天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-TMGM平台官网：市场关注焦点转向非农数据，美国经济强劲的态势会否迎来转变？

TMGM外汇

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亚盘市场行情

美联储本周已经发表了讲话，他们似乎也满足于保持冷静，让经济对紧缩的条件做出反应。这些情况在一定程度上是美联储通过过去的紧缩政策引起的，这使美联储基金的目标从0.25%降至5.50%。最近，市场引发的紧缩政策为美联储做了工作。截至目前，美元报价106.1。

外汇市场基本面综述

房地美周四在一份声明中表示，30年期固定利率贷款平均利率从上周的7.79%降至7.76%。这是八周来首次下降，但仍接近20年来高位。

美国至10月28日当周初请失业金人数录得21.7万人，为9月9日当周以来新高;上周续请失业救济金的人数连续第六周增加，表明失业者开始更难找到新工作。

美国9月工厂订单月率录得2.8%，为2021年1月以来最大增幅。

美国劳动生产力创2020年以来最大增幅，劳动力成本下降，有助于缓解近期工资增长对通胀的影响。

美国9月工厂订单月率录得2.8%，为2021年1月以来最大增幅。

英国央行将基准利率维持在5.25%不变,符合市场预期。英国央行行长贝利强调政策可能需要长期保持紧缩;如果出现高通胀更持久的迹象，需要进一步上调利率;现在谈降息还为时过早。利率公布后, OIS市场完全定价英国央行将在2024年8月首次降息25个基点。

欧元区10月制造业PM|终值录得43.1，预期43,前值43。德国制造业10月仍面临压力。法国制造业在10月份进一步萎缩。分析称，欧元区制造业即将跌入谷底,明年上半年有望复苏。

消息人士:日本央行计划明年退出宽松货币政策，可能在明年春季将短期利率从-0.1%升至0。

周四日本首相岸田文雄宣布了一项总额约为17万亿日元(约合1130亿美元)的大规模经济刺激计划，将大范围退税并对低收入家庭提供补贴。

机构观点汇总

法兴银行

在2022年9月至今年7月初下跌14%之后，美元指数在第三季度收复了一半的跌幅。美元空头蠢蠢欲动，想知道他们能以什么为依据卖空美元，而看多美元的人正躲进阴影中，因为欧洲的疲弱数据未能提振美元。这是一个停顿，还是一个转折点?我们最乐观的猜测是，这既不是一个明显的转折点，也不是一个停顿，之后会出现另一次上涨。

对美元有利的因素是经济继续表现出色，相对利率仍在缓慢.上升。明年,当家庭储蓄走弱、货币紧缩效应更加明显、美联储宽松政策更加临近时，看跌美元的理由将更加清晰。然而，今年余下的时间里，美元可能会被困在一个区间内。

仓位将是一个锚点，市场已经消化了很多欧洲的坏消息。对于欧元兑美元EUR/USD来说，1.04-1.08可能会在未来几周占据所有的动作，但美元兑日元USD/JPY有回落到145- 150区间的空间，而在另一一个极端，挪威克朗、瑞典克朗、澳元和纽元(今年兑美元都下跌了5%以上)有一些反弹的空间。

丰业银行

如果市场察觉到美联储对加息态度放松，美元可能进一步下跌。鉴于近期一系列知名投资者的看涨言论，投资者可能正在寻找回补大量美国国债空头头寸的借口。美联储主席鲍威尔的鸽派态度，美国ISM制造业指数的疲软,以及亚特兰大联储GDPNow指数的进一-步大幅下滑，表明美国经济在第四季度急剧放缓，这些可能足以让更多投资者参与债券和风险的反弹。

