天天财经

【力成 (6239-TW) 法说会 AI 摘要】2026/10/27

2026-10-27 19:01:45 网络 阅读(1)

一、2026 年第三季财务与营运详情

【力成 (6239-TW) 法说会 AI 摘要】2026/10/27

财务表现:

营收与获利: 第三季营收 253 亿元,季增 9.6%,年增约 27%,营收与毛利率皆创历史新高。毛利率 24%,季增 2.2 个百分点、年增 7.9 个百分点。营业利益率 17.7%,季增 2.4 个百分点、年增 7.4 个百分点。税后净利 35 亿元,季增 25%、年增 75%。EPS 3.55 元,年增逾七成,为 2022 年第二季以来次高。

营收增量来源: 季增部分记忆体与逻辑约各占一半,记忆体以 DRAM 为主。年增约 54 亿元,其中逻辑约 28 亿元、NAND Flash 逾 20 亿元。

前三季累计: 营收 697 亿元,年增 30.3%,增加约 162 亿元。增量中记忆体逾 80 亿元(NAND 逾 60 亿元),逻辑逾 60 亿元,其次为 SSD。毛利率 21.9%,年增 5.6 个百分点,为历年次高。营业利益率 15.4%。税后净利 88 亿元,去年同期 48 亿元。EPS 9.05 元,年增 82.5%,已超过 2025 年全年的 7.48 元。

全年挑战: 2025 年全年营收约 749 亿元,历史新高为 2022 年的 834 亿元。公司表示第四季有机会挑战营收新高。

营收结构:

依服务别(第三季): 封装 67%,测试 24%(约 60.8 亿元),SiP/Module 9%。前三季累计:封装 67%(约 467 亿元),测试 23%(逾 160 亿元),SiP/Module 10%(约 70 亿元)。
依产品别(第三季): 逻辑 43%(109 亿元),NAND Flash 28%(约 71 亿元),DRAM 20%(约 50 亿元),SiP/Module 9%(22.8 亿元)。前三季比例大致相同。
先进封装占比: 若计入 Flip Chip BGA、Bumping、Fan-out PLP、2.5D/3D,先进封装已占集团营收三成以上。
财务结构与资金:

资产与现金: 总资产 1,440 亿元。现金及约当现金 248 亿元,第二季为 176 亿元。
主要资金用途: 今年已公告的资本支出逾 250 亿元,第三季发放现金股利逾 50 亿元,买回库藏股约 28 亿元。扣除这些支出后,单季与累计自由现金流仍为正,超过 30 亿元。
负债与净值: 负债比 49.7%,公司认为仍在可控范围。每股净值 75.04 元。第三季底已预先筹足第四季所需的大额资金。

各业务营运概况(第三季):

DRAM: 仍供不应求,订单能见度高,营收稳定成长。
NAND/企业级 SSD: 伺服器带动企业级 SSD 需求,记忆体营收季增维持高双位数成长。
逻辑: 出货持续成长,营收季增、年增皆为双位数。
子公司超丰: 调整产品价格并签订长约(LTA),营收季增、年增皆为双位数。
子公司晶兆成: AI 带动测试需求强劲,持续投入资本支出,营收季增、年增维持高双位数成长。

第四季及未来展望:

产业面: AI 与云端基础建设投资维持强劲。DRAM 与 NAND 仍供不应求,价格有利记忆体产业营收成长。第四季半导体展望乐观。
DRAM: 产能利用率可望维持在相当水准,并期待客户新晶圆产能陆续开出。客户对原物料成本上涨带来的价格调整接受度高,第四季获利预期进一步攀升。
NAND/SSD: 需求维持高档。封装材料成本上升,公司持续适度反映在报价上,对第四季营收与毛利率有正面支撑。
逻辑/高阶 Flip Chip BGA: AI 带动高阶产能需求扩大,客户已接受涨价,第四季成长动能延续。
车用: 属高规需求,订单能见度稳定。
消费性电子: 记忆体涨价使 PC、NB 与消费性电子拉货转趋保守,AI、HPC、IoT 需求仍佳。
菲律宾厂: 第四季起贡献营收,已与客户签订长期供应合约,扩大导线架封装的产能与市占。

