天天财经

雷科(6207)订单看到2027上半年!在手订单破10亿元,最大变数会是这个?

2026-09-08 14:38:18 网络 阅读(1)

优分析产业资料库雷科 法人预估

雷科10亿订单从哪来?CoWoS、TCV成两大设备亮点

受惠AI先进封装浪潮,雷科已从被动元件材料商,转型为半导体设备占比逾六成的供应商。目前在手设备订单已超过10亿元,订单能见度直达2027年上半年,且自制设备在2027年可望翻倍成长,产品结构正朝向高附价值、高毛利方向优化。10亿元主要构成如下:

  • CoWoS代理设备约2亿元:原厂供不应求,接下来还有新一制程设备订单机会,2026年出货量可望年增3成。
  • TCV陶瓷钻孔设备3~5亿元:透过日系客户间接切入美系GPU、CPU大厂,预计2026年Q4末到2027年初开始出货。
  • 被动元件设备:交期拉长,2027年Q1已有大量订单排队,能见度延伸至Q2。
  • WaferTrim、清针设备:陆续取得新单,2026年WaferTrim规划交付约10台。

整体来看,雷科目前设备业务并非单靠单一产品成长,而是形成CoWoS、TCV、Wafer Trim、被动元件设备多产品线接力的局面。这也让设备业务的订单能见度明显拉长,成为雷科未来两年的重要成长基础。

自制设备营收拚倍增!雷科2027年毛利率有望站上33%

不过,比起单纯的设备代理业务,市场更关注雷科接下来的自制设备放量。目前设备业务约占雷科营收65%,其中自制与代理设备营收占比约各半。公司预期,2027年自制设备营收有机会较2026年倍增,甚至2027年上半年的出货量就可能超过2026年全年。

雷科 自制设备 目前进度(资料来源:优分析产业资料库)

这项变化的重要性在于,自制设备的毛利率可达40%~50%,明显高于公司整体平均。换句话说,未来雷科的成长不只是「设备卖得更多」,而是产品结构可能逐渐从代理设备转向高毛利的自制设备。

2027年营收拚20亿元!EPS估4.08元,毛利率33%成关键

法人对雷科2026~2027年的营运展望也相对乐观。

雷科 法人预估

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库)

法人预估,雷科2027年营收有机会挑战20亿元,EPS则由2026年的2.32元提升至4.08元。背后主要有四大成长动能:

第一,CoWoS代理设备持续出货—除了既有订单之外,随着原厂供货吃紧,后续新一制程设备仍有接单机会。

第二,自制设备占比提升—若自制设备出货量按照公司规划快速增加,高毛利产品占比突破5成,将直接推升整体毛利率。

第三,被动元件设备需求回温—相关卷带材料订单已排至2027年第一季,提供设备业务稳定的订单支撑。

第四,OEM业务正式起跑—雷科预计2026年第四季从纯代理模式跨入中低阶设备代工,进一步提高自制比重,也有助于改善产品毛利结构。

订单很旺却要留意!关键零组件交期拉长,营收认列恐延后

整体而言,雷科目前正处于设备订单快速累积、自制产品逐步放量的关键阶段。短期看的是CoWoS、TCV与被动元件设备订单出货进度;中期则要观察Wafer Trim、清针、TCV、TSV等自制设备能否如期放量。而真正决定雷科获利弹性的,则是自制设备占比能否持续提升。若2027年自制设备营收真的达到倍增,搭配高毛利产品占比提高,法人预估毛利率有机会由30.93%进一步提升至33.08%,形成「营收高速成长+毛利率同步改善」的双重效应。

不过,雷科目前并非没有风险。最大的短期变数来自关键零组件交期拉长。以高阶雷射头为例,交期已由原本3~4个月拉长至约4.5~5个月,导致部分晶圆修阻机出货时程延后。原本公司预期2026年可认列约10台设备营收,但目前受到零组件交期影响,预估实际认列数量下修至约3台,其余订单可能延至2026年第四季甚至2027年上半年。这并不代表订单消失,而是营收认列时间往后移。

