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民主党胜选为何台日韩股市齐跌?市场忧AI监管收紧 晶片需求蒙阴影

2026-11-04 14:34:19 网络 阅读(2)

民主党可能全面掌握给国国会,市场担忧将对人工智慧产业祭出更严格的监管,冲击南韩半导体巨头股价狂跌,日股与台股也一片惨绿。

民主党胜选为何台日韩股市齐跌?市场忧AI监管收紧 晶片需求蒙阴影

随着美国选举结果陆续揭晓,南韩综合指数(KOSPI) 指数盘中一度大跌 4%,与早盘最高上涨 3.2% 的走势形成鲜明反差。三星电子(005930KS) 与 SK海力士(000660KS) 股价双双下跌至少 4.5%,成为拖累韩股大盘的主要元凶。

民主党在周三(4日)的期中选举迅速拿下美国众议院控制权,并夺得6个关键参议院席次。

民主党选情告捷,让投资人担心科技与 AI 产业将面临更严格审查,进而拖慢美国资料中心扩建脚步。这将为南韩、台湾与日本的晶片制造商及其他硬体供应商需求前景蒙上阴影,这些业者都是美国 AI 基础建设的重要供应商。

韩股曾是亚洲 AI 交易的代表,如今却成为周三亚洲股市跌势最重的市场之一。

Eugene Investment & Securities 分析师 Huh Jae-Hwan 表示,俄亥俄州与德州的选情尤其重要,因为这两州作为 AI 资料中心投资重镇的地位日益提升。

他说:「如果德州推出新法规,AI 基础建设将首当其冲,股市正反映这项忧虑。」

在参议院选战方面,德州民主党候选人塔拉里科(James Talarico)预料将在激烈竞争中击败共和党候选人派克斯顿(Ken Paxton)。CNN 则预测,前参议员布朗(Sherrod Brown)击败共和党现任参议员休斯特德(Jon Husted),赢得俄亥俄州参议院席次。

Pepperstone Group 策略师 Dilin Wu 表示,南韩与日本股市和全球半导体产业连动密切,因此对 AI 市场情绪的变化格外敏感。

她补充道,值得注意的是,三星与 SK 海力士已签署多年期供应合约,短期需求仍具一定能见度;然而放眼中长期,在政策不确定性、融资成本及电力限制等多重挑战下,AI 资本支出能否维持现有增速,才是真正的考验所在。

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      "title": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:大立光(3008-TW)EPS预估上修至190元,预估目标价为5220元",
      "shortTitle": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:大立光(3008-T",
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      "title": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:健策(3653-TW)EPS预估下修至54.92元,预估目标价为5000元",
      "shortTitle": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:健策(3653-TW",
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      "description": "FactSet 最新调查:健策(3653-TW)EPS预估下修,预估EPS、预估营收、目标价、历史获利表现、即时新闻资讯。",
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      "name": "台股",
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      "title": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:力旺(3529-TW)EPS预估下修至34.68元,预估目标价为5100元",
      "shortTitle": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:力旺(3529-TW",
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      "description": "FactSet 最新调查:臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)EPS预估上修,预估EPS、预估营收、目标价、历史获利表现、即时新闻资讯。",
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