天天财经

【中磊法说会AI摘要】2026/8/11

2026-08-21 11:06:43 钜亨网 阅读(13)

一、中磊 (5388-TW) 2026 年第二季及上半年财务与营运详情
  • 第二季营收与获利

    • 第二季营收呈现显著年成长(YoY),Top-line 成长将近 70%。主要由 WiFi 7 升级、5G FWA、光纤接入与同轴缆线(DOCSIS)等宽频基础建设驱动。

    • 毛利率:受记忆体(Memory,包含 DDR 与 eMMC)大幅飙涨冲击,第二季毛利率下降至 6.9%

    • 营业利益率(OP Margin):得益于营收扩大带动 Overhead 费用率由约 12.5%~13.5% 降至 9%,费用摊提效应展现,营业利益(OP)同比增加约 1.7 亿元,OP Margin 守在 3.3%

    • 每股盈余(EPS):第二季单季 EPS 为 1.58 元,Q1 加上 Q2 单季营收季增将近 24%,第二季税后净利为 11.7 亿元

  • 上半年累积表现(H1)

    • 上半年营收年增 58%,营业利益(OP)同步年成长约 70%。受利息支出增加影响(主要为因应记忆体价格飙涨及库存备料增加之短期融资),上半年归属母公司净利为 1.83 亿元

  • 资产负债与存货分析

    • 存货结构:期末存货自 198 亿元增加至 287 亿元(增加约 90 亿元)。287 亿元中包含:

      • 80 亿元 为已抵达客户端的产品。

      • 剩余 200 亿元中,有将近 80 亿元(约三成) 为记忆体(Memory)库存,主因公司采取提早锁定 Memory 策略以因应持续涨价风险。

    • 营运现金流因备料与预付现货采购,单季 Operating Cash Flow 为 -34 亿元。公司维持长期 Conservative(保守)的净现金财务架构,具备足够韧性抵抗供应链逆风。

产品线表现(三大领域)
  1. Broadband / Home(占比约 60%):包含光纤接入、同轴缆线(Triple-DOCSIS)、5G FWA 及家用 WiFi 7 分发。整体市场实质出货量成长 30%~40%,即使扣除 Memory 价格反应的营收虚胖,实质出货仍呈高双位数成长。

  2. Enterprise(占比约 19%):主因企业级 WiFi 7 解决方案加速铺路与全面导入带动。

  3. Infrastructure / AIoT / 影像分析(占比约 21%):安防监控传统 Video 转型为 Video Analytics(影像分析),将 AI 算力下沉至边缘终端;智慧电网与缆线讯号 Noise(杂讯)即时自修正等 Edge AI 应用成长显著。

二、 法说会问答完整清单 (Q&A)
Q1:记忆体、PCB 等零组件下半年及 2027 年供应状况为何? (群益投顾)

王炜董事长回答:记忆体价格从五个季度前(2025Q1)的低点至今飙涨数倍,(从小于 $0.3/GB 到大于 $3/GB),且部分 Box 的 BOM 成本中记忆体占比已从 小于 10% 暴增至将近 50%。

供应链紧缺状况短期不会立即缓解,预期 2027 年全年供应依然维持紧张,极度考量每一家公司的供应链管理与财务资产负债表(Balance Sheet)韧性。

中磊与三星等三大厂及台湾记忆体两大主要供应商具备长期忠诚合作关系,能确保取得所需 Memory 产能。

Q2:零组件涨价与产品转嫁价格(Pass-through)交会后,对下半年及 2027 年的营运呈现何种结果? (群益投顾)
王炜董事长:

运营商客户因每户平均收入(ARPU,每户每月约 $30~$40 美金)远高于设备一次性成本,为避免流失 Subscriber(重新吸客成本达 $200~$300 美金),对 Memory 涨价转嫁的价格弹性相对较低(吸纳意愿较高)。

转嫁谈判虽痛苦但已持续推进。部分涨价转嫁会扩大分务金额(分母变大),导致毛利率被稀释(摊薄),但绝对营业利益(OP Dollar)可被守住。公司以保住营业利益率 3.3% 为目标,采取「攻击性防御」策略。

Q3:随着 Agentic AI 导入企业,中磊在 Enterprise 领域除了 WiFi 外是否有线或相关新业务布局? (群益投顾)
王炜董事长:

