看透盘势!抓住涨停!!长广⊕、均豪⊕、雷科⊕、中美晶⊕

一、今日盘势重点

台股强势反攻、收复失土
- 加权指数终场大涨 1,126 点，收 46,125 点，盘中一度劲扬逾 1,600 点，成功收复 6/26 长黑 K 棒并重新站回 10 日线。
- OTC 柜买指数同步上涨 14.04 点至 426.97 点，成交量同步增温，市场多头气势明显回温。
主要上涨动能
- 美股全面收高，道琼续创历史新高、费半大涨逾 3.8%。
- 投信季底作帐效应。
- 台积电 7 月法说会行情提前发酵。
- AI 供应链全面转强，市场买盘积极回流。
盘面主流族群
- 权值股：台积电 (2330 -TW)、联发科(2454 -TW)、台达电(2308 -TW)、日月光投控(3711 -TW) 领军。
- AI 概念股全面走强，包括 ASIC、PCB/CCL、ABF 载板、CoWoS 设备、矽光子、散热、封测、低轨卫星、第三代半导体、军工等族群同步大涨，市场呈现百花齐放格局。

二、台股中长期四大利多

(一) AI 带动台湾出口与企业获利持续成长

外销订单维持高成长，上半年接单创历史新高，下半年可望优于上半年。
AI 需求持续推升台湾电子供应链营收与获利。

(二) 全球 AI 资本支出进入爆发期

北美大型 CSP 持续扩建 AI 资料中心。
未来三年 AI 投资规模持续创高，台湾晶圆、封装、材料、设备供应链将持续受惠。
法人普遍看好 2026～2028 年企业获利维持高成长。

(三) 台积电法说行情持续升温

外资普遍调升台积电目标价。
市场看好毛利率、先进制程、CoWoS 及 AI 需求持续优于预期。
法说会可望成为第三季重要利多催化剂。

(四) ETF 与内资形成长线买盘

台股 ETF 规模持续创高，市场结构已由外资主导逐步转向内资及 ETF 资金支撑。
每次回档均容易吸引低接买盘，中长期多头格局仍未改变。

三、AI 产业最新趋势

Agentic AI 正式崛起
- AI 由生成式 AI 迈向代理式 AI，运算需求持续大幅提升。
先进封装需求续强
- CoWoS、SoIC、CoPoS、混合键合等技术持续扩产，带动设备、封测及材料需求。
AI 伺服器带动高阶零组件
- 液冷散热、高阶 PCB、CCL、ABF 载板、光通讯、矽光子等需求持续增加。
记忆体景气进入新循环
- 美光财报优于预期，HBM 产能已接近满载。
- HBM 供应吃紧可能延续至 2027 年，DRAM 供需改善可望延续至 2028 年前后。

四、后市观察重点

指数逼近 47,000～48,000 点前高区，短线仍可能震荡整理。
AI 基本面、企业获利、资金行情及技术面仍有利多方，中长期偏多趋势未变。
后续仍可留意 ASIC、先进封装、CoWoS 设备、PCB/CCL、ABF 载板、矽光子、散热、记忆体、被动元件、MOSFET、第三代半导体、封测、低轨卫星及军工等具产业成长题材族群。

五、投资策略

逢回布局、不追高，善用震荡分批承接。
聚焦 AI 主流与法人买盘，选择具产业趋势及基本面支撑个股。
记忆体、ABF 载板、被动元件短线涨幅已大，宜采「高出低进」操作。
以 10 日线及月线作为操作与风险控管依据，掌握量增突破、主力买超个股。
在 AI 长线趋势、台积电法说利多及 ETF 资金持续挹注下，台股中长期多头架构仍未改变，逢拉回仍可视为布局主流强势股的重要机会。

