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殖利率创高免惊!台股拉回将跳更高,「这两大优势」的AI绩优股买点出现!

2026-08-19 11:53:27 钜亨网 阅读(1)

三十年期美债殖利率创2007年以来的新高,美国科技股与半导体类股利率敏感性较高,昨日(8/18)成为美股领跌的标的。

殖利率创高免惊!台股拉回将跳更高,「这两大优势」的AI绩优股买点出现!

美国7月份CPI与PPI指数同步放缓,并且联准会9月升息预期下降,中东地缘政治冲突虽然未解,但WTI原油与布兰特原油价格也远低于4、5月,为何美国债券殖利率却创高?

主要的原因就在于传统长天期美债的买盘减少,但美债发行与企业借贷的需求,导致供需不平衡,导致长天期美债殖利率上升,之前美日联手干预日圆汇率,就是为了避免日本央行卖出美债,推升美债殖利率。

根据美国银行统计数据,五大最大规模云端基础建设公司在2025年全年发行债务规模1,210亿美元,此前五年的年均规模仅约280亿美元,市场预估今年发债规模将可达到4000亿美元。美国国债与企业债发行规模创高,成为美债殖利率走升的主因。

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投资朋友是否应该担忧呢?由于美债十年期国债殖利率是全球资产订价的基础,美债殖利率走升,对于全球股市会造成影响,但企业获利的提升,可应对相应风险,8月份道琼指数与标普500指数陆续创新高,美股并未转空。且联准会今年应会维持利率不变,长天期美债殖利率持续创高的机率降低,投资朋友不用过度担心。

至于美国超大规模云端基础建设公司发债规模大增的部分,之前文章『大摩与小摩联手做多?AI叙事开始转变,台股迎V转?那些标的可留意?』就已经提到,目前已经进入资本回报期,加上大规模的积压订单,即使市场出现过度资本支出的担忧,实际上发债时,市场认购依然火热,有利于台股相关供应链。

今日(8/19)台指期结算,结算日拉回,反而有利于结算之后的上涨,加权指数季线之下有买盘支撑,投资朋友可利用市场拉回买进相对抗跌或回测支撑的AI绩优股,尤其具备『增量』、『涨价』的基本面股,如下:

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文章来源:摩尔投顾-叶俊敏分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利
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    "content": "<p>三十年期美债殖利率创2007年以来的新高,美国科技股与半导体类股利率敏感性较高,昨日(8/18)成为美股领跌的标的。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581189/l/9d4c31604603856b3eac8a15a7149f02.jpg\" alt=\"殖利率创高免惊!台股拉回将跳更高,「这两大优势」的AI绩优股买点出现!\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>美国7月份CPI与PPI指数同步放缓,并且联准会9月升息预期下降,中东地缘政治冲突虽然未解,但WTI原油与布兰特原油价格也远低于4、5月,为何美国债券殖利率却创高?</p>\n\n<p>主要的原因就在于传统长天期美债的买盘减少,但美债发行与企业借贷的需求,导致供需不平衡,导致长天期美债殖利率上升,之前美日联手干预日圆汇率,就是为了避免日本央行卖出美债,推升美债殖利率。</p>\n\n<p>根据美国银行统计数据,五大最大规模云端基础建设公司在2025年全年发行债务规模1,210亿美元,此前五年的年均规模仅约280亿美元,市场预估今年发债规模将可达到4000亿美元。美国国债与企业债发行规模创高,成为美债殖利率走升的主因。</p>\n\n<p>更多的投资策略与选股资讯都在-</p>\n\n<p>LINE@ <a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a></p>\n\n<p>频道连结<a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/@money66868\">https://www.youtube.com/@money66868</a></p>\n\n<p>投资朋友是否应该担忧呢?由于美债十年期国债殖利率是全球资产订价的基础,美债殖利率走升,对于全球股市会造成影响,但企业获利的提升,可应对相应风险,8月份道琼指数与标普500指数陆续创新高,美股并未转空。且联准会今年应会维持利率不变,长天期美债殖利率持续创高的机率降低,投资朋友不用过度担心。</p>\n\n<p>至于美国超大规模云端基础建设公司发债规模大增的部分,之前文章『大摩与小摩联手做多?AI叙事开始转变,台股迎V转?那些标的可留意?』就已经提到,目前已经进入资本回报期,加上大规模的积压订单,即使市场出现过度资本支出的担忧,实际上发债时,市场认购依然火热,有利于台股相关供应链。</p>\n\n<p>今日(8/19)台指期结算,结算日拉回,反而有利于结算之后的上涨,加权指数季线之下有买盘支撑,投资朋友可利用市场拉回买进相对抗跌或回测支撑的AI绩优股,尤其具备『增量』、『涨价』的基本面股,如下:</p>\n\n<p>台股拉回,是为了未来跳得更高,台股震荡不用担忧,反而是重新布局的机会,现在机会出现了,你能把握吗?指数再拉回的空间有限,买点不会一直存在,会员已经开始进场,不想错过的投资朋友?加入我的行列,可先加入<a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a></p>\n\n<p>挺你过中秋!私讯【+99】领取优惠活动</p>\n\n<p>『增量』、『涨价』AI绩优股:</p>\n\n<p>被动元件:国巨(2327-TW)、日电贸(3090-TW)、华新科(2492-TW)</p>\n\n<p>记忆体:华邦电(2344-TW)、南亚科(2408-TW)</p>\n\n<p>ABF:欣兴(3037-TW)、南电(8046-TW)、景硕(3189-TW)、臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)</p>\n\n<p>CCL:台光电(2383-TW)、台燿(6274-TW)、联茂(6213-TW)、金居(8358-TW)、德宏(5475-TW)</p>\n\n<p>散热:健策(3653-TW)、奇𬭎(3017-TW)、双鸿(3324-TW)、一诠(2486-TW)</p>\n\n<p>更多产业趋势预告+盘中讯息&rarr;</p>\n\n<p>都在叶老师的 Line @:<br>\nLINE@ID:@money668 (@要记得加)</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a></p>\n\n<p>加入之后可以留言《巨亨网》让我知道你从哪里认识我的,有优惠活动或赠品会优先通知喔!</p>\n\n<p>文章来源:摩尔投顾-叶俊敏分析师</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5605.html\" title=\"友讯借资安优势打入SpaceX供应链 9月起出货2万台专用网路交换机\">友讯借资安优势打入SpaceX供应链 9月起出货2万台专用网路交换机</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10149.html\" title=\"天钰下半年营运季季高 示警留意需求反转时间点\">天钰下半年营运季季高 示警留意需求反转时间点</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4712.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:聚阳(1477-TW)EPS预估上修至16.2元,预估目标价为280元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:聚阳(1477-TW)EPS预估上修至16.2元,预估目标价为280元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7141.html\" title=\"〈台股盘后〉崩跌2953点史上最惨烈!大逃杀压垮季线和4万3大关\">〈台股盘后〉崩跌2953点史上最惨烈!大逃杀压垮季线和4万3大关</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5420.html\" title=\"星星电力携手风睿能源 495MW离岸风电2028年起转供\">星星电力携手风睿能源 495MW离岸风电2028年起转供</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-73.html\" title=\"〈焦点股〉荣惠-KY估AI获利贡献倍数成长 股价跳空涨停创新天价\">〈焦点股〉荣惠-KY估AI获利贡献倍数成长 股价跳空涨停创新天价</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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