川普又TACO！ AI股大反攻？本周三关键转折买什么？

「周一台股是不是要重挫？」、「AI 行情是不是结束了？」、

「手上的股票要不要先跑？」。这是上周末最多投资人问江江的问题！我知道很多人现在心里很不安，甚至周末连觉都睡不好。江江今天就是要帮大家在风暴中，把大家的心定下来。

川普又「TACO」了！战火降温，多头底气在哪？

投资最怕的就是「鬼故事」吓自己。但现在，原本闹得沸沸扬扬的美伊局势，川普竟然又「TACO」了！美国暂时停止了对伊朗的轰炸，这代表什么？最简单的商业逻辑：战争威胁降温，原油价格就不会乱喷，通膨预期也会跟着降下来。

市场最害怕的不确定性，正在降低。只要大家不再疯狂预期升息或高通膨，股市被抽走的资金就有机会重新回流。这就是我常说的「长牛短熊」。川普本质上是股市的「长期多头大粉丝」，他深知股市大涨对他的利益与政绩有多重要。他甚至曾在受访时强调，自己从股市赚钱，是因为大盘表现好，大家都有钱赚。这是一个关键信号：他在利用市场情绪洗筹码，但最终目标仍是向上发展。所以，你现在该做的不是恐慌，而是冷静观察技术面讯号。

台股操作攻略：123 法则＋两大讯号，掌握反攻节奏

本周操作的「定海神针」在于 43076。这个数字请大家刻在心里，只要守住这个位置，多头就有底气去挑战季线 44000 点，甚至月线 45280 点。如果你在等「大反攻」的进场确认，请看这两大指标：

日线 MACD 翻红：这是波段攻击的最重要确认讯号。
有效缺口：如果出现缺口且不回补，那就是落底的强烈确认。

还有「123 法则」：1. 突破、2. 拉回、3. 攻击。目前台股正处于扭转「头头低、底底低」惯性的关键期。一旦完成 123 转折，本周三之后将有机会展开强攻。目前护国神山台积电 (2330-TW) 是关键指标，2290 元支撑守住，并重回月线 (约 2410 元) 以上，大盘就有机会复制 4 月份那波强劲的落底反弹！

三大筹码集中族群，谁正在卡位 AI 下一波？

当大盘因为政治性立空被「错杀」时，大户与法人的动作只有一个：加码、继续买！大家可锁定筹码面极佳的重点个股：

外资青睐：至上、博智

至上 (8112-TW)

作为台湾最大三星电子代理商，直接受惠 AI 带动的高阶记忆体（HBM）与企业级 SSD 需求爆发。在记忆体报价续涨环境下，其获利护城河来自稳定的供应链龙头地位与庞大库存利差，EPS 成长力道极其强劲。

博智 (8155-TW)

专攻高阶伺服器与工业电脑 PCB。受惠于辉达 (NVDA-US) 新平台转换潮，高层数板需求激增带动毛利率持续走扬，基本面纯度极高，是 AI 伺服器硬体建置潮的核心受惠股。

投信加码：华星光、南电、联亚、亚翔

华星光 (4979-TW)

矽光子（CPO）技术的核心成员。随着资料传输由铜线走向光纤，它是光电介面全面升级的首选。投信积极布局正因看好其 800G 高速光收发模组的爆发性成长力道，技术壁垒高。

南电 (8046-TW)

随着 AI PC 与伺服器对 ABF 载板面积与层数要求倍增，最坏情况已过。目前的低基期与产能利用率回升，正是投信看好下半年营运全面翻转、重拾获利动能的关键布局点。

联亚 (3081-TW)

光通讯上游磊晶大厂。受惠全球云端巨头扩充算力，对高阶雷射源需求大增。联亚的独家利基在于磷化铟（InP）技术绝对领先，是进入 CPO 领域的门票，长期获利看涨。

亚翔 (6139-TW)

受惠半导体先进制程扩厂与大型工程订单，在手订单水位创历史高档。获利成长来自建厂无尘室与工程营建的高毛利率，股价具备极强的防御力与攻击弹性。

大户锁定：华星光、波若威、健策、光圣、全新

波若威 (3163-TW)

光纤被动元件龙头。随着 AI 算力中心大举兴建，光收发模组配套需求井喷。大户持续增持，主因看好其 WDM（波分复用）技术在资料中心升级潮中的独占优势，营收爆发力足。

健策 (3653-TW)

均热片与导线架大厂。AI 晶片功耗极高，散热效率成为胜负关键。健策在 ILM（扣合件）与高阶散热片具备专利与高技术门槛，是各大伺服器巨头不可或缺的长期伙伴。

光圣 (6442-TW)

光通讯连接器龙头，营收与 EPS 连续创下佳绩。大户看重其产品在 AI 资料中心布线的高市占率，毛利率维持高档，展现出极强的获利爆发力，属典型长牛优质股。

全新 (2455-TW)

化合物半导体砷化镓磊晶大厂。不仅受惠手机市场回温，更因切入光通讯与 LiDAR 领域展现强大利基。在 5G 与 AI 应用双引擎并进下，具备坚固护城河，获利能力攀升。

