十月飙股霸气赢起跑点、全友⊕、宏齐、金像电、贸联、群创

一、盘势结构：量缩拉回，属高档震荡整理

台股今日下跌392点、收47,631点，成交值约7,873亿元；OTC同步回档0.17%至412.25点，整体呈现「量缩、价跌、震荡整理」格局，短线主要受到美债殖利率攀升、油价及升息预期干扰。近期美国通膨与PPI数据偏高，确实使市场重新提高升息预期，10年期美债殖利率也一度升破5.2%。
不过，目前指数仍处于中期多头架构，短线拉回尚未改变趋势。后续观察重点在于10日线、月线与季线支撑是否守稳，以及量能能否重新回到兆元以上。

二、基本面：AI需求仍是台股最大底气

台积电(2330-TW)2026年第二季EPS达27.25元，年增77.4%，营收与获利均维持高速成长，显示AI先进制程需求仍然强劲。
目前市场焦点将逐步转向9月营收、第三季财报及第四季展望。台积电9月营收预计10月8日公布，10月15日举行第三季法说会，将成为第四季科技股重要观察指标。
若AI伺服器、ASIC、先进封装、PCB、散热、电力及光通讯等供应链持续缴出高成长成绩，基本面仍可提供台股中期支撑。

三、10月行情：财报与产业基本面将接棒

10月市场焦点将由「升息与殖利率」逐步转向企业获利、营收与财测，尤其台积电法说会、美国科技股财报及记忆体族群展望，均可能牵动台股科技股评价。
第四季传统旺季、AI基础建设持续扩张，加上CSP资本支出仍是市场核心题材，若财报未出现明显修正，盘势有机会维持高档震荡偏多结构。

四、族群轮动：由高基期转向低基期成长股

近期盘面明显出现高档股拉回、低基期股接棒现象，显示资金并未全面撤离，而是转向寻找评价与筹码相对有利的标的。
产业可持续留意ASIC/IP、PCB与ABF、CPO/光通讯、玻纤布、先进封装、玻璃基板、自动化设备、AI伺服器、散热、电力及金融等方向。
操作上不宜单纯追逐短线强势股，反而应优先观察营收成长、订单能见度、EPS上修与筹码改善的低基期转机成长股。

五、后市策略：选股重于选市，低接不追高

整体而言，今日回档较偏向高档震荡与筹码换手，真正关键仍是基本面是否持续成长、均线支撑是否守稳、量能是否重新放大。短线需留意油价、美债殖利率与Fed政策变化所带来的波动，但若AI产业获利与第四季旺季需求持续验证，台股中期多头架构仍有基本面支撑。策略上建议「选股重于选市、低接不追高」，聚焦具实质业绩支撑且评价尚未充分反映成长性的族群。