先进封装与转型策略:

扩厂与验证: 扩厂依计划进行。AI chip、optical engine、CPO 与 TSV DRAM 的验证顺利,量产计划不变。
新加坡合资案: 正在经济部投审司审核中,董事长预期很快会核准。
Fan-out PLP: 客户验证持续进行,朝既定量产目标推进,新产品导入需求明显增加。公司除持续推进 5 倍 Reticle size 以下的应用,也投入超大尺寸封装研发。
高阶 Flip Chip: 第三季已导入超过 1 倍 Reticle size 的大尺寸封装并量产,尺寸约 75×78 mm。第四季将跨入更大尺寸,把 SoC Die 与 DRAM 整合在单一基板上。
营收结构转型: 成长引擎从标准型 DRAM、NAND 封装,转向 Fan-out PLP、2.5D/3D 异质整合、矽光子 CPO 与高阶 Flip Chip BGA。
客户多元化: 客户从记忆体 IDM 扩展到 CSP、一线 IC 设计公司与 AI 晶片制造商。
资产整顿: 调整中国大陆传统封装厂的股权结构,投资重心全面转向台湾的高阶先进制程据点。

ESG:

永续报告书已完成,并附 TCFD 与 HRDD 摘要。温室气体盘查依 ISO 14064 进行并经 SGS 验证,达成 4% 的减碳目标。
二、问答完整清单 (Q&A)

Q1:Fan-out PLP 与 CoWoS 的竞合?与台积电合作的传言?与南部大型封测厂的实力比较?(法人)

回答:CoWoS 与 Fan-out PLP 制程相同,差别在面板尺寸。力成为 510×515,台积电对外公布为 310×310,因此力成产能较大、成本较低,但技术门槛较高。董事长认为大尺寸面板将是未来大型运算模组的主流,欢迎更多业者加入把市场做大。公司不对同业实力做比较。力成优先服务半导体产品与系统模组公司,希望参与客户的设计开发,不想只当晶圆厂的封测代工者,但对与晶圆厂合作组成供应链抱持期待。

Q2:先进封装目前包含哪些业务?未来营收比重如何变化?(法人)

回答:计入 Flip Chip BGA、Bumping、Fan-out PLP 与 2.5D/3D 后,先进封装已占集团营收三成以上。Fan-out PLP 的客户与产品已逐渐明确,出货会随量产增加。记忆体仍供不应求,美韩大厂扩产需要时间,长鑫、长江的扩产优先满足中国当地市场,对力成应无负面影响。未来成长将由记忆体封测、传统封测与先进封测共同驱动,先进封装比重会长期提升。

Q3:是否具备 EMIB 或 EMIB-like 封装能力?是否已有客户采用?(法人)

回答:已具备 EMIB-like 能力。力成将 bridge die 嵌入 polyimide,Intel EMIB 则嵌入 ABF 载板,这项技术力成数年前已验证。EMIB 需要 mixed-pitch bump,会降低产能,而公司产能以支援内部需求为优先。虽有客户洽询,目前尚无结论,暂不提供 EMIB 服务。

Q4:毛利率已连续两季突破 20%,逻辑与记忆体封装涨价幅度多少?涨价动能能否延续?(法人)

回答:原物料与各项成本大幅上涨,工厂负担很重,公司会适时反映成本,客户也接受调整。未来将依市场行情与供需议价,有需要时仍有续涨机会。视产品、成本与行情不同,涨幅从个位数到双位数不等。

Q5:机台设备取得与交期是否影响 Fan-out PLP 量产时程?(法人)

