天天财经

【华邦电法说会 AI 摘要】2026/8/6

2026-08-20 22:59:27 钜亨网 阅读(5)

一、 2026 年第二季财务与营运详情
财务表现(创单季历史新高)
  • 合并营收:新台币 598.43 亿元,季增 56.4%。

  • 营业毛利与毛利率:毛利 396.45 亿元;毛利率上升至 66.2%

    • 记忆体本体:第二季营收 517 亿元,毛利率高达 70.3%,营业利益率(OP Margin)达 56.9%,产能利用率达 100%

    • 逻辑(新唐科技):毛利率维持在 38%~39% 的稳定水准。

  • 营业利益与利益率:营业利益 289.79 亿元,营业利益率达 48.4%,创下单季历史新高。

  • 税后净利与 EPS:税后净利 243.17 亿元(净利率 40.4%),单季 EPS 为 5.40 元

    • 上半年累计表现:2026 上半年 累计 EPS 达 7.65 元(首季 2.25 元)。

  • 财务结构与现金流

    • 每股净值提升至 36.67 元

    • 净负债比下降至 0.69,流动比率升至 1.6。

    • 自由现金流为 181.34 亿元,期末现金及约当现金达 618.26 亿元。

    • 全年资本支出:预估为 395 亿元(上半年已执行约 75 亿元),主要投向晶圆厂生产设备。

产品线营运与市场状况

1. 客制化记忆体事业群(CMS / DRAM)

  • 第二季表现:营收季增 78%。位元出货量季减约 10%(因满足核心客户后策略性保留库存),但平均销售单价季增超过 100%

  • 产能与制程(高雄厂)

    • 高雄厂目前月产能 15K(1.5 万片),预计 2026 年底扩增至 24K。

    • 加速由 25nm 转向 16nm 制程,目前 16nm 良率已接近 80%,目标年底冲刺至 90%。预估 2027 年高雄厂位元产出将实现 Double(翻倍)成长

  • 扩产重大决策(高雄厂 Module B 启动)

    • 高雄厂 Module A 达到 24K 后已无空间,公司正式启动 Module B 建厂计划

    • 时程与规模:预计 2027 年 1 月动工,2029 年 1 月装机、年中 Pilot Run、第四季正式量产。Cleanroom 面积为 Module A 的两倍,装满最终可容纳 50K~60K 月产能。

    • 制程导入:规划导入 16nm、14nm 及 12nm 制程,并将于第二阶段导入 EUV 设备

2. 快闪记忆体 IC 事业群(Flash / Core Storage)
  • 第二季表现:营收季增 65%,位元出货量增长 15%~16%(主要由单片 Wafer 位元数较大的 NAND 带动)。

  • NOR Flash:维持全球第一的市占地位,占 Flash 事业营收近 60%。受惠于 AI Server(如 AI Rack 需求单台 500~600 颗 NOR)与 Edge AI 需求,大容量(512Mb、1Gb、2Gb)NOR Flash 需求极度强劲。

  • SLC NAND:推进至 24nm 制程,并持续开发 19nm 制程。因竞业淡出且市场转向,目标于明后年跃升为 全球最大的 SLC NAND 供应商

  • MCP 新产品:结合自家 SLC NAND 与 LPDDR4,锁定小型化、高效能的 4G/5G 车载通讯模组、FWA 及工业 M2M 市场。

3. 创新技术:矽电容与 Cube DRAM
  • 矽电容

    • 为因应 AI 高速运算与小体积封装(如 CoWoS、CoPoS、EMIB 及 Blackwell 800V 降压至微电压)带来的 Power Drop 及杂讯防护需求,公司开发出全球规格最高的矽电容(量产规格达 3,300 nano-farad/mm²,送样规格达 5,400 nano-farad/mm²)。

    • 采用 Stacking 制程,目前已单独设立晶圆服务产能,投资约 40 亿元之产能已全数卖光,迅速朝全球第一大迈进。

  • Cube DRAM:持续推进客制化与 3D 堆叠架构,预计 2027 年起连同 Wafer-on-Wafer 与 Silicon Cap 成为 long-term 成长核心动能。

