你昨天被洗下车了吗？台积电、富邦金、金像电⊕、德宏⊕、光圣⊕、华新科⊕

一、盘势结构：利空冲击钝化，台股强势反弹但高档卖压仍重

1. 台股今日呈现「开高震荡收红」格局，受惠ASIC概念股强势接棒，以及市场对辉达利空反应逐渐钝化，盘中一度大涨1,397点、最高来到44,489点，惟受到获利调节卖压出笼影响，终场上涨583点，收在43,675点，成交值约9,177亿元，未能站回44,000点整数关卡。

2. 盘面最大亮点在于联发科(2454-TW)、创意(3443-TW)、世芯-KY(3661-TW)、智原(3035-TW)、晶心科(6533-TW)等ASIC概念股强势表态，显示市场资金开始由传统GPU供应链，转向客制化AI晶片及相关替代方案，成为今日盘面主要攻击主轴。

二、技术面与筹码面：反弹进入震荡期，43K附近成短线观察重心

1. 目前台股已由急跌反弹阶段，逐步进入「反弹、震荡、回升」三阶段中的第二阶段。依黄金切割率观察，本波反弹已收复前波跌幅二分之一以上，短线震荡幅度可能扩大。

2. 技术面方面，月线约44,634点、季线约46,215点，仍形成上方反压，短线必须透过时间与成交量消化套牢卖压；下档则以11/9日止跌长红K棒40,347～41,661点区间作为重要支撑，短期预估在43,000点上下1,000点区间反复整理。

3. 筹码面出现正向变化，三大法人今日合计买超439.66亿元，其中外资买超288.37亿元，终结连续11个交易日卖超，投信持续买超82.37亿元，显示现货市场买盘逐渐回温；不过，外资台指期仍增加空单，代表市场尚未完全解除避险疑虑，仍须观察后续筹码变化。

三、基本面：AI长线需求不变，2027年基础建设仍是成长核心

1. AI产业并未因单一企业人事变动而改变长期发展方向。根据Gartner最新预测，2027年全球AI基础建设支出将达2.4兆美元，年增53%，占全球AI总支出的59%，显示AI算力、资料中心及相关硬体需求仍具强劲成长动能。

2. 另外，台湾半导体供应链业者表示，2027年订单目前并未受到辉达人事变动影响，部分量产订单甚至已看到2028年，反映AI供应链技术门槛与订单能见度仍具支撑。

四、影响因素与产业轮动：GPU转向ASIC，非辉达供应链接棒演出

1. 辉达执行长黄仁勋已正式辞职，并由财务长Colette Kress担任临时执行长。此事件不只是短期个人风波，更涉及企业治理、国安调查及未来领导权交接，后续仍有不确定性，不能单纯视为利空已完全出尽。

2. AI产业竞争逐渐从GPU独大，转向GPU与ASIC并行发展。Google TPU、Amazon及Meta等云端业者持续投入自研晶片，将带动ASIC设计、先进制程与高阶封装需求。重点留意创意(3443-TW)、联发科(2454-TW)、世芯-KY(3661-TW)、智原(3035-TW)、晶心科(6533-TW)，以及建荣(5340-TW)、德宏(5475-TW)、富乔(1815-TW)、金像电(2368-TW)、博智(8155-TW)、光圣(6442-TW)、颖崴(6515-TW)、精测(6510-TW)、奇𬭎(3017-TW)等相关供应链。

3. 另外，随着AI应用普及及骇客攻击风险提高，企业资安预算有望持续增加，资安监控、零信任架构、AI威胁侦测及委外服务等领域，除了大世科(8099-TW)飙翻天，不建议过度作追价外，其它包括骅宏资(6147-TW)、华经(2468-TW)、资通(2471-TW)、安碁资(6690-TW)、零壹(3029-TW)及东捷资(6697-TW)讯等相关概念股亦可留意。

五、投资策略与后市展望：选股重于选市，把握震荡换股布局机会

1. 2027年AI基础建设仍是台股最重要的成长主轴，但选股方向应由过去题材与缺料涨价，转向实际订单、技术门槛、获利成长及产业竞争力。优先锁定ASIC、高阶PCB、玻纤布、CPO光通讯、半导体测试介面及先进封装等具备长期成长潜力的产业。

2. 权值股方面，可留意台积电(2330-TW)、联发科(2454-TW)、鸿海(2317-TW)，以及金融与大型集团龙头股。尤其台积电先进制程与AI晶片需求，仍是支撑台股中长期多头的重要基本面力量。

3. 操作策略上，月线及季线反压尚未有效克服之前，应把握「急涨不追、急杀不空」原则，利用区间震荡进行高出低进，优先选择基本面强劲、订单能见度高、筹码相对稳定且守稳10日线的个股。

整体而言，台股目前并非基本面转空，而是市场信心与筹码仍处于修复阶段。 随着AI长线需求持续扩大、外资现货买盘回流，以及年底法人作帐行情逐渐展开，只要国际利空逐步钝化、重要支撑不失守，后续仍有机会由震荡整理转为新一波回升行情。短线着重风险控管，中长线则应把握优质AI供应链拉回整理的布局机会。

机会是留给懂得把握的人

你有没有发现?

