中东又炸锅台股却要冲5万4？点名Q3最大黑马！最强4大受惠族群

「伊朗扬言封锁荷姆兹海峡」、中东局势再次升温，但台股为何一样老神在在？很多人会问，战争难道不会影响经济吗？当然会，短线必定会带来心理层面的震荡。然而，震荡并不会改变已经成形的结构性趋势。

为什么中东点火，撼动不了 AI 的通天巨浪？
伊朗再度释出封锁荷姆兹海峡讯号，引发全球油价与金融市场波动，但从过去经验来看，地缘政治事件多半影响的是市场情绪，而非企业长期获利能力。即使近期油价因中东局势再度震荡，市场资金最终仍会回到获利成长最快的地方。而现在全世界最强的获利引擎，依然只有两个字：AI。

重申：这次推动全球股市大涨的主因，是「AI 产业的世纪共振」加上「全球热钱资金的超强威力」。由于这股力量实在太强大了！就像一列正以时速 300 公里狂飙的高铁，半路遇到几只小飞虫撞击车窗，会让高铁停下来吗？绝对不会。

所以，真正聪明的资金看到这种消息时，想的往往不是逃跑，而是另一件事：那几档好股票被错杀了，该加码哪一档？以下四大黄金族群，极可能就是接下来第三季法人资金准备疯狂轮动的聚宝盆：

1. 记忆体产业：华尔街惊呼「记忆体为王」
在 AI 算力爆炸的时代，数据传输的管道如果不够大，晶片再快也没用。因此，晶片龙头辉达 (NVDA-US) 推出的新一代高阶晶片如 H200 及新架构，对高端记忆体领组件的消耗量直接呈现 2 到 4 倍的爆发性增长。

轮动契机：市场预期第三季行情将会出现健康轮动，高阶封装与记忆体模组将随产业一同飞升。
指标公司：华邦电 (2344-TW) 与南亚科 (2408-TW) 目前为盘面上的领头羊，只要长期趋势未走空，后续的补涨与轮动潜力非常巨大。

2. 被动元件 (MLCC)：低调的超级印钞机
你可能很难想像，一颗小小的被动元件，在 AI 伺服器规格全面提升下，用量会多么惊人。

用量暴增： AI 应用直接带动积层陶瓷电容（MLCC）用量增长 8 倍，电感与电容用量更激增 10 倍。
产值三级跳：以辉达 H100 为例，其采用的 MLCC 价值过去大约在 3000 元左右，但随着明年新一代架构投产，预期将跳升至 4 万元，产值成长空间只能用「恐怖」来形容。
供需大缺口：预计今年下半年市场将出现 15% 到 20% 的供需缺口，特别是 0201 型、0402 型等高阶特定规格，极可能重演供不应求的涨价潮。

3. 电力与能源管理：AI 的终极基础建设
AI 资料中心就是个「吃电怪兽」。随着全球科技巨头疯狂扩建资料中心，电力与散热需求同步迎来大爆发。市场法人已经陆续上修了 AI 电力供应链未来的获利预期，包括散热指标高力 (8996-TW)，以及电力相关领组件的强茂(2481-TW)、台半(5425-TW) 等，都将直接受惠这波刚性需求。

4. PCB 与载板：利空杂音正是最佳买点
虽然市场上偶尔会传出新晶片投产延迟等杂音，导致 PCB 或是载板厂的股价出现震荡。但这只是短线的调整，长线趋势完全没有改变。PCB 与载板在下半年依旧具备强劲的成长机会，聪明的投资人反而应该趁着股价因杂音而震荡时，寻找好点位弯腰捡钻石。

