【量大强涨股整理】暴风雨前的宁静？！崩跌3000点后今天小跌，Q1冠军警告：看懂【联合再生】+6% 的暗示再动作！

暴风雨前的宁静？！崩跌 3000 点后今天小跌，Q1 冠军警告：看懂【联合再生】+6% 的暗示再动作！

影片中分享给你知道

（按赞订阅打开小铃铛）

再来看一下今天的台股!

加权指数今日开高震荡走低，终场下跌 221.57 点，收在 42449.70，成交量 9838.63 亿。

观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超 60.83 亿元，投信买超 146.48 亿元，自营商卖超 80.64 亿元，三大法人合计买超 5 亿元，其中，外资、连卖十二日，自营商连卖三日，投信则连买十九日共买超 1977.25 亿元。

美股上周五延续修正走势，不过相较前一交易日，市场卖压已有明显收敛，道琼工业指数、标普 500 指数、那斯达克指数及费城半导体指数同步收黑，反映市场仍受到 AI 产业竞争加剧、科技企业财测未达市场期待，以及中东地缘政治风险升温等因素影响，科技股持续面临调节压力，其中，(NVDA-US) 辉达，与多档 AI 概念股仍是市场卖压重心，不过费城半导体指数日 K 线已有收敛迹象，显示空方力道开始减弱，市场恐慌情绪逐步降温，也为后续跌深反弹保留空间。

回到台股盘面，受到美股半导体族群修正影响，早盘开高后震荡剧烈，涨福收敛，终场下跌 221.57 点，收在 42449.70，成交量 9838.63 亿；台股近期受到韩国股市走弱，台积电法说会后的利空影响下呈现回档，不过所幸量能呈现量缩整理，整体而言，台股短线虽仍受到国际利空与外资避险操作影响，盘势波动仍将偏大，不过在融资大幅减肥上市上周五大减 276 亿元，上柜大减 140 亿元，所以大减逾 400 亿元，加上八大官股进场买超 337 亿元，代表下档空间有限，加上台积电今日收红，有望在权值股开始止稳带动下，指数完成浮额清洗后，仍有望迎来技术性反弹，由于外资期货空单仍维持相对高水位，加上全球政经变数尚未完全消除，因此反弹过程仍可能伴随震荡整理，投资人短线可留意 AI 伺服器、先进制程、CoWoS、ASIC 及高速传输等具成长趋势的族群，并密切关注本周科技巨头财报与国际资金流向，将是研判台股后续能否延续反弹行情的重要观察指标。

本周市场焦点将回到全球重要经济数据与企业财报，台湾将公布 6 月外销订单，市场预估受惠 AI 伺服器、高效能运算及高速网通需求持续畅旺，年增率可望突破五成，反映出口动能仍具韧性，此外，欧洲央行利率决策预料维持利率不变，市场也将持续关注后续对景气与通膨的最新看法，企业财报方面，(GOOG-US)Alphabet，将于 22 日盘后公布财报，(TXN-US) 德州仪器，及 (INTC-US) 英特尔，也将分别于 22 日及 23 日盘后发布最新财报，而 (TSLA-US) 特斯拉，亦将揭露最新营运展望，上述科技巨头的财报与展望，将成为牵动全球科技股与台股 AI 供应链的重要风向球。

权值股方面，(2330-TW) 台积电，上涨 1.31%，收在 2320 元，法说会缴出优于预期的成绩单，第二季营收 1.27 兆元、每股纯益 27.3 元，毛利率提升至 67.7%，同步优于市场预估，受惠 AI 伺服器、高效能运算及 Agentic AI 需求持续升温，公司将 2026 年美元营收成长目标上修至 40% 以上，资本支出提高至 600 亿至 640 亿美元，并加码投资亚利桑那州，管理层表示，A14 制程将于 2027 年试产、2028 年量产，2 奈米与海外扩产对毛利率影响可控，在 AI 需求持续强劲带动下，后续营运展望维持乐观；

