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台达电、奇𬭎等供应链吃香!AI资料中心狂扩建 变压器、液冷需求爆发

2026-10-11 01:47:17 网络 阅读(50)

人工智慧(AI)热潮持续推升全球资料中心建置需求,市场焦点虽多集中在辉达(NVDA-US) 等AI晶片大厂,但随着电力供应与散热成为资料中心扩建的关键瓶颈,变压器、电力设备及冷却系统供应商也逐渐成为这波AI基础建设投资的受惠者。

台达电、奇𬭎等供应链吃香!AI资料中心狂扩建  变压器、液冷需求爆发

根据《路透》报导,麦肯锡(McKinsey)预估,到2030年全球资料中心投资规模将接近7兆美元;辉达上周也表示,预期AI支出未来数年仍将维持强劲。

然而,资料中心建置速度正受到基础设施限制。顾问公司Pivotale AI指出,超大规模云端服务商通常希望资料中心能在6个月内交付,但部分新兴市场的电网接入可能延迟最长24个月,主要已开发市场甚至可能超过8年。

数位基础设施服务商BodaData执行长Wing Kin Cheung表示:「在业界之外,人们谈论的是图形处理器(GPU);但在业界内,人们最关心的绝对是发电机与变压器的交货时间。」

变压器主要负责将电网输送的高压电转换为适合伺服器、冷却系统及电力配送设备使用的电压。

变压器需求爆发 韩中厂商订单大增

AI基础设施投资升温,已直接反映在变压器供应商的订单表现。

南韩电力设备与能源解决方案制造商HD Hyundai Electric与中国电力设备供应商金盘科技(688676-CN) 均表示,2026年上半年AI基础建设专案带动变压器需求大幅增加,尤其北美市场表现突出。

HD Hyundai Electric近期指出,随着美国超大规模云端业者扩大在芬兰、德国及英国等欧洲市场的投资,当地需求也持续成长,中东市场需求则维持强劲。

截至6月底,HD Hyundai Electric订单积压金额较半年前增加23%,达85亿美元。公司预期资料中心需求仍将维持强劲。

HD Hyundai Electric表示,目前订单积压已涵盖超过3年的产能,其中主要电力设备未来3年的部分产能已获得保障,公司甚至已与部分主要客户洽谈交付时间延伸至2030年的订单。

金盘科技的资料中心新订单则更为强劲。2026年上半年资料中心相关新订单较去年同期增加逾4倍,相关订单积压量也接近增加3倍。

AI晶片耗电暴增 固态变压器成新焦点

随着AI晶片功耗不断提高,资料中心业者不仅需要更多电力设备,也开始寻求提升能源效率、降低环境负荷的技术。

美国银行(Bank of America)引用辉达的产品路线图估计,到2030年底,单一AI机柜的耗电量可能攀升至超过1.5MW,接近传统机柜的100倍。

固态变压器(solid-state transformer,SST)就是其中一项受到关注的技术。这种设备以半导体取代大型磁性线圈与铜绕组,用于转换及传输电力。

瑞银(UBS)估计,SST可提升约4%的电力效率并降低成本。虽然目前商业化应用仍处于早期阶段,但该行预期SST渗透率到2030年可达40%,并认为中国企业可能凭借技术能力及成本优势取得更大市占。

HD Hyundai Electric与金盘科技均表示,正在深化SST技术的开发;台湾主要电力基础设施供应商台达电(2308-TW) 则表示,目前已有一座小型资料中心采用其SST产品。

台达电指出,AI电力、散热及资料中心基础设施解决方案仍是公司成长动能之一,并正扩大泰国、美国及中国的生产布局,以因应需求增加。

AI散热需求升温 液冷2030年占比估达70%

除了供电之外,散热也成为AI资料中心扩建的另一项核心需求。随着高功耗AI晶片产生更多热量,资料中心对冷却设备的需求同步增加。

美银亚太区基础材料、石油与天然气研究主管Matty Zhao指出,电力与散热基本上相互依存,资料中心使用的电力越多,产生的热量越高,也就需要更多散热能力。

美银预估,到2030年,液冷将占新建AI资料中心冷却系统的70%,相较目前约30%的比例大幅提升。麦肯锡则指出,液冷技术可降低超过27%的能源消耗。

资料中心开发商也开始探索更非传统的建置方式,包括漂浮式设施、水下资料中心,以及将伺服器部署于洞穴或隧道中,为更多设备供应商创造市场机会。

HD Hyundai Electric表示,随着资料中心自发电及漂浮式资料中心市场扩大,也为船用中速引擎业者进入新市场创造机会。

热管理产品需求强劲成长,也带动辉达生态系供应商,包括台达电、台湾散热解决方案供应商奇𬭎(3017-TW) 与双鸿(3324-TW) ,以及中国英维克(002837-CN) 的需求。