眼前的黑不是黑

这是天上掉下来的礼物

当强势股出现急跌修正

散户用情绪操作看到的都是恐惧

我看到的是积极抓绝佳进场机会

只要你依然认同

AI 是不可逆的大趋势

台股爆发好公司逢低布局的价值

现在正是资金从旧主流

转向新主流的重要时刻

那么本周将会是你

下一波大获利的起手式

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文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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"dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, "article": { "id": 4502, "cid": 27, "subCid": null, "title": "看透盘势!抓住涨停!!长广⊕、均豪⊕、雷科⊕、中美晶⊕", "shortTitle": "看透盘势!抓住涨停!!长广⊕、均豪⊕、雷科⊕、中美晶⊕", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "一、今日盘势重点台股强势反攻、收复失土加权指数终场大涨 1,126 点，收 46,125 点，盘中一度劲扬逾 1,600 点，成功收复 6/26 长黑 K 棒并重新站回 10 日线。 OTC 柜买指数同步上涨 14.04 点至 426.97 点，成交量同步增温，市场多头气势明显回温。主要上涨动能美股全面收高，道琼续创历史新高、费半大涨逾 3.8%。投信季底作帐效应。台积电 7 月法说会行情提前发酵。 AI 供应链全面转强，市场买盘积极回流。盘面主流族群权值股：台积电 (2330 ", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/l/92659be25f5fb3e1405631e80fcef6a9.jpg", "content": "一、今日盘势重点\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/l/92659be25f5fb3e1405631e80fcef6a9.jpg\" alt=\"看透盘势!抓住涨停!!长广⊕、均豪⊕、雷科⊕、中美晶⊕\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n<ol>\n<li>台股强势反攻、收复失土\n\n<ul>\n<li>加权指数终场大涨 1,126 点，收 46,125 点，盘中一度劲扬逾 1,600 点，成功收复 6/26 长黑 K 棒并重新站回 10 日线。</li>\n<li>OTC 柜买指数同步上涨 14.04 点至 426.97 点，成交量同步增温，市场多头气势明显回温。</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>主要上涨动能\n<ul>\n<li>美股全面收高，道琼续创历史新高、费半大涨逾 3.8%。</li>\n<li>投信季底作帐效应。</li>\n<li>台积电 7 月法说会行情提前发酵。</li>\n<li>AI 供应链全面转强，市场买盘积极回流。</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>盘面主流族群\n<ul>\n<li>权值股：台积电 (2330 -TW)、联发科(2454 -TW)、台达电(2308 -TW)、日月光投控(3711 -TW) 领军。</li>\n<li>AI 概念股全面走强，包括 ASIC、PCB/CCL、ABF 载板、CoWoS 设备、矽光子、散热、封测、低轨卫星、第三代半导体、军工等族群同步大涨，市场呈现百花齐放格局。</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n</ol>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n二、台股中长期四大利多\n\n(一) AI 带动台湾出口与企业获利持续成长\n\n<ul>\n<li>外销订单维持高成长，上半年接单创历史新高，下半年可望优于上半年。</li>\n<li>AI 需求持续推升台湾电子供应链营收与获利。</li>\n</ul>\n\n(二) 全球 AI 资本支出进入爆发期\n\n<ul>\n<li>北美大型 CSP 持续扩建 AI 资料中心。</li>\n<li>未来三年 AI 投资规模持续创高，台湾晶圆、封装、材料、设备供应链将持续受惠。</li>\n<li>法人普遍看好 2026～2028 年企业获利维持高成长。</li>\n</ul>\n\n(三) 台积电法说行情持续升温\n\n<ul>\n<li>外资普遍调升台积电目标价。</li>\n<li>市场看好毛利率、先进制程、CoWoS 及 AI 需求持续优于预期。</li>\n<li>法说会可望成为第三季重要利多催化剂。</li>\n</ul>\n\n(四) ETF 与内资形成长线买盘\n\n<ul>\n<li>台股 ETF 规模持续创高，市场结构已由外资主导逐步转向内资及 ETF 资金支撑。</li>\n<li>每次回档均容易吸引低接买盘，中长期多头格局仍未改变。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n三、AI 产业最新趋势\n\n<ol>\n<li>Agentic AI 正式崛起\n\n<ul>\n<li> AI 由生成式 AI 迈向代理式 AI，运算需求持续大幅提升。</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>先进封装需求续强\n<ul>\n<li> CoWoS、SoIC、CoPoS、混合键合等技术持续扩产，带动设备、封测及材料需求。</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>AI 伺服器带动高阶零组件\n<ul>\n<li>液冷散热、高阶 PCB、CCL、ABF 载板、光通讯、矽光子等需求持续增加。</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li>记忆体景气进入新循环\n<ul>\n<li>美光财报优于预期，HBM 产能已接近满载。</li>\n<li>HBM 供应吃紧可能延续至 2027 年，DRAM 供需改善可望延续至 2028 年前后。</li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n</ol>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n四、后市观察重点\n\n<ul>\n<li>指数逼近 47,000～48,000 点前高区，短线仍可能震荡整理。</li>\n<li>AI 基本面、企业获利、资金行情及技术面仍有利多方，中长期偏多趋势未变。</li>\n<li>后续仍可留意 ASIC、先进封装、CoWoS 设备、PCB/CCL、ABF 载板、矽光子、散热、记忆体、被动元件、MOSFET、第三代半导体、封测、低轨卫星及军工等具产业成长题材族群。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n五、投资策略\n\n<ol>\n<li>逢回布局、不追高，善用震荡分批承接。</li>\n<li>聚焦 AI 主流与法人买盘，选择具产业趋势及基本面支撑个股。</li>\n<li>记忆体、ABF 载板、被动元件短线涨幅已大，宜采「高出低进」操作。</li>\n<li>以 10 日线及月线作为操作与风险控管依据，掌握量增突破、主力买超个股。</li>\n<li>在 AI 长线趋势、台积电法说利多及 ETF 资金持续挹注下，台股中长期多头架构仍未改变，逢拉回仍可视为布局主流强势股的重要机会。