二、 法说会问答完整清单 (Q&A)
Q1:DRAM 今明两年位元出货量与位元生产量目标为何? (JP Morgan - Jimmy)
  • 陈沛铭总经理回答:今年高雄厂 15K 满产运作,先前策略性累积了部分库存,目前每月出货量约当 20K 片,年底前库存不会全部售罄。明年(2027 年)高雄厂月产能提升至 24K。为配合 NAND 强劲需求,台中厂的 DRAM 产能将由目前约当 12K 调降至 7K,资源优先转给 NAND。

Q2:明年 Enterprise SSD(ESSD)DRAM Cache 的市场需求与华邦出货比重? (JP Morgan - Jimmy)
  • 陈沛铭总经理回答:华邦的 DRAM 供应给 ESSD 目前已在送样,预计 2027 年在有 LTA(长期供货合约)支持下,ESSD DRAM 占整体 DRAM 营收的比重将从今年的 0% 提升至约 10%

Q3:Silicon Cap(矽电容)目前的客户进展与市场规划? (JP Morgan - Jimmy)
  • 陈沛铭总经理回答:华邦是以晶圆代工模式提供 Silicon Cap 服务,无法公开客户名称。因 MLCC 具物理厚度限制无法塞入极薄的先进封装中,且矽电容在耐温与精准度上更优异,传统 MLCC 前几大巨头均会进场,且多已成为华邦客户。

Q4:客户如何决定 Silicon Cap 的设计规模?工程与制程优势为何? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)
  • 陈沛铭总经理回答:客户依系统需要的总电容值与耐压决定串联 / 并联的 Cell 数量。华邦采用 Stacking(堆叠)制程,相比逻辑厂采用的 Trench(深沟槽)制程更容易在小面积内做出超高电容密度,极具空间与成本优势。

Q5:高雄厂 Module B 的资本支出(Capex)与装机规划? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)
  • 陈沛铭总经理:Module B 规模庞大,投资金额将相当可观,公司会采分阶段(如 1 万、2 万、3 万片)按客户需求与 LTA 逐步装机。高雄厂目前的 15K 中仅 2K 为 16nm,未来将逐步转换,目标将 16nm 产能提升至 16K。Silicon Cap 则设有独立产能(先前投入约 40 亿元已爆满),不占用上述 DRAM 产能。

Q6:第三季 DRAM 与 Flash 的价格调整趋势? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)
  • 陈沛铭总经理回答

    • DRAM:价格持续向上,预期第三季价格趋势将延续前一季(1Q 到 2Q)的强劲涨势。

    • NOR Flash:华邦身为市场龙头,价格策略较为审慎保守,不带头暴涨以维系市场生态;但同业因转向 NAND/eMMC 涨幅较大,华邦亦会适度微幅随市场向上调整。

Q7:为何中国同业在 NOR Flash 的涨价行为相对不激进? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)
  • 陈沛铭总经理回答:华邦布局全球市场(全球每 4 台 PC 约有 3 台使用华邦 BIOS NOR),兼具产业社会责任。中国二线同业主要面对中国本土的中低阶市场,国内同业竞争削价剧烈,呈现混合状态,因此整体涨价幅度看似较小。

Q8:华邦现货与合约市场的比重? (现场投资人)
  • 陈沛铭总经理回答:华邦 完全不参与现货市场交易。报价皆以季合约(Quarterly base)为主,若客户要求,则提供长期合约(LTA)或年报价。

