苹果折叠机开卖11.89万！供应链新日兴(3376)却重挫7%！概念股是利多出尽？

2026年09月10日（优分析／产业数据中心报导）⸺ 苹果首款折叠iPhone终于来了，而且一出手，就直接把iPhone的价格天花板推到接近12万元。 Apple正式发表首款折叠手机iPhone Duo，台湾256GB版本售价74,900元起，最高2TB版本更来到118,900元，预计10月16日开放预订、10月23日正式上市。

但如果从投资角度来看，真正值得注意的可能不是一支手机卖多贵，而是苹果正式把「折叠机」变成自己的全新产品线，也同步拉出一条过去传统iPhone没有的零组件供应链。

最高11.89万元，苹果为什么敢把价格拉这么高？

iPhone Duo采用7.6吋内萤幕与5.4吋外萤幕，搭载A20 Pro晶片，并导入全新的精密轴承设计、双电池架构与散热系统。A20 Pro更采用最新2奈米制程，Apple将iPhone Duo定位为iPhone问世以来最重大的产品型态变化之一。换句话说，折叠iPhone不是单纯「多一片萤幕」。

从面板、轴承、机构件、软板，到整机组装，都必须重新设计，也让过去在传统iPhone中占比不高、甚至不存在的零组件，开始取得更高的价值量。

这也是市场现在开始重新关注新日兴(3376-TW)、兆利(3548-TW)、臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)、台郡(6269-TW)等折叠机相关供应链的原因。目前市场资讯指出，新日兴(3376-TW)正与鸿海(2317-TW)合作承接折叠iPhone轴承相关业务，而折叠手机的平整度、折痕深度与整机厚度，都与轴承设计高度相关。

新日兴跌最重，反而是因为「最纯」？

这次市场最关注的台厂之一，就是新日兴(3376-TW)，苹果首款折叠手机相较传统直板手机多出精密铰链结构，而新日兴(3376-TW)与鸿海旗下工业富联今年已成立合资公司，法人认为双方合作与iPhone Duo铰链订单高度相关，因此新日兴也成为这波折叠iPhone题材中，市场辨识度最高的指标股之一。

正因为题材纯度高，股价在发表会前已提前反映不少期待，换句话说，短期股价修正，不一定代表市场否定折叠iPhone。

不只轴承，PCB与软板也跟着换规格

另一个值得注意的方向是PCB与软板，折叠手机加入双萤幕、新机构及更复杂的内部配置后，对FPCB、高阶PCB及相关材料需求也跟传统iPhone不同。

其中，臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)是苹果重要PCB供应商，市场估计，2026年苹果相关营收可能占公司约60%～65%，其中iPhone约占40%～45%，因此后续iPhone Duo放量，也成为市场观察其产品组合升级的重要题材之一。

台郡(6269-TW)则因软板布局，同样被市场纳入折叠手机供应链观察名单；至于兆利(3548-TW)，本身为轴承与转轴厂商，因此市场亦将其视为折叠机题材股；不过现阶段投资人更应区分「折叠机产业受惠」与「已确认取得Apple订单」两件事，实际供应份额仍需等待公司或供应链进一步资讯。

富邦投顾预估，首年折叠iPhone销量约占iPhone 18系列总出货量8%，对供应链营收较明显的实质贡献，可能要等到2027年才开始浮现。

如果只看2026年的出货量，折叠iPhone可能还只是一项高阶新品；但如果苹果成功把折叠机从「特殊机种」变成固定产品线，供应商接下来看的就不是第一代卖多少，而是第二代渗透率能不能提高、零组件单机价值能不能维持，以及供应链份额能否扩大。

三星早在2019年就进入折叠手机市场，目前折叠机占其全年手机出货仍约6%，显示折叠机距离真正成为主流仍有一段距离；但苹果正式加入，可能成为整个产业渗透率再次往上的重要催化剂。

接下来更值得追踪的不是哪些股票被贴上「折叠iPhone概念股」，而是哪些公司的基本面真的开始出现变化，包括相关产品何时进入量产、单机价值量有多少、营收占比何时拉升，以及法人对2027年营收与获利预估是否开始上修，都比短线题材更加重要。

第一代iPhone Duo可能只是起点，真正值得投资人注意的，是苹果是否正在创造下一条新的供应链成长曲线。

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载，原文出处:原文连结
※ 免责声明：文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考，并非投资建议，投资人应独立判断，审慎评估风险。