中磊核心强项在于宽带接取与传输(从家庭走到街边)。Data Center 内部竞争(如 800G 交换器)不符合中磊既有客户基础,但 Data Center 的电力限制(全美大型资料中心需 40~50 GW 电力,缺电严重)与建置成本,必将促使算力外溢(Mitigation)至中端与边缘。

中磊一年出货数千万个 Box,分散在家庭与街边。公司策略是保住客户信任,深耕边缘计算(Edge Computing),等待大型云端资料中心投资趋缓或缺电时的外溢红利。

Q4:接取产品(CPE)与 DAA 基础设施的次世代 AI 与算力布局细节为何? (明总经理补充)
明总经理:

CPE 接取设备:下一代主晶片(SoC)均已加入 NPU(约 2 TOPS 算力)。公司正在导入 Agentic AI,将家庭宽频 CPE 转型为「家庭助理」;同时开发自主性 AI 网管平台(Quality of Experience),实时自我检测与修复网路,大幅降低运营商的维修与派员(Technician)成本。

DAA 基础设施(Infrastructure):新产品预计于 2027 年年初逐步推推出。由于 DAA 设备部署于街边,内部嵌入更高算力与 Edge AI 算法,能自动检测数百万个街边节点中损坏的设备或腐蚀断裂的 Cable,并精准上报网管派员更换,节省数小时至数天的巡检时间。

Q5:同轴缆线(DOCSIS)与 5G FWA 升级带来的庞大市场商机与技术门槛为何? (王炜董事长补充)
王炜董事长:

同轴缆线升级商机:全美约有 6,000 万至 8,000 万 Single-Family Household 需从同轴技术提升。重新挖沟铺设光纤每户成本高达 $2,000 美金(总计需 $1,000 亿美金),而透过 DAA 与边缘算力升级既有铜缆 / 同轴网路仅需 $200~$300 亿美金,且可再延长 10~20 年寿命,蕴含数百亿美元寡占商机。

边缘算力消除杂讯(Noise):铜缆传输会随距离衰减并放大杂讯。中磊在每一个街边节点加入大量 AI 算力与演算法,实时清理讯号(Signal-to-Noise Ratio 优化)并动态转移 Frequency Domain,用算力替代实体光纤铺设。

5G 毫米波(Millimeter Wave)与 FWA:5G Sub-6GHz 频谱已被 FWA 设备填满(Saturated),未来必须依靠毫米波 Beam-forming 与聪明的算力对焦来承载更多流量。中磊蹲点毫米波技术多年,从未放弃。

Q6:中磊如何看待 AI 卖 Token(软体变现)与硬体升级的关系? (王炜董事长补充)
王炜董事长:

现阶段边缘 AI 的应用不是直接向消费者卖 Token 赚钱,而是用边缘计算让既有网路更聪明、承载更高频宽、并降低维护成本。

频宽提升能增加运营商的 ARPU,运营商即愿意为中磊的高阶 Box 支付更高的价格,进而吸纳记忆体涨价成本。若未来边缘 Box 具备分散式运算能力并能卖 Token 时,将是额外的商业红利。

免责声明:本内容为使用 AI 软体根据各家公司法说会的录音档进行 AI 摘要整理,主要是为了协助读者快速理解各公司法说会之重点,例如:公司财务表现、营运状况、未来展望以及产业前景,内容仅供参考,并非任何投资建议。如欲了解进一步法说详情,请查阅巨亨网相关新闻内容或公司官方公告。

