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Agentic AI时代来临!华为估2035年全球Token消耗量暴增10万倍

2026-09-17 11:36:48 网络 阅读(1)

华为预测,随着Agentic AI时代加速来临,到2035年全球年度Token消耗量将成长10万倍,其中智慧体流量占比将超过90%。

Agentic AI时代来临!华为估2035年全球Token消耗量暴增10万倍

华为9月16日举办「以行动,至未来」探索智慧世界系列报告线上发表会,正式发布《智慧世界2035:从愿景到行动》与《全球数智化指数(GDII)2026》两大研究成果。

其中,《智慧世界2035》首次提出通往智慧世界的多项关键命题,聚焦Agentic AI时代的核心挑战,并提出从愿景走向行动的技术发展方向。

AI从应用导向走向智能体时代

华为指出,AI正从数位世界走向物理世界,从单点工具深入生产与社会运作核心环节,逐步重建产业底层逻辑,加速产业变革。

华为副董事长、轮值董事长汪涛表示,Agentic AI是这场变革的核心变数,AI将改写生产方式、竞争要素及产业形态,但愿景落地仍需要坚实的技术与基础设施支撑。

报告指出,Agentic AI正推动数位世界从「以应用为中心」转向「以智能体为中心」。未来智能体将持续感知环境、自主推理决策、动态呼叫工具,并即时与人互动,而每一次任务执行都会伴随大量Token生成与高频流转。

华为认为,这项转变将使AI基础设施面临新的挑战。过去网路应用主要以资料传输与内容服务为核心,但未来智能体的大量运作,将推升Token生成、传输与处理需求,带动算力、网路及云端架构全面升级。

算力架构转向超节点、高效率Token运算

面对Token需求快速成长,华为提出,未来需要建构以Token为核心的「生产—运载—应用—防护」全链路智慧基础设施,透过超节点与开放生态提升Token生产效率,并以智能联接底座保障Token高效流动,再透过Agentic原生云平台推动AI产业应用。

在算力发展方面,报告指出,未来算力丛集规模将提升百倍,智能体任务成本将下降千倍,运算架构也将从过去以「单晶片算力」为核心,转向以「超节点」为核心的Token高转换效率体系。

此外,华为提出,建构具备自主认知与全局通用能力的AGI,是智慧世界发展的重要方向,需在语言智能、具身智能及科学智能等多个领域协同推进,并认为走向物理世界是AGI形成的重要路径。

储存、通讯与终端迎接AI重构

除了算力之外,华为也关注AI时代下储存与通讯架构的变化。报告指出,未来需要建立具备因果准确、可信任溯源能力的新型储存与记忆系统,推动资料向知识与记忆演进。

在通讯领域,AI将全面融入通讯系统,打造以使用者体验为中心的智慧连结底座,支撑大量智能体之间以及人与智能体之间的互动。

华为也指出,Agent OS将成为智能体原生技术底座,其核心能力可概括为「协同力、执行力、记忆力、连结力」等能力的持续演进。未来终端设备将朝向无感适配、全域随行的智慧形态发展,让智慧服务跨越不同设备与使用场景。

AI未来五年创造逾27兆美元经济价值

同步发布的《全球数智化指数(GDII)2026》由华为与清华大学经济学研究所共同撰写,汇聚经济学、社会学、ICT产业及学术界专家研究,旨在为智慧经济发展提供路径参考。

报告预测,未来五年人工智慧将累积创造超过27兆美元经济价值,全球数智基础设施投资也将持续加速,复合年增长率达19.14%,到2030年规模将超过4兆美元,成为智慧经济持续扩张的重要基础。

华为表示,面向Agentic AI时代,产业需要以长期主义、以人为本、科技向善、开放合作与系统思维推动技术创新,让智慧世界愿景逐步转化为产业实践。

汪涛表示,愿景不会因描绘而自动实现,行动才是丈量未来的尺度。华为将与全球客户及伙伴合作,持续探索智慧世界发展路径,让今日的技术实践成为迈向2035智慧世界的重要一步。

