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月营收创高只是刚开始?以德微(3675-TW)为例看功率半导体的基期高低与营运杠杆效应

2026-10-04 04:36:30 网络 阅读(96)

图片来源:优分析产业数据中心

2026年07月15日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 功率半导体这个产业有普遍固定成本较高,对产能利用率敏感而有景气波动非常剧烈的特性。

在前一篇文章我们曾提到过最近这个族群因为受惠车用功率元件转单以及AI电源应用需求营收有大幅的增长,不少该族群供应链的公司营收也陆陆续续创下近期的新高,股价涨翻倍后这个族群现在还值得继续关注吗?

(延伸阅读:强茂(2481-TW)、德微(3675-TW)、台半(5425-TW)三家台厂功率半导体IDM月营收怎么不同步,原来不是都只受惠转单效应)

我们用近几个月营收创高的德微(3675-TW)来当作例子。

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库 )

德微是台湾的专业整流二极体制造商,为美商Diodes(DIOD-TW)(全球前五大二极体公司)的在台子公司,主要代工Diodes的产品。

公司于2024年并购了卢森堡商达尔国际股份有限公司基隆分公司其分割出来的晶圆制造业务与机台设备后,营运模式逐渐往分离式元件IDM制造厂迈进,也就是从晶圆到封装可以自己一条龙做到好。

公司管理层表示目前自有晶圆厂月产能约2万片,产能利用率正由2025年约50%拉升至今年Q2的60-70%,预计于2026年底会满载。

并且为了增加生产效率,预计将产线由现行的4吋全面升级至5吋,部分导入6吋制程。

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库 )

前面提到功率半导体这个产业的景气波动性很明显,上一次是在2020-2022年因为电动车进入高速成长而迎来一次大周期,所以我们可以用那次周期的营收高峰做为参考来看现在的基期位置。

以二极体这个产品线来看,可以用2022年的高峰做为景气高点的参考值,对比公司目前的稼动率,还有一段明显的成长空间。

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库 )

不过单单知道营收还会成长是不够的,你还要知道多一点这个产业的循环特性,才能知道公司还可以成长到什么程度,才能做更多的判断。

要看懂这波周期可能可以为公司带来多少超额报酬,我们必续理解什么是营运杠杆的概念。

功率半导体是典型的高营运杠杆行业。

当公司在建厂、购买设备时,需要投入极其庞大的资本支出,不论今天有没有生产产品,每个月都会产生庞大且固定的费用(折旧、基本厂房维运、人员薪资等开销)。

在景气低迷时,由于固定成本极高,当产出不足时,每颗晶片分摊的固定成本极高,导致毛利率迅速侵蚀,甚至面临亏损。

景气复苏(稼动率拉升)时,当客户订单回温、产能利用率从50%拉升至80%甚至满载时,新增的产量几乎不增加折旧费用(仅增加少许材料与电力等变动成本),此时每多卖一片晶片几乎都是纯利。

这就是营运杠杆的概念,也就是公司每多赚一块钱的营收,可以得到多少程度的获利。

营运杠杆度=营业利益金额变动率/营业收入金额变动率

打开优分析产业资料库,进入损益表页面,公司在上一轮电动车成长周期(2020-2022年)的营收累积成长是41.64%。

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库 )

在这段期间因为车用需求爆发,稼动率大幅拉升。

在固定成本相对稳定的情况下,营收仅成长了约41.6%,但创造出来的营业利益却暴增了2.24倍。

我们就可以说德微的营运杠杆度有5.4倍(224.38% /41.64%)的放大效果。

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库 )

实际上我们怎么追踪营运杠杆有没有成功启动呢?

毛利率是否逐季的增加是检验营运杠杆有没有成功启动最直接的指标。

如果营收创高,但毛利率因为低价竞争、原料上涨而拉不起来,代表变动成本增加,营运杠杆效果就会打折扣。

(资料来源:优分析产业资料库 )

