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【独家揭秘】第三季最狂主流! 10档最具爆发力的飙马股在这!?

2026-08-21 14:31:07 钜亨网 阅读(3)

AI越强,为什么反而越需要「光」?
过去AI革命第一阶段,大家抢的是GPU。第二阶段,大家抢的是HBM、CoWoS、伺服器。而现在,当AI超级资料中心越盖越大,下一个瓶颈开始浮现:

【独家揭秘】第三季最狂主流! 10档最具爆发力的飙马股在这!?

算力已经准备好了,但资料还跑不够快。

辉达、博通这些巨头早就看准这点,全面转向CPO(共同封装光学)与矽光子技术直接把光引擎封装在交换晶片旁边,等于把光纤高速公路开进晶片心脏。功耗能降最高七成,频宽密度大爆发。这场转型,已在2026年下半年正式从「作梦题材」跨入「实质放量与获利兑现」的黄金主升段。

天时地利人和,聪明钱已经卡位
先讲地利。美国禁令落地后,美系客户因为资料安全疑虑,几乎不敢用中国大陆产的光通讯零组件。这顶巨大的地缘政治保护伞,直接砸在掌握先进封装与光学整合技术的台厂头上,转单接到手软。

再讲人和。就在这个月,8/6美国第一档专门投资光通讯的主动式ETF「LYTE」正式挂牌。发行这档ETF的公司,前一次推出记忆体ETF后,短短三个月暴涨近两倍。他们选在台股关键起攻点推出LYTE,等于直接告诉全球资金:AI基础设施的最后一块拼图,就是光通讯。

最后是天时:上周五晚间美股非农数据大暴冷,薪资放缓,升息机率大降,被压抑的短线空单面临惨烈轧空,带头冲锋的,正是光通讯与高速传输族群。

CPO台股10档,除了联亚,还有谁值得追踪?

联亚(3081-TW)作为磊晶与关键光源龙头,大家都熟悉了。但真正值得盯紧的,是那些基本面悄悄转强、准备在2026到2027年迎来EPS倍数狂飙的中生代与黑马。

贸联-KY(3665-TW):从高阶铜线跨入光学系统整合的隐形大黑马。并购新富生光电后,补强FAU与矽光元件技术,102.4T CPO交换器连接线已送样台积电及大厂。下半年光纤产能数倍扩增,明年光通讯营收估翻倍成长,获利爆发力十足。

泛铨(6830-TW):7月营收创历史新高,九成来自AI与矽光子检测。独家拥有全球「光损侦测」专利技术,获美系AI晶片巨头在台设立研发专区。随着矽光子验证进入放量期,检测需求大爆发,毛利率有望回升至30~40%。

联钧(3450-TW):矽光子先进封装一条龙指标,手握美系大户AOC订单。高阶光电产品占比逾六成,高速雷射晶粒封装产能翻倍。800G光模组逐季放量、1.6T接棒,产能今年下半年倍增、明年再倍增,订单能见度直达2027年底。

华星光(4979-TW):聚焦高速光收发主动元件,CW Laser出货暴增、产能翻倍,并独家切入高门槛EML封装大单,打入美系巨头供应链。法人看好2026年营收挑战年增六成,EPS将迎来主升段大爆发。

IET-KY(4971-TW):磷化铟(InP)高阶磊晶大厂,是高速光通讯雷射的关键材料源头。在1.6T传输时代,全球对MBE磊晶高难度制程产能极度渴求。技术门槛极高、竞争者少,在CPO与高速光源市场享有长期高成长红利。

环宇-KY(4991-TW):具备III-V族磊晶制程高防御壁垒,100G PD市占高达七成,200G已放量。受惠PD+CW光源双引擎爆发,订单能见度直达2027年首季,法人预估2026/2027年营收年增达40~60%以上,今年获利迎来绝地大翻盘。

光环(3234-TW):深耕光通讯晶片、光收发组件及VCSEL多年,是高速光纤传输不可或缺的基层大将。随着AI资料中心规格全面升级至800G与1.6T,高速主动元件供需缺口扩大,营运将强势走出谷底,展现极高毛利改善与转机获利弹性。

光圣(6442-TW):高密度光纤连接器大厂,专利覆盖288芯至6912芯。转投资合圣布局CPO关键ELS与FAU模组,2026年获利进入爆发期,EPS有望倍增。总座更狂喊「毛利率50%是底线」,兼具强大获利成长性与专利护城河。

