AI军备竞赛成『债务危机』？台股大跌13%跌完了吗？关键操作策略分享

根据市场统计Alphabet、Meta、微软、亚马逊和甲骨文已揭露未来资本支出承诺高达3.3兆美元。其中，Alphabet规模最大，达到1.06兆美元。

Alphabet的最新财报显示，自由现金流量已经连续两季转负，为了应对今明年的资本支出，今年6月800 亿美元的股权融资计划，最终超额配售并上调至900亿美元。并且今年频繁进入全球债券市场，发行涵盖多种货币（如美元、欧元、英镑、日圆及瑞士法郎等）的债券，合计发行的债权融资逾700亿美元。

Alphabet今年股权与债权融资合计已逾1,600亿美元，但Alphabet承诺的资本支出却高达1.06兆美元，巴克莱预估，Alphabet在2027与2028年的资本开支将分别冲上3,500亿及5,000亿美元。换句话说，Alphabet明后年的现金压力更大，后续的筹资需求也将更大，这是近期市场对于AI债务危机的担忧的原因之一。

频道连结
https://www.youtube.com/@money66868

但市场同样预期Alphabet于2029年资本支出将于高峰回落，并且现金流量将逐步转正。市场对于债务担忧更大的甲骨文(ORCL-US)今年累计跌幅达35%，最新财测中公司预期自由现金流量将于2028财年下半转正、2029财年突破300亿美元。

AI军备环境之下，2026年开始现金流量压力浮现，2027年-2028年达到高峰，后续现金将会加速回流，全面进入高利润回收期。主因AI伺服器与相关基础建设可于3年内回本，2028年之后现金压力将大幅减轻，而企业营运会更长期的规划，投资朋友可以看到Alphabet、Meta、微软、亚马逊和甲骨文于第三季的财测中，并不受到市场情绪影响，持续按照计划规划资本支出。

AI 生成图像
投资朋友也可以用长期的眼光去看待股市，即使是多头市场，中间也会面临多次回档，如上方图。而面对突然超过预期的修正，投资朋友该如何面对？

AI产业未来两年维持高成长，依然是投资首选，而今日台股开高之后拉回震荡，强势股此时会领先止稳，回到低档区出现相对抗跌的产业与个股（如三日不破低）或投信买超个股，将是投资朋友的首要观察标的，下列标的给投资朋友参考。

台股的拉回是国际金融环境影响，并非实体经济走弱，基本面依然强劲，投资朋友不用过度担忧。可留意低档买进机会，但不要杠杆操作，当市场情绪越悲观，就越接近低点。想要掌握下波段的行情吗？让我帮助你，加入我的行列，可先加入https://user225916.pse.is/money668并私讯【金融家】

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文章来源：摩尔投顾－叶俊敏分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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Alphabet自由现金流连2季转负，今年股权与债权融资已逾1,600亿美元，仍难支应庞大AI资本支出。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646070/l/fcec0bbdbafaa63b02388af97c2f01f0.jpg", "content": "根据市场统计Alphabet、Meta、微软、亚马逊和甲骨文已揭露未来资本支出承诺高达3.3兆美元。其中，Alphabet规模最大，达到1.06兆美元。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646070/l/fcec0bbdbafaa63b02388af97c2f01f0.jpg\" alt=\"AI军备竞赛成『债务危机』？台股大跌13%跌完了吗？关键操作策略分享\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\nAlphabet的最新财报显示，自由现金流量已经连续两季转负，为了应对今明年的资本支出，今年6月800 亿美元的股权融资计划，最终超额配售并上调至900亿美元。并且今年频繁进入全球债券市场，发行涵盖多种货币（如美元、欧元、英镑、日圆及瑞士法郎等）的债券，合计发行的债权融资逾700亿美元。\n\nAlphabet今年股权与债权融资合计已逾1,600亿美元，但Alphabet承诺的资本支出却高达1.06兆美元，巴克莱预估，Alphabet在2027与2028年的资本开支将分别冲上3,500亿及5,000亿美元。换句话说，Alphabet明后年的现金压力更大，后续的筹资需求也将更大，这是近期市场对于AI债务危机的担忧的原因之一。\n\n更多的投资策略与选股资讯都在－\n\nLINE@ <a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a>\n\n频道连结 \n<a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/@money66868\">https://www.youtube.com/@money66868</a>\n\n但市场同样预期Alphabet于2029年资本支出将于高峰回落，并且现金流量将逐步转正。市场对于债务担忧更大的甲骨文(ORCL-US)今年累计跌幅达35%，最新财测中公司预期自由现金流量将于2028财年下半转正、2029财年突破300亿美元。\n\nAI军备环境之下，2026年开始现金流量压力浮现，2027年-2028年达到高峰，后续现金将会加速回流，全面进入高利润回收期。主因AI伺服器与相关基础建设可于3年内回本，2028年之后现金压力将大幅减轻，而企业营运会更长期的规划，投资朋友可以看到Alphabet、Meta、微软、亚马逊和甲骨文于第三季的财测中，并不受到市场情绪影响，持续按照计划规划资本支出。\n\n<img alt=\"AI 生成图像\" data-height=\"405\" data-ratio=\"1.876543209876543\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646070/m/4962412fe03a1d9101fbfac550f6feb7.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646070/l/4962412fe03a1d9101fbfac550f6feb7.jpg\"> \n投资朋友也可以用长期的眼光去看待股市，即使是多头市场，中间也会面临多次回档，如上方图。而面对突然超过预期的修正，投资朋友该如何面对？\n\nAI产业未来两年维持高成长，依然是投资首选，而今日台股开高之后拉回震荡，强势股此时会领先止稳，回到低档区出现相对抗跌的产业与个股（如三日不破低）或投信买超个股，将是投资朋友的首要观察标的，下列标的给投资朋友参考。\n\n台股的拉回是国际金融环境影响，并非实体经济走弱，基本面依然强劲，投资朋友不用过度担忧。可留意低档买进机会，但不要杠杆操作，当市场情绪越悲观，就越接近低点。想要掌握下波段的行情吗？让我帮助你，加入我的行列，可先加入<a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a>并私讯【金融家】\n\n有最新优惠活动！\n\nAI供应链绩优股如下：\n\nASIC：台积电(2330-TW)、创意(3443-TW)、联发科(2454-TW)、日月光(3711-TW)、京元电(2449-TW)\n\nCCL：联茂(6213-TW)、台光电(2383-TW)、德宏(5475-TW)、南亚(1303-TW)、富乔(1815-TW)\n\nAI绩优股：鸿海(2317-TW)、健策(3533-TW)、嘉泽(3533-TW)\n\n更多产业趋势预告+盘中讯息→\n\n都在叶老师的 Line @： \nLINE@ID：@money668 (@要记得加)\n\n<a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a>\n\n加入之后可以留言《巨亨网》让我知道你从哪里认识我的，有优惠活动或赠品会优先通知喔！\n\n文章来源：摩尔投顾－叶俊敏分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7148.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 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