天天财经

丑小鸭变天鹅!? 南茂(8150)记忆体吃饱、狂卡位AI ASIC+矽光子!砸重金扩产藏大彩蛋?

2026-09-21 11:20:17 网络 阅读(1)

优分析

2026年09月21日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 封测大厂南茂(8150-TW)今(21)日早盘放量走强,从《优分析产业资料库》观察,市场更可能是在反映南茂营运主轴的转变:过去以显示器驱动IC封测为主,如今记忆体已取代DDIC,成为主要成长引擎。

受惠记忆体需求强劲、封测产能维持高档,加上报价调升与产品组合改善,南茂2026年第二季毛利率攀升至近18%,较先前谷底呈现「三级跳」式修复,营运结构逐步转向「记忆体领军、高阶应用加值」。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

为因应后续高阶封测强劲动能,南茂启动连续两年高强度资本支出,不仅斥资扩充 DDR5 测试产能并买下南科厂房,更跨足智慧型手机 AP/AI ASIC 成品测试及矽光子(SiPh)光学凸块封装领域,为 2027 至 2028 年新一波成长预先铺路。

记忆体动能强劲!报价连番调涨推升毛利率三级跳

南茂营运版图正迎来结构性大重整。回顾营收比重,2026 年第二季记忆体封测占比已一举拉升至 51.0%,超越 DDIC 成为名副其实的第一大成长引擎。记忆体封测稼动率自 2025 年第四季起全面满载并一路延续,推升整体产能稼动率从 2024 年底的 59%、2025 年第二季的 65%,至 2026 年第二季强弹至 72%。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

伴随产能供不应求,南茂启动数季降价以来的首波双线调价:

  • 2026 年第二季: 记忆体与 DDIC 封测报价同步调涨。

  • 2026 年第三季: 面对基板、导线架、高阶探针卡及 COF 等材料成本持续垫高,南茂再度调涨 DDI 封测价格。

受惠报价调涨与产品组合转佳,南茂毛利率自 2025 年第二季谷底的 6.6% 逐季跃升,至 2026 年第二季已冲上 17.96%,获利结构显著脱胎换骨。

资本支出连两年冲高:买下群创南科厂、扩建 DDR5 产能

为支援记忆体去瓶颈与次世代先进技术布局,南茂一改过去相对保守的投资步调,资本支出强度大幅提升。2024 年原本预期资本支出占营收约 15%~20%,但 2026 年实际强度已上修突破营收的 25%,法人预期 2027 年亦将维持在 25%~26% 的历史高档水准。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

南茂在产能布局上的关键动作频频:

  • 厂房购置: 于 2026 年 3 月斥资 8.8 亿元购入群创位于台南科学园区环东路二段之厂房(建物面积达 3.43 万平方公尺),为后续扩充打下空间基础。

  • 设备投资: 2026 年 2 月取得 4.45 亿元机器设备,全季资本支出达 5.35 亿元;第二季资本支出更大举拉升至 23.80 亿元(相较 2025 全年资本支出 36.66 亿元),展现扩产魄力。

  • DDR5 扩产: 针对需求持续增温的 DDR5 测试产能,南茂规划于 2026 年内扩产 10%~20%。

  • 打造新成长曲线:AI ASIC 测试入列、矽光子凸块蓄势待发

    除了记忆体基本盘固若金汤,南茂也将触角深入高阶逻辑运算与光电整合封装领域:

    • 智慧型手机 AP 与 AI ASIC:
      南茂的智慧型手机应用处理器(AP)封测已顺利进入量产阶段,预计 2026 年底高阶测试机台到位后启动少量生产。若客户专案放量顺利,南茂后续有望顺势迎来利润更佳的 AI ASIC 成品测试(FT)订单。

    • 矽光子(SiPh)与光学凸块(Optical Bumping):
      随着光学封装技术从传统打线接合转向覆晶(Flip-Chip)互连,南茂已与关键客户在凸块、晶圆处理服务(Wafer Processing)及铜柱(Copper Pillar)等制程展开深入合作。由于光学相关封装制程复杂度高,其定价明显优于传统 DDIC 凸块,公司预期 2027 年光学封装业务活动将显著增加,并自 2028 年起成为挹注营收与获利的新生力军。