波若威(3163-TW):成功切入辉达CPO供应链,地缘政治「非中转单」最大受益者之一,菲律宾厂产能大举扩充2~3倍。受惠1.6T/3.2T CPO核心元件下半年量产,法人预估2026年EPS上看7元,2027年更将狂飙至19元,营收动能迎翻倍大成长。

结论:这一轮「光进铜退」大行情,真正的机会不一定只在最知名的龙头。有时候,真正的超额报酬,反而藏在那些「营收刚开始跳、毛利率正在改善、EPS还没有完全反映」的第二梯队。

这也是为什么除了联亚(3081-TW),我会把贸联-KY(3665-TW)、泛铨(6830-TW)、联钧(3450-TW)、华星光(4979-TW)、IET-KY(4971-TW)、环宇-KY(4991-TW)、光环(3234-TW)、光圣(6442-TW)、波若威(3163-TW)放进后续追踪名单。你,准备好趁拉回,逢低卡位了吗?

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文章来源:摩尔投顾-江国中分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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    "content": "<p><strong>AI</strong><strong>越强,为什么反而越需要「光」?</strong><br>\n过去AI革命第一阶段,大家抢的是GPU。第二阶段,大家抢的是HBM、CoWoS、伺服器。而现在,当AI超级资料中心越盖越大,下一个瓶颈开始浮现:</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6576413/l/14687af7a9213a560ec8ac0d7c1fa70e.jpg\" alt=\"【独家揭秘】第三季最狂主流! 10档最具爆发力的飙马股在这!?\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p><strong>算力已经准备好了,但资料还跑不够快。</strong></p>\n\n<p>辉达、博通这些巨头早就看准这点,全面转向CPO(共同封装光学)与矽光子技术直接把光引擎封装在交换晶片旁边,等于把光纤高速公路开进晶片心脏。功耗能降最高七成,频宽密度大爆发。这场转型,已在2026年下半年正式从「作梦题材」跨入「实质放量与获利兑现」的黄金主升段。</p>\n\n<p><strong>天时地利人和,聪明钱已经卡位</strong><br>\n先讲地利。美国禁令落地后,美系客户因为资料安全疑虑,几乎不敢用中国大陆产的光通讯零组件。这顶巨大的地缘政治保护伞,直接砸在掌握先进封装与光学整合技术的台厂头上,转单接到手软。</p>\n\n<p>再讲人和。就在这个月,8/6美国第一档专门投资光通讯的主动式ETF「LYTE」正式挂牌。发行这档ETF的公司,前一次推出记忆体ETF后,短短三个月暴涨近两倍。他们选在台股关键起攻点推出LYTE,等于直接告诉全球资金:AI基础设施的最后一块拼图,就是光通讯。</p>\n\n<p>最后是天时:上周五晚间美股非农数据大暴冷,薪资放缓,升息机率大降,被压抑的短线空单面临惨烈轧空,带头冲锋的,正是光通讯与高速传输族群。</p>\n\n<p><strong>CPO</strong><strong>台股10档,除了联亚,还有谁值得追踪?</strong></p>\n\n<p>联亚(3081-TW)作为磊晶与关键光源龙头,大家都熟悉了。但真正值得盯紧的,是那些基本面悄悄转强、准备在2026到2027年迎来EPS倍数狂飙的中生代与黑马。</p>\n\n<p>贸联-KY(3665-TW):从高阶铜线跨入光学系统整合的隐形大黑马。并购新富生光电后,补强FAU与矽光元件技术,102.4T CPO交换器连接线已送样台积电及大厂。下半年光纤产能数倍扩增,明年光通讯营收估翻倍成长,获利爆发力十足。</p>\n\n<p>泛铨(6830-TW):7月营收创历史新高,九成来自AI与矽光子检测。独家拥有全球「光损侦测」专利技术,获美系AI晶片巨头在台设立研发专区。随着矽光子验证进入放量期,检测需求大爆发,毛利率有望回升至30~40%。</p>\n\n<p>联钧(3450-TW):矽光子先进封装一条龙指标,手握美系大户AOC订单。高阶光电产品占比逾六成,高速雷射晶粒封装产能翻倍。800G光模组逐季放量、1.6T接棒,产能今年下半年倍增、明年再倍增,订单能见度直达2027年底。</p>\n\n<p>华星光(4979-TW):聚焦高速光收发主动元件,CW Laser出货暴增、产能翻倍,并独家切入高门槛EML封装大单,打入美系巨头供应链。法人看好2026年营收挑战年增六成,EPS将迎来主升段大爆发。</p>\n\n<p>IET-KY(4971-TW):磷化铟(InP)高阶磊晶大厂,是高速光通讯雷射的关键材料源头。在1.6T传输时代,全球对MBE磊晶高难度制程产能极度渴求。技术门槛极高、竞争者少,在CPO与高速光源市场享有长期高成长红利。