供应链订单旺 投资人开始担心估值与竞争

尽管资料中心相关设备订单持续增加,但供应商股价涨势已开始降温,原因包括市场对高估值以及产业竞争加剧的疑虑升高。

台达电今年股价已上涨逾90%;HD Hyundai Electric则大致持平,较去年超过100%的涨幅明显降温。中国金盘科技与英维克今年股价则分别下跌近30%与20%,此前两家公司在2025年分别大涨118%及244%。

台达电董事长郑平在7月表示,即使营收持续增加,毛利率可能仍大致维持目前水准;市场同时存在新产品平台、部署延迟及零组件短缺等多项变数,相关问题今年下半年可能进一步加剧。

美银则提醒投资人,AI资料中心供应链并非所有业者都能成为赢家。真正能持续取得客户与订单的龙头供应商,才可能在这波基础建设扩张中脱颖而出。

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    "content": "<p>人工智慧(AI)热潮持续推升全球资料中心建置需求,市场焦点虽多集中在辉达(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:NVDA:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">NVDA-US</a>) 等AI晶片大厂,但随着电力供应与散热成为资料中心扩建的关键瓶颈,变压器、电力设备及冷却系统供应商也逐渐成为这波AI基础建设投资的受惠者。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6594702/l/38f8131b9f8fa49537067c6d7270e66f.jpg\" alt=\"台达电、奇𬭎等供应链吃香!AI资料中心狂扩建  变压器、液冷需求爆发\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>根据《路透》报导,麦肯锡(McKinsey)预估,到2030年全球资料中心投资规模将接近7兆美元;辉达上周也表示,预期AI支出未来数年仍将维持强劲。</p>\n\n<p>然而,资料中心建置速度正受到基础设施限制。顾问公司Pivotale AI指出,超大规模云端服务商通常希望资料中心能在6个月内交付,但部分新兴市场的电网接入可能延迟最长24个月,主要已开发市场甚至可能超过8年。</p>\n\n<p>数位基础设施服务商BodaData执行长Wing Kin Cheung表示:「在业界之外,人们谈论的是图形处理器(GPU);但在业界内,人们最关心的绝对是发电机与变压器的交货时间。」</p>\n\n<p>变压器主要负责将电网输送的高压电转换为适合伺服器、冷却系统及电力配送设备使用的电压。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>变压器需求爆发 韩中厂商订单大增</strong></h6>\n\n<p>AI基础设施投资升温,已直接反映在变压器供应商的订单表现。</p>\n\n<p>南韩电力设备与能源解决方案制造商HD Hyundai Electric与中国电力设备供应商金盘科技(<a data-symbol-template=\"CNS:688676:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">688676-CN</a>) 均表示,2026年上半年AI基础建设专案带动变压器需求大幅增加,尤其北美市场表现突出。</p>\n\n<p>HD Hyundai Electric近期指出,随着美国超大规模云端业者扩大在芬兰、德国及英国等欧洲市场的投资,当地需求也持续成长,中东市场需求则维持强劲。</p>\n\n<p>截至6月底,HD Hyundai Electric订单积压金额较半年前增加23%,达85亿美元。公司预期资料中心需求仍将维持强劲。</p>\n\n<p>HD Hyundai Electric表示,目前订单积压已涵盖超过3年的产能,其中主要电力设备未来3年的部分产能已获得保障,公司甚至已与部分主要客户洽谈交付时间延伸至2030年的订单。</p>\n\n<p>金盘科技的资料中心新订单则更为强劲。2026年上半年资料中心相关新订单较去年同期增加逾4倍,相关订单积压量也接近增加3倍。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>AI</strong><strong>晶片耗电暴增 固态变压器成新焦点</strong></h6>\n\n<p>随着AI晶片功耗不断提高,资料中心业者不仅需要更多电力设备,也开始寻求提升能源效率、降低环境负荷的技术。</p>\n\n<p>美国银行(Bank of America)引用辉达的产品路线图估计,到2030年底,单一AI机柜的耗电量可能攀升至超过1.5MW,接近传统机柜的100倍。</p>\n\n<p>固态变压器(solid-state transformer,SST)就是其中一项受到关注的技术。这种设备以半导体取代大型磁性线圈与铜绕组,用于转换及传输电力。</p>\n\n<p>瑞银(UBS)估计,SST可提升约4%的电力效率并降低成本。虽然目前商业化应用仍处于早期阶段,但该行预期SST渗透率到2030年可达40%,并认为中国企业可能凭借技术能力及成本优势取得更大市占。</p>\n\n<p>HD Hyundai Electric与金盘科技均表示,正在深化SST技术的开发;台湾主要电力基础设施供应商台达电(<a data-symbol-template=\"TWS:2308:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">2308-TW</a>) 则表示,目前已有一座小型资料中心采用其SST产品。