因此,雷科2026年第三季营收可能出现较明显的波动,市场不宜单纯以单季营收判断订单需求是否转弱。

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。

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    "description": "雷科10亿订单从哪来?CoWoS、TCV成两大设备亮点 受惠AI先进封装浪潮,雷科已从被动元件材料商,转型为半导体设备占比逾六成的供应商。目前在手设备订单已超过10亿元,订单能见度直达2027年上半年,且自制设备在2027年可望翻倍成长,产品结构正朝向高附价值、高毛利方向优化。10亿元主要构成如下: CoWoS代理设备约2亿元:原厂供不应求,接下来还有新一制程设备订单机会,2026年出货量可望年增3成。 TCV陶瓷钻孔设备3~5亿元:透过日系客户间接切入美系GPU、CPU大厂,预计2026年Q4",
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    "content": "<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6600392/o/7227754b90290955ccdbbdff2af7b055.jpg\" alt=\"优分析产业资料库雷科 法人预估\" /><h2 class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-section-id=\"ougm4a\" data-start=\"754\" data-end=\"784\">雷科10亿订单从哪来?CoWoS、TCV成两大设备亮点</h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"856\">受惠AI先进封装浪潮,雷科已从被动元件材料商,转型为半导体设备占比逾六成的供应商。目前在手设备订单已超过10亿元,订单能见度直达2027年上半年,且自制设备在2027年可望翻倍成长,产品结构正朝向高附价值、高毛利方向优化。10亿元主要构成如下:</p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"856\">CoWoS代理设备约2亿元:原厂供不应求,接下来还有新一制程设备订单机会,2026年出货量可望年增3成。</li>\n<li data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"856\">TCV陶瓷钻孔设备3~5亿元:透过日系客户间接切入美系GPU、CPU大厂,预计2026年Q4末到2027年初开始出货。</li>\n<li data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"856\">被动元件设备:交期拉长,2027年Q1已有大量订单排队,能见度延伸至Q2。</li>\n<li data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"856\">WaferTrim、清针设备:陆续取得新单,2026年WaferTrim规划交付约10台。</li>\n</ul>\n<p data-start=\"1204\" data-end=\"1273\">整体来看,雷科目前设备业务并非单靠单一产品成长,而是形成CoWoS、TCV、Wafer Trim、被动元件设备多产品线接力的局面。这也让设备业务的订单能见度明显拉长,成为雷科未来两年的重要成长基础。</p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1phasar\" data-start=\"1316\" data-end=\"1346\">自制设备营收拚倍增!雷科2027年毛利率有望站上33%</h2>\n<p data-start=\"1348\" data-end=\"1385\">不过,比起单纯的设备代理业务,市场更关注雷科接下来的自制设备放量。目前设备业务约占雷科营收65%,其中自制与代理设备营收占比约各半。公司预期,2027年自制设备营收有机会较2026年倍增,甚至2027年上半年的出货量就可能超过2026年全年。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-start=\"1348\" data-end=\"1385\"><img title=\"雷科 自制设备 目前进度\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6600392/o/ce6230c8dd7248ae14dbd81ec9451d3a.jpg\" alt=\"雷科 自制设备 目前进度\" width=\"1348\" height=\"449\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p data-start=\"1348\" data-end=\"1385\">这项变化的重要性在于,自制设备的毛利率可达40%~50%,明显高于公司整体平均。换句话说,未来雷科的成长不只是「设备卖得更多」,而是产品结构可能逐渐从代理设备转向高毛利的自制设备。</p>\n<h2 class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-section-id=\"1euaelf\" data-start=\"1848\" data-end=\"1883\">2027年营收拚20亿元!EPS估4.08元,毛利率33%成关键</h2>\n<p data-start=\"1885\" data-end=\"1911\">法人对雷科2026~2027年的营运展望也相对乐观。</p>\n<p data-start=\"1885\" data-end=\"1911\"><img title=\"雷科 法人预估\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6600392/o/05106e99e91e82c8548fd35a74647823.jpg\" alt=\"雷科 法人预估\" width=\"1039\" height=\"878\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-start=\"1885\" data-end=\"1911\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p>法人预估,雷科2027年营收有机会挑战20亿元,EPS则由2026年的2.32元提升至4.08元。