台积电独撑大局！柜买狂洗紧邻「极限落底区」，这些被错杀族群甜甜价浮现！

大盘靠权值股独撑，中小型股历经深度洗牌、恐慌涌现，然而美股架构仍稳，随着融资卖压沉淀，盘势离极限落底已不远，被错杀的优质族群正浮现绝佳的波段布局点。

〈台积电撑住指数　中小型股仍在进行去杠杆〉

台股今天开高走低，终场下跌 221 点，成交金额萎缩至 9838 亿元，台积电 (2330-TW) 逆势上涨 1.31%，收在 2320 元，估计贡献指数约 238 点，扣除台积电之后，多数中小型个股承受的修正压力，远比加权指数呈现的跌幅更大，柜买盘中一度下探 5.55%，终场跌幅收敛至 2.62%，并留下明显下影线，自波段高点以来，柜买指数修正幅度已达 22.2%，反映融资维持率调节与筹码清洗正在加速，若今天融资余额进一步大幅下降，配合季线维持上弯，依照智霖老师周六直播估算的 39800 点最差情境，目前距离落底区已经不会太远。

〈降低短线交易频率　等待资金重新集中〉

面对操作难度提高的震荡盘，现在最重要的不是每天猜最低点，而是先减少不必要的短线进出，保留资金与持股调整空间，美股标普 500 指数目前仍维持在 7300 点至 7500 点区间整理，整体架构依然健康，只要美股没有正式进入空头格局，台股这一波仍应视为涨多后的筹码修正，而不是长线趋势全面反转，后续若台股展开反弹，外资回补与主动式 ETF 资金预期会优先向台积电 (2330-TW) 等大型权值股靠拢，再逐步扩散到具备基本面支撑的产业龙头。

〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉

APP 选股会员每月仅限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】：https://lihi.cc/zwrii

〈产业趋势没有改变　错杀后更要回归基本面〉

近期剧烈波动已使不少优质标的回到相对合理的估值区间，散热指标股奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 上周五原本展现逆势抗跌力道，今天受到整体市场情绪拖累而震荡，但投信法人资金并未出现明显撤退，此类基本面没有改变、筹码仍有法人支撑的个股，拉回反而是重新检视波段布局的机会。ABF 载板关键制程设备厂长广 (7795-TW) 受惠一线客户需求依然强劲，资本支出也未出现缩手迹象，代表产业中长线发展方向没有改变，核心指标股欣兴 (3037-TW) 经过这一波筹码清洗后，也将回到产业需求与基本面重新定价，与台积电资本支出高度连动的半导体特化材料，以及融资维持率已降至相对低档的光通讯族群，同样是接下来修复行情值得追踪的方向，盘势尚未完全稳定前不必急着全面进场，依照产业数据、法人筹码与估值位置，针对具备长线保护短线优势的族群，逐步建立部位，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，即时资讯都会在 APP 内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

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无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>周六直播估算的 39800 点最差情境，目前距离落底区已经不会太远。\n\n〈降低短线交易频率　等待资金重新集中〉\n\n面对操作难度提高的震荡盘，现在最重要的不是每天猜最低点，而是先减少不必要的短线进出，保留资金与持股调整空间，美股标普 500 指数目前仍维持在 7300 点至 7500 点区间整理，整体架构依然健康，只要美股没有正式进入空头格局，台股这一波仍应视为涨多后的筹码修正，而不是长线趋势全面反转，后续若台股展开反弹，外资回补与主动式 ETF 资金预期会优先向台积电 (2330-TW) 等大型权值股靠拢，再逐步扩散到具备基本面支撑的产业龙头。\n\n〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉\n\nAPP 选股会员每月仅限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/zwrii\">https://lihi.cc/zwrii</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"121\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"4.016528925619835\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540579/m/66401cac14c5d5fba29460b3248f9f59.jpg\" data-width=\"486\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540579/l/66401cac14c5d5fba29460b3248f9f59.jpg\"></figure>\n\n〈产业趋势没有改变　错杀后更要回归基本面〉\n\n近期剧烈波动已使不少优质标的回到相对合理的估值区间，散热指标股奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 上周五原本展现逆势抗跌力道，今天受到整体市场情绪拖累而震荡，但投信法人资金并未出现明显撤退，此类基本面没有改变、筹码仍有法人支撑的个股，拉回反而是重新检视波段布局的机会。ABF 载板关键制程设备厂长广 (7795-TW) 受惠一线客户需求依然强劲，资本支出也未出现缩手迹象，代表产业中长线发展方向没有改变，核心指标股欣兴 (3037-TW) 经过这一波筹码清洗后，也将回到产业需求与基本面重新定价，与台积电资本支出高度连动的半导体特化材料，以及融资维持率已降至相对低档的光通讯族群，同样是接下来修复行情值得追踪的方向，盘势尚未完全稳定前不必急着全面进场，依照产业数据、法人筹码与估值位置，针对具备长线保护短线优势的族群，逐步建立部位，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，即时资讯都会在 APP 内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。\n\n最新影音 (请点影音上方标题至 Youtube 收视品质会更佳)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/A2Pl92MyhBo\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉\n\n忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，体验每周精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新。跟着我们卡位「五路财神」，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\">https://lihi.cc/RFzlE</a>\n\n钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。\n\n文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles 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