷姆兹海峡 (Strait of Hormuz) 外，青年运动也对通过曼德海峡 (Bab el-Mandeb Strait) 的船只构成威胁。随着这两条重要航道都面临风险，市场对石油供应中断的担忧加剧。

美国与伊朗之间的战斗几乎没有停止迹象。美国中央司令部周四表示，已完成连续第 13 晚对伊朗发动攻击。德黑兰则以攻击美军基地作为回应，目标主要位于巴林、科威特及约旦。

调停努力似乎也面临挫折。《纽约时报》引述伊朗及伊拉克官员报导，伊朗已拒绝一项由美国支持、并由伊拉克总理 Ali al-Zaidi 转交的停火提案。

此外，贸易紧张局势也进一步加剧通膨担忧。美国总统川普这周对美国 60 个主要贸易伙伴的进口商品加征新的两位数关税。

市场焦点转向联准会

本周通膨疑虑升温，最明显反映在美国公债殖利率飙升，因交易员大量抛售公债。

10 年期美债殖利率本周上升 14 个基点，而对利率更敏感的 2 年期美债殖利率上升超过 16 个基点。

市场对联准会升息的预期也有所升高。根据 CME FedWatch 工具，市场目前预估联准会在下周货币政策会议上维持利率不变的机率约为 62%，低于一周前的约 87%。

另一方面，升息 1 码的机率则从一周前约 13%，上升至接近 38%。

日元徘徊 40 年低点 英镑本周疲弱

其他主要货币方面，日元兑美元最新变动不大，报 163.84，本周为 5 月中旬以来最差单周表现。

美元兑日元本周上涨约 0.9%。

日本财务大臣片山皋月 (Satsuki Katayama) 周五重申，当局仍准备在外汇市场采取行动，但相关言论几乎未能提振日元，凸显投资人对单靠口头干预能否奏效抱持怀疑。

欧洲方面，英镑本周累计下跌 1%，为 6 月中旬以来表现最差。

英国 10 年来第 7 位新任首相再度确认将遵循前任首相的财政规则，引发市场对财政状况的担忧。

欧元兑美元本周下跌 0.6%。此前一天，欧洲央行 (ECB) 如市场普遍预期维持利率不变，但暗示 9 月升息几乎已成定局。

除了联准会外，日本央行 (BoJ) 及英国央行 (BoE) 也将在下周公布利率决策，届时将有多家主要央行陆续召开政策会议。

截至台湾时间周六 (25 日) 约 6:10 价格:

美元指数报 101.4647。+0.0175%
欧元兑美元 (EUR/USD) 汇率报 1 欧元兑 1.1370 美元。-0.0615%
英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD) 汇率报 1 英镑兑 1.3323 美元。+0.0676%
澳币兑美元 (AUD/USD) 汇率报 1 澳币兑 0.6983 美元。+0.2153%
美元兑加币 (USD/CAD) 汇率报 1 美元兑 1.4093 加币。+0.0639%
美元兑日元 (USD/JPY) 汇率报 1 美元兑 163.8500 日元。-0.0061%

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"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6545271/l/343a204119d273e83b3e5c859ea1c760.jpg", "content": "美元周五 (24 日) 小幅上涨，本周创一个多月来最佳单周表现，主要受到中东冲突扩大带动避险需求，以及市场预期联准会 (Fed) 可能升息以对抗油价推升的通膨压力所支撑。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6545271/l/343a204119d273e83b3e5c859ea1c760.jpg\" alt=\"〈纽约汇市〉美元创一个月最大单周涨幅中东紧张局势与关税支撑\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数 (DXY) 上涨至 101.49，本周累计上涨 0.7%，为 6 月 19 日以来最佳单周表现。\n\n美元本周走强，主要受到油价飙升引发的通膨疑虑，以及华府加征新关税后贸易紧张局势再起所支撑。\n\n布兰特原油期货周四自 5 月以来首次突破每桶 100 美元，两周内涨幅可望超过 25%。\n\n油价上涨之前，获伊朗支持的叶门武装组织青年运动 (Houthi) 表示，已对红海上的沙乌地阿拉伯油轮发动攻击。\n\n除了荷姆兹海峡 (Strait of Hormuz) 外，青年运动也对通过曼德海峡 (Bab el-Mandeb Strait) 的船只构成威胁。随着这两条重要航道都面临风险，市场对石油供应中断的担忧加剧。\n\n美国与伊朗之间的战斗几乎没有停止迹象。美国中央司令部周四表示，已完成连续第 13 晚对伊朗发动攻击。德黑兰则以攻击美军基地作为回应，目标主要位于巴林、科威特及约旦。\n\n调停努力似乎也面临挫折。《纽约时报》引述伊朗及伊拉克官员报导，伊朗已拒绝一项由美国支持、并由伊拉克总理 Ali al-Zaidi 转交的停火提案。\n\n此外，贸易紧张局势也进一步加剧通膨担忧。美国总统川普这周对美国 60 个主要贸易伙伴的进口商品加征新的两位数关税。\n\n市场焦点转向联准会\n\n本周通膨疑虑升温，最明显反映在美国公债殖利率飙升，因交易员大量抛售公债。\n\n10 年期美债殖利率本周上升 14 个基点，而对利率更敏感的 2 年期美债殖利率上升超过 16 个基点。\n\n市场对联准会升息的预期也有所升高。根据 CME FedWatch 工具，市场目前预估联准会在下周货币政策会议上维持利率不变的机率约为 62%，低于一周前的约 87%。\n\n另一方面，升息 1 码的机率则从一周前约 13%，上升至接近 38%。\n\n日元徘徊 40 年低点 英镑本周疲弱\n\n其他主要货币方面，日元兑美元最新变动不大，报 163.84，本周为 5 月中旬以来最差单周表现。\n\n美元兑日元本周上涨约 0.9%。\n\n日本财务大臣片山皋月 (Satsuki Katayama) 周五重申，当局仍准备在外汇市场采取行动，但相关言论几乎未能提振日元，凸显投资人对单靠口头干预能否奏效抱持怀疑。\n\n欧洲方面，英镑本周累计下跌 1%，为 6 月中旬以来表现最差。\n\n英国 10 年来第 7 位新任首相再度确认将遵循前任首相的财政规则，引发市场对财政状况的担忧。\n\n欧元兑美元本周下跌 0.6%。此前一天，欧洲央行 (ECB) 如市场普遍预期维持利率不变，但暗示 9 月升息几乎已成定局。\n\n除了联准会外，日本央行 (BoJ) 及英国央行 (BoE) 也将在下周公布利率决策，届时将有多家主要央行陆续召开政策会议。\n\n截至台湾时间周六 (25 日) 约 6:10 价格:\n\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/index/GI/DXY\">美元指数</a>报 101.4647。+0.0175% </li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑美元 (EUR/USD) 汇率报 1 <a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑 1.1370 美元。-0.0615% </li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑美元 (GBP/USD) 汇率报 1 <a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑 1.3323 美元。+0.0676% </li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑美元 (AUD/USD) 汇率报 1 <a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑 0.6983 美元。+0.2153%</li>\n<li> 美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a> (USD/CAD) 汇率报 1 美元兑 1.4093 <a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a>。+0.0639%</li>\n<li> 美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a> (USD/JPY) 汇率报 1 美元兑 163.8500 <a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a>。-0.0061%</li>\n</ul>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-21418.html\" title=\"手握特斯拉股票就能抱SpaceX？投资大咖断言必合并\">手握特斯拉股票就能抱SpaceX？投资大咖断言必合并</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-3831.html\" 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