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      "id": 37,
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    "content": "<h6><span style=\"font-size:1.2em\">一、 2026 年第二季财务与营运详情</span></h6>\n\n<h6>财务表现(创单季历史新高)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>合并营收</strong>:新台币 598.43 亿元,季增 56.4%。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>营业毛利与毛利率</strong>:毛利 396.45 亿元;<strong>毛利率上升至 66.2%</strong>。</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>记忆体本体</strong>:第二季营收 517 亿元,毛利率高达 <strong>70.3%</strong>,营业利益率(OP Margin)达 56.9%,产能利用率达 <strong>100%</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>逻辑(新唐科技)</strong>:毛利率维持在 38%~39% 的稳定水准。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>营业利益与利益率</strong>:营业利益 289.79 亿元,<strong>营业利益率达 48.4%</strong>,创下单季历史新高。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>税后净利与 EPS</strong>:税后净利 243.17 亿元(净利率 40.4%),<strong>单季 EPS 为 5.40 元</strong>。</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>上半年累计表现</strong>:2026 上半年 <strong>累计 EPS 达 7.65 元</strong>(首季 2.25 元)。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>财务结构与现金流</strong>:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>每股净值提升至 <strong>36.67 元</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>净负债比下降至 0.69,流动比率升至 1.6。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>自由现金流为 181.34 亿元,期末现金及约当现金达 618.26 亿元。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>全年资本支出</strong>:预估为 395 亿元(上半年已执行约 75 亿元),主要投向晶圆厂生产设备。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>产品线营运与市场状况</h6>\n\n<p><strong>1. 客制化记忆体事业群(CMS / DRAM)</strong></p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>第二季表现</strong>:营收季增 78%。位元出货量季减约 10%(因满足核心客户后策略性保留库存),但平均销售单价<strong>季增超过 100%</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>产能与制程(高雄厂)</strong>:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>高雄厂目前月产能 15K(1.5 万片),预计 2026 年底扩增至 24K。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>加速由 25nm 转向 <strong>16nm</strong> 制程,目前 16nm 良率已接近 80%,目标年底冲刺至 90%。预估 2027 年高雄厂位元产出将实现 <strong>Double(翻倍)成长</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>扩产重大决策(高雄厂 Module B 启动)</strong>:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>高雄厂 Module A 达到 24K 后已无空间,公司正式启动 <strong>Module B 建厂计划</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>时程与规模</strong>:预计 2027 年 1 月动工,2029 年 1 月装机、年中 Pilot Run、第四季正式量产。Cleanroom 面积为 Module A 的两倍,装满最终可容纳 <strong>50K~60K</strong> 月产能。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>制程导入</strong>:规划导入 16nm、14nm 及 12nm 制程,并将于第二阶段导入 <strong>EUV 设备</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>2. 快闪记忆体 IC 事业群(Flash / Core Storage)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>第二季表现</strong>:营收季增 65%,位元出货量增长 15%~16%(主要由单片 Wafer 位元数较大的 NAND 带动)。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>NOR Flash</strong>:维持全球第一的市占地位,占 Flash 事业营收近 60%。受惠于 AI Server(如 AI Rack 需求单台 500~600 颗 NOR)与 Edge AI 需求,大容量(512Mb、1Gb、2Gb)NOR Flash 需求极度强劲。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>SLC NAND</strong>:推进至 24nm 制程,并持续开发 19nm 制程。因竞业淡出且市场转向,目标于明后年跃升为 <strong>全球最大的 SLC NAND 供应商</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>MCP 新产品</strong>:结合自家 SLC NAND 与 LPDDR4,锁定小型化、高效能的 4G/5G 车载通讯模组、FWA 及工业 M2M 市场。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>3. 创新技术:矽电容与 Cube DRAM</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>矽电容</strong>:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>为因应 AI 高速运算与小体积封装(如 CoWoS、CoPoS、EMIB 及 Blackwell 800V 降压至微电压)带来的 Power Drop 及杂讯防护需求,公司开发出全球规格最高的矽电容(量产规格达 3,300 nano-farad/mm&sup2;,送样规格达 5,400 nano-farad/mm&sup2;)。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>采用 Stacking 制程,目前已单独设立晶圆服务产能,投资约 40 亿元之产能已全数卖光,迅速朝全球第一大迈进。