天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-高盛看好亚洲股市2027年报酬率达19%！台股遭降至中立调升陆港股、印度评级

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高盛看好亚洲股市2027年报酬率达19%！台股遭降至中立调升陆港股、印度评级

2026-11-16 07:22:45 网络阅读（1）
高盛预期，随着企业获利成长带动，MSCI亚洲除日本指数2027年美元计价报酬率可望达19%，但人工智慧（AI）投资前景的不确定性，仍可能加剧市场波动。
高盛看好亚洲股市2027年报酬率达19%！台股遭降至中立调升陆港股、印度评级
根据《彭博》报导，高盛调升中国H股及印度股市评级至「加码」，同时将中国A股与台湾股市评级下调至「中立」，以平衡投资组合中的AI相关曝险；南韩与日本股市则维持「加码」评级。
由高盛亚太区首席策略师 Timothy Moe 领军的分析师团队在周六（14日）发布的报告中指出，2026年下半年市场回档，已反映2027年投资环境虽不如先前有利、但整体仍具吸引力的预期。
分析师并表示：「各区域市场的估值普遍具有吸引力，但不同市场之间存在显著差异。」
受到AI相关交易部位撤出影响，亚洲部分大型科技市场承压，MSCI亚洲除日本指数自6月触及历史新高以来，已下跌约13%。不过，该指数今年以美元计价仍上涨约11%，涨幅主要来自南韩与台湾股市走扬。
分析师预期，明年亚洲多数经济体的成长将放缓，联准会进一步升息也将为经济成长带来风险。
分析师在另一份报告中指出：「AI资本支出应会进一步增加，但成长速度可能已接近高峰，因为市场已不再奖励企业提高支出，信用市场压力也持续存在。」
他们并警告，创纪录的信用融资规模，加上仍处高档的股票发行量，可能收紧市场流动性并推升融资成本。
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