回答:设备市场仍吃紧,但缺机情况已明显改善。扩厂依计划进行,设备不会影响 Fan-out PLP 的量产出货时程。董事长也感谢供应商为力成打造特殊尺寸的面板设备。

Q6:资金市场吃紧,是否有私募或发行 CB 的计划?(法人)

回答:力成过去只依赖银行借款等间接金融,目前正评估联贷、现金增资、公司债、CB、ECB、GDR 等工具,会视条件与时机推出,条件成熟时再对外说明。第三季底已预先筹足第四季的大额资金需求,未来的资本支出也会及早筹措。

Q7:封装与测试产能利用率多少?不含 Fan-out PLP,既有产品线扩产幅度?(法人)

回答:封装与测试稼动率皆超过 90%,第四季将随营收增加而上扬。园区厂房保留给高阶封装,其他产线透过 re-layout 增加机台数,并汰换旧机种、改用高效率设备,以提升产出配合客户需求。

Q8:为何选择 510×515 面板,而非 310×310 或 600×600?(法人)

回答:2014 至 2015 年评估面板时,公司模拟了从 1×1 到二十几 × 二十几等不同 IC 尺寸的面板使用率,量化计算结果显示 510×515 的使用率优于 310×310 与 600×600。另外,面板越大,电镀与化学制程越难维持中心到边缘的品质均匀,部分载板厂也采用 510×515,评估后技术瓶颈较小。设备皆为特殊规格,公司会坚持这个尺寸,目前也有多家业者采用相同尺寸。

Q9:75×78 mm SoC 加 DRAM 封装,是否与 AMD 下一代 AI CPU/ASIC 有关?(法人)

回答:这项产品属于 Flip Chip BGA,客户是另一家 AI 公司(CSP 客户之一),与 AMD 的 Fan-out PLP 无关。同尺寸的产品另有只整合 SoC 与 I/O die 的版本,以及 Wi-Fi 用的单颗产品。这些封装并非来自单一客户,也不只一种组合,力成在 Flip Chip BGA 下有多种异质整合方案。

Q10:Fan-out PLP 的 RDL 层数与量产能力?5 倍 Reticle 产品良率能否从 95% 再提升?(法人)

回答:层数取决于设计。上层 RDL 目前主流为 3P3M,最多可做到 5P5M;下层为 1P1M,可做到 2P2M。上下合计 5P5M 最普遍,可满足 line/space 2/2 到 5/5 的需求。公司正挑战更多层数与 1 微米以下线宽,未来有机会取代 bridge die 设计。目前 CoWoS 与 Fan-out PLP 成本都高、良率也不易提升,降低成本与简化制程是下一阶段的发展目标。良率是否从 95% 再提升,现场没有直接回答。