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文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n为什么中东点火，撼动不了 AI 的通天巨浪？ \n伊朗再度释出封锁荷姆兹海峡讯号，引发全球油价与金融市场波动，但从过去经验来看，地缘政治事件多半影响的是市场情绪，而非企业长期获利能力。即使近期油价因中东局势再度震荡，市场资金最终仍会回到获利成长最快的地方。而现在全世界最强的获利引擎，依然只有两个字：AI。\n\n重申：这次推动全球股市大涨的主因，是「AI 产业的世纪共振」加上「全球热钱资金的超强威力」。由于这股力量实在太强大了！就像一列正以时速 300 公里狂飙的高铁，半路遇到几只小飞虫撞击车窗，会让高铁停下来吗？绝对不会。\n\n所以，真正聪明的资金看到这种消息时，想的往往不是逃跑，而是另一件事：那几档好股票被错杀了，该加码哪一档？以下四大黄金族群，极可能就是接下来第三季法人资金准备疯狂轮动的聚宝盆：\n\n1. 记忆体产业：华尔街惊呼「记忆体为王」 \n在 AI 算力爆炸的时代，数据传输的管道如果不够大，晶片再快也没用。因此，晶片龙头辉达 (NVDA-US) 推出的新一代高阶晶片如 H200 及新架构，对高端记忆体领组件的消耗量直接呈现 2 到 4 倍的爆发性增长。\n\n<ul>\n<li>轮动契机：市场预期第三季行情将会出现健康轮动，高阶封装与记忆体模组将随产业一同飞升。</li>\n<li>指标公司：华邦电 (2344-TW) 与南亚科 (2408-TW) 目前为盘面上的领头羊，只要长期趋势未走空，后续的补涨与轮动潜力非常巨大。</li>\n</ul>\n\n2. 被动元件 (MLCC)：低调的超级印钞机 \n你可能很难想像，一颗小小的被动元件，在 AI 伺服器规格全面提升下，用量会多么惊人。\n\n<ul>\n<li>用量暴增： AI 应用直接带动积层陶瓷电容（MLCC）用量增长 8 倍，电感与电容用量更激增 10 倍。</li>\n<li>产值三级跳：以辉达 H100 为例，其采用的 MLCC 价值过去大约在 3000 元左右，但随着明年新一代架构投产，预期将跳升至 4 万元，产值成长空间只能用「恐怖」来形容。</li>\n<li>供需大缺口：预计今年下半年市场将出现 15% 到 20% 的供需缺口，特别是 0201 型、0402 型等高阶特定规格，极可能重演供不应求的涨价潮。</li>\n</ul>\n\n3. 电力与能源管理：AI 的终极基础建设 \nAI 资料中心就是个「吃电怪兽」。随着全球科技巨头疯狂扩建资料中心，电力与散热需求同步迎来大爆发。市场法人已经陆续上修了 AI 电力供应链未来的获利预期，包括散热指标高力 (8996-TW)，以及电力相关领组件的强茂(2481-TW)、台半(5425-TW) 等，都将直接受惠这波刚性需求。\n\n4. PCB 与载板：利空杂音正是最佳买点 \n虽然市场上偶尔会传出新晶片投产延迟等杂音，导致 PCB 或是载板厂的股价出现震荡。但这只是短线的调整，长线趋势完全没有改变。PCB 与载板在下半年依旧具备强劲的成长机会，聪明的投资人反而应该趁着股价因杂音而震荡时，寻找好点位弯腰捡钻石。\n\n更多产业趋势报告 + 盘中讯息→请加入江江 Line@：\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ\">https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ</a>\n\n江江每日解盘影片→含金量满满，节目内容太精彩 + 太权威惹！\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/dgsrjQCZWAE\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n坚持用心制作优质好节目，一定要看到最后！ \n并且【订阅 + 按赞 + 分享帮助好友】\n\n文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14497.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 泰鼎-KY(4927)8月营收13.79亿元年增率高达35.52％\">营收速报 - 泰鼎-KY(4927)8月营收13.79亿元年增率高达35.52％</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-771.html\" title=\"台湾储能霸主 - 台普威挟技术优势挥军国际营收获利双率双升\">台湾储能霸主 - 台普威挟技术优势挥军国际营收获利双率双升</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9979.html\" title=\"纬创股利罕见二度延后发放！集保进场查缺失金管会：最重将收回自办股务\">纬创股利罕见二度延后发放！集保进场查缺失金管会：最重将收回自办股务</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-15654.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：技嘉(2376-TW)EPS预估上修至33.82元，预估目标价为490元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：技嘉(2376-TW)EPS预估上修至33.82元，预估目标价为490元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9727.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 伟诠电(2436)7月营收4.04亿元年增率高达42.93％\">营收速报 - 伟诠电(2436)7月营收4.04亿元年增率高达42.93％</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-15474.html\" title=\"新创指数跃全球第二！创柜板辅导600家35家转上市柜简立忠揭示新创发展蓝图\">新创指数跃全球第二！创柜板辅导600家35家转上市柜简立忠揭示新创发展蓝图</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", "status": 0, "pv": 59, "link": "https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/6506600", "createdAt": "2026-06-22T01:15:02.000Z", "updatedAt": "2026-09-19T07:55:27.000Z" }, "position": [ { "id": 15, "pid": 0, "name": "热点新闻", "pinyin": "new", "path": "/new", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "children": [ { "id": 25, "pid": 15, "name": "美股", "pinyin": "mg", "path": "/new/mg", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 26, "pid": 15, "name": "港股", "pinyin": "hk", "path": "/new/hk", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 27, "pid": 15, "name": "台股", "pinyin": "tw", "path": "/new/tw", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 28, "pid": 15, "name": "科技", "pinyin": "AI", "path": "/new/AI", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "level": 1 }, { "id": 27, "pid": 15, "name": "台股", "pinyin": "tw", "path": "/new/tw", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "_locals": {}, "cache": false }

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