本轮车用转单及AI电源需求周期使功率半导体行业迎来新的契机,后续追踪公司的成长状况重点放在营收及毛利率的变化,同样的观察方式也可以套用在其他同业互相比较。

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。

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    "description": "2026年07月15日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 功率半导体这个产业有普遍固定成本较高,对产能利用率敏感而有景气波动非常剧烈的特性。 在前一篇文章我们曾提到过最近这个族群因为受惠车用功率元件转单以及AI电源应用需求营收有大幅的增长,不少该族群供应链的公司营收也陆陆续续创下近期的新高,股价涨翻倍后这个族群现在还值得继续关注吗? (延伸阅读:强茂(2481-TW)、德微(3675-TW)、台半(5425-TW)三家台厂功率半导体IDM月营收怎么不同步,原来不是都只受惠转单效应) 我们用近几个月营",
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    "content": "<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6535802/o/59643cdfb8e65d11b68e65ee76d52a3c.jpg\" alt=\"图片来源:优分析产业数据中心\" /><p>2026年07月15日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 功率半导体这个产业有普遍固定成本较高,对产能利用率敏感而有景气波动非常剧烈的特性。</p>\n<p>在前一篇文章我们曾提到过最近这个族群因为受惠车用功率元件转单以及AI电源应用需求营收有大幅的增长,不少该族群供应链的公司营收也陆陆续续创下近期的新高,股价涨翻倍后这个族群现在还值得继续关注吗?</p>\n<p>(延伸阅读:强茂(2481-TW)、德微(3675-TW)、台半(5425-TW)三家台厂功率半导体IDM月营收怎么不同步,原来不是都只受惠转单效应)</p>\n<p>我们用近几个月营收创高的德微(3675-TW)来当作例子。</p>\n<p><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6535802/o/fde6854a51dfdf67e857af24269576ca.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100%\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库  )</p>\n<p>德微是台湾的专业整流二极体制造商,为美商Diodes(DIOD-TW)(全球前五大二极体公司)的在台子公司,主要代工Diodes的产品。</p>\n<p>公司于2024年并购了卢森堡商达尔国际股份有限公司基隆分公司其分割出来的晶圆制造业务与机台设备后,营运模式逐渐往分离式元件IDM制造厂迈进,也就是从晶圆到封装可以自己一条龙做到好。</p>\n<p>公司管理层表示目前自有晶圆厂月产能约2万片,产能利用率正由2025年约50%拉升至今年Q2的60-70%,预计于2026年底会满载。</p>\n<p>并且为了增加生产效率,预计将产线由现行的4吋全面升级至5吋,部分导入6吋制程。</p>\n<p><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6535802/o/c6f6208feb6dc92ff464c2dd415e0416.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100%\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库  )</p>\n<p>前面提到功率半导体这个产业的景气波动性很明显,上一次是在2020-2022年因为电动车进入高速成长而迎来一次大周期,所以我们可以用那次周期的营收高峰做为参考来看现在的基期位置。</p>\n<p>以二极体这个产品线来看,可以用2022年的高峰做为景气高点的参考值,对比公司目前的稼动率,还有一段明显的成长空间。</p>\n<p><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6535802/o/7aa9f3f17a1fdbb71595b1c1c4e551d3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100%\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库  )</p>\n<p>不过单单知道营收还会成长是不够的,你还要知道多一点这个产业的循环特性,才能知道公司还可以成长到什么程度,才能做更多的判断。</p>\n<p>要看懂这波周期可能可以为公司带来多少超额报酬,我们必续理解什么是营运杠杆的概念。</p>\n<p>功率半导体是典型的高营运杠杆行业。</p>\n<p>当公司在建厂、购买设备时,需要投入极其庞大的资本支出,不论今天有没有生产产品,每个月都会产生庞大且固定的费用(折旧、基本厂房维运、人员薪资等开销)。</p>\n<p>在景气低迷时,由于固定成本极高,当产出不足时,每颗晶片分摊的固定成本极高,导致毛利率迅速侵蚀,甚至面临亏损。</p>\n<p>景气复苏(稼动率拉升)时,当客户订单回温、产能利用率从50%拉升至80%甚至满载时,新增的产量几乎不增加折旧费用(仅增加少许材料与电力等变动成本),此时每多卖一片晶片几乎都是纯利。</p>\n<p>这就是营运杠杆的概念,也就是公司每多赚一块钱的营收,可以得到多少程度的获利。</p>\n<p>营运杠杆度=营业利益金额变动率/营业收入金额变动率</p>\n<p>打开优分析产业资料库,进入损益表页面,公司在上一轮电动车成长周期(2020-2022年)的营收累积成长是41.64%。</p>\n<p><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6535802/o/8d7d95007d0cb7ee5c00f9d2984dd342.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100%\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库  )</p>\n<p>在这段期间因为车用需求爆发,稼动率大幅拉升。</p>\n<p>在固定成本相对稳定的情况下,营收仅成长了约41.6%,但创造出来的营业利益却暴增了2.24倍。</p>\n<p>我们就可以说德微的营运杠杆度有5.4倍(224.38% /41.64%)的放大效果。</p>\n<p><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6535802/o/5e61da3697b6dfaad590f5822b5bd833.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100%\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库  )</p>\n<p>实际上我们怎么追踪营运杠杆有没有成功启动呢?</p>\n<p>毛利率是否逐季的增加是检验营运杠杆有没有成功启动最直接的指标。</p>\n<p>如果营收创高,但毛利率因为低价竞争、原料上涨而拉不起来,代表变动成本增加,营运杠杆效果就会打折扣。</p>\n<p><img style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6535802/o/3f05bc18cb1da11049842082b4baaebd.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100%\">(资料来源:优分析产业资料库  )</p>\n<p>本轮车用转单及AI电源需求周期使功率半导体行业迎来新的契机,后续追踪公司的成长状况重点放在营收及毛利率的变化,同样的观察方式也可以套用在其他同业互相比较。</p><p>※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:<a style=\"color:#A9A9A9\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https://uanalyze.com.tw/articles/2356552104\">原文连结</a>\n            <br>※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。</p>\n            <p></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-8047.html\" title=\"〈焦点股〉永悦健康创新板挂牌 蜜月行情失灵跌逾8%\">〈焦点股〉永悦健康创新板挂牌 蜜月行情失灵跌逾8%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7972.html\" title=\"大鹏科与美国Allied World达成和解 业务与财务未受影响\">大鹏科与美国Allied World达成和解 业务与财务未受影响</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17343.html\" title=\"〈工资审议〉正式突破3万大关261万人受惠!最低工资明年月薪30900元时薪205元\">〈工资审议〉正式突破3万大关261万人受惠!最低工资明年月薪30900元时薪205元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-135.html\" title=\"台积电点名AI眼镜成次世代关键载具 宏达电、镎创进行赛道抢位\">台积电点名AI眼镜成次世代关键载具 宏达电、镎创进行赛道抢位</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-876.html\" title=\"Go Healthy全球征案启动 贸协:加速台湾大健康产业国际布局\">Go Healthy全球征案启动 贸协:加速台湾大健康产业国际布局</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5399.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 研华(2395)6月营收101.23亿元年增率高达73.39%\">营收速报  - 研华(2395)6月营收101.23亿元年增率高达73.39%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-07-15T09:00:24.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-10-03T20:36:30.000Z"
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