(2317-TW) 鸿海，上涨 0.21%，收在 234.5 元，传出首度拿下 SpaceX AI 伺服器订单，双方合作可望进一步延伸至太空 AI 资料中心，抢攻新一代太空运算商机，市场看好，鸿海凭借全球 AI 伺服器制造领先地位，加上多年低轨卫星与太空整合经验，具备跨足 AI 与航太的竞争优势，旗下鸿佰科技已携手 Ramon.Space 布局太空资料中心，并参与低轨卫星「珍珠号」开发，未来随着 SpaceX 加速部署 AI 卫星，鸿海有望受惠于 AI 伺服器、卫星整合及太空基础建设需求同步成长；

(2454-TW) 联发科，下跌 0.89%，收在 3340 元，AI 布局持续开花结果，除了智慧手机旗舰晶片天玑 9500 销售表现亮眼，带动高阶市占率提升外，也积极拓展 AI 运算版图，公司携手辉达开发车用晶片、ARM 架构 CPU 及 GB10 超级电脑平台，未来成长动能可期，市场更看好联发科取得 Google TPU 大单，预估 2026 年可贡献约 20 亿美元营收，2027 年有望进一步放大至数十亿美元，随着 AI 伺服器与云端运算需求持续升温，将成为未来营运成长的重要引擎。

股票方面，(2330-TW) 台积电，强势反弹，成为撑盘主力，(2317-TW) 鸿海，亦维持红盘表现，稳定大型权值股信心，不过成熟制程族群压力仍在，(2303-TW) 联电，及 (6770-TW) 力积电，表现相对疲弱，记忆体族群包括 (2408-TW) 南亚科，(2344-TW) 华邦电，亦受到 AI 评价修正影响而走弱，显示市场资金持续朝具基本面优势的 AI、高速运算、先进制程及高阶半导体族群集中，产业轮动态势仍相当明显。

2026.7.17 股市期皇后领先预告 (3576-TW) 联合再生

(3576-TW) 联合再生，17.6=>19，领先预告后 +10%，

联合再生为国内太阳能电池与模组重要供应商，业务涵盖太阳能电池、模组制造及电厂系统建置，受惠全球净零碳排与绿电需求持续升温，产业长期发展趋势明确，近期市场资金聚焦太阳能结合卫星通讯与太空能源等新兴应用题材，带动股价表现转强，基本面方面，公司 5 月营收明显回升，年增逾两成，显示接单与出货动能改善，市场也期待营运逐步走出先前低谷，随着国内绿电政策推进、高效能太阳能产品需求增加，加上未来新应用市场持续拓展，联合再生有望受惠再生能源产业成长契机，吸引资金提前布局。

2026.7.13 股市期皇后领先预告 (6505-TW) 台塑化

(6505-TW) 台塑化，受惠国际油价走扬及石化原料价格反弹，第三季营运展望转趋乐观，公司第二季税后纯益 207.7 亿元，上半年累计获利 411.8 亿元，较去年同期由亏转盈，近期乙烯、丙烯及丁二烯价格同步上涨，可望挹注轻裂解事业获利，展望后市，中东及俄罗斯炼厂供给受限，加上夏季需求旺盛，柴油与汽油价差可望维持高档，另公司积极导入乙烷裂解制程，预计 2027 年投产，可望降低原料成本，进一步提升获利能力与竞争优势。

欢迎免费订阅
股市期皇后庄佳萤

https://lin.ee/9cyliMq

7/20

强势股分享

【上市量大上涨股】

(1467-TW) 南纬

(6533-TW) 晶心科

(6969-TW) 成信实业 *- 创

(3532-TW) 台胜科

(2388-TW) 威盛

(8045-TW) 达运光电

(6477-TW) 安集

(1515-TW) 力山

(4763-TW) 材料 *-KY

(2634-TW) 汉翔

7/20

强势股分享

【上柜量大上涨股】

(4939-TW) 亚电

(6443-TW) 元晶

(3625-TW) 西胜

(4171-TW) 瑞基

(6538-TW) 仓和

(6517-TW) 保胜光学

庄佳萤分析师:
每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股，让投资朋友轻松追踪 2025 年年台股操作方向，相关详细内容请加入 Line@索取，免费提供给您!