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Cube DRAM</strong>:持续推进客制化与 3D 堆叠架构,预计 2027 年起连同 Wafer-on-Wafer 与 Silicon Cap 成为 long-term 成长核心动能。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6><span style=\"font-size:1.2em\">二、 法说会问答完整清单 (Q&A)</span></h6>\n\n<h6>Q1:DRAM 今明两年位元出货量与位元生产量目标为何? (JP Morgan - Jimmy)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理回答</strong>:今年高雄厂 15K 满产运作,先前策略性累积了部分库存,目前每月出货量约当 20K 片,年底前库存不会全部售罄。明年(2027 年)高雄厂月产能提升至 24K。为配合 NAND 强劲需求,台中厂的 DRAM 产能将由目前约当 12K 调降至 7K,资源优先转给 NAND。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>Q2:明年 Enterprise SSD(ESSD)DRAM Cache 的市场需求与华邦出货比重? (JP Morgan - Jimmy)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理回答</strong>:华邦的 DRAM 供应给 ESSD 目前已在送样,预计 2027 年在有 LTA(长期供货合约)支持下,ESSD DRAM 占整体 DRAM 营收的比重将从今年的 0% 提升至约 <strong>10%</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>Q3:Silicon Cap(矽电容)目前的客户进展与市场规划? (JP Morgan - Jimmy)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理回答</strong>:华邦是以晶圆代工模式提供 Silicon Cap 服务,无法公开客户名称。因 MLCC 具物理厚度限制无法塞入极薄的先进封装中,且矽电容在耐温与精准度上更优异,传统 MLCC 前几大巨头均会进场,且多已成为华邦客户。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>Q4:客户如何决定 Silicon Cap 的设计规模?工程与制程优势为何? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理回答</strong>:客户依系统需要的总电容值与耐压决定串联 / 并联的 Cell 数量。华邦采用 <strong>Stacking(堆叠)制程</strong>,相比逻辑厂采用的 Trench(深沟槽)制程更容易在小面积内做出超高电容密度,极具空间与成本优势。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>Q5:高雄厂 Module B 的资本支出(Capex)与装机规划? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理</strong>:Module B 规模庞大,投资金额将相当可观,公司会采分阶段(如 1 万、2 万、3 万片)按客户需求与 LTA 逐步装机。高雄厂目前的 15K 中仅 2K 为 16nm,未来将逐步转换,目标将 16nm 产能提升至 16K。Silicon Cap 则设有独立产能(先前投入约 40 亿元已爆满),不占用上述 DRAM 产能。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>Q6:第三季 DRAM 与 Flash 的价格调整趋势? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理回答</strong>:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>DRAM</strong>:价格持续向上,预期第三季价格趋势将延续前一季(1Q 到 2Q)的强劲涨势。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>NOR Flash</strong>:华邦身为市场龙头,价格策略较为审慎保守,不带头暴涨以维系市场生态;但同业因转向 NAND/eMMC 涨幅较大,华邦亦会适度微幅随市场向上调整。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>Q7:为何中国同业在 NOR Flash 的涨价行为相对不激进? (Morgan Stanley - Daniel)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理回答</strong>:华邦布局全球市场(全球每 4 台 PC 约有 3 台使用华邦 BIOS NOR),兼具产业社会责任。中国二线同业主要面对中国本土的中低阶市场,国内同业竞争削价剧烈,呈现混合状态,因此整体涨价幅度看似较小。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>Q8:华邦现货与合约市场的比重? (现场投资人)</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>陈沛铭总经理回答</strong>:华邦 <strong>完全不参与现货市场交易</strong>。报价皆以季合约(Quarterly base)为主,若客户要求,则提供长期合约(LTA)或年报价。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9647.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:纬创(3231-TW)EPS预估上修至15.85元,预估目标价为243元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:纬创(3231-TW)EPS预估上修至15.85元,预估目标价为243元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-1821.html\" title=\"〈消费趋势〉台股创高内需转强 新光三越乐看百货年中庆成长\">〈消费趋势〉台股创高内需转强 新光三越乐看百货年中庆成长</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11150.html\" title=\"集邦:2028年全球卫星火箭发射商机达404亿美元 这4家台厂可望受惠\">集邦:2028年全球卫星火箭发射商机达404亿美元 这4家台厂可望受惠</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-12325.html\" title=\"〈房产〉全台前10低空屋率区域都在双北 并以南港、泰山价量最具韧性\">〈房产〉全台前10低空屋率区域都在双北 并以南港、泰山价量最具韧性</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7661.html\" title=\"晟德加码5.5亿元投资引正基因 联手顺药聚焦中枢神经领域\">晟德加码5.5亿元投资引正基因 联手顺药聚焦中枢神经领域</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-6353.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 德胜(8048)6月营收1.26亿元年增率高达130.48%\">营收速报  - 德胜(8048)6月营收1.26亿元年增率高达130.48%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-08-06T11:06:59.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-08-20T14:59:27.000Z"
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