放量冲季线却见一个月最大卖压！电子股警戒线已到，第三季操作终极策略

美股资金正从科技巨头转向中小型股，带动台股柜买爆量大涨，独家数据显示强势股显著飙升，盘面迎来个股表态的轮动格局，在关键型态支撑确立后，如何精准锁定具AI规格升级商机的核心供应链。

〈量能放大是好事，但内部卖压也在升高〉

台股今天加权指数上涨503点，收在46021点，成交金额重新放大到1兆元以上，台积电(2330-TW) 上涨20元、收在2435元，MSCI季度调整结果公布后，记忆体、PCB等AI族群持续吸引资金，盘面延续明显的板块轮动格局，早盘智霖老师已经告诉会员，加权与柜买预估量都顺利超过月均量，只要量能是温和放大、盘面没有明显转弱，整体反弹结构就还是健康的，但内部量化数据已经看到，盘中卖压攀升到近一个月相对高位，柜买今天放量往季线攻，碰到上方解套卖压之后也留下上影线，依照过去经验，当电子股市场广度来到特定警戒区间，中小型股后续容易进入震荡休息，因此现在不是看到量大、股票上涨就一路追价，而是要开始提高对筹码换手的敏感度。

〈创意、奇𬭎强势表态　涨得越快越要思考资金效率〉先前我们重点布局的ASIC指标股创意(3443-TW)，今天股价再度强势推升，一度逼近涨停，这一段我们从低档一路看上来，现在问题已经不是产业好不好，而是股价涨到这个位置之后，还剩下多少合理的估值空间，从17家专业机构最新研究报告来看，创意(3443-TW)目前市价与平均目标估值已经相去不远，加上这一波股价回升幅度够大，量价也持续出现背离，这时候就可以开始思考逢高分批调节，把波段利润放进口袋。

散热龙头奇𬭎(3017-TW)今天同样强势表态，盘中再创波段高点，AI散热的长线趋势没有改变，不需要急着预设高点，但市场热度快速升温，适度分批停利、保留资金，反而能让后续操作更有弹性。

〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉 APP选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】：https://lihi.cc/zwrii

〈第三季维持高出低进　长广续看区间节奏〉

ABF设备厂长广(7795-TW)我们维持原本区间来回操作的节奏，今天开盘迅速攻上涨停，盘中虽然一度出现获利了结、股价压回平盘附近，但很快又有承接买盘进场，最后留下明显长下影线，下档支撑力道依旧强劲。

其实从月初反弹刚开始，智霖老师在节目就不断和大家强调，第三季操作核心不是一路追高，而是逢高适度调节，等市场重新震荡、筹码沉淀之后，自然有资金可以再低接，透过量化数据、法人筹码与产业趋势持续交叉追踪，在板块轮动中找到真正有机会的主流产业，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

最新影音(请点影音上方标题至Youtube收视品质会更佳)

〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：https://lihi.cc/RFzlE

钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。

文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券

无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利

投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>已经告诉会员，加权与柜买预估量都顺利超过月均量，只要量能是温和放大、盘面没有明显转弱，整体反弹结构就还是健康的，但内部量化数据已经看到，盘中卖压攀升到近一个月相对高位，柜买今天放量往季线攻，碰到上方解套卖压之后也留下上影线，依照过去经验，当电子股市场广度来到特定警戒区间，中小型股后续容易进入震荡休息，因此现在不是看到量大、股票上涨就一路追价，而是要开始提高对筹码换手的敏感度。\n\n〈创意、奇𬭎强势表态　涨得越快越要思考资金效率〉\n先前我们重点布局的ASIC指标股创意(3443-TW)，今天股价再度强势推升，一度逼近涨停，这一段我们从低档一路看上来，现在问题已经不是产业好不好，而是股价涨到这个位置之后，还剩下多少合理的估值空间，从17家专业机构最新研究报告来看，创意(3443-TW)目前市价与平均目标估值已经相去不远，加上这一波股价回升幅度够大，量价也持续出现背离，这时候就可以开始思考逢高分批调节，把波段利润放进口袋。\n\n散热龙头奇𬭎(3017-TW)今天同样强势表态，盘中再创波段高点，AI散热的长线趋势没有改变，不需要急着预设高点，但市场热度快速升温，适度分批停利、保留资金，反而能让后续操作更有弹性。\n\n〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉\nAPP选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】：https://lihi.cc/zwrii\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"189\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"4.021164021164021\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6575550/m/70bbd4db3402440930097e50ade07556.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6575550/l/70bbd4db3402440930097e50ade07556.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6575550/l/70bbd4db3402440930097e50ade07556.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6575550/xl/70bbd4db3402440930097e50ade07556.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6575550/xxl/70bbd4db3402440930097e50ade07556.jpg 3x\"></img></figure>\n\n〈第三季维持高出低进　长广续看区间节奏〉 \nABF设备厂长广(7795-TW)我们维持原本区间来回操作的节奏，今天开盘迅速攻上涨停，盘中虽然一度出现获利了结、股价压回平盘附近，但很快又有承接买盘进场，最后留下明显长下影线，下档支撑力道依旧强劲。\n\n其实从月初反弹刚开始，智霖老师在节目就不断和大家强调，第三季操作核心不是一路追高，而是逢高适度调节，等市场重新震荡、筹码沉淀之后，自然有资金可以再低接，透过量化数据、法人筹码与产业趋势持续交叉追踪，在板块轮动中找到真正有机会的主流产业，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。\n\n最新影音(请点影音上方标题至Youtube收视品质会更佳)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/eWMYFmV1rus\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉\n忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\n\n钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。\n\n文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17025.html\" title=\"川习会台湾成焦点！中国力阻140亿美元军售川普态度受瞩\">川习会台湾成焦点！中国力阻140亿美元军售川普态度受瞩</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-3672.html\" title=\"晶技6月营收仍属高峰估Q2营收季增、年成长都逾10%\">晶技6月营收仍属高峰估Q2营收季增、年成长都逾10%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4812.html\" title=\"外资买了一天又跑了大砍890亿三大法人卖超842.55亿元\">外资买了一天又跑了大砍890亿三大法人卖超842.55亿元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14404.html\" title=\"创新服务7月营收年增397%！三大引擎同步放量，TGV-ICP瞄准2028年爆发\">创新服务7月营收年增397%！三大引擎同步放量，TGV-ICP瞄准2028年爆发</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17181.html\" title=\"研华北美市场BB值逾2 产能供不应求爆满到明年下半年\">研华北美市场BB值逾2 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