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〈华硕法说〉看Q4伺服器营收狂飙季增150% 明年高双位数成长在望

2026-11-12 18:28:10 网络 阅读(1)

PC与伺服器大厂华硕(2357-TW)今日召开线上法说会并释出最新AI伺服器营运展望,财务长吴长荣表示,受惠于强劲的订单动能与部分第三季递延订单出货,预估第四季伺服器业务营收将迎来爆发性增长,单季季增达150%,年增更高达280%。展望2027年,共同执行长胡书宾指出,明年伺服器业务达成双位数甚至高双位数年成长相当有把握,内部更以挑战三位数成长为企图心。

〈华硕法说〉看Q4伺服器营收狂飙季增150% 明年高双位数成长在望

回顾第三季表现与全年目标,共同执行长许先越指出,虽然第三季有部分资料中心客户因部署时程延后,导致部分伺服器出货递延至第四季认列,但第三季伺服器营收仍缴出年增100%的翻倍成长,占整体品牌营收比重达30%。由于递延出货并不影响整体订单总量,在目前极为强劲的订单能见度与内部执行力支持下,许先越与胡书宾皆强调,今年全年伺服器营收有信心达成至少150%以上的成长目标。

针对2027年及未来几年的AI伺服器产业大环境,胡书宾分析,随着AI在各行各业带动生产力提升的效益显现,长期来看来自企业与云端的AI算力需求将持续增长。不过近期市场出现两项关键变化,第一是资本市场融资条件越来越紧俏,可能导致体质条件不佳的Tier 2与Tier 3云端服务商或NeoCloud面临整并与淘汰过程。

第二项变化则是美国期中大选后,各地方政府对于资料中心建置的监管正往更严谨的趋势发展。胡书宾认为,这两大变化将促使未来资料中心产业更集中于财务体质稳定、有能力掌握能源,且能兼顾环境与当地社区发展的核心玩家手中,从长远角度来看,这将使AI伺服器产业未来发展更健康也更长久,属于良性的产业发展。

回到华硕自身的客户结构,胡书宾强调,公司一直采取高度分散的客户策略,客群涵盖Tier 2与Tier 3的CSP及NeoCloud、大型科技公司、大型AI研究机构、企业地端资料中心,以及日益增加的国家级主权AI建置专案。若单就NeoCloud这类客群的地域营收分布来看,亚太地区占约40%至50%,欧洲地区占约30%,北美地区则占约20%至30%。

对于法人关切美国监管趋严与居民抗议是否导致客户建置计划延迟,胡书宾表示,就华硕目前的客户组合与初步从客户端获得的讯息来看,今年第四季以及2027年已核准的资料中心建设案与订单需求,并未遇到延迟或太大的变化。公司仍将按照原有的产品发展与资源布局节奏,持续与客户紧密观察后续趋势。

值得留意的是,在AI伺服器强劲动能带动下,企业客户为支援AI工作负载而扩建地端资料中心,同步为通用型CPU伺服器带来巨大的带动效应。胡书宾透露,第三季华硕通用型CPU伺服器营收达到年增长80%,占内部伺服器营收比重已来到20%,未来除了GPU伺服器之外,通用型CPU伺服器也将是华硕积极布局的重点。

展望2027年供应链挑战与具体成长目标,胡书宾指出,目前伺服器CPU供应依然吃紧,记忆体供应优先顺序虽高于PC但仍需紧密管理,加上客户端建置的电源条件也相当关键,华硕将与供应链伙伴紧密合作以克服所有变数。

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