</p>\n\n<p>台达电指出,AI电力、散热及资料中心基础设施解决方案仍是公司成长动能之一,并正扩大泰国、美国及中国的生产布局,以因应需求增加。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>AI</strong><strong>散热需求升温 液冷</strong><strong>2030</strong><strong>年占比估达</strong><strong>70%</strong></h6>\n\n<p>除了供电之外,散热也成为AI资料中心扩建的另一项核心需求。随着高功耗AI晶片产生更多热量,资料中心对冷却设备的需求同步增加。</p>\n\n<p>美银亚太区基础材料、石油与天然气研究主管Matty Zhao指出,电力与散热基本上相互依存,资料中心使用的电力越多,产生的热量越高,也就需要更多散热能力。</p>\n\n<p>美银预估,到2030年,液冷将占新建AI资料中心冷却系统的70%,相较目前约30%的比例大幅提升。麦肯锡则指出,液冷技术可降低超过27%的能源消耗。</p>\n\n<p>资料中心开发商也开始探索更非传统的建置方式,包括漂浮式设施、水下资料中心,以及将伺服器部署于洞穴或隧道中,为更多设备供应商创造市场机会。</p>\n\n<p>HD Hyundai Electric表示,随着资料中心自发电及漂浮式资料中心市场扩大,也为船用中速引擎业者进入新市场创造机会。</p>\n\n<p>热管理产品需求强劲成长,也带动辉达生态系供应商,包括台达电、台湾散热解决方案供应商奇𬭎(<a data-symbol-template=\"TWS:3017:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">3017-TW</a>) 与双鸿(<a data-symbol-template=\"TWS:3324:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">3324-TW</a>) ,以及中国英维克(<a data-symbol-template=\"CNS:002837:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">002837-CN</a>) 的需求。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>供应链订单旺 投资人开始担心估</strong><strong>值</strong><strong>与竞争</strong></h6>\n\n<p>尽管资料中心相关设备订单持续增加,但供应商股价涨势已开始降温,原因包括市场对高估值以及产业竞争加剧的疑虑升高。</p>\n\n<p>台达电今年股价已上涨逾90%;HD Hyundai Electric则大致持平,较去年超过100%的涨幅明显降温。中国金盘科技与英维克今年股价则分别下跌近30%与20%,此前两家公司在2025年分别大涨118%及244%。</p>\n\n<p>台达电董事长郑平在7月表示,即使营收持续增加,毛利率可能仍大致维持目前水准;市场同时存在新产品平台、部署延迟及零组件短缺等多项变数,相关问题今年下半年可能进一步加剧。</p>\n\n<p>美银则提醒投资人,AI资料中心供应链并非所有业者都能成为赢家。真正能持续取得客户与订单的龙头供应商,才可能在这波基础建设扩张中脱颖而出。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7648.html\" title=\"美AI投资趋缓?物流端暂无感 中菲行看空运一路旺到明年\">美AI投资趋缓?物流端暂无感 中菲行看空运一路旺到明年</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-3571.html\" title=\"落实人才永续与友善职场  新光保全蝉联幸福企业优质奖\">落实人才永续与友善职场  新光保全蝉联幸福企业优质奖</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-13634.html\" title=\"〈能源盘后〉美伊战火再起!原油暴涨逾5% Brent创5周新高 WTI重返90美元\">〈能源盘后〉美伊战火再起!原油暴涨逾5% Brent创5周新高 WTI重返90美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5664.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 统新(6426)6月营收7,073万元年增率高达103.04%\">营收速报  - 统新(6426)6月营收7,073万元年增率高达103.04%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10136.html\" title=\"国泰投信郑立诚看台股:短线不用期待V转 下半年「主被动ETF四六配」攻守兼具\">国泰投信郑立诚看台股:短线不用期待V转 下半年「主被动ETF四六配」攻守兼具</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9631.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨13.66点至388.69点,涨幅3.64%\">盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨13.66点至388.69点,涨幅3.64%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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