当市场最为恐慌的时候

市场充满悲观、恐慌与不安

多少人因害怕继续下跌

忍痛停损、卖在相对低点

但就在大家还没回过神的时候

台股连5日大涨逾6600点

这告诉我们一件事

行情可以急跌

但真正的产业趋势不会说变就变

现在重点来了

随着破底危机已解除

谁才是「真金不怕火炼」的好股?

大师兄都帮你准备好了

把握下周拉回低接上车的机会

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文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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"你昨天被洗下车了吗？台积电、富邦金、金像电⊕、德宏⊕、光圣⊕", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "台股开高震荡收红，盘中一度大涨1,397点至44,489点，终场涨583点收43,675点，成交值9,177亿元。
ASIC概念股联发科、创意、世芯-KY等强势，资金由GPU转向客制化AI晶片与替代方案。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/l/e3586802ecd4f9e67ec6b18630fb315d.jpg", "content": "一、盘势结构：利空冲击钝化，台股强势反弹但高档卖压仍重\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/l/e3586802ecd4f9e67ec6b18630fb315d.jpg\" alt=\"你昨天被洗下车了吗？台积电、富邦金、金像电⊕、德宏⊕、光圣⊕、华新科⊕\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n1. 台股今日呈现「开高震荡收红」格局，受惠ASIC概念股强势接棒，以及市场对辉达利空反应逐渐钝化，盘中一度大涨1,397点、最高来到44,489点，惟受到获利调节卖压出笼影响，终场上涨583点，收在43,675点，成交值约9,177亿元，未能站回44,000点整数关卡。\n\n2. 盘面最大亮点在于联发科(2454-TW)、创意(3443-TW)、世芯-KY(3661-TW)、智原(3035-TW)、晶心科(6533-TW)等ASIC概念股强势表态，显示市场资金开始由传统GPU供应链，转向客制化AI晶片及相关替代方案，成为今日盘面主要攻击主轴。\n\n二、技术面与筹码面：反弹进入震荡期，43K附近成短线观察重心\n\n1. 目前台股已由急跌反弹阶段，逐步进入「反弹、震荡、回升」三阶段中的第二阶段。依黄金切割率观察，本波反弹已收复前波跌幅二分之一以上，短线震荡幅度可能扩大。\n\n2. 技术面方面，月线约44,634点、季线约46,215点，仍形成上方反压，短线必须透过时间与成交量消化套牢卖压；下档则以11/9日止跌长红K棒40,347～41,661点区间作为重要支撑，短期预估在43,000点上下1,000点区间反复整理。\n\n3. 筹码面出现正向变化，三大法人今日合计买超439.66亿元，其中外资买超288.37亿元，终结连续11个交易日卖超，投信持续买超82.37亿元，显示现货市场买盘逐渐回温；不过，外资台指期仍增加空单，代表市场尚未完全解除避险疑虑，仍须观察后续筹码变化。\n\n三、基本面：AI长线需求不变，2027年基础建设仍是成长核心\n\n1. AI产业并未因单一企业人事变动而改变长期发展方向。根据Gartner最新预测，2027年全球AI基础建设支出将达2.4兆美元，年增53%，占全球AI总支出的59%，显示AI算力、资料中心及相关硬体需求仍具强劲成长动能。\n\n2. 另外，台湾半导体供应链业者表示，2027年订单目前并未受到辉达人事变动影响，部分量产订单甚至已看到2028年，反映AI供应链技术门槛与订单能见度仍具支撑。\n\n四、影响因素与产业轮动：GPU转向ASIC，非辉达供应链接棒演出\n\n1. 辉达执行长黄仁勋已正式辞职，并由财务长Colette Kress担任临时执行长。此事件不只是短期个人风波，更涉及企业治理、国安调查及未来领导权交接，后续仍有不确定性，不能单纯视为利空已完全出尽。\n\n2. AI产业竞争逐渐从GPU独大，转向GPU与ASIC并行发展。Google TPU、Amazon及Meta等云端业者持续投入自研晶片，将带动ASIC设计、先进制程与高阶封装需求。重点留意创意(3443-TW)、联发科(2454-TW)、世芯-KY(3661-TW)、智原(3035-TW)、晶心科(6533-TW)，以及建荣(5340-TW)、德宏(5475-TW)、富乔(1815-TW)、金像电(2368-TW)、博智(8155-TW)、光圣(6442-TW)、颖崴(6515-TW)、精测(6510-TW)、奇𬭎(3017-TW)等相关供应链。\n\n3. 另外，随着AI应用普及及骇客攻击风险提高，企业资安预算有望持续增加，资安监控、零信任架构、AI威胁侦测及委外服务等领域，除了大世科(8099-TW)飙翻天，不建议过度作追价外，其它包括骅宏资(6147-TW)、华经(2468-TW)、资通(2471-TW)、安碁资(6690-TW)、零壹(3029-TW)及东捷资(6697-TW)讯等相关概念股亦可留意。\n\n五、投资策略与后市展望：选股重于选市，把握震荡换股布局机会\n\n1. 2027年AI基础建设仍是台股最重要的成长主轴，但选股方向应由过去题材与缺料涨价，转向实际订单、技术门槛、获利成长及产业竞争力。优先锁定ASIC、高阶PCB、玻纤布、CPO光通讯、半导体测试介面及先进封装等具备长期成长潜力的产业。\n\n2. 权值股方面，可留意台积电(2330-TW)、联发科(2454-TW)、鸿海(2317-TW)，以及金融与大型集团龙头股。尤其台积电先进制程与AI晶片需求，仍是支撑台股中长期多头的重要基本面力量。\n\n3. 操作策略上，月线及季线反压尚未有效克服之前，应把握「急涨不追、急杀不空」原则，利用区间震荡进行高出低进，优先选择基本面强劲、订单能见度高、筹码相对稳定且守稳10日线的个股。\n\n整体而言，台股目前并非基本面转空，而是市场信心与筹码仍处于修复阶段。 随着AI长线需求持续扩大、外资现货买盘回流，以及年底法人作帐行情逐渐展开，只要国际利空逐步钝化、重要支撑不失守，后续仍有机会由震荡整理转为新一波回升行情。短线着重风险控管，中长线则应把握优质AI供应链拉回整理的布局机会。