    ※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
    ※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。

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              "id": 71,
              "pid": 10,
              "name": "经纪商 ",
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          "pid": 0,
          "name": "外汇经纪商",
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              "id": 69,
              "pid": 65,
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              "status": "0",
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              "id": 70,
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                  "id": 46,
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                  "id": 47,
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              "pid": 10,
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              "id": 38,
              "pid": 10,
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              "target": "0",
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                  "pid": 38,
                  "name": "证券入门",
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              "id": 39,
              "pid": 10,
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              "target": "0",
              "status": "1",
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                  "id": 55,
                  "pid": 39,
                  "name": "区块链入门",
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              "level": 1
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              "id": 40,
              "pid": 10,
              "name": "黄金",
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              "target": "0",
              "status": "1",
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                  "id": 56,
                  "pid": 40,
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                  "id": 58,
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                  "id": 59,
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              "id": 61,
              "pid": 10,
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              "id": 71,
              "pid": 10,
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          "id": 38,
          "pid": 10,
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          "target": "0",
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              "pid": 38,
              "name": "证券入门",
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              "status": "1",
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          "level": 1
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          "id": 39,
          "pid": 10,
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          "target": "0",
          "status": "1",
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        "description": "2026年09月21日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 封测大厂南茂(8150-TW)今(21)日早盘放量走强,从《优分析产业资料库》观察,市场更可能是在反映南茂营运主轴的转变:过去以显示器驱动IC封测为主,如今记忆体已取代DDIC,成为主要成长引擎。 受惠记忆体需求强劲、封测产能维持高档,加上报价调升与产品组合改善,南茂2026年第二季毛利率攀升至近18%,较先前谷底呈现「三级跳」式修复,营运结构逐步转向「记忆体领军、高阶应用加值」。 (图片来源:优分析产业资料库) 为因应后续高阶封测强劲动能,",
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        "content": "<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6611752/o/92e1d331fb0ed7e739f853d1a5ff2ff5.jpg\" alt=\"优分析\" /><p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">2026年09月21日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 封测大厂南茂(8150-TW)今(21)日早盘放量走强,从《优分析产业资料库》观察,市场更可能是在反映南茂营运主轴的转变:过去以显示器驱动IC封测为主,如今记忆体已取代DDIC,成为主要成长引擎。</p>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">受惠记忆体需求强劲、封测产能维持高档,加上报价调升与产品组合改善,南茂2026年第二季毛利率攀升至近18%,较先前谷底呈现「三级跳」式修复,营运结构逐步转向「记忆体领军、高阶应用加值」。</p>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6611752/o/02146ee527e2312a272827403c3302ab.