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文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6546157/l/2b3feb4a60fd14cf8fe275864b41dfd4.jpg", "content": "「周一台股是不是要重挫？」、「AI 行情是不是结束了？」、\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6546157/l/2b3feb4a60fd14cf8fe275864b41dfd4.jpg\" alt=\"川普又TACO！ AI股大反攻？本周三关键转折买什么？\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n「手上的股票要不要先跑？」。这是上周末最多投资人问江江的问题！我知道很多人现在心里很不安，甚至周末连觉都睡不好。江江今天就是要帮大家在风暴中，把大家的心定下来。\n\n川普又「TACO」了！战火降温，多头底气在哪？\n\n投资最怕的就是「鬼故事」吓自己。但现在，原本闹得沸沸扬扬的美伊局势，川普竟然又「TACO」了！美国暂时停止了对伊朗的轰炸，这代表什么？最简单的商业逻辑：战争威胁降温，原油价格就不会乱喷，通膨预期也会跟着降下来。\n\n市场最害怕的不确定性，正在降低。只要大家不再疯狂预期升息或高通膨，股市被抽走的资金就有机会重新回流。这就是我常说的「长牛短熊」。川普本质上是股市的「长期多头大粉丝」，他深知股市大涨对他的利益与政绩有多重要。他甚至曾在受访时强调，自己从股市赚钱，是因为大盘表现好，大家都有钱赚。这是一个关键信号：他在利用市场情绪洗筹码，但最终目标仍是向上发展。所以，你现在该做的不是恐慌，而是冷静观察技术面讯号。\n\n台股操作攻略：123 法则＋两大讯号，掌握反攻节奏\n\n本周操作的「定海神针」在于 43076。这个数字请大家刻在心里，只要守住这个位置，多头就有底气去挑战季线 44000 点，甚至月线 45280 点。如果你在等「大反攻」的进场确认，请看这两大指标：\n\n<ul>\n<li>日线 MACD 翻红：这是波段攻击的最重要确认讯号。</li>\n<li>有效缺口：如果出现缺口且不回补，那就是落底的强烈确认。 </li>\n</ul>\n\n还有「123 法则」：1. 突破、2. 拉回、3. 攻击。目前台股正处于扭转「头头低、底底低」惯性的关键期。一旦完成 123 转折，本周三之后将有机会展开强攻。目前护国神山台积电 (2330-TW) 是关键指标，2290 元支撑守住，并重回月线 (约 2410 元) 以上，大盘就有机会复制 4 月份那波强劲的落底反弹！\n\n三大筹码集中族群，谁正在卡位 AI 下一波？\n\n当大盘因为政治性立空被「错杀」时，大户与法人的动作只有一个：加码、继续买！大家可锁定筹码面极佳的重点个股：\n\n外资青睐：至上、博智\n\n至上 (8112-TW)\n\n作为台湾最大三星电子代理商，直接受惠 AI 带动的高阶记忆体（HBM）与企业级 SSD 需求爆发。在记忆体报价续涨环境下，其获利护城河来自稳定的供应链龙头地位与庞大库存利差，EPS 成长力道极其强劲。\n\n博智 (8155-TW)\n\n专攻高阶伺服器与工业电脑 PCB。受惠于辉达 (NVDA-US) 新平台转换潮，高层数板需求激增带动毛利率持续走扬，基本面纯度极高，是 AI 伺服器硬体建置潮的核心受惠股。\n\n投信加码：华星光、南电、联亚、亚翔\n\n华星光 (4979-TW)\n\n矽光子（CPO）技术的核心成员。随着资料传输由铜线走向光纤，它是光电介面全面升级的首选。投信积极布局正因看好其 800G 高速光收发模组的爆发性成长力道，技术壁垒高。\n\n南电 (8046-TW)\n\n随着 AI PC 与伺服器对 ABF 载板面积与层数要求倍增，最坏情况已过。目前的低基期与产能利用率回升，正是投信看好下半年营运全面翻转、重拾获利动能的关键布局点。\n\n联亚 (3081-TW)\n\n光通讯上游磊晶大厂。受惠全球云端巨头扩充算力，对高阶雷射源需求大增。联亚的独家利基在于磷化铟（InP）技术绝对领先，是进入 CPO 领域的门票，长期获利看涨。\n\n亚翔 (6139-TW)\n\n受惠半导体先进制程扩厂与大型工程订单，在手订单水位创历史高档。获利成长来自建厂无尘室与工程营建的高毛利率，股价具备极强的防御力与攻击弹性。\n\n大户锁定：华星光、波若威、健策、光圣、全新\n\n波若威 (3163-TW)\n\n光纤被动元件龙头。随着 AI 算力中心大举兴建，光收发模组配套需求井喷。大户持续增持，主因看好其 WDM（波分复用）技术在资料中心升级潮中的独占优势，营收爆发力足。\n\n健策 (3653-TW)\n\n均热片与导线架大厂。AI 晶片功耗极高，散热效率成为胜负关键。健策在 ILM（扣合件）与高阶散热片具备专利与高技术门槛，是各大伺服器巨头不可或缺的长期伙伴。\n\n光圣 (6442-TW)\n\n光通讯连接器龙头，营收与 EPS 连续创下佳绩。大户看重其产品在 AI 资料中心布线的高市占率，毛利率维持高档，展现出极强的获利爆发力，属典型长牛优质股。\n\n全新 (2455-TW)\n\n化合物半导体砷化镓磊晶大厂。不仅受惠手机市场回温，更因切入光通讯与 LiDAR 领域展现强大利基。在 5G 与 AI 应用双引擎并进下，具备坚固护城河，获利能力攀升。\n\n更多产业趋势报告 + 盘中讯息→请加入江江 Line@：\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ\">https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ</a>\n\n江江每日解盘影片→含金量满满，节目内容太精彩 + 太权威惹！\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/HZtUArMMi3o\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n坚持用心制作优质好节目，一定要看到最后！\n\n并且【订阅 + 按赞 + 分享帮助好友】\n\n文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n 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