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〈贵金属盘后〉美元升值、美债殖利率仍高 黄金跌到两个月低点

2026-10-08 06:59:48 网络 阅读(1)

黄金周三(7日)跌到两个月低点,美元升值加上美债殖利率居高不下,都打压不孳息的黄金。

〈贵金属盘后〉美元升值、美债殖利率仍高 黄金跌到两个月低点

  • 黄金现货下跌1.2%,报每盎司4113.89美元,触及8月5日以来最低。
  • 美国黄金期货收低1.1%,报每盎司4140.70美元。

美元指数上扬0.4%,使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者而言更加昂贵,美国10年期公债殖利率则处于逾20年高点。

市场普遍预期,美国联准会(Fed)将在本月稍晚维持利率不变,但根据芝商所(CME)FedWatch工具,市场定价仍显示Fed 12月升息的机率达85%。

Zaner Metals副总裁兼资深金属策略师Peter Grant说:「我认为,Fed传达的讯息是,利率将在更长时间维持高档,这让殖利率与美元获得支撑,」

堪萨斯联准银行总裁施密德(Jeff Schmid)表示,抑制通膨可能需要进一步升息。旧金山联准银行总裁达莉(Mary Daly)也表示,货币政策走向将取决于通膨压力是否持续。

Fed决策官员上月对升息理由有分歧。9月会议纪录显示,「部分与会者」认为,有必要升息以抑制能源及其他价格冲击的影响,但较为鹰派的核心官员则认为,升息是防范需求驱动型通膨浮现的必要之举。

中国央行9月加快采购黄金的步伐,官方数据显示中国已连续第23个月增加黄金持有量。

Grant补充说:「官方黄金需求是主要支撑因素。我认为,金价可能还会再测试一次下档,或许最低跌至4000美元,之后在年底前反弹,并有机会升至4400美元。」

其他贵金属交易
  • 现货白银下跌3%,报每盎司59.86美元。
  • 现货白金下跌3.9%,报每盎司1635.04美元。
  • 现货钯金下跌4%,报每盎司1125.70美元。

