联亚VS华星光谁更强？【CPO爆发倒数】9档黑马股出列！

过去，CPO 最常听到的三个字就是「验证中」。技术很厉害、未来很强大，但真正的问题只有一个：到底什么时候能变成营收+获利？

现在，答案似乎开始浮出水面。辉达已宣布以 CPO 技术打造的 Spectrum-X Ethernet Photonics 矽光子交换器进入全面量产出货阶段，台积电(2330-TW)、鸿海(2317-TW)、日月光投控(3711-TW)等大厂都在相关生态系之中。市场瞬间从「还在验证」跳到「小量、中量、准备大量」的节奏。今年第四季，就是CPO这波爬坡最明显的起点。

为什么第四季会是 CPO 爆发的黄金期？主要有五大利多在背后撑腰：

正式告别验证，迎来量产潮：辉达等大厂正式认证下，CPO 摆脱了「只闻楼梯响」的阶段，第四季起产能陆续开出，从小量到大量出货，许多供应链的单月营收将「逐月创高」。
规格直接跳级！1.6T 提前接棒：随着辉达下一代 Rubin 平台加速推进，原本市场预期的 800G 规格根本不够看！认证速度跟不上市场的疯狂需求，规格更高的 1.6T 提前起飞，带来非线性的暴发成长。
关键材料瓶颈解除：过去卡住全产业出货的关键元件「磷化铟（InP）」缺货问题获得缓解，雷射产能大开，拼上了量产最后一块拼图。
单机价值暴冲：这不只是「出货量」增加，单机价值更出现暴冲！这意味着相关厂商第四季的毛利率与获利空间将远超预期。
台积电背书核心地位：台积电高层已明确指明，未来的先进封装将全面以 CPO 矽光子为核心，引发「电、光、热」系统协同最佳化，带动光学引擎需求一路狂飙至 2028 年的 1900 万颗！

所以，接下来 CPO最值得追踪的就是这三个：
第一，订单有没有开始变成营收？
第二，1.6T与更高规格产品有没有提高产品价值？
第三，哪些公司真的卡在供应链不可取代的位置？

如果这三件事在接下来几个月陆续得到验证，那么第四季的 CPO 行情，就不只是另一次题材，而可能是 AI 基础建设从「GPU抢算力」，正式走向「光通讯抢频宽」的新一轮典范转移。

9档CPO潜力股，第四季最飙股就在其中？
联亚(3081-TW)：掌握 InP 磊晶与高速雷射光源，是 CPO、1.6T的重要上游环节。若高阶雷射需求持续放大，具备直接受惠条件，重点观察高阶产品出货与产能利用率。

华星光(4979-TW)：高速光收发元件与1.6T题材兼具。最新7月营收5.09亿元、年增31%，前7月营收年增17.6%，营运已出现实质成长动能。

IET-KY(4971-TW)：深耕 MBE 磊晶与化合物半导体技术，是高速光通讯上游材料的重要角色。7月营收年增近40%，反映高速光电相关需求回温。

联钧(3450-TW)：高速光通讯产品与雷射封装能力是重要利基。7月营收12.19亿元、年增98%，近期营收成长速度明显加快，是基本面值得持续追踪的指标股。

上诠(3363-TW)：核心利基在 FAU 光纤阵列单元与高精度光纤耦合技术。市场焦点是 CPO 相关产品逐步交付，未来更高规格产品能否持续放量。

光圣(6442-TW)：受惠 AI 资料中心高速光纤连接需求，7月营收12.29亿元、年增49.25%，前7月也成长约三成，是目前营收动能相对明显的光通讯指标。

泛铨(6830-TW)：强项不在直接卖光模组，而是材料分析与矽光子检测。当CPO从研发验证进入量产，良率、失效分析与材料检测需求，有机会形成另一条受惠支线。

众达-KY(4977-TW)：布局高速光收发模组，是AI资料中心频宽升级的受惠族群之一。后续重点在高阶产品占比提升，以及1.6T等新规格是否带动营收结构改善。

波若威(3163-TW)：在光纤被动元件与高速光连接具技术利基，也是辉达矽光子生态系受到市场关注的台厂之一。7月营收年增28.65%，CPO放量后的高密度光连接需求，是长线看点。

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文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师