美元指数再次被107拒之门]外,现在开始巩固该指数的较长期技术上限，暗示目前至少存在短期风险，美元可能下跌约1%至105低位区域。

美国银行

正如预期的那样，美联储FOMC声明中对当前经济状况的描述有所升级，以反映第三季度GDP和9月份就业报告的强劲表现。我们认为，FOMC用过去式指代强劲增长，是在强调其基本假设是未来经济增长将放缓。声明的另一个变化是在第二段，其中除了信贷紧缩外，还将金融紧缩列为经济活动的潜在阻力。在声明中加入这种担忧的选择是鸽派的。

鲍威尔在他的新闻发布会.上没有突破太多的新立场，我们再次认为他倾向于鸽派。鲍威尔提出了我们认为值得注意的四个强有力的主张。其中在前瞻性指引方面，鲍威尔淡化了9月份的经济预测摘要，但为12月或更晚的再次加息敞开了大门。

我们维持对美联储在12月再加息25个基点的预期，尽管在周四的会议结果公布之后，加息的可能性变得更加平衡。市场对1月份再次加息的预期从此前的近50%"下降到撰写本文时的35%左右。

在整个新闻发布会.上,美元轻微承压，美元指数DXY在会后净下跌0.25%,不过当天变化不大。鲍威尔没有就12月份议息做出承诺，当时市场定价较会议前下调了约3个基点。鲍威尔强调，还有两份通胀和就业报告，以及额外的时间来评估金融状况持续收紧，这是他将在下次会议上考虑的关键因素。在今年剩余的时间里，这些事件可能对美元更有意义。

市场分析师Martin Miller

那些看好美元的人需要美元突破并保持在关键的斐波那契水平之上，如果周五有强劲的美国就业数据，这是可行的。美元周四全线下跌，因在美联储维持利率不变后，投资者愈发相信美国利率可能见顶。市场关注的焦点是美国10月非农就业人口，市场预期就业人口增加18万人。如果公布值优于预期，很可能导致美元需求强劲。

美元指数未能在10月收盘时突破斐波那契水平107.165，这是114.78-99.549(2022-2023年)跌幅的50%。尽管这-失败打击了中期技术面展望，但自8月以来RSI持续处于50中性水平之上，强化了美元的潜在看涨偏见。美元多头迫切需要周收盘价突破107.165,这样才能引发美元更大的涨幅。