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措施若上路,恐成欧盟因应中国进口竞争试金石,但仍顾虑北京反制。",
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    {
      "id": 19205,
      "title": "巴拿马运河干旱受阻!航商改走麦哲伦海峡 航运量狂飙逾70% ",
      "shortTitle": "巴拿马运河干旱受阻!航商改走麦哲伦海峡 航运量狂飙逾70% ",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623303/l/b6ffe42baf35e7ee2cf9eb63a6409749.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T20:00:03.000Z",
      "description": "巴拿马运河受干旱影响限制通行,促使船舶改道,这导致麦哲伦海峡(Magellan Strait)海上交通量8月与9月均较去年同期大增逾70%。 受强烈圣婴现象(El Niño)引发的严重干旱影响,巴拿马运河面临严峻缺水危机,迫使当局持续缩减每日船舶通行量 。中东地区的动荡局势也促使部分将货物从南美洲、西非运往亚洲的业者为了避开该区域,而可能改经麦哲伦海峡。 分析师指出,中美洲的干旱无疑是主要原因,这迫使许多船东与营运商支付极高的费用,以跳过排队等候。对希望避开这些通行限制、长时间排队",
      "pv": 1,
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    {
      "id": 19210,
      "title": "〈能源盘后〉IEA加速释油、柴油优先 油价震荡收低 Brent守住100美元",
      "shortTitle": "〈能源盘后〉IEA加速释油、柴油优先 油价震荡收低 Bren",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6624333/l/70e08993d8a994d97aebbf42391cb06e.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T21:15:05.000Z",
      "description": "IEA同意加速执行3月4亿桶释储,优先释放柴油;截至目前已释出约3.25亿桶
Brent跌0.38%至100.20美元,WTI跌1.3%至88.28美元,两者价差扩大
美国商业原油库存减320万桶;中东、俄乌战事与墨西哥湾风暴仍威胁供应",
      "pv": 1,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 19218,
      "title": "诺贝尔和平奖倒数2天 川普再喊话:我应该得奖 但不确定会不会颁给我",
      "shortTitle": "诺贝尔和平奖倒数2天 川普再喊话:我应该得奖 但不确定会不会",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6624437/l/ba28f704e236260d3f9c33865aa60422.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T22:30:06.000Z",
      "description": "川普称自己应得诺贝尔和平奖,但坦言不确定挪威诺贝尔委员会会否颁给他。
他指自2025年重返白宫后已介入8场冲突,惟俄乌、加萨、伊朗等局势仍未真正解决。
2026年和平奖10月9日公布,候选287名;专家认为川普得奖机会仍低。",
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    {
      "id": 19146,
      "title": "健乔Q3营收22.93亿元年增近5成 旺季与新品加持助攻全年营运",
      "shortTitle": "健乔Q3营收22.93亿元年增近5成 旺季与新品加持助攻全年",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623825/l/42b54e31253c9093d0ceeabb6d05a3fd.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T10:34:30.000Z",
      "description": "健乔(4114-TW)今(7)日公告9月营收7.74亿元,第三季营收22.93亿元,季对季、年对年皆成长,其中年增近5成。健乔指出,时序进到秋冬旺季,过敏及呼吸道疾病用药需求升温,加上今年新品上市效益逐步放大,预期将挹注后续营运成长。  健乔9月营收7.47亿元,月减0.96%,年增38.69%;第三季营收22.93亿元,季增19.3%,年增49.19%;累计今年前三季营收58.43亿元,年增27.04%,其中,癌症用药产品年增41%、心血管与代谢产品年增48%、妇女健康照护产品年增2",
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      "id": 19147,
      "title": "恒生科技指数迎重大改革:成分股扩充至50档 6大新主题12月生效",
      "shortTitle": "恒生科技指数迎重大改革:成分股扩充至50档 6大新主题12月",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623813/l/1c95f257198538a27ab646c1571f8639.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T10:20:02.000Z",
      "description": "恒生科技指数编算方法修订,成分股由30档增至50档,将于2026年12月7日生效。
新机制取消五个指定行业限制,并纳入AI、机器人等六大主题,选股分为市值与营收成长两组。
模拟显示市值覆盖率由85%升至91%,营收成长中位数由14%升至21%。",
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    {
      "id": 19148,
      "title": "看对AI仍赚不到市场报酬?「巨亨买基金」携国泰及富达投信解密投资布局",
      "shortTitle": "看对AI仍赚不到市场报酬?「巨亨买基金」携国泰及富达投信解密",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623809/l/17d2271da7335192450e33ed53a0eca6.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T10:18:36.000Z",
      "description": "AI投资热潮延续,投资人却未必跟得上市场报酬,如何打破「看对趋势、赚不到钱」的困境?巨亨买基金今(7)日表示,随市场由普遍上涨转向表现分化,投资胜负的关键也更多面向,日前特别邀集国泰投信、富达投信及基金教母萧碧燕,从「善变时代,攻守有道」出发,剖析AI需求与产业变化,并提出从标的筛选、风险分散到长期投入的布局思维,协助投资人在震荡中掌握成长机会。 面对AI过热疑虑,巨亨买基金投资研究部主管罗瑶庭指出,应先检视需求能否带来实际回报。科技巨头持续扩大资本支出,企业也将AI导入营运,推升算力与资料中心",
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      "id": 19149,
      "title": "AI行情未歇,如何选对族群?",
      "shortTitle": "AI行情未歇,如何选对族群?",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623818/l/d411f0979be9a62fcd703217badd8f4b.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T10:09:38.000Z",
      "description": "台股第四季高档震荡,资金转向柜买市场、CPO、矽晶圆、载板与被动元件,市场焦点也将从总体经济转向台积电法说与美国科技股财报。
AI仍是行情主轴,全球科技巨头持续上修资本支出,带动GPU、HBM、伺服器、散热、光通讯与电源需求,后续更可能延伸至软体与AI应用。",
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      "id": 19150,
      "title": "我的强势股没有停、世芯、大立光、国巨、华新科、建荣、德宏",
      "shortTitle": "我的强势股没有停、世芯、大立光、国巨、华新科、建荣、德宏",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T09:58:17.000Z",
      "description": "台股量缩震荡收49,806点,5万点前获利了结与节前调节卖压涌现,高档换手但多头架构未变。
AI需求、台积电法说与第四季旺季受关注,PCB、CPO、散热等AI第二、三线供应链资金轮动。
美债殖利率高档压抑估值,后续行情恐回归获利;操作宜不追高不杀低、选股重于选市。",
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      "id": 19151,
      "title": "〈台币〉量缩观望气氛浓厚 收31.795元贬值1.4分",
      "shortTitle": "〈台币〉量缩观望气氛浓厚 收31.795元贬值1.4分",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-07T09:56:45.000Z",
      "description": "新台币今收31.795元、贬1.4分,台北外汇经纪公司成交值13.74亿美元。
盘中一度升至31.76元、最低31.821元,高低差6.1分,台股近5万点使汇市观望。
美元指数强弹0.4%,亚币普遍走弱。",
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    "title": "〈贵金属盘后〉美元升值、美债殖利率仍高 黄金跌到两个月低点",
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    "description": "黄金现货跌1.2%至4113.89美元,创8月5日来低点;美国黄金期货收低1.1%
美元指数升0.4%、美债殖利率居高,加上Fed本月料按兵不动,压抑不孳息黄金
中国央行9月连23个月增持黄金;市场料金价或先测4000美元再反弹至4400美元",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623739/l/e9b9794e8efdccd4fc9cf25fde707b3f.jpg",
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