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半导体强劲与外资涌入 韩元汇率冲上两年高点

2026-09-07 15:51:31 网络 阅读（1）

韩元兑美元汇率周一(7日)强升，汇率一度上涨1.3%，至1,334.70韩元，创下自2024年10月，接近两年以来新高。

半导体强劲与外资涌入 韩元汇率冲上两年高点

近期韩元的反弹力道极为强劲，相较于2026年7月的低点，韩元已大幅回升了约250韩元，今年以来的累计升幅则达到约6%。

本次韩元强势上涨主要受到多重利多因素推动。其中，强劲的出口贸易奠定了坚实基础。今年以来，南韩累计出口额已创下7,094亿美元的历史新高，提前外加超越2025年全年的纪录。其中，受惠于人工智慧(AI)晶片需求引爆，1至8月半导体出口额大幅增长了169.6%。

其次，外资持续涌入股市提供关键动能，周一外资大举买入超过8,000亿韩元(约5.98亿美元)的南韩Kospi指数成份股，这已是外资连续第三个交易日净流入，并由三星电子与SK海力士等半导体巨头领涨。

此外，出口商累积了大量外汇收益并延迟兑换，使南韩五大银行的企业美元存款攀升至约770亿美元的历史新高。

尽管市场对联准会9月升息的预期升至57%至60%之间，这可能为韩元带来一定阻力，但外资对南韩资产的持续需求仍为汇率提供强大支撑。

不过，分析师也指出，未来的升值步伐可能会面临挑战。纽约梅隆银行高级策略师 Geoffrey Yu 表示，随着韩元涨势显得越发紧绷，可能会促使南韩国内资产管理机构解除部分海外资产的避险部位，或是推动南韩散户重启海外股票投资。

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