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null, "title": "TMGM平台官网：市场关注焦点转向非农数据，美国经济强劲的态势会否迎来转变？", "shortTitle": null, "tagId": null, "attr": null, "articleView": null, "source": "网络", "author": "", "description": "美联储本周已经发表了讲话，他们似乎也满足于保持冷静，让经济对紧缩的条件做出反应。这些情况在一定程度上是美联储通过过去的紧缩政策引起的，这使美联储基金的目标从0.25%降至5.50%。最近，市场引发的紧缩政策为美联储做了工作。截至目前，美元报价106.1。", "img": "/public/upload/tmgm/tmgm.jpg", "content": "\n<section style=\"display:flex;clear:both;overflow:hidden;border-radius:5px;padding:0.5em;align-items:center;border:1px solid #ffd9a8;margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:14px;\">\n<div style=\"flex:0 0 auto;\"><a href=\"https://portal.cnfxhero.com/register?node=MzE5NDYw&language=zh-Hans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"/public/upload/tmgm/tmgm-logo.png\" alt=\"TMGM外汇\" width=\"150\" height=\"90\" style=\"display:block;\"></a></div>\n<div style=\"flex:1 1 auto;width:330px;margin-left:15px;margin-right:30px;\">\n<strong style=\"font-size:1.25em;color:#f04949;\"><a href=\"https://portal.cnfxhero.com/register?node=MzE5NDYw&language=zh-Hans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"color:#f04949;text-decoration:none;\">TMGM外汇</a></strong>\n<p style=\"opacity:.6;line-height:1.4;overflow:hidden;font-size:14px;margin:0;\">注意：以上链接是TMGM外汇永久开户链接，不要进入假冒黑平台了！</p>\n</div>\n<div style=\"flex:0 0 auto;margin-left:auto;white-space:nowrap;\">\n<a href=\"https://portal.cnfxhero.com/register?node=MzE5NDYw&language=zh-Hans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#43ab04;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;margin-right:5px;margin-bottom:3px;text-decoration:none;\">TMGM外汇官网</a>\n<a href=\"https://portal.cnfxhero.com/register?node=MzE5NDYw&language=zh-Hans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#ec3030;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;text-decoration:none;\">TMGM外汇开户</a>\n</div>\n</section>\n<strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">亚盘市场行情</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> \n<p style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 美联储本周已经发表了讲话，他们似乎也满足于保持冷静，让经济对紧缩的条件做出反应。这些情况在一定程度上是美联储通过过去的紧缩政策引起的，这使美联储基金的目标从0.25%降至5.50%。最近，市场引发的紧缩政策为美联储做了工作。截至目前，美元报价106.1。</p>\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"/public/upload/tmgm/09862f0d523731d2c744c1f2bb39715f.png\" style=\"box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; vertical-align: middle; max-width: 620px; margin: 10px auto;\"></p><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 外汇市场基本面综述</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 房地美周四在一份声明中表示，30年期固定利率贷款平均利率从上周的7.79%降至7.76%。这是八周来首次下降，但仍接近20年来高位。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国至10月28日当周初请失业金人数录得21.7万人，为9月9日当周以来新高;上周续请失业救济金的人数连续第六周增加，表明失业者开始更难找到新工作。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国9月工厂订单月率录得2.8%，为2021年1月以来最大增幅。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国劳动生产力创2020年以来最大增幅，劳动力成本下降，有助于缓解近期工资增长对通胀的影响。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国9月工厂订单月率录得2.8%，为2021年1月以来最大增幅。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 英国央行将基准利率维持在5.25%不变,符合市场预期。英国央行行长贝利强调政策可能需要长期保持紧缩;如果出现高通胀更持久的迹象，需要进一步上调利率;现在谈降息还为时过早。利率公布后, OIS市场完全定价英国央行将在2024年8月首次降息25个基点。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 欧元区10月制造业PM|终值录得43.1，预期43,前值43。德国制造业10月仍面临压力。法国制造业在10月份进一步萎缩。分析称，欧元区制造业即将跌入谷底,明年上半年有望复苏。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 消息人士:日本央行计划明年退出宽松货币政策，可能在明年春季将短期利率从-0.1%升至0。