\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n机会是留给懂得把握的人\n\n你有没有发现?\n\n当市场最为恐慌的时候\n\n市场充满悲观、恐慌与不安\n\n多少人因害怕继续下跌\n\n忍痛停损、卖在相对低点\n\n但就在大家还没回过神的时候\n\n台股连5日大涨逾6600点\n\n这告诉我们一件事\n\n行情可以急跌\n\n但真正的产业趋势不会说变就变\n\n现在重点来了\n\n随着破底危机已解除\n\n谁才是「真金不怕火炼」的好股?\n\n大师兄都帮你准备好了\n\n把握下周拉回低接上车的机会\n\n别让恐惧阻碍你财富的成长\n\n想跟着大师兄一起同步掌握\n\n下一档倍数翻滚股票的粉丝好友\n\n欢迎来电或加入【飙股鑫天地】大家族\n\n下一波财富翻转就从现在开始\n\n咨询专线02-2321-9933(24小时专人服务)\n\n<img data-height=\"288\" data-ratio=\"1.5173611111111112\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/d9f6227fe774bf28e80e4fa73231fb7e.jpg\" data-width=\"437\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/d9f6227fe774bf28e80e4fa73231fb7e.jpg\">\n\n<img data-height=\"292\" data-ratio=\"1.4897260273972603\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/9ccb7a9989023a9305799a9344c6b465.jpg\" data-width=\"435\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/9ccb7a9989023a9305799a9344c6b465.jpg\">\n\n<img data-height=\"291\" data-ratio=\"1.4948453608247423\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/dc607137ec9ad98b9d0675e95ab42bda.jpg\" data-width=\"435\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/dc607137ec9ad98b9d0675e95ab42bda.jpg\">\n\n<img data-height=\"279\" data-ratio=\"1.5627240143369177\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/db936765d907375a794327ed9d612635.jpg\" data-width=\"436\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/db936765d907375a794327ed9d612635.jpg\">\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/kmRWcSnK22Q\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n \n\n工商时报绩效竞赛13冠王、卓越绩效傲视同业、专业实力有目共赌！\n\n更多第一手讯息、以及飙股机会→请加入大师兄飙股鑫天地的大家族\n\nLINE@连结网址：<a href=\"https://line.me/R/ti/p/@gold99\">https://line.me/R/ti/p/%40gold99</a>\n\nTelegram连结网址：<a href=\"https://t.me/gold0999\">https://t.me/gold0999</a>\n\nFB连结网址：<a href=\"https://www.facebook.com/groups/newleechou?locale=zh_TW\">https</a><a href=\"https://www.facebook.com/groups/newleechou?locale=zh_TW\">://</a><a href=\"https://www.facebook.com/groups/newleechou?locale=zh_TW\">www.facebook.com/groups/newleechou?locale=zh_TW</a>\n\nYT个人专属频道：<a href=\"mailto:youtube.com/@master55688\">youtube.com/@master55688</a>\n\n举手之劳、记得！按赞、订阅、分享、开启小铃铛\n\n让更多人可以看见我们的影片\n\n咨询专线02-2321-9933(24小时专人服务)\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"252\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4722222222222223\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/3b71d761c97c5ae7a6740abcdbc76ba1.jpg\" data-width=\"371\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661772/m/3b71d761c97c5ae7a6740abcdbc76ba1.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2000.html\" title=\"力积电海外筹资8.86亿美元冲刺3D AI代工业务\">力积电海外筹资8.86亿美元冲刺3D AI代工业务</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-25405.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - 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