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      "level": 1
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      "id": 36,
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    "description": "一、2026 年第三季财务与营运详情 财务表现: 营收与获利: 第三季营收 253 亿元,季增 9.6%,年增约 27%,营收与毛利率皆创历史新高。毛利率 24%,季增 2.2 个百分点、年增 7.9 个百分点。营业利益率 17.7%,季增 2.4 个百分点、年增 7.4 个百分点。税后净利 35 亿元,季增 25%、年增 75%。EPS 3.55 元,年增逾七成,为 2022 年第二季以来次高。 营收增量来源: 季增部分记忆体与逻辑约各占一半,记忆体以 DRAM 为主。年增约 54 亿元,其中",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6638482/l/42c83525a7e07d9a0078f0f0009147ea.jpg",
    "content": "<p>一、2026 年第三季财务与营运详情</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6638482/l/42c83525a7e07d9a0078f0f0009147ea.jpg\" alt=\"【力成 (6239-TW) 法说会 AI 摘要】2026/10/27\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>财务表现:</p>\n\n<p>营收与获利: 第三季营收 253 亿元,季增 9.6%,年增约 27%,营收与毛利率皆创历史新高。毛利率 24%,季增 2.2 个百分点、年增 7.9 个百分点。营业利益率 17.7%,季增 2.4 个百分点、年增 7.4 个百分点。税后净利 35 亿元,季增 25%、年增 75%。EPS 3.55 元,年增逾七成,为 2022 年第二季以来次高。</p>\n\n<p>营收增量来源: 季增部分记忆体与逻辑约各占一半,记忆体以 DRAM 为主。年增约 54 亿元,其中逻辑约 28 亿元、NAND Flash 逾 20 亿元。</p>\n\n<p>前三季累计: 营收 697 亿元,年增 30.3%,增加约 162 亿元。增量中记忆体逾 80 亿元(NAND 逾 60 亿元),逻辑逾 60 亿元,其次为 SSD。毛利率 21.9%,年增 5.6 个百分点,为历年次高。营业利益率 15.4%。税后净利 88 亿元,去年同期 48 亿元。EPS 9.05 元,年增 82.5%,已超过 2025 年全年的 7.48 元。</p>\n\n<p>全年挑战: 2025 年全年营收约 749 亿元,历史新高为 2022 年的 834 亿元。公司表示第四季有机会挑战营收新高。</p>\n\n<p>营收结构:</p>\n\n<p>依服务别(第三季): 封装 67%,测试 24%(约 60.8 亿元),SiP/Module 9%。前三季累计:封装 67%(约 467 亿元),测试 23%(逾 160 亿元),SiP/Module 10%(约 70 亿元)。<br>\n依产品别(第三季): 逻辑 43%(109 亿元),NAND Flash 28%(约 71 亿元),DRAM 20%(约 50 亿元),SiP/Module 9%(22.8 亿元)。前三季比例大致相同。<br>\n先进封装占比: 若计入 Flip Chip BGA、Bumping、Fan-out PLP、2.5D/3D,先进封装已占集团营收三成以上。<br>\n财务结构与资金:</p>\n\n<p>资产与现金: 总资产 1,440 亿元。现金及约当现金 248 亿元,第二季为 176 亿元。<br>\n主要资金用途: 今年已公告的资本支出逾 250 亿元,第三季发放现金股利逾 50 亿元,买回库藏股约 28 亿元。扣除这些支出后,单季与累计自由现金流仍为正,超过 30 亿元。<br>\n负债与净值: 负债比 49.7%,公司认为仍在可控范围。每股净值 75.04 元。第三季底已预先筹足第四季所需的大额资金。</p>\n\n<p>各业务营运概况(第三季):</p>\n\n<p>DRAM: 仍供不应求,订单能见度高,营收稳定成长。<br>\nNAND/企业级 SSD: 伺服器带动企业级 SSD 需求,记忆体营收季增维持高双位数成长。<br>\n逻辑: 出货持续成长,营收季增、年增皆为双位数。<br>\n子公司超丰: 调整产品价格并签订长约(LTA),营收季增、年增皆为双位数。<br>\n子公司晶兆成: AI 带动测试需求强劲,持续投入资本支出,营收季增、年增维持高双位数成长。</p>\n\n<p>第四季及未来展望:</p>\n\n<p>产业面: AI 与云端基础建设投资维持强劲。DRAM 与 NAND 仍供不应求,价格有利记忆体产业营收成长。第四季半导体展望乐观。<br>\nDRAM: 产能利用率可望维持在相当水准,并期待客户新晶圆产能陆续开出。客户对原物料成本上涨带来的价格调整接受度高,第四季获利预期进一步攀升。