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      "id": 69,
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    "content": "<h6><span style=\"font-size:1.2em\">一、中磊 (5388-TW) 2026 年第二季及上半年财务与营运详情</span></h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>第二季营收与获利</strong>:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>第二季营收呈现显著年成长(YoY),Top-line 成长将近 <strong>70%</strong>。主要由 WiFi 7 升级、5G FWA、光纤接入与同轴缆线(DOCSIS)等宽频基础建设驱动。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>毛利率</strong>:受记忆体(Memory,包含 DDR 与 eMMC)大幅飙涨冲击,第二季毛利率下降至 <strong>6.9%</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>营业利益率(OP Margin)</strong>:得益于营收扩大带动 Overhead 费用率由约 12.5%~13.5% 降至 9%,费用摊提效应展现,营业利益(OP)同比增加约 1.7 亿元,OP Margin 守在 <strong>3.3%</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>每股盈余(EPS)</strong>:第二季单季 EPS 为 <strong>1.58 元</strong>,Q1 加上 Q2 单季营收季增将近 24%,第二季税后净利为 <strong>11.7 亿元</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>上半年累积表现(H1)</strong>:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>上半年营收年增 <strong>58%</strong>,营业利益(OP)同步年成长约 <strong>70%</strong>。受利息支出增加影响(主要为因应记忆体价格飙涨及库存备料增加之短期融资),上半年归属母公司净利为 <strong>1.83 亿元</strong>。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>资产负债与存货分析</strong>:</p>\n \n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p><strong>存货结构</strong>:期末存货自 198 亿元增加至 287 亿元(增加约 90 亿元)。287 亿元中包含:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>约 <strong>80 亿元</strong> 为已抵达客户端的产品。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>剩余 200 亿元中,有将近 <strong>80 亿元(约三成)</strong> 为记忆体(Memory)库存,主因公司采取提早锁定 Memory 策略以因应持续涨价风险。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>营运现金流因备料与预付现货采购,单季 Operating Cash Flow 为 <strong>-34 亿元</strong>。公司维持长期 Conservative(保守)的净现金财务架构,具备足够韧性抵抗供应链逆风。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n</ul>\n\n<h6>产品线表现(三大领域)</h6>\n\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Broadband / Home(占比约 60%)</strong>:包含光纤接入、同轴缆线(Triple-DOCSIS)、5G FWA 及家用 WiFi 7 分发。整体市场实质出货量成长 30%~40%,即使扣除 Memory 价格反应的营收虚胖,实质出货仍呈高双位数成长。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Enterprise(占比约 19%)</strong>:主因企业级 WiFi 7 解决方案加速铺路与全面导入带动。</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Infrastructure / AIoT / 影像分析(占比约 21%)</strong>:安防监控传统 Video 转型为 <strong>Video Analytics(影像分析)</strong>,将 AI 算力下沉至边缘终端;智慧电网与缆线讯号 Noise(杂讯)即时自修正等 Edge AI 应用成长显著。</p>\n</li>\n</ol>\n\n<h6><span style=\"font-size:1.2em\">二、 法说会问答完整清单 (Q&A)</span></h6>\n\n<h6>Q1:记忆体、PCB 等零组件下半年及 2027 年供应状况为何? (群益投顾)</h6>\n\n<p>王炜董事长回答:记忆体价格从五个季度前(2025Q1)的低点至今飙涨数倍,(从小于 $0.3/GB 到大于 $3/GB),且部分 Box 的 BOM 成本中记忆体占比已从 小于 10% 暴增至将近 50%。</p>\n\n<p>供应链紧缺状况短期不会立即缓解,预期 2027 年全年供应依然维持紧张,极度考量每一家公司的供应链管理与财务资产负债表(Balance Sheet)韧性。</p>\n\n<p>中磊与三星等三大厂及台湾记忆体两大主要供应商具备长期忠诚合作关系,能确保取得所需 Memory 产能。</p>\n\n<h6>Q2:零组件涨价与产品转嫁价格(Pass-through)交会后,对下半年及 2027 年的营运呈现何种结果? (群益投顾)</h6>\n\n<h6>王炜董事长:</h6>\n\n<p>运营商客户因每户平均收入(ARPU,每户每月约 $30~$40 美金)远高于设备一次性成本,为避免流失 Subscriber(重新吸客成本达 $200~$300 美金),对 Memory 涨价转嫁的价格弹性相对较低(吸纳意愿较高)。</p>\n\n<p>转嫁谈判虽痛苦但已持续推进。部分涨价转嫁会扩大分务金额(分母变大),导致毛利率被稀释(摊薄),但绝对营业利益(OP Dollar)可被守住。公司以保住营业利益率 3.3% 为目标,采取「攻击性防御」策略。