天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-中东原油期货虽涨现货价格已在走跌油商对如何将油运出海峡已更加熟练

中东原油期货虽涨现货价格已在走跌油商对如何将油运出海峡已更加熟练

2026-10-23 20:18:50 网络阅读（2）
随着美伊冲突即将进入第八个月，全球石油市场持续聚焦连波斯湾与国际市场的荷姆兹海峡航运流量。
中东原油期货虽涨现货价格已在走跌油商对如何将油运出海峡已更加熟练
尽管德黑兰当局在美国 11 月期中选举前夕疑似加剧对航运的袭击，但生产商与全球贸易商日益熟练于将原油运出海峡，促使波斯湾外销售的部分中东原油现货价格显著走跌。美国总统川普对此表示，目前流出此地区的原油数量甚至高于冲突爆发前。
据接获报价的亚洲炼油业者透露，近期现货市场报价显著增加，且正以更具竞争力的价格行销。具体迹象显示，一批在阿曼湾以「船对船转运」方式销售的伊拉克巴斯拉中质原油，成交价较杜拜原油实体基准每桶折价近 10 美元；相较之下，一个月前该品级报价仍接近杜拜基准价格。
贸易商分析指出，伊拉克等品级原油现货重挫，主因在于卖方报价竞争激烈，且附带确保能将原油顺利运出波斯湾的保证。
现货市场的降价走势与原油期货形成鲜明对比。基准布兰特原油期货逼近每桶 115 美元，创下 5 月以来新高并迈向周线连三红，高于一个月前的约 103 美元。
对此，荷兰国际集团(ING Groep NV)大宗商品策略主管Warren Patterson分析指出：「目前中东原油流量虽维持良好，但市场真正的担忧在于若再遭攻击，流动能否持续，这解释了纸上市场与实体市场的分歧。」
Patterson进一步表示：「期货走高目前并非由基本面推动，而是市场在消化供应风险。」
买方市场方面，亚洲业者的采购意愿转强，包括台湾、印度与南韩的炼油厂本周已采购或发布招标，寻求最晚于 2027 年初交付的原油。同时，沙乌地与科威特中立区的卡夫吉原油及卡达夏辛原油交货期已排至明年 1 月。
现货供应充裕拖累其他中东原油品级，阿曼原油对杜拜原油的溢价跌至三个月低点，自荷姆兹海峡外出口的穆尔班原油价格亦同步走软。
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