股市期皇后证期双分析师庄佳萤

LINE 官方帐号

LINE ID 搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)

或是点击下方网址加入
https://lin.ee/9cyliMq

Youtube 影音频道精彩解盘影片不容错过!

(记得按赞，订阅并打开小铃铛)

http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ

FB 粉丝团:【股市期皇后】

https://goo.gl/kN2VKT

文章来源: 摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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亿元，其中，外资、连卖十二日，自营商连卖三日，投信则连买十九日共买超 1977.25", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/527a0713e8cb610866d1bf8eda595f3b.jpg", "content": "暴风雨前的宁静？！崩跌 3000 点后今天小跌，Q1 冠军警告：看懂【联合再生】+6% 的暗示再动作！\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/527a0713e8cb610866d1bf8eda595f3b.jpg\" alt=\"【量大强涨股整理】暴风雨前的宁静？！崩跌3000点后今天小跌，Q1冠军警告：看懂【联合再生】+6% 的暗示再动作！\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/4lKCNtSlo6A\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n影片中分享给你知道\n\n（按赞订阅打开小铃铛）\n\n再来看一下今天的台股!\n\n加权指数今日开高震荡走低，终场下跌 221.57 点，收在 42449.70，成交量 9838.63 亿。\n\n观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超 60.83 亿元，投信买超 146.48 亿元，自营商卖超 80.64 亿元，三大法人合计买超 5 亿元，其中，外资、连卖十二日，自营商连卖三日，投信则连买十九日共买超 1977.25 亿元。\n\n美股上周五延续修正走势，不过相较前一交易日，市场卖压已有明显收敛，道琼工业指数、标普 500 指数、那斯达克指数及费城半导体指数同步收黑，反映市场仍受到 AI 产业竞争加剧、科技企业财测未达市场期待，以及中东地缘政治风险升温等因素影响，科技股持续面临调节压力，其中，(NVDA-US) 辉达，与多档 AI 概念股仍是市场卖压重心，不过费城半导体指数日 K 线已有收敛迹象，显示空方力道开始减弱，市场恐慌情绪逐步降温，也为后续跌深反弹保留空间。 \n \n\n回到台股盘面，受到美股半导体族群修正影响，早盘开高后震荡剧烈，涨福收敛，终场下跌 221.57 点，收在 42449.70，成交量 9838.63 亿；台股近期受到韩国股市走弱，台积电法说会后的利空影响下呈现回档，不过所幸量能呈现量缩整理，整体而言，台股短线虽仍受到国际利空与外资避险操作影响，盘势波动仍将偏大，不过在融资大幅减肥上市上周五大减 276 亿元，上柜大减 140 亿元，所以大减逾 400 亿元，加上八大官股进场买超 337 亿元，代表下档空间有限，加上台积电今日收红，有望在权值股开始止稳带动下，指数完成浮额清洗后，仍有望迎来技术性反弹，由于外资期货空单仍维持相对高水位，加上全球政经变数尚未完全消除，因此反弹过程仍可能伴随震荡整理，投资人短线可留意 AI 伺服器、先进制程、CoWoS、ASIC 及高速传输等具成长趋势的族群，并密切关注本周科技巨头财报与国际资金流向，将是研判台股后续能否延续反弹行情的重要观察指标。\n\n本周市场焦点将回到全球重要经济数据与企业财报，台湾将公布 6 月外销订单，市场预估受惠 AI 伺服器、高效能运算及高速网通需求持续畅旺，年增率可望突破五成，反映出口动能仍具韧性，此外，欧洲央行利率决策预料维持利率不变，市场也将持续关注后续对景气与通膨的最新看法，企业财报方面，(GOOG-US)Alphabet，将于 22 日盘后公布财报，(TXN-US) 德州仪器，及 (INTC-US) 英特尔，也将分别于 22 日及 23 日盘后发布最新财报，而 (TSLA-US) 特斯拉，亦将揭露最新营运展望，上述科技巨头的财报与展望，将成为牵动全球科技股与台股 AI 供应链的重要风向球。\n\n权值股方面，(2330-TW) 台积电，上涨 1.31%，收在 2320 元，法说会缴出优于预期的成绩单，第二季营收 1.27 兆元、每股纯益 27.3 元，毛利率提升至 67.7%，同步优于市场预估，受惠 AI 伺服器、高效能运算及 Agentic AI 需求持续升温，公司将 2026 年美元营收成长目标上修至 40% 以上，资本支出提高至 600 亿至 640 亿美元，并加码投资亚利桑那州，管理层表示，A14 制程将于 2027 年试产、2028 年量产，2 奈米与海外扩产对毛利率影响可控，在 AI 需求持续强劲带动下，后续营运展望维持乐观； \n\n(2317-TW) 鸿海，上涨 0.21%，收在 234.5 元，传出首度拿下 SpaceX AI 伺服器订单，双方合作可望进一步延伸至太空 AI 资料中心，抢攻新一代太空运算商机，市场看好，鸿海凭借全球 AI 伺服器制造领先地位，加上多年低轨卫星与太空整合经验，具备跨足 AI 与航太的竞争优势，旗下鸿佰科技已携手 Ramon.Space 布局太空资料中心，并参与低轨卫星「珍珠号」开发，未来随着 SpaceX 加速部署 AI 卫星，鸿海有望受惠于 AI 伺服器、卫星整合及太空基础建设需求同步成长 ；\n\n(2454-TW) 联发科，下跌 0.89%，收在 3340 元，AI 布局持续开花结果，除了智慧手机旗舰晶片天玑 9500 销售表现亮眼，带动高阶市占率提升外，也积极拓展 AI 运算版图，公司携手辉达开发车用晶片、ARM 架构 CPU 及 GB10 超级电脑平台，未来成长动能可期，市场更看好联发科取得 Google TPU 大单，预估 2026 年可贡献约 20 亿美元营收，2027 年有望进一步放大至数十亿美元，随着 AI 伺服器与云端运算需求持续升温，将成为未来营运成长的重要引擎。 \n\n股票方面，(2330-TW) 台积电，强势反弹，成为撑盘主力，(2317-TW) 鸿海，亦维持红盘表现，稳定大型权值股信心，不过成熟制程族群压力仍在，(2303-TW) 联电，及 (6770-TW) 力积电，表现相对疲弱，记忆体族群包括 (2408-TW) 南亚科，(2344-TW) 华邦电，亦受到 AI 评价修正影响而走弱，显示市场资金持续朝具基本面优势的 AI、高速运算、先进制程及高阶半导体族群集中，产业轮动态势仍相当明显。\n\n2026.7.17 股市期皇后领先预告 (3576-TW) 联合再生\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"356\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4662921348314606\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/m/61ad5b4d10ff4da921aed9e57dfe83be.jpg\" data-width=\"522\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/61ad5b4d10ff4da921aed9e57dfe83be.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n(3576-TW) 联合再生，17.6=>19，领先预告后 +10%，\n\n联合再生为国内太阳能电池与模组重要供应商，业务涵盖太阳能电池、模组制造及电厂系统建置，受惠全球净零碳排与绿电需求持续升温，产业长期发展趋势明确，近期市场资金聚焦太阳能结合卫星通讯与太空能源等新兴应用题材，带动股价表现转强，基本面方面，公司 5 月营收明显回升，年增逾两成，显示接单与出货动能改善，市场也期待营运逐步走出先前低谷，随着国内绿电政策推进、高效能太阳能产品需求增加，加上未来新应用市场持续拓展，联合再生有望受惠再生能源产业成长契机，吸引资金提前布局。\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"358\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.547486033519553\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/m/9ae8ee32fde0b0a0b334a15df4b1cf95.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/9ae8ee32fde0b0a0b334a15df4b1cf95.jpg\"></figure>\n\n2026.7.13 股市期皇后领先预告 (6505-TW) 台塑化\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"358\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4664804469273742\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/m/99a5b88fe382dbdd66948579d4894821.jpg\" data-width=\"525\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/99a5b88fe382dbdd66948579d4894821.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n(6505-TW) 台塑化，受惠国际油价走扬及石化原料价格反弹，第三季营运展望转趋乐观，公司第二季税后纯益 207.7 亿元，上半年累计获利 411.8 亿元，较去年同期由亏转盈，近期乙烯、丙烯及丁二烯价格同步上涨，可望挹注轻裂解事业获利，展望后市，中东及俄罗斯炼厂供给受限，加上夏季需求旺盛，柴油与汽油价差可望维持高档，另公司积极导入乙烷裂解制程，预计 2027 年投产，可望降低原料成本，进一步提升获利能力与竞争优势。\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"364\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.521978021978022\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/m/900eefdafcfd2fbd4629b9c425a20417.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/900eefdafcfd2fbd4629b9c425a20417.