</p>\n\n<h6>Q3:随着 Agentic AI 导入企业,中磊在 Enterprise 领域除了 WiFi 外是否有线或相关新业务布局? (群益投顾)</h6>\n\n<h6>王炜董事长:</h6>\n\n<p>中磊核心强项在于宽带接取与传输(从家庭走到街边)。Data Center 内部竞争(如 800G 交换器)不符合中磊既有客户基础,但 Data Center 的电力限制(全美大型资料中心需 40~50 GW 电力,缺电严重)与建置成本,必将促使算力外溢(Mitigation)至中端与边缘。</p>\n\n<p>中磊一年出货数千万个 Box,分散在家庭与街边。公司策略是保住客户信任,深耕边缘计算(Edge Computing),等待大型云端资料中心投资趋缓或缺电时的外溢红利。</p>\n\n<h6>Q4:接取产品(CPE)与 DAA 基础设施的次世代 AI 与算力布局细节为何? (明总经理补充)</h6>\n\n<h6>明总经理:</h6>\n\n<p><strong>CPE 接取设备:</strong>下一代主晶片(SoC)均已加入 NPU(约 2 TOPS 算力)。公司正在导入 Agentic AI,将家庭宽频 CPE 转型为「家庭助理」;同时开发自主性 AI 网管平台(Quality of Experience),实时自我检测与修复网路,大幅降低运营商的维修与派员(Technician)成本。</p>\n\n<p><strong>DAA 基础设施(Infrastructure)</strong>:新产品预计于 2027 年年初逐步推推出。由于 DAA 设备部署于街边,内部嵌入更高算力与 Edge AI 算法,能自动检测数百万个街边节点中损坏的设备或腐蚀断裂的 Cable,并精准上报网管派员更换,节省数小时至数天的巡检时间。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>Q5:同轴缆线(DOCSIS)与 5G FWA 升级带来的庞大市场商机与技术门槛为何? (王炜董事长补充)</strong></h6>\n\n<h6>王炜董事长:</h6>\n\n<p>同轴缆线升级商机:全美约有 6,000 万至 8,000 万 Single-Family Household 需从同轴技术提升。重新挖沟铺设光纤每户成本高达 $2,000 美金(总计需 $1,000 亿美金),而透过 DAA 与边缘算力升级既有铜缆 / 同轴网路仅需 $200~$300 亿美金,且可再延长 10~20 年寿命,蕴含数百亿美元寡占商机。</p>\n\n<p>边缘算力消除杂讯(Noise):铜缆传输会随距离衰减并放大杂讯。中磊在每一个街边节点加入大量 AI 算力与演算法,实时清理讯号(Signal-to-Noise Ratio 优化)并动态转移 Frequency Domain,用算力替代实体光纤铺设。</p>\n\n<p>5G 毫米波(Millimeter Wave)与 FWA:5G Sub-6GHz 频谱已被 FWA 设备填满(Saturated),未来必须依靠毫米波 Beam-forming 与聪明的算力对焦来承载更多流量。中磊蹲点毫米波技术多年,从未放弃。</p>\n\n<h6>Q6:中磊如何看待 AI 卖 Token(软体变现)与硬体升级的关系? (王炜董事长补充)</h6>\n\n<h6>王炜董事长:</h6>\n\n<p>现阶段边缘 AI 的应用不是直接向消费者卖 Token 赚钱,而是用边缘计算让既有网路更聪明、承载更高频宽、并降低维护成本。</p>\n\n<p>频宽提升能增加运营商的 ARPU,运营商即愿意为中磊的高阶 Box 支付更高的价格,进而吸纳记忆体涨价成本。若未来边缘 Box 具备分散式运算能力并能卖 Token 时,将是额外的商业红利。</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">免责声明:本内容为使用 AI 软体根据各家公司法说会的录音档进行 AI 摘要整理,主要是为了协助读者快速理解各公司法说会之重点,例如:公司财务表现、营运状况、未来展望以及产业前景,内容仅供参考,并非任何投资建议。如欲了解进一步法说详情,请查阅巨亨网相关新闻内容或公司官方公告。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2464.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:华城(1519-TW)目标价调降至945元,幅度约8.7%\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:华城(1519-TW)目标价调降至945元,幅度约8.7%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7317.html\" title=\"健保规模年增6.5%首破兆!卓揆:下半年拨30亿调高「急重难罕儿产」各科给付\">健保规模年增6.5%首破兆!卓揆:下半年拨30亿调高「急重难罕儿产」各科给付</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10189.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 创新服务(7828)7月营收1.30亿元年增率高达397.16%\">营收速报  - 创新服务(7828)7月营收1.30亿元年增率高达397.16%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-175.html\" title=\"〈焦点股〉低轨卫星法规松绑与SpaceX上市双利多 耀登、启碁强攻涨停\">〈焦点股〉低轨卫星法规松绑与SpaceX上市双利多 耀登、启碁强攻涨停</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4707.html\" title=\"Uber今起推北投机车体验载客 交通部:支持北市依法开罚\">Uber今起推北投机车体验载客 交通部:支持北市依法开罚</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10913.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:丰泰(9910-TW)EPS预估下修至4.33元,预估目标价为75元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:丰泰(9910-TW)EPS预估下修至4.33元,预估目标价为75元</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-08-11T11:58:01.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-08-21T03:06:43.000Z"
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