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    "description": "华为预测,随着Agentic AI时代加速来临,到2035年全球年度Token消耗量将成长10万倍,其中智慧体流量占比将超过90%。 华为9月16日举办「以行动,至未来」探索智慧世界系列报告线上发表会,正式发布《智慧世界2035:从愿景到行动》与《全球数智化指数(GDII)2026》两大研究成果。 其中,《智慧世界2035》首次提出通往智慧世界的多项关键命题,聚焦Agentic AI时代的核心挑战,并提出从愿景走向行动的技术发展方向。 AI从应用导向走向智能体时代 华为指出,AI正从数位世界走向",
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    "content": "<p>华为预测,随着Agentic AI时代加速来临,到2035年全球年度Token消耗量将成长10万倍,其中智慧体流量占比将超过90%。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6608617/l/5d002186ba4857c87a415a7d49846aae.jpg\" alt=\"Agentic AI时代来临!华为估2035年全球Token消耗量暴增10万倍\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>华为9月16日举办「以行动,至未来」探索智慧世界系列报告线上发表会,正式发布《智慧世界2035:从愿景到行动》与《全球数智化指数(GDII)2026》两大研究成果。</p>\n\n<p>其中,《智慧世界2035》首次提出通往智慧世界的多项关键命题,聚焦Agentic AI时代的核心挑战,并提出从愿景走向行动的技术发展方向。</p>\n\n<p><em>AI从应用导向走向智能体时代</em></p>\n\n<p>华为指出,AI正从数位世界走向物理世界,从单点工具深入生产与社会运作核心环节,逐步重建产业底层逻辑,加速产业变革。</p>\n\n<p>华为副董事长、轮值董事长汪涛表示,Agentic AI是这场变革的核心变数,AI将改写生产方式、竞争要素及产业形态,但愿景落地仍需要坚实的技术与基础设施支撑。</p>\n\n<p>报告指出,Agentic AI正推动数位世界从「以应用为中心」转向「以智能体为中心」。未来智能体将持续感知环境、自主推理决策、动态呼叫工具,并即时与人互动,而每一次任务执行都会伴随大量Token生成与高频流转。</p>\n\n<p>华为认为,这项转变将使AI基础设施面临新的挑战。过去网路应用主要以资料传输与内容服务为核心,但未来智能体的大量运作,将推升Token生成、传输与处理需求,带动算力、网路及云端架构全面升级。</p>\n\n<p><em>算力架构转向超节点、高效率Token运算</em></p>\n\n<p>面对Token需求快速成长,华为提出,未来需要建构以Token为核心的「生产&mdash;运载&mdash;应用&mdash;防护」全链路智慧基础设施,透过超节点与开放生态提升Token生产效率,并以智能联接底座保障Token高效流动,再透过Agentic原生云平台推动AI产业应用。</p>\n\n<p>在算力发展方面,报告指出,未来算力丛集规模将提升百倍,智能体任务成本将下降千倍,运算架构也将从过去以「单晶片算力」为核心,转向以「超节点」为核心的Token高转换效率体系。</p>\n\n<p>此外,华为提出,建构具备自主认知与全局通用能力的AGI,是智慧世界发展的重要方向,需在语言智能、具身智能及科学智能等多个领域协同推进,并认为走向物理世界是AGI形成的重要路径。</p>\n\n<p><em>储存、通讯与终端迎接AI重构</em></p>\n\n<p>除了算力之外,华为也关注AI时代下储存与通讯架构的变化。报告指出,未来需要建立具备因果准确、可信任溯源能力的新型储存与记忆系统,推动资料向知识与记忆演进。</p>\n\n<p>在通讯领域,AI将全面融入通讯系统,打造以使用者体验为中心的智慧连结底座,支撑大量智能体之间以及人与智能体之间的互动。</p>\n\n<p>华为也指出,Agent OS将成为智能体原生技术底座,其核心能力可概括为「协同力、执行力、记忆力、连结力」等能力的持续演进。未来终端设备将朝向无感适配、全域随行的智慧形态发展,让智慧服务跨越不同设备与使用场景。</p>\n\n<p><em>AI未来五年创造逾27兆美元经济价值</em></p>\n\n<p>同步发布的《全球数智化指数(GDII)2026》由华为与清华大学经济学研究所共同撰写,汇聚经济学、社会学、ICT产业及学术界专家研究,旨在为智慧经济发展提供路径参考。</p>\n\n<p>报告预测,未来五年人工智慧将累积创造超过27兆美元经济价值,全球数智基础设施投资也将持续加速,复合年增长率达19.14%,到2030年规模将超过4兆美元,成为智慧经济持续扩张的重要基础。</p>\n\n<p>华为表示,面向Agentic AI时代,产业需要以长期主义、以人为本、科技向善、开放合作与系统思维推动技术创新,让智慧世界愿景逐步转化为产业实践。</p>\n\n<p>汪涛表示,愿景不会因描绘而自动实现,行动才是丈量未来的尺度。华为将与全球客户及伙伴合作,持续探索智慧世界发展路径,让今日的技术实践成为迈向2035智慧世界的重要一步。</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16251.html\" title=\"不会放弃资料中心题材!财经名嘴押AI支出「持续快速增长」\">不会放弃资料中心题材!财经名嘴押AI支出「持续快速增长」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16222.html\" title=\"Fed升息后 戴蒙:还不能确定通膨已被击败\">Fed升息后 戴蒙:还不能确定通膨已被击败</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16252.html\" title=\"波克夏有意加码日本5大商社 伊藤忠透露持股可能升至15%\">波克夏有意加码日本5大商社 伊藤忠透露持股可能升至15%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16237.html\" title=\"川普签备忘录 将加拿大产品踢出美国政府采购计划\">川普签备忘录 将加拿大产品踢出美国政府采购计划</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16236.html\" title=\"车市洗牌!比亚迪全球销量超越福斯 全球第二仅次丰田\">车市洗牌!比亚迪全球销量超越福斯 全球第二仅次丰田</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16238.html\" title=\"高盛改口!预期联准会10月再升息25个基点 年底利率看向4%-4.25%\">高盛改口!预期联准会10月再升息25个基点 年底利率看向4%-4.25%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-09-17T02:43:58.000Z",
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