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">为因应后续高阶封测强劲动能,南茂启动连续两年高强度资本支出,不仅斥资扩充 DDR5 测试产能并买下南科厂房,更跨足智慧型手机 AP/AI ASIC 成品测试及矽光子(SiPh)光学凸块封装领域,为 2027 至 2028 年新一波成长预先铺路。</p>\n<h2 class=\"ng-star-inserted\">记忆体动能强劲!报价连番调涨推升毛利率三级跳</h2>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">南茂营运版图正迎来结构性大重整。回顾营收比重,2026 年第二季记忆体封测占比已一举拉升至 51.0%,超越 DDIC 成为名副其实的第一大成长引擎。记忆体封测稼动率自 2025 年第四季起全面满载并一路延续,推升整体产能稼动率从 2024 年底的 59%、2025 年第二季的 65%,至 2026 年第二季强弹至 72%。</p>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6611752/o/4fc020d0a5a359aa08b1d95a6d19916a.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">伴随产能供不应求,南茂启动数季降价以来的首波双线调价:</p>\n<ul class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<li class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">2026 年第二季: 记忆体与 DDIC 封测报价同步调涨。</p>\n</li>\n<li class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">2026 年第三季: 面对基板、导线架、高阶探针卡及 COF 等材料成本持续垫高,南茂再度调涨 DDI 封测价格。</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">受惠报价调涨与产品组合转佳,南茂毛利率自 2025 年第二季谷底的 6.6% 逐季跃升,至 2026 年第二季已冲上 17.96%,获利结构显著脱胎换骨。</p>\n<h2 class=\"ng-star-inserted\">资本支出连两年冲高:买下群创南科厂、扩建 DDR5 产能</h2>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">为支援记忆体去瓶颈与次世代先进技术布局,南茂一改过去相对保守的投资步调,资本支出强度大幅提升。2024 年原本预期资本支出占营收约 15%~20%,但 2026 年实际强度已上修突破营收的 25%,法人预期 2027 年亦将维持在 25%~26% 的历史高档水准。</p>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6611752/o/b7827ce131ae9f1b2bbd2a4c7a8a6372.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">南茂在产能布局上的关键动作频频:</p>\n\n<li class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">厂房购置: 于 2026 年 3 月斥资 8.8 亿元购入群创位于台南科学园区环东路二段之厂房(建物面积达 3.43 万平方公尺),为后续扩充打下空间基础。</p>\n</li>\n<li class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">设备投资: 2026 年 2 月取得 4.45 亿元机器设备,全季资本支出达 5.35 亿元;第二季资本支出更大举拉升至 23.80 亿元(相较 2025 全年资本支出 36.66 亿元),展现扩产魄力。</p>\n</li>\n<li class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">DDR5 扩产: 针对需求持续增温的 DDR5 测试产能,南茂规划于 2026 年内扩产 10%~20%。</p>\n</li>\n\n<h2 class=\"ng-star-inserted\">打造新成长曲线:AI ASIC 测试入列、矽光子凸块蓄势待发</h2>\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">除了记忆体基本盘固若金汤,南茂也将触角深入高阶逻辑运算与光电整合封装领域:</p>\n<ul class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<li class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">智慧型手机 AP 与 AI ASIC:<br class=\"ng-star-inserted\">南茂的智慧型手机应用处理器(AP)封测已顺利进入量产阶段,预计 2026 年底高阶测试机台到位后启动少量生产。若客户专案放量顺利,南茂后续有望顺势迎来利润更佳的 AI ASIC 成品测试(FT)订单。</p>\n</li>\n<li class=\"ng-star-inserted\">\n<p class=\"ng-star-inserted\">矽光子(SiPh)与光学凸块(Optical Bumping):<br class=\"ng-star-inserted\">随着光学封装技术从传统打线接合转向覆晶(Flip-Chip)互连,南茂已与关键客户在凸块、晶圆处理服务(Wafer Processing)及铜柱(Copper Pillar)等制程展开深入合作。由于光学相关封装制程复杂度高,其定价明显优于传统 DDIC 凸块,公司预期 2027 年光学封装业务活动将显著增加,并自 2028 年起成为挹注营收与获利的新生力军。</p>\n</li>\n</ul><p>※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:<a style=\"color:#A9A9A9\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https://uanalyze.com.tw/articles/4380155681\">原文连结</a>\n            <br>※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。</p>\n            <p></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-12535.html\" title=\"力达-KY上半年陷亏损每股净损0.07元 去年0.6元股息10/28除息\">力达-KY上半年陷亏损每股净损0.07元 去年0.6元股息10/28除息</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10562.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 钰创(5351)7月营收21.25亿元年增率高达590.83%\">营收速报  - 钰创(5351)7月营收21.25亿元年增率高达590.83%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4994.html\" title=\"大盘开低走高!聪明资金已悄悄提前卡位?「这指标」透露发动讯号!\">大盘开低走高!聪明资金已悄悄提前卡位?「这指标」透露发动讯号!</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2648.html\" title=\"〈焦点股〉迈科CSP散热模组开始出货 站回800元关卡\">〈焦点股〉迈科CSP散热模组开始出货 站回800元关卡</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-16317.html\" title=\"富骅AI及网通布局发酵、泰国厂明年加入投产 挹注营收获利跃进\">富骅AI及网通布局发酵、泰国厂明年加入投产 挹注营收获利跃进</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14503.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 增你强(3028)8月营收67.33亿元年增率高达87.95%\">营收速报  - 增你强(3028)8月营收67.33亿元年增率高达87.95%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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