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〈贵金属盘后〉美债殖利率升势暂停、美元疲软 黄金攀涨

2026-10-07 06:50:19 网络 阅读(1)

黄金周二(6日)上涨,美债殖利率升势暂停和美元疲软是主因,投资人静待即将公布的9月会议纪录,以研判未来货币政策的可能走向。

〈贵金属盘后〉美债殖利率升势暂停、美元疲软 黄金攀涨

  • 黄金现货上涨0.7%,报每盎司4168.33美元。
  • 美国黄金期货收高0.7%,报每盎司4187.10美元。

美国黄金交易所(American Gold Exchange)市场分析师Jim Wyckoff说:「法国债券市场动荡,加上市场对美国公债市场的疑虑升温,带动部分避险需求进入黄金市场。」

美国10年期公债殖利率周一攀升至逾20年高点后小幅回落,美元也从一年高点下滑,使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者而言更加便宜。

投资人持续对部分欧元区国家、尤其是法国的政府债务水位升高及预算赤字扩大感到不安,推动主权债券殖利率走高。

市场目前等待周三公布的联准会(Fed)9月联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪录,以评估今年进一步升息的可能性。由于先前公布的9月非农就业人口增幅低于预期,市场已下修对本月升息的押注。

根据芝商所(CME)FedWatch工具,交易员目前认为Fed本月升息的机率仅22%,但仍预期12月升息的机率达84%。

黄金本身不孳息,在高利率环境下,黄金通常会失去相较于具有收益资产的吸引力。

与此同时,油价下跌,中东原油出口保持韧性,加上七大工业国集团(G7)紧急释放石油储备,缓解市场对供应的疑虑。

道明证券(TD Securities)分析师说:「尽管短期面临阻力,但持续增加的ETF买盘以及非必需性投资人的需求,仍为黄金提供支撑。我们维持原先看法,黄金价格将在2027年突破每盎司5000美元。」

其他贵金属交易
  • 现货白银上涨0.8%,报每盎司61.56美元。
  • 现货白金下跌1%,报每盎司1704.85美元。
  • 现货钯金持平,报每盎司1172.80美元。

