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"description": "日本过去一个月为筹措创纪录的汇市干预资金，可能出售部分外国证券，包括美国公债。 日本财务省周一(7日)公布的外汇存底资料显示，截至8月底，日本持有的外国证券较前一个月减少878亿美元，降幅接近近期为支撑日元所投入的干预规模。 财务省先前证实，截至8月26日止的一个月内，日本当局投入相当于964亿美元的资金干预汇市，创单月历史新高，其中部分行动与美国联手进行。 这份资料并未详细揭露所持证券的种类或到期年限，不过市场人士估计，日本约有70%的外汇存底投资于美国公债。 截至8月底，10年期美国公债价格",
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"title": "高盛：AI记忆体周期被低估！南韩KOSPI目标12000点、仍有约80%的上涨空间",
"shortTitle": "高盛：AI记忆体周期被低估！南韩KOSPI目标12000点、",
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"description": "高盛维持Kospi 12,000点目标价，较目前水准仍有近80%上涨空间。高盛认为市场低估AI热潮对三星电子、SK海力士等南韩记忆体大厂获利周期的持续时间。",
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"content": "<p>高盛集团一名策略师仍维持对南韩股市的乐观目标，并表示投资人低估了人工智慧（AI）热潮对南韩记忆体晶片制造商带来的提振效应将持续多久。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6598922/l/b61fa343182a7cd70a735cec52318e51.jpg\" alt=\"高盛：AI记忆体周期被低估！南韩KOSPI目标12000点、仍有约80%的上涨空间\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>根据《彭博》报导，该投资银行亚太区股票策略主管Timothy Moe维持韩国综合股价指数（KOSPI）12,000点的目标价，代表较目前水准仍有近80%的上涨空间。</p>\n\n<p>他在3个月前提出这项预估时，该目标价已是华尔街最为乐观的预测之一。</p>\n\n<p>Moe近日接受采访时表示，高盛仍维持原先目标，主要依据是企业获利实际表现。他认为，市场低估了这一轮获利周期的持续时间。</p>\n\n<p>KOSPI近期表现则与高盛的乐观看法形成反差。该指数自6月创下的历史高点回落27%，市场担忧科技巨头AI支出的成长能否持续，加上南韩股市波动加剧，即使三星电子(<a data-symbol-template=\"GF:005930KS:FUTURES:STOCK\" href=\"#\">005930KS</a>) 与SK海力士(<a data-symbol-template=\"GF:000660KS:FUTURES:STOCK\" href=\"#\">000660KS</a>) 再度交出亮眼财报，也未能明显提振股价。</p>\n\n<p>不过，全球争相兴建资料中心，已导致记忆体与储存晶片出现严重短缺，进而推升相关产品价格。Moe预期，这项趋势到了2027年还将进一步加剧。</p>\n\n<p>他表示，美国大型科技公司明年的支出预估将超过1.2兆美元，远高于先前预估的8,000亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>Moe认为：「即使赚不到钱，也必须持续支出」。他指出：「这对记忆体而言非常有利，因为这将推动运算需求，而运算高度依赖记忆体。」</p>\n\n<p>高盛估计，KOSPI成分股今年获利将成长约360%，2027年则放缓至约35%。他补充，企业获利最终将开始放缓，这一点市场其实已经相当清楚。</p>\n\n<p>Moe同时承认，南韩记忆体产业仍面临中国竞争对手长鑫科技(<a data-symbol-template=\"CNS:688825:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">688825-CN</a>) 等企业带来的风险，以及美国资料中心扩建可能遭遇政治阻力。</p>\n\n<p>不过，他认为未来几年基本面仍有利于先进记忆体晶片业者。</p>\n\n<p>在估值方面，Moe的12,000点KOSPI目标，是以未来本益比7.5倍为基础；目前KOSPI仅约5.3倍，约为过去7年平均值的一半。</p>\n\n<p>Moe表示，如果南韩企业最终能达到高盛预期的获利水准，那么12,000点的KOSPI目标，「可能没有看起来那么疯狂」。</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">（本文不开放合作伙伴转载）</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-14374.html\" title=\"中国财政部砸3,000亿 挹注8家金融央企\">中国财政部砸3,000亿 挹注8家金融央企</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-14350.html\" title=\"汇丰范力民：AI成长面临三大风险、长端美债殖利率难降、中国AI及科技族群对外资极具吸引力\">汇丰范力民：AI成长面临三大风险、长端美债殖利率难降、中国AI及科技族群对外资极具吸引力</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-14331.html\" title=\"〈走进中国〉十年产量腰斩过半 中国国内市场皮鞋卖不动了\">〈走进中国〉十年产量腰斩过半 中国国内市场皮鞋卖不动了</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-14346.html\" title=\"日元上周大幅震荡 汇市本周如何演绎？\">日元上周大幅震荡 汇市本周如何演绎？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-14339.html\" title=\"美国正失去避险天堂地位？各国央行纷纷把黄金搬离纽约\">美国正失去避险天堂地位？各国央行纷纷把黄金搬离纽约</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-14349.html\" title=\"伊朗警告美国再攻击将遭「更猛烈」反击！制裁加剧经济压力、石油出口受阻\">伊朗警告美国再攻击将遭「更猛烈」反击！制裁加剧经济压力、石油出口受阻</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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