</li>\n</ol>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n眼前的黑不是黑\n\n这是天上掉下来的礼物\n\n当强势股出现急跌修正\n\n散户用情绪操作看到的都是恐惧\n\n我看到的是积极抓绝佳进场机会\n\n只要你依然认同\n\nAI 是不可逆的大趋势\n\n台股爆发好公司逢低布局的价值\n\n现在正是资金从旧主流\n\n转向新主流的重要时刻\n\n那么本周将会是你\n\n下一波大获利的起手式\n\n不要等股价大涨后\n\n才后悔没有提早上车\n\n越早卡位获利越惊人\n\n我们一起拚找回你的信心\n\n举手说这次你也要一起大赚\n\n<a href=\"https://forms.gle/82PcvrqF61eFWnv78\">https://forms.gle/82PcvrqF61eFWnv78</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"294\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4081632653061225\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/973f50fe0b573c78c97c6fb1d3535ca4.jpg\" data-width=\"414\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/973f50fe0b573c78c97c6fb1d3535ca4.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"286\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4615384615384615\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/11fb5ea5561dd41699447edc1a607bea.jpg\" data-width=\"418\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/11fb5ea5561dd41699447edc1a607bea.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"279\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4910394265232976\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/e29e510df82171e8bcf3ab90ae5011a6.jpg\" data-width=\"416\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/e29e510df82171e8bcf3ab90ae5011a6.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"282\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4716312056737588\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/bb9a591805a47c16e74ba69d5358875d.jpg\" data-width=\"415\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/bb9a591805a47c16e74ba69d5358875d.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"285\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4666666666666666\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/56848e9d3821b41c10e0f17d6e4ce6d4.jpg\" data-width=\"418\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/56848e9d3821b41c10e0f17d6e4ce6d4.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"314\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.3343949044585988\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/f52da220ec11f839ddd53b9eb5e7f7a4.jpg\" data-width=\"419\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/f52da220ec11f839ddd53b9eb5e7f7a4.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/Lk7JGds9_QI\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n工商时报绩效竞赛 13 冠王、卓越绩效傲视同业、专业实力有目共赌！\n\n更多第一手讯息、以及飙股机会→请加入大师兄飙股鑫天地的大家族\n\nLINE@连结网址：<a href=\"https://line.me/R/ti/p/@gold99\">https://line.me/R/ti/p/%40gold99</a>\n\nTelegram 连结网址：<a href=\"https://t.me/gold0999\">https://t.me/gold0999</a>\n\nYT 个人专属频道：<a href=\"mailto:youtube.com/@master55688\">youtube.com/@master55688</a>\n\n举手之劳\n\n记得！按赞、订阅、分享、开启小铃铛\n\n让更多人可以看见我们的影片\n\n咨询专线 02-2321-9933(24 小时专人服务)\n\n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"252\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4722222222222223\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/e18f026e32a7d5dd6e62fbddeab2f5d6.jpg\" data-width=\"371\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6517826/m/e18f026e32a7d5dd6e62fbddeab2f5d6.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-16873.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：弘塑(3131-TW)EPS预估下修至62.4元，预估目标价为4000元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：弘塑(3131-TW)EPS预估下修至62.4元，预估目标价为4000元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17282.html\" 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