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本土厂商靠钨钢棒材自主、设备自制逾95%,鼎泰高科月产破1亿支;0.03公厘超微钻针已批量交付。
钻针需求估自2026年8亿支升至2030年39.2亿支。",
      "pv": 4,
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    {
      "id": 18830,
      "title": "从文科生到AI巨擘 Anthropic总裁阿莫迪成为美国富豪榜最年轻白手起家女性",
      "shortTitle": "从文科生到AI巨擘 Anthropic总裁阿莫迪成为美国富豪",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622634/l/43fd6907b0f03c8bad9de23d6d096d6b.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T07:20:06.000Z",
      "description": "Anthropic 联合创办人兼总裁 Daniela Amodei 身价估 155 亿美元,居全美白手起家女性富豪第 2。
Anthropic 估值升至 9,650 亿美元,阿莫迪身价一年内成长近 13 倍。
Anthropic 拟 11 月 IPO,市场传上市估值可能逾 2 兆美元。",
      "pv": 3,
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      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
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    {
      "id": 18842,
      "title": "告别10年低迷!新兴市场获利可望刷十多年新高 法人看好股债迎双利多",
      "shortTitle": "告别10年低迷!新兴市场获利可望刷十多年新高 法人看好股债迎",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622729/l/f91de700fcc9048c5dd2a4f3e2795bce.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T08:33:05.000Z",
      "description": "中东地缘政治情势不稳、美国公债殖利率攀升,加上外资自部分新兴市场撤出,但新兴股市表现依然展现韧性。富兰克林坦伯顿新兴市场月收益基金经理人伽坦·赛加尔(Gautam Sehgal)分析,过去新兴市场常在年初对企业获利给予乐观展望,随后却屡遭下修,但2026年企业每股盈余(EPS)预估修正周期为过去十多年来最强劲的一次,市场共识预期持续获得上调,有利支撑股价表现。 伽坦·赛加尔指出,回顾2001至2010年新兴股市多头期间,主要驱动力来自EPS成长优于成熟市场;然而在20",
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      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 18843,
      "title": "人类史上首次!全球老人比小孩多 带来劳动市场与年金改革挑战",
      "shortTitle": "人类史上首次!全球老人比小孩多 带来劳动市场与年金改革挑战",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622636/l/45e3515137e428ce6492af280130a5ea.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T08:20:05.000Z",
      "description": "2025年全球65岁以上人口占比10.5%、约8.52亿人,首度超过5岁以下儿童,2060年恐增至20亿。
少子化与长寿推升高龄化,全球劳动人口抚养比将下滑,年金体系面临51兆美元缺口。
各国加速改革年金与劳动制度,从提高退休年龄、弹性退休到活化中高龄劳动力。",
      "pv": 3,
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    {
      "id": 18844,
      "title": "美中半导体设备攻防长期化!美智库称中国囤343台DUV、日媒指陆厂靠ASML设备库存争取时间",
      "shortTitle": "美中半导体设备攻防长期化!美智库称中国囤343台DUV、日媒",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622514/l/3222d89a42cc34b575d935673839a9c1.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T08:00:09.000Z",
      "description": "外媒称中国在美荷管制下仍透过个案审批、库存与国产研发推进光刻能力。
CTS估中国取得343台浸没式DUV,2024年采购逾130亿美元、2025年再增购89台。
报告指若2027年起切断新机进口,AI晶片与7奈米等产能将受抑,但国产整机试制与存量机台仍可维持基本盘。",
      "pv": 3,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 18863,
      "title": "中磊Q3营收218亿元再缔新猷 前3季已超越去年全年",
      "shortTitle": "中磊Q3营收218亿元再缔新猷 前3季已超越去年全年",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622750/l/27c15dc284a56f359957bd120d7fe39b.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T09:39:16.000Z",
      "description": "网通厂中磊(5388-TW)今(6)日公布9月营收中磊9月营收68.1亿元,年增近五成,第三季营收218.3亿元,连续六季成长,创单季历史新猷;累计前三季营收590.9亿元,超越去年全年;中磊表示,AI应用带动网路流量上升,带动网通设备升级潮。 中磊9月营收68.1亿元,月减约3.32%、年增47%;第三季营收218.3亿元,季增5.9%、年增48%;今年累计前三季营收590.9亿元,年增54.2%。 中磊表示,AI应用蓬勃发展,致使庞大网路资料流量激增。此外,新兴宽频服务如:影音串流娱乐、智慧",
      "pv": 3,
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    {
      "id": 18864,
      "title": "美国期中选举历史规律:历年选后美股强劲上涨",
      "shortTitle": "美国期中选举历史规律:历年选后美股强劲上涨",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622667/l/5c2100da83abcc6a724557c79aafa540.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T09:10:08.000Z",
      "description": "Keith Lerner:自1946年以来,期中选举年后1年美股皆正报酬,平均涨14.4%。
标普500自1950年起在期中选举年Q4平均涨6.6%,上涨机率84%。
FactSet估标普500 Q3盈余年增29.5%,全年盈余年增32.4%,支撑美股。",
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    },
    {
      "id": 18907,
      "title": "揭开宇宙幽灵粒子的面纱 哈尔森荣获2026年诺贝尔物理奖",
      "shortTitle": "揭开宇宙幽灵粒子的面纱 哈尔森荣获2026年诺贝尔物理奖",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622842/l/45aaad1d0f52d84e0dedaddff61ac73c.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T10:50:03.000Z",
      "description": "瑞典皇家科学院宣布,2026年诺贝尔物理奖颁给比利时裔物理学家哈尔森
表彰他对IceCube Neutrino Observatory的决定性贡献,以及发现源自天体物理的高能微中子
哈尔森获1,200万瑞典克朗;冰立方天文台2011年竣工,至今仍运作",
      "pv": 3,
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    {
      "id": 18927,
      "title": "中东石油巨头呼吁全球共同负担伊朗战争的代价",
      "shortTitle": "中东石油巨头呼吁全球共同负担伊朗战争的代价",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622851/l/77c4a2ade1be7119667485a38b575eb6.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T12:30:03.000Z",
      "description": "中东两大石油生产商高层于「能源情报论坛」(Energy Intelligence Forum)发出警告,指出全球各国必须共同分担伊朗战争带来的巨额费用与基建支出。 这场冲突已对输油管道、炼油厂、天然气设施及数十艘油轮造成广泛破坏,新增投资需求高达数百亿美元。对此,两大油企均表示正寻求扩大出口管道与海外储存能力。 沙乌地阿美(Saudi Aramco)执行长Amin Nasser强调,任何国家都不应独自承担此成本。Nasser指出:「石油和天然气基础建设并非可以尽量压低或回避的成本,而是生产国与消",
      "pv": 3,
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    {
      "id": 18929,
      "title": "出国赏枫保障「升级」!安达产险急难救助最高12万美元 美加保障升至3倍",
      "shortTitle": "出国赏枫保障「升级」!安达产险急难救助最高12万美元 美加保",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6622905/l/ffa52f0db4158e84a82e52b28c695a9d.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-06T11:51:50.000Z",
      "description": "随着双十国庆连假临近,不少国人规划前往日本、南韩等地欣赏秋季枫红。因应秋季温差较大、流感及流感并发重症风险提升,加上热门景点人潮密集,安达产险今(6) 日宣布全面「升级」海外旅游保险商品中的突发疾病保障,其中医疗保障额度依国家不同分别有2倍至3倍的升级,全面涵盖法定传染病,并提供最高12万美元的海外急难援助服务。 安达产险指出,若旅客在海外遭遇突发疾病紧急就医,不仅影响既定行程,更可能衍生庞大的医疗费用。本次方案升级针对热门旅游目的地大幅调整海外突发疾病保障额度。 前往日本、南韩、澳洲、纽西兰及",
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      "path": "/hour"
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