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中国不愿增持、日本想拿回钱 达里欧警告美债需求隐忧

2026-10-06 13:38:23 网络 阅读(1)

亿万富豪达里欧(Ray Dalio)警告,中国与日本对美债的需求若减弱,美国公债市场恐受冲击,为今年已历经剧烈震荡的市场再添隐忧。

中国不愿增持、日本想拿回钱 达里欧警告美债需求隐忧

桥水基金创办人达里欧周二(6日)接受媒体专访时表示,美国约三分之一的债务仰赖外国资金,其中很大一部分来自日本与中国。他指出,地缘政治因素使中国不愿继续增持美债,而日本已借出「大量资金」,如今希望收回。

达里欧再次警告,美国可能在三年内面临债务危机。此时,包括美债在内的各国政府公债遭到抛售,推升借贷成本至多年高点。通膨、财政支出及强韧的经济成长,削弱了全球市场对固定收益证券的需求。

债券市场本周延续数月来的跌势。美国10年期公债殖利率目前约为5.3%,徘徊在2002年以来高档。

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胡塞武装、荷姆兹海峡与叶门战事未歇,柴油供应吃紧,油市仍存地缘风险溢价。",
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      "title": "新AI时代已至 OpenAI核心主管:市场仍低估三大趋势",
      "shortTitle": "新AI时代已至 OpenAI核心主管:市场仍低估三大趋势",
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      "description": "Tibo Sottiaux指出,AI三大低估趋势是代理执行网路操作、模型更便宜更快、多模态无缝整合。
他认为产品设计要改写:未来多数服务由AI代理使用,应优先考量规模、介面与工作流程。
OpenAI将强化Dots、ChatGPT 整合与生态系分润,同时加码安全监控,面向约 12 亿用户。",
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      "id": 18745,
      "title": "美宾州麻疹病例破千、5人亡 全美疫情规模创1991年以来最高",
      "shortTitle": "美宾州麻疹病例破千、5人亡 全美疫情规模创1991年以来最高",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-05T22:22:44.000Z",
      "description": "宾州麻疹疫情扩大,今年累计1,004例、198人住院。
39郡受影响,5起死亡,为数十年来最大规模。
全美今年麻疹确诊3,887例,幼儿园MMR接种率降至92.4%。",
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      "id": 18758,
      "title": "「麦加防务联盟」决定启动集体防御机制 在沙国部署兵力",
      "shortTitle": "「麦加防务联盟」决定启动集体防御机制 在沙国部署兵力",
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      "description": "沙乌地阿拉伯、巴基斯坦和土耳其5日(周一)在利雅德举行「麦加防务联盟」战略政治与防务委员会紧急会议,并发表联合声明,宣布启动集体防御机制,同意在沙国部署军事力量。 声明宣布,委员会决定立即推动落实集体防御承诺,采取必要措施,向商定军事力量和相关能力提供保障,确保其能够按照已经批准的安排以及各成员国国内法律,在沙国境内迅速部署。 声明称,此举旨在提升战备、军事一体化程度,以及三方共同应对和遏制威胁的能力。 声明说,三方此次会议主要讨论沙国面临的安全形势和威胁。作为「麦加防务联盟」机制建设的一部分,",
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      "title": "油价上涨、司机短缺 美国学生没校车坐了",
      "shortTitle": "油价上涨、司机短缺 美国学生没校车坐了",
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      "description": "伊朗战争推高柴油价,加上校车司机短缺,美国各学区面临燃油与人力双重压力。
学区合并路线、削减班次。
对学区来说,交通开支属于非教学类支出。",
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      "title": "〈贵金属盘后〉美元和美债殖利率双重压力 黄金游走平盘",
      "shortTitle": "〈贵金属盘后〉美元和美债殖利率双重压力 黄金游走平盘",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-05T23:48:50.000Z",
      "description": "黄金周一(5日)保持平稳,联准会(Fed)本月升息机率虽然下降,但因美元美升值和美债殖利率居高不下,黄金依然卖压沉重。 黄金现货上涨0.1%,报每盎司4139.89美元。 美国黄金期货收低0.1%,报每盎司4156.80美元。 Forex.com市场分析师Fawad Razaqzada说:「我们可能会看到(黄金价格)短期下跌,之后买盘才会大举进场,这一切都与美元持续走强以及殖利率居高不下有关。」 美元指数上涨,使以美元计价的金属对其他货币持有者而言更加昂贵,与此同时,美国10年期公债殖利率接近2",
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      "title": "股汇双涨!巴西总统大选波索纳洛领先 股市飙9%创六年高、里亚尔狂升5%  三倍做多ETN暴涨37%",
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花旗建议加码巴西股票、本币债与2031年到期NTN-F,称其政策偏财政紧缩、私有化与放松监管。",
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      "id": 18762,
      "title": "俄罗斯淡化鼠疫疑虑、否认实验室事故 称女科学家死于「不明原因肺炎」",
      "shortTitle": "俄罗斯淡化鼠疫疑虑、否认实验室事故 称女科学家死于「不明原因",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-05T23:21:15.000Z",
      "description": "俄西伯利亚女研究员希皮洛娃死亡,传曾打破鼠疫菌试管,惹疑感染肺鼠疫
俄国卫生监管机关否认研究所事故,称已检测近200接触者,未发现危险病原体
WHO称一般民众公共卫生风险偏低;卢比欧指资讯有限,暂无须恐慌",
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      "id": 18777,
      "title": "对中国车加税也难、不加也难 英国车业怕丢最大市场",
      "shortTitle": "对中国车加税也难、不加也难 英国车业怕丢最大市场",
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      "description": "英国拒对中国车加税,忧报复、车价上升与投资受阻;欧盟则要求跟进,否则恐限制英国车出口。
今年上半年欧盟占英国汽车出口58%,中国约4%;SMMT警告「欧洲制造」规则恐威胁英国车产业。
中国品牌在英国走强,9月新车注册年增12%,比亚迪、欧萌达、杰酷等市占升至12%。",
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    "description": "亿万富豪达里欧(Ray Dalio)警告,中国与日本对美债的需求若减弱,美国公债市场恐受冲击,为今年已历经剧烈震荡的市场再添隐忧。 桥水基金创办人达里欧周二(6日)接受媒体专访时表示,美国约三分之一的债务仰赖外国资金,其中很大一部分来自日本与中国。他指出,地缘政治因素使中国不愿继续增持美债,而日本已借出「大量资金」,如今希望收回。 达里欧再次警告,美国可能在三年内面临债务危机。此时,包括美债在内的各国政府公债遭到抛售,推升借贷成本至多年高点。通膨、财政支出及强韧的经济成长,削弱了全球市场对固定收",
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