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"联亚VS华星光谁更强？【CPO爆发倒数】9档黑马股出列！", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "过去，CPO 最常听到的三个字就是「验证中」。技术很厉害、未来很强大，但真正的问题只有一个：到底什么时候能变成营收+获利？现在，答案似乎开始浮出水面。辉达已宣布以 CPO 技术打造的 Spectrum-X Ethernet Photonics 矽光子交换器进入全面量产出货阶段，台积电(2330-TW)、鸿海(2317-TW)、日月光投控(3711-TW)等大厂都在相关生态系之中。市场瞬间从「还在验证」跳到「小量、中量、准备大量」的节奏。今年第四季，就是CPO这波爬坡最明显的起点。为什么第四季", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586972/l/99ba4313332bca6eeb4d2c5fb3978ba2.jpg", "content": "过去，CPO 最常听到的三个字就是「验证中」。技术很厉害、未来很强大，但真正的问题只有一个：到底什么时候能变成营收+获利？\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586972/l/99ba4313332bca6eeb4d2c5fb3978ba2.jpg\" alt=\"联亚VS华星光谁更强？【CPO爆发倒数】9档黑马股出列！\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n现在，答案似乎开始浮出水面。辉达已宣布以 CPO 技术打造的 Spectrum-X Ethernet Photonics 矽光子交换器进入全面量产出货阶段，台积电(2330-TW)、鸿海(2317-TW)、日月光投控(3711-TW)等大厂都在相关生态系之中。市场瞬间从「还在验证」跳到「小量、中量、准备大量」的节奏。今年第四季，就是CPO这波爬坡最明显的起点。\n\n为什么第四季会是 CPO 爆发的黄金期？主要有五大利多在背后撑腰：\n\n<ol>\n<li>正式告别验证，迎来量产潮：辉达等大厂正式认证下，CPO 摆脱了「只闻楼梯响」的阶段，第四季起产能陆续开出，从小量到大量出货，许多供应链的单月营收将「逐月创高」。</li>\n<li>规格直接跳级！1.6T 提前接棒：随着辉达下一代 Rubin 平台加速推进，原本市场预期的 800G 规格根本不够看！认证速度跟不上市场的疯狂需求，规格更高的 1.6T 提前起飞，带来非线性的暴发成长。</li>\n<li>关键材料瓶颈解除：过去卡住全产业出货的关键元件「磷化铟（InP）」缺货问题获得缓解，雷射产能大开，拼上了量产最后一块拼图。</li>\n<li>单机价值暴冲：这不只是「出货量」增加，单机价值更出现暴冲！这意味着相关厂商第四季的毛利率与获利空间将远超预期。</li>\n<li>台积电背书核心地位：台积电高层已明确指明，未来的先进封装将全面以 CPO 矽光子为核心，引发「电、光、热」系统协同最佳化，带动光学引擎需求一路狂飙至 2028 年的 1900 万颗！</li>\n</ol>\n\n所以，接下来 CPO最值得追踪的就是这三个： \n第一，订单有没有开始变成营收？ \n第二，1.6T与更高规格产品有没有提高产品价值？ \n第三，哪些公司真的卡在供应链不可取代的位置？\n\n如果这三件事在接下来几个月陆续得到验证，那么第四季的 CPO 行情，就不只是另一次题材，而可能是 AI 基础建设从「GPU抢算力」，正式走向「光通讯抢频宽」的新一轮典范转移。\n\n9档CPO潜力股，第四季最飙股就在其中？ \n联亚(3081-TW)：掌握 InP 磊晶与高速雷射光源，是 CPO、1.6T的重要上游环节。若高阶雷射需求持续放大，具备直接受惠条件，重点观察高阶产品出货与产能利用率。\n\n华星光(4979-TW)：高速光收发元件与1.6T题材兼具。最新7月营收5.09亿元、年增31%，前7月营收年增17.6%，营运已出现实质成长动能。\n\nIET-KY(4971-TW)：深耕 MBE 磊晶与化合物半导体技术，是高速光通讯上游材料的重要角色。7月营收年增近40%，反映高速光电相关需求回温。\n\n联钧(3450-TW)：高速光通讯产品与雷射封装能力是重要利基。7月营收12.19亿元、年增98%，近期营收成长速度明显加快，是基本面值得持续追踪的指标股。\n\n上诠(3363-TW)：核心利基在 FAU 光纤阵列单元与高精度光纤耦合技术。市场焦点是 CPO 相关产品逐步交付，未来更高规格产品能否持续放量。\n\n光圣(6442-TW)：受惠 AI 资料中心高速光纤连接需求，7月营收12.29亿元、年增49.25%，前7月也成长约三成，是目前营收动能相对明显的光通讯指标。\n\n泛铨(6830-TW)：强项不在直接卖光模组，而是材料分析与矽光子检测。当CPO从研发验证进入量产，良率、失效分析与材料检测需求，有机会形成另一条受惠支线。\n\n众达-KY(4977-TW)：布局高速光收发模组，是AI资料中心频宽升级的受惠族群之一。后续重点在高阶产品占比提升，以及1.6T等新规格是否带动营收结构改善。\n\n波若威(3163-TW)：在光纤被动元件与高速光连接具技术利基，也是辉达矽光子生态系受到市场关注的台厂之一。7月营收年增28.65%，CPO放量后的高密度光连接需求，是长线看点。\n\n更多产业趋势报告+盘中讯息→请加入江江Line@：\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ\">https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ</a>\n\n江江每日解盘影片→含金量满满，节目内容太精彩+太权威惹！\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/jz9WMJ_XzSE\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n坚持用心制作优质好节目，一定要看到最后！ \n并且【订阅+按赞+分享帮助好友】\n\n文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-18888.html\" title=\"桃机公司：国庆连假运量估73.8万人次出境高峰落在10/8、10/9\">桃机公司：国庆连假运量估73.8万人次出境高峰落在10/8、10/9</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5359.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数下跌-13.19点至426.61点，跌幅3%\">盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数下跌-13.19点至426.61点，跌幅3%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-13069.html\" title=\"〈房产〉就业与轨道经济发威促住宅需求增桃园空屋大减1.2万宅\">〈房产〉就业与轨道经济发威促住宅需求增桃园空屋大减1.2万宅</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9664.html\" title=\"〈焦点股〉美拟封杀中国光收发器光通讯股集体发光飙涨\">〈焦点股〉美拟封杀中国光收发器光通讯股集体发光飙涨</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4972.html\" title=\"超丰斥资14.37亿元收购菲律宾封测厂强化全球供应链韧性\">超丰斥资14.37亿元收购菲律宾封测厂强化全球供应链韧性</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-15203.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 捷创科技(7810)8月营收7,727万元年增率高达119.81％\">营收速报 - 捷创科技(7810)8月营收7,727万元年增率高达119.81％</a></li>\n 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