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 周四日本首相岸田文雄宣布了一项总额约为17万亿日元(约合1130亿美元)的大规模经济刺激计划，将大范围退税并对低收入家庭提供补贴。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">机构观点汇总</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 法兴银行</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 在2022年9月至今年7月初下跌14%之后，美元指数在第三季度收复了一半的跌幅。美元空头蠢蠢欲动，想知道他们能以什么为依据卖空美元，而看多美元的人正躲进阴影中，因为欧洲的疲弱数据未能提振美元。这是一个停顿，还是一个转折点?我们最乐观的猜测是，这既不是一个明显的转折点，也不是一个停顿，之后会出现另一次上涨。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 对美元有利的因素是经济继续表现出色，相对利率仍在缓慢.上升。明年,当家庭储蓄走弱、货币紧缩效应更加明显、美联储宽松政策更加临近时，看跌美元的理由将更加清晰。然而，今年余下的时间里，美元可能会被困在一个区间内。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 仓位将是一个锚点，市场已经消化了很多欧洲的坏消息。对于欧元兑美元EUR/USD来说，1.04-1.08可能会在未来几周占据所有的动作，但美元兑日元USD/JPY有回落到145- 150区间的空间，而在另一一个极端，挪威克朗、瑞典克朗、澳元和纽元(今年兑美元都下跌了5%以上)有一些反弹的空间。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 丰业银行</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 如果市场察觉到美联储对加息态度放松，美元可能进一步下跌。鉴于近期一系列知名投资者的看涨言论，投资者可能正在寻找回补大量美国国债空头头寸的借口。美联储主席鲍威尔的鸽派态度，美国ISM制造业指数的疲软,以及亚特兰大联储GDPNow指数的进一-步大幅下滑，表明美国经济在第四季度急剧放缓，这些可能足以让更多投资者参与债券和风险的反弹。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美元指数再次被107拒之门]外,现在开始巩固该指数的较长期技术上限，暗示目前至少存在短期风险，美元可能下跌约1%至105低位区域。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国银行</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 正如预期的那样，美联储FOMC声明中对当前经济状况的描述有所升级，以反映第三季度GDP和9月份就业报告的强劲表现。我们认为，FOMC用过去式指代强劲增长，是在强调其基本假设是未来经济增长将放缓。声明的另一个变化是在第二段，其中除了信贷紧缩外，还将金融紧缩列为经济活动的潜在阻力。在声明中加入这种担忧的选择是鸽派的。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 鲍威尔在他的新闻发布会.上没有突破太多的新立场，我们再次认为他倾向于鸽派。鲍威尔提出了我们认为值得注意的四个强有力的主张。其中在前瞻性指引方面，鲍威尔淡化了9月份的经济预测摘要，但为12月或更晚的再次加息敞开了大门。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 我们维持对美联储在12月再加息25个基点的预期，尽管在周四的会议结果公布之后，加息的可能性变得更加平衡。市场对1月份再次加息的预期从此前的近50%\"下降到撰写本文时的35%左右。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 在整个新闻发布会.上,美元轻微承压，美元指数DXY在会后净下跌0.25%,不过当天变化不大。鲍威尔没有就12月份议息做出承诺，当时市场定价较会议前下调了约3个基点。鲍威尔强调，还有两份通胀和就业报告，以及额外的时间来评估金融状况持续收紧，这是他将在下次会议上考虑的关键因素。在今年剩余的时间里，这些事件可能对美元更有意义。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 市场分析师Martin Miller</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 那些看好美元的人需要美元突破并保持在关键的斐波那契水平之上，如果周五有强劲的美国就业数据，这是可行的。美元周四全线下跌，因在美联储维持利率不变后，投资者愈发相信美国利率可能见顶。市场关注的焦点是美国10月非农就业人口，市场预期就业人口增加18万人。如果公布值优于预期，很可能导致美元需求强劲。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美元指数未能在10月收盘时突破斐波那契水平107.165，这是114.78-99.549(2022-2023年)跌幅的50%。尽管这-失败打击了中期技术面展望，但自8月以来RSI持续处于50中性水平之上，强化了美元的潜在看涨偏见。美元多头迫切需要周收盘价突破107.165,这样才能引发美元更大的涨幅。</span><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/tmgmfx/article-3171.html\" title=\"TMGM官网平台直接登录不上MT5，登录上去已经损失盈利18125元\">TMGM官网平台直接登录不上MT5，登录上去已经损失盈利18125元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/tmgmfx/article-3300.html\" title=\"TradeMax更名为TMGM 以促进全球扩张\">TradeMax更名为TMGM 以促进全球扩张</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/tmgmfx/article-3168.html\" title=\"TMGM官网平台故意为难客户，要求提供大量个人信息资料\">TMGM官网平台故意为难客户，要求提供大量个人信息资料</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/tmgmfx/article-3260.html\" title=\"TMGM外汇：外汇超短线交易的绝招有哪些？\">TMGM外汇：外汇超短线交易的绝招有哪些？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/tmgmfx/article-3275.html\" title=\"TMGM外汇：个人如何炒外汇？外汇交易新手学习工具分享\">TMGM外汇：个人如何炒外汇？外汇交易新手学习工具分享</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/tmgmfx/article-3297.html\" title=\"TMGM外汇平台怎么样？平台正规吗？为什么连退伍军人的钱也敢骗！\">TMGM外汇平台怎么样？平台正规吗？为什么连退伍军人的钱也敢骗！</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", 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