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英业达(2356) 缺料牵制第 4 季出货!10 月营收已月减 18.9%

2026-11-11 18:46:36 网络 阅读(1)

英业达 2026 年第 3 季法人说明会

2026年11月11日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 英业达(2356-TW) 2026 年 10 月营收 799.66 亿元,比 9 月的 986 亿元少 18.9%,公司把原因指向零组件缺料,并表示第 4 季出货仍受料况牵制。

订单与产能都不是问题

需求与产能都没有疑虑,公司认为出货受限的原因在缺料。「需求没有问题,产能没有问题,那目前的问题是缺料问题」。第 4 季的情况,公司表示「材料缺料的状况还是蛮严重的,所以第 4 季也有可能会受到一些影响」。

以年对年比较,公司预期第 4 季的营收与出货量都会比 2025 年同期明显成长,2025 年第 4 季的营收是 1,713 亿元。以季对季比较,公司表示第 4 季与 2026 年第 3 季的 2,721 亿元相当。

缺的料分成后端与前端,后端是记忆体、CPU 与硬碟,前端是电源管理 IC、被动元件与 PCB(印刷电路板),公司表示这些料凑不成套,缺一项就出不了货。

急单进来时,备料的落差才显现出来。公司表示长期预测的料掌握度够高,急单进来时料况会转紧,交期拉长之后没办法全部交货,出货因此受到影响。

记忆体涨价推高成本

这波缺料的源头之一在记忆体。市调机构 Omdia 指出,AI 资料中心扩建推升记忆体价格,2026 年第 3 季 PC 零组件成本上涨逾 40%,DRAM 与 SSD 占零组件成本的比重也从约 15% 升到接近 40%。

伺服器与 PC 抢的是同一批记忆体,价格与交期的压力因此同时落到两边。

第 4 季等料凑齐

月营收的年增率还没有转弱。前 10 月累计营收 8,222 亿元、年增 43%。

如下图,根据优分析产业资料库,10 月营收年增率 46.01%、累计年增率 43.07%,只有月增率转为负值,单月与累计都还在四成以上。

英业达储存伺服器机箱拉出整排硬碟托盘

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库)

公司表示,2027 年 GPU 与 ASIC 的成长指引已把缺料可能造成的影响考虑进去;第 4 季则认为应该会成长,料的状况还在看。

第 4 季与第 3 季持平的预估,成立的前提是 11、12 月的料能凑齐。需求、产能与订单能见度都指向同一个方向,出货量最后由料的成套程度决定。

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。

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