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n<a name=\"_Hlk165906386\"></a><a name=\"_Hlk173510460\">欢迎免费订阅</a> \n股市期皇后庄佳萤\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a>\n\n7/20\n\n强势股分享\n\n【上市量大上涨股】\n\n(1467-TW) 南纬\n\n(6533-TW) 晶心科\n\n(6969-TW) 成信实业 *- 创\n\n(3532-TW) 台胜科\n\n(2388-TW) 威盛\n\n(8045-TW) 达运光电\n\n(6477-TW) 安集\n\n(1515-TW) 力山\n\n(4763-TW) 材料 *-KY\n\n(2634-TW) 汉翔\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"500\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.108\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/m/6c4bd07c10cb87fb8cee8a9fc9559f96.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/6c4bd07c10cb87fb8cee8a9fc9559f96.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n7/20\n\n强势股分享\n\n【上柜量大上涨股】\n\n(4939-TW) 亚电\n\n(6443-TW) 元晶\n\n(3625-TW) 西胜\n\n(4171-TW) 瑞基\n\n(6538-TW) 仓和\n\n(6517-TW) 保胜光学\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"499\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.092184368737475\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/m/f5ed2341c17d7996b11cd0ee2f7fff2a.jpg\" data-width=\"545\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/f5ed2341c17d7996b11cd0ee2f7fff2a.jpg\"></figure>\n\n庄佳萤分析师: \n每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股，让投资朋友轻松追踪 2025 年年台股操作方向，相关详细内容请加入 Line@索取，免费提供给您!\n\n股市期皇后证期双分析师庄佳萤\n\nLINE 官方帐号\n\nLINE ID 搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)\n\n或是点击下方网址加入 \n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a>\n\nYoutube 影音频道精彩解盘影片不容错过!\n\n(记得按赞，订阅并打开小铃铛)\n\n<a href=\"http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ\">http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ</a>\n\nFB 粉丝团:【股市期皇后】\n\n<a href=\"https://goo.gl/kN2VKT\">https://goo.gl/kN2VKT</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"355\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4338028169014085\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/m/b399b54d909f94ce910e6cb5c8b84b79.jpg\" data-width=\"509\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6540636/l/b399b54d909f94ce910e6cb5c8b84b79.jpg\"></figure>\n\n文章来源: 摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-656.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨9.04点至448.34点，涨幅2.06%\">盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨9.04点至448.34点，涨幅2.06%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-628.html\" 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