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第三季财报漂亮
股价还在底部刚发动
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文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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"articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "台股跌392点收47,631点、成交值约7,873亿元，属量缩高档震荡整理。
美债殖利率一度升破5.2%，升息预期、油价影响盘势；中期多头未变，观察10日线、月线、季线与量能。
AI需求仍撑基本面，台积电2026年Q2 EPS 27.25元年增77.4%，10/8营收、10/15法说会将成焦点。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/ae863b94a0b6e8c2f4c5909cf3f3e4a0.jpg", "content": "一、盘势结构：量缩拉回，属高档震荡整理\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/ae863b94a0b6e8c2f4c5909cf3f3e4a0.jpg\" alt=\"十月飙股霸气赢起跑点、全友⊕、宏齐、金像电、贸联、群创\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n<ol>\n<li>台股今日下跌392点、收47,631点，成交值约7,873亿元；OTC同步回档0.17%至412.25点，整体呈现「量缩、价跌、震荡整理」格局，短线主要受到美债殖利率攀升、油价及升息预期干扰。近期美国通膨与PPI数据偏高，确实使市场重新提高升息预期，10年期美债殖利率也一度升破5.2%。</li>\n<li>不过，目前指数仍处于中期多头架构，短线拉回尚未改变趋势。后续观察重点在于10日线、月线与季线支撑是否守稳，以及量能能否重新回到兆元以上。</li>\n</ol>\n\n二、基本面：AI需求仍是台股最大底气\n\n<ol>\n<li>台积电(2330-TW)2026年第二季EPS达27.25元，年增77.4%，营收与获利均维持高速成长，显示AI先进制程需求仍然强劲。</li>\n<li>目前市场焦点将逐步转向9月营收、第三季财报及第四季展望。台积电9月营收预计10月8日公布，10月15日举行第三季法说会，将成为第四季科技股重要观察指标。</li>\n<li>若AI伺服器、ASIC、先进封装、PCB、散热、电力及光通讯等供应链持续缴出高成长成绩，基本面仍可提供台股中期支撑。</li>\n</ol>\n\n三、10月行情：财报与产业基本面将接棒\n\n<ol>\n<li>10月市场焦点将由「升息与殖利率」逐步转向企业获利、营收与财测，尤其台积电法说会、美国科技股财报及记忆体族群展望，均可能牵动台股科技股评价。</li>\n<li>第四季传统旺季、AI基础建设持续扩张，加上CSP资本支出仍是市场核心题材，若财报未出现明显修正，盘势有机会维持高档震荡偏多结构。</li>\n</ol>\n\n四、族群轮动：由高基期转向低基期成长股\n\n<ol>\n<li>近期盘面明显出现高档股拉回、低基期股接棒现象，显示资金并未全面撤离，而是转向寻找评价与筹码相对有利的标的。</li>\n<li>产业可持续留意ASIC/IP、PCB与ABF、CPO/光通讯、玻纤布、先进封装、玻璃基板、自动化设备、AI伺服器、散热、电力及金融等方向。</li>\n<li>操作上不宜单纯追逐短线强势股，反而应优先观察营收成长、订单能见度、EPS上修与筹码改善的低基期转机成长股。</li>\n</ol>\n\n五、后市策略：选股重于选市，低接不追高\n\n整体而言，今日回档较偏向高档震荡与筹码换手，真正关键仍是基本面是否持续成长、均线支撑是否守稳、量能是否重新放大。短线需留意油价、美债殖利率与Fed政策变化所带来的波动，但若AI产业获利与第四季旺季需求持续验证，台股中期多头架构仍有基本面支撑。策略上建议「选股重于选市、低接不追高」，聚焦具实质业绩支撑且评价尚未充分反映成长性的族群。\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n别让恐惧偷走你的财富与获利 \n当市场还在恐慌 \n我已提前卡位布局 \n当别人忙着追高 \n我们早已从容收割 \n选股战绩更是有目共赌！ \n新飙股的标配 \n基本面出现转机 \n第三季财报漂亮 \n股价还在底部刚发动 \n资金永远总会找对的出口 \n错过台积电、大立光、华邦电 \n金像电、贸联、全友、宏齐 \n强势个股轮动的格局 \n更应该抓住产业主流 \n位阶低的就是最佳选择 \n现在对你最重要的是→调整持股 \n卡位「下一波主流股拉回买点」 \n带你精准卡位赢在起跑线 \n在市场还没反应过来前抢先上车\n\n<a href=\"https://forms.gle/4tBUjq2HSQZQUP4S8\">https://forms.gle/4tBUjq2HSQZQUP4S8</a>\n\n<img data-height=\"570\" data-ratio=\"1.3333333333333333\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/m/eaa0e2d9540ca9a78aaaeee40b52c680.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/eaa0e2d9540ca9a78aaaeee40b52c680.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/eaa0e2d9540ca9a78aaaeee40b52c680.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/xl/eaa0e2d9540ca9a78aaaeee40b52c680.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/xl/eaa0e2d9540ca9a78aaaeee40b52c680.jpg 3x\">\n\n<img data-height=\"570\" data-ratio=\"1.3333333333333333\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/m/718ab8f297b1a3a358c6e4f0047cb224.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/718ab8f297b1a3a358c6e4f0047cb224.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/718ab8f297b1a3a358c6e4f0047cb224.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/xl/718ab8f297b1a3a358c6e4f0047cb224.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/xl/718ab8f297b1a3a358c6e4f0047cb224.jpg 3x\">\n\n<img data-height=\"570\" data-ratio=\"1.3333333333333333\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/m/2fd09bda2441bf5f5094ec249686cb7a.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/2fd09bda2441bf5f5094ec249686cb7a.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/2fd09bda2441bf5f5094ec249686cb7a.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/xl/2fd09bda2441bf5f5094ec249686cb7a.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/xl/2fd09bda2441bf5f5094ec249686cb7a.jpg 3x\">\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/aAYyj0XEnsE\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n工商时报绩效竞赛13冠王、卓越绩效傲视同业、专业实力有目共赌！ \n更多第一手讯息、以及飙股机会→请加入大师兄飙股鑫天地的大家族 \nLINE@连结网址：<a href=\"https://line.me/R/ti/p/@gold99\">https://line.me/R/ti/p/%40gold99</a> \nTelegram连结网址：<a href=\"https://t.me/gold0999\">https://t.me/gold0999</a> \nYT个人专属频道：<a href=\"mailto:youtube.com/@master55688\">youtube.com/@master55688</a> \n举手之劳、记得！按赞、订阅、分享、开启小铃铛 \n让更多人可以看见我们的影片 \n咨询专线02-2321-9933(24小时专人服务)\n\n<img data-height=\"485\" data-ratio=\"1.5670103092783505\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/m/14df879f1dc9cfd6296d91219327faea.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617935/l/14df879f1dc9cfd6296d91219327faea.jpg\">\n\n文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-372.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 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