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Apple正式发表首款折叠手机iPhone Duo，台湾256GB版本售价74,900元起，最高2TB版本更来到118,900元，预计10月16日开放预订、10月23日正式上市。但如果从投资角度来看，真正值得注意的可能不是一支手机卖多贵，而是苹果正式把「折叠机」变成自己的全新产品线，也同步拉出一条过去传统iPhone没有的零组件供应链。最高1", "img": "", "content": "<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6603008/o/1c7eadc921ab373e8ddabc5edbc70ccd.jpg\" alt=\"图片来源：优分析产业资料库\" /><p>2026年09月10日（优分析／产业数据中心报导）⸺ 苹果首款折叠iPhone终于来了，而且一出手，就直接把iPhone的价格天花板推到接近12万元。 Apple正式发表首款折叠手机iPhone Duo，台湾256GB版本售价74,900元起，最高2TB版本更来到118,900元，预计10月16日开放预订、10月23日正式上市。</p>\n<p>但如果从投资角度来看，真正值得注意的可能不是一支手机卖多贵，而是苹果正式把「折叠机」变成自己的全新产品线，也同步拉出一条过去传统iPhone没有的零组件供应链。</p>\n<h2>最高11.89万元，苹果为什么敢把价格拉这么高？</h2>\n<p>iPhone Duo采用7.6吋内萤幕与5.4吋外萤幕，搭载A20 Pro晶片，并导入全新的精密轴承设计、双电池架构与散热系统。A20 Pro更采用最新2奈米制程，Apple将iPhone Duo定位为iPhone问世以来最重大的产品型态变化之一。换句话说，折叠iPhone不是单纯「多一片萤幕」。</p>\n<p>从面板、轴承、机构件、软板，到整机组装，都必须重新设计，也让过去在传统iPhone中占比不高、甚至不存在的零组件，开始取得更高的价值量。</p>\n<p>这也是市场现在开始重新关注新日兴(3376-TW)、兆利(3548-TW)、臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)、台郡(6269-TW)等折叠机相关供应链的原因。目前市场资讯指出，新日兴(3376-TW)正与鸿海(2317-TW)合作承接折叠iPhone轴承相关业务，而折叠手机的平整度、折痕深度与整机厚度，都与轴承设计高度相关。</p>\n<h2>新日兴跌最重，反而是因为「最纯」？</h2>\n<p>这次市场最关注的台厂之一，就是新日兴(3376-TW)，苹果首款折叠手机相较传统直板手机多出精密铰链结构，而新日兴(3376-TW)与鸿海旗下工业富联今年已成立合资公司，法人认为双方合作与iPhone Duo铰链订单高度相关，因此新日兴也成为这波折叠iPhone题材中，市场辨识度最高的指标股之一。</p>\n<p>正因为题材纯度高，股价在发表会前已提前反映不少期待，换句话说，短期股价修正，不一定代表市场否定折叠iPhone。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6603008/o/f09620daf982ce129c729db069a0790d.jpg\"></p>\n<h2>不只轴承，PCB与软板也跟着换规格</h2>\n<p>另一个值得注意的方向是PCB与软板，折叠手机加入双萤幕、新机构及更复杂的内部配置后，对FPCB、高阶PCB及相关材料需求也跟传统iPhone不同。</p>\n<p>其中，臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)是苹果重要PCB供应商，市场估计，2026年苹果相关营收可能占公司约60%～65%，其中iPhone约占40%～45%，因此后续iPhone Duo放量，也成为市场观察其产品组合升级的重要题材之一。</p>\n<p>台郡(6269-TW)则因软板布局，同样被市场纳入折叠手机供应链观察名单；至于兆利(3548-TW)，本身为轴承与转轴厂商，因此市场亦将其视为折叠机题材股；不过现阶段投资人更应区分「折叠机产业受惠」与「已确认取得Apple订单」两件事，实际供应份额仍需等待公司或供应链进一步资讯。</p>\n<p>富邦投顾预估，首年折叠iPhone销量约占iPhone 18系列总出货量8%，对供应链营收较明显的实质贡献，可能要等到2027年才开始浮现。</p>\n<p>如果只看2026年的出货量，折叠iPhone可能还只是一项高阶新品；但如果苹果成功把折叠机从「特殊机种」变成固定产品线，供应商接下来看的就不是第一代卖多少，而是第二代渗透率能不能提高、零组件单机价值能不能维持，以及供应链份额能否扩大。</p>\n<p>三星早在2019年就进入折叠手机市场，目前折叠机占其全年手机出货仍约6%，显示折叠机距离真正成为主流仍有一段距离；但苹果正式加入，可能成为整个产业渗透率再次往上的重要催化剂。</p>\n<p>接下来更值得追踪的不是哪些股票被贴上「折叠iPhone概念股」，而是哪些公司的基本面真的开始出现变化，包括相关产品何时进入量产、单机价值量有多少、营收占比何时拉升，以及法人对2027年营收与获利预估是否开始上修，都比短线题材更加重要。</p>\n<p>第一代iPhone Duo可能只是起点，真正值得投资人注意的，是苹果是否正在创造下一条新的供应链成长曲线。</p><p>※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载，原文出处:<a style=\"color:#A9A9A9\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https://uanalyze.com.tw/articles/1558555064\">原文连结</a>\n <br>※ 免责声明：文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考，并非投资建议，投资人应独立判断，审慎评估风险。</p>\n <p></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7457.html\" 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最高11.89万元，苹果为什么敢把价格拉这么高？

新日兴跌最重，反而是因为「最纯」？

不只轴承，PCB与软板也跟着换规格

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