背后主要有四大成长动能:</p>\n<p>第一,CoWoS代理设备持续出货&mdash;除了既有订单之外,随着原厂供货吃紧,后续新一制程设备仍有接单机会。</p>\n<p>第二,自制设备占比提升&mdash;若自制设备出货量按照公司规划快速增加,高毛利产品占比突破5成,将直接推升整体毛利率。</p>\n<p>第三,被动元件设备需求回温&mdash;相关卷带材料订单已排至2027年第一季,提供设备业务稳定的订单支撑。</p>\n<p>第四,OEM业务正式起跑&mdash;雷科预计2026年第四季从纯代理模式跨入中低阶设备代工,进一步提高自制比重,也有助于改善产品毛利结构。</p>\n<h2 class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-section-id=\"xr2nfv\" data-start=\"2382\" data-end=\"2411\">订单很旺却要留意!关键零组件交期拉长,营收认列恐延后</h2>\n<p class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-start=\"2698\" data-end=\"2733\">整体而言,雷科目前正处于设备订单快速累积、自制产品逐步放量的关键阶段。短期看的是CoWoS、TCV与被动元件设备订单出货进度;中期则要观察Wafer Trim、清针、TCV、TSV等自制设备能否如期放量。而真正决定雷科获利弹性的,则是自制设备占比能否持续提升。若2027年自制设备营收真的达到倍增,搭配高毛利产品占比提高,法人预估毛利率有机会由30.93%进一步提升至33.08%,形成「营收高速成长+毛利率同步改善」的双重效应。</p>\n<p data-start=\"2413\" data-end=\"2427\">不过,雷科目前并非没有风险。最大的短期变数来自关键零组件交期拉长。以高阶雷射头为例,交期已由原本3~4个月拉长至约4.5~5个月,导致部分晶圆修阻机出货时程延后。原本公司预期2026年可认列约10台设备营收,但目前受到零组件交期影响,预估实际认列数量下修至约3台,其余订单可能延至2026年第四季甚至2027年上半年。这并不代表订单消失,而是营收认列时间往后移。</p>\n<p data-start=\"2612\" data-end=\"2660\">因此,雷科2026年第三季营收可能出现较明显的波动,市场不宜单纯以单季营收判断订单需求是否转弱。</p><p>※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:<a style=\"color:#A9A9A9\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https://uanalyze.com.tw/articles/4989954836\">原文连结</a>\n            <br>※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。</p>\n            <p></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5212.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 千兴(2025)6月营收8,549万元年增率高达57.86%\">营收速报  - 千兴(2025)6月营收8,549万元年增率高达57.86%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-13357.html\" title=\"通讯行:苹果在台降价空间遭压缩 iPhone 17系列恐难迎新机上市前降价潮\">通讯行:苹果在台降价空间遭压缩 iPhone 17系列恐难迎新机上市前降价潮</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14500.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 光环(3234)8月营收1.09亿元年增率高达110.13%\">营收速报  - 光环(3234)8月营收1.09亿元年增率高达110.13%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2679.html\" title=\"明基材「1-3-5-7」策略冲刺医材布局 目标3年内营收比重达5成\">明基材「1-3-5-7」策略冲刺医材布局 目标3年内营收比重达5成</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9174.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:日月光投控(3711-TW)目标价调升至700元,幅度约16.67%\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:日月光投控(3711-TW)目标价调升至700元,幅度约16.67%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10482.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:慧洋-KY(2637-TW)EPS预估上修至8.86元,预估目标价为95元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:慧洋-KY(2637-TW)EPS预估上修至8.86元,预估目标价为95元</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-09-08T06:30:07.000Z",
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