<br>\nNAND/SSD: 需求维持高档。封装材料成本上升,公司持续适度反映在报价上,对第四季营收与毛利率有正面支撑。<br>\n逻辑/高阶 Flip Chip BGA: AI 带动高阶产能需求扩大,客户已接受涨价,第四季成长动能延续。<br>\n车用: 属高规需求,订单能见度稳定。<br>\n消费性电子: 记忆体涨价使 PC、NB 与消费性电子拉货转趋保守,AI、HPC、IoT 需求仍佳。<br>\n菲律宾厂: 第四季起贡献营收,已与客户签订长期供应合约,扩大导线架封装的产能与市占。</p>\n\n<p>先进封装与转型策略:</p>\n\n<p>扩厂与验证: 扩厂依计划进行。AI chip、optical engine、CPO 与 TSV DRAM 的验证顺利,量产计划不变。<br>\n新加坡合资案: 正在经济部投审司审核中,董事长预期很快会核准。<br>\nFan-out PLP: 客户验证持续进行,朝既定量产目标推进,新产品导入需求明显增加。公司除持续推进 5 倍 Reticle size 以下的应用,也投入超大尺寸封装研发。<br>\n高阶 Flip Chip: 第三季已导入超过 1 倍 Reticle size 的大尺寸封装并量产,尺寸约 75&times;78 mm。第四季将跨入更大尺寸,把 SoC Die 与 DRAM 整合在单一基板上。<br>\n营收结构转型: 成长引擎从标准型 DRAM、NAND 封装,转向 Fan-out PLP、2.5D/3D 异质整合、矽光子 CPO 与高阶 Flip Chip BGA。<br>\n客户多元化: 客户从记忆体 IDM 扩展到 CSP、一线 IC 设计公司与 AI 晶片制造商。<br>\n资产整顿: 调整中国大陆传统封装厂的股权结构,投资重心全面转向台湾的高阶先进制程据点。</p>\n\n<p>ESG:</p>\n\n<p>永续报告书已完成,并附 TCFD 与 HRDD 摘要。温室气体盘查依 ISO 14064 进行并经 SGS 验证,达成 4% 的减碳目标。<br>\n二、问答完整清单 (Q&A)</p>\n\n<p>Q1:Fan-out PLP 与 CoWoS 的竞合?与台积电合作的传言?与南部大型封测厂的实力比较?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:CoWoS 与 Fan-out PLP 制程相同,差别在面板尺寸。力成为 510&times;515,台积电对外公布为 310&times;310,因此力成产能较大、成本较低,但技术门槛较高。董事长认为大尺寸面板将是未来大型运算模组的主流,欢迎更多业者加入把市场做大。公司不对同业实力做比较。力成优先服务半导体产品与系统模组公司,希望参与客户的设计开发,不想只当晶圆厂的封测代工者,但对与晶圆厂合作组成供应链抱持期待。</p>\n\n<p>Q2:先进封装目前包含哪些业务?未来营收比重如何变化?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:计入 Flip Chip BGA、Bumping、Fan-out PLP 与 2.5D/3D 后,先进封装已占集团营收三成以上。Fan-out PLP 的客户与产品已逐渐明确,出货会随量产增加。记忆体仍供不应求,美韩大厂扩产需要时间,长鑫、长江的扩产优先满足中国当地市场,对力成应无负面影响。未来成长将由记忆体封测、传统封测与先进封测共同驱动,先进封装比重会长期提升。</p>\n\n<p>Q3:是否具备 EMIB 或 EMIB-like 封装能力?是否已有客户采用?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:已具备 EMIB-like 能力。力成将 bridge die 嵌入 polyimide,Intel EMIB 则嵌入 ABF 载板,这项技术力成数年前已验证。EMIB 需要 mixed-pitch bump,会降低产能,而公司产能以支援内部需求为优先。虽有客户洽询,目前尚无结论,暂不提供 EMIB 服务。</p>\n\n<p>Q4:毛利率已连续两季突破 20%,逻辑与记忆体封装涨价幅度多少?涨价动能能否延续?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:原物料与各项成本大幅上涨,工厂负担很重,公司会适时反映成本,客户也接受调整。未来将依市场行情与供需议价,有需要时仍有续涨机会。视产品、成本与行情不同,涨幅从个位数到双位数不等。</p>\n\n<p>Q5:机台设备取得与交期是否影响 Fan-out PLP 量产时程?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:设备市场仍吃紧,但缺机情况已明显改善。扩厂依计划进行,设备不会影响 Fan-out PLP 的量产出货时程。董事长也感谢供应商为力成打造特殊尺寸的面板设备。</p>\n\n<p>Q6:资金市场吃紧,是否有私募或发行 CB 的计划?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:力成过去只依赖银行借款等间接金融,目前正评估联贷、现金增资、公司债、CB、ECB、GDR 等工具,会视条件与时机推出,条件成熟时再对外说明。第三季底已预先筹足第四季的大额资金需求,未来的资本支出也会及早筹措。