</p>\n\n<p>环宇-KY(4991-TW):具备III-V族磊晶制程高防御壁垒,100G PD市占高达七成,200G已放量。受惠PD+CW光源双引擎爆发,订单能见度直达2027年首季,法人预估2026/2027年营收年增达40~60%以上,今年获利迎来绝地大翻盘。</p>\n\n<p>光环(3234-TW):深耕光通讯晶片、光收发组件及VCSEL多年,是高速光纤传输不可或缺的基层大将。随着AI资料中心规格全面升级至800G与1.6T,高速主动元件供需缺口扩大,营运将强势走出谷底,展现极高毛利改善与转机获利弹性。</p>\n\n<p>光圣(6442-TW):高密度光纤连接器大厂,专利覆盖288芯至6912芯。转投资合圣布局CPO关键ELS与FAU模组,2026年获利进入爆发期,EPS有望倍增。总座更狂喊「毛利率50%是底线」,兼具强大获利成长性与专利护城河。</p>\n\n<p>波若威(3163-TW):成功切入辉达CPO供应链,地缘政治「非中转单」最大受益者之一,菲律宾厂产能大举扩充2~3倍。受惠1.6T/3.2T CPO核心元件下半年量产,法人预估2026年EPS上看7元,2027年更将狂飙至19元,营收动能迎翻倍大成长。</p>\n\n<p><strong>结论:这一轮「光进铜退」大行情,真正的机会不一定只在最知名的龙头。有时候,真正的超额报酬,反而藏在那些「营收刚开始跳、毛利率正在改善、EPS还没有完全反映」的第二梯队。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>这也是为什么除了联亚(3081-TW),我会把贸联-KY(3665-TW)、泛铨(6830-TW)、联钧(3450-TW)、华星光(4979-TW)、IET-KY(4971-TW)、环宇-KY(4991-TW)、光环(3234-TW)、光圣(6442-TW)、波若威(3163-TW)放进后续追踪名单。你,准备好趁拉回,逢低卡位了吗?</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>更多产业趋势报告+盘中讯息&rarr;请加入江江Line@:</strong></p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ\">https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ</a></p>\n\n<p><strong>江江每日解盘影片&rarr;含金量满满,节目内容太精彩+太权威惹!</strong></p>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/OcdampJPSDU\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<p>坚持用心制作优质好节目,一定要看到最后!<br>\n并且【订阅+按赞+分享帮助好友】</p>\n\n<p>文章来源:摩尔投顾-江国中分析师</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7932.html\" title=\"远银主办逸科亚2亿美元联贷 助攻晶圆测试产能升级\">远银主办逸科亚2亿美元联贷 助攻晶圆测试产能升级</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2204.html\" title=\"〈友讯法说〉调整产品销售型态浴火重生 看好下半年营收优于上半年\">〈友讯法说〉调整产品销售型态浴火重生 看好下半年营收优于上半年</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4415.html\" title=\"百容半导体客户追单拉货积极 继大立光之后在台中工业区新购地建厂\">百容半导体客户追单拉货积极 继大立光之后在台中工业区新购地建厂</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7633.html\" title=\"台股重回到季线之上、上诠、国巨、华邦电\">台股重回到季线之上、上诠、国巨、华邦电</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2715.html\" title=\"郭明鉴辞任国泰投信董事 国泰金:受影响基金投资人启动从优补偿\">郭明鉴辞任国泰投信董事 国泰金:受影响基金投资人启动从优补偿</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11098.html\" title=\"〈MSCI调整〉台股权重三升8/31收盘生效 华邦电、南电等6档入列标准指数\">〈MSCI调整〉台股权重三升8/31收盘生效 华邦电、南电等6档入列标准指数</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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