</p>\n\n<p>Q7:封装与测试产能利用率多少?不含 Fan-out PLP,既有产品线扩产幅度?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:封装与测试稼动率皆超过 90%,第四季将随营收增加而上扬。园区厂房保留给高阶封装,其他产线透过 re-layout 增加机台数,并汰换旧机种、改用高效率设备,以提升产出配合客户需求。</p>\n\n<p>Q8:为何选择 510&times;515 面板,而非 310&times;310 或 600&times;600?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:2014 至 2015 年评估面板时,公司模拟了从 1&times;1 到二十几 &times; 二十几等不同 IC 尺寸的面板使用率,量化计算结果显示 510&times;515 的使用率优于 310&times;310 与 600&times;600。另外,面板越大,电镀与化学制程越难维持中心到边缘的品质均匀,部分载板厂也采用 510&times;515,评估后技术瓶颈较小。设备皆为特殊规格,公司会坚持这个尺寸,目前也有多家业者采用相同尺寸。</p>\n\n<p>Q9:75&times;78 mm SoC 加 DRAM 封装,是否与 AMD 下一代 AI CPU/ASIC 有关?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:这项产品属于 Flip Chip BGA,客户是另一家 AI 公司(CSP 客户之一),与 AMD 的 Fan-out PLP 无关。同尺寸的产品另有只整合 SoC 与 I/O die 的版本,以及 Wi-Fi 用的单颗产品。这些封装并非来自单一客户,也不只一种组合,力成在 Flip Chip BGA 下有多种异质整合方案。</p>\n\n<p>Q10:Fan-out PLP 的 RDL 层数与量产能力?5 倍 Reticle 产品良率能否从 95% 再提升?(法人)</p>\n\n<p>回答:层数取决于设计。上层 RDL 目前主流为 3P3M,最多可做到 5P5M;下层为 1P1M,可做到 2P2M。上下合计 5P5M 最普遍,可满足 line/space 2/2 到 5/5 的需求。公司正挑战更多层数与 1 微米以下线宽,未来有机会取代 bridge die 设计。目前 CoWoS 与 Fan-out PLP 成本都高、良率也不易提升,降低成本与简化制程是下一阶段的发展目标。良率是否从 95% 再提升,现场没有直接回答。</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9556.html\" title=\"防范信用过度扩张!金管会10月起逐月掌握「个人理财周转金」\">防范信用过度扩张!金管会10月起逐月掌握「个人理财周转金」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5009.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 艾姆勒(2241)6月营收9,639万元年增率高达125.11%\">营收速报  - 艾姆勒(2241)6月营收9,639万元年增率高达125.11%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4434.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨14.21点至427.14点,涨幅3.44%\">盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨14.21点至427.14点,涨幅3.44%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-18828.html\" title=\"助攻兆元车电市场!车辆中心结盟美OmniAir与德TÜV SÜD 首座车用资安实验室在台落地\">助攻兆元车电市场!车辆中心结盟美OmniAir与德TÜV SÜD 首座车用资安实验室在台落地</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-488.html\" title=\"华南永昌证跨入私银领域 获准开办财管 2.0\">华南永昌证跨入私银领域 获准开办财管 2.0</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-18510.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:国泰金(2882-TW)EPS预估上修至8.95元,预估目标价为126元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:国泰金(2882-TW)EPS预估上修至8.95元,预估目标价为126元</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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