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AI狂热如何变赌局?韩股崩四成背后的杠杆陷阱 散户血泪成警世录

2026-08-26 04:41:34 网络 阅读(1)

在人工智慧(AI)热潮推动下,南韩股市过去一年大部分时间都是全球最火热的股市之一,然而这波行情后来瓦解,短短六周崩跌四成,为重押AI产业的投资人敲响警钟。。

AI狂热如何变赌局?韩股崩四成背后的杠杆陷阱 散户血泪成警世录

华尔街日报(WSJ)报导,在这波疯狂走势中,30岁英语教师尹在怡(Yoon Jae-Yi,音译)损失了1.9万美元。在那之后,她开始削减生活开支,包括少搭计程车、少出国旅游。她甚至跳过几餐,告诉自己这等于在减肥。

这个孕育出《鱿鱼游戏》(Squid Game)与K-Pop的国家,如今坐拥全球最疯狂的股市,展现出了已经许久不曾发生在主要市场的惊人波动。在AI热潮信仰推动下,南韩Kospi市值一度增为原本的三倍以上,南韩记忆体晶片大厂三星电子与SK海力士(SK Hynix)飙出1兆美元级市值。

然而,Kospi在6月、7月短短六周的时间里暴跌约40%,数十万名投资人惨遭血洗。这场云霄飞车行情目前尚未结束,Kospi目前已从低点反弹约20%。

68岁的郑义正(Jung Eui-jung,音译)说:「波动实在太剧烈。这不是健全的投资,而是一张赌桌、一间赌场。」他领导的韩国股东联盟(Korea Stockholders’ Alliance)是代表南韩约1400万名散户的组织。

Kospi在为期六周的崩跌中失去了约2.5兆美元市值。受创最深的是被称为「蚂蚁」的南韩散户,他们占Kospi每日成交量约60%至70%,他们对三星电子与SK海力士抱持高度信心,持续将资金投入。

杠杆ETF推波助澜

这波股市崩跌前,南韩在5月推出首批单一股票杠杆型交ETF,这类ETF利用债务、衍生性金融商品等工具,让「蚂蚁」投资人可以将三星电子与SK海力士的押注放大一倍。

也就是说,若其中一档股票单日上涨5%,杠杆ETF就会上涨10%。反之,若股票下跌5%,ETF也会下跌10%。

如今,南韩散户将矛头指向总统李在明和他领导的政府,认为政府放宽监管,才让这类潜在报酬高、风险也高的基金得以问世。南韩政府已对杠杆ETF交易祭出更严格规定,试图平抑市场波动。

一群散户甚至将悼念花圈送往南韩国会,花圈上写着「选票上复仇」等讯息,并提出紧急诉求:「蚂蚁遭屠杀——国会,请回应。」

南韩总统府表示,政府一直全力设法控制市场波动,包括推出新的交易规则。

南韩股灾延烧美国

这场市场震荡甚至蔓延至美国。押注南韩晶片股的交易,可能是重押AI的避险基金Situational Awareness在7月亏损约67%的原因之一。该基金为偿还贷款,已清算大部分公开股票投资组合。

WSJ先前报导,Situational Awareness持有大量在南韩挂牌的SK海力士股票。

44岁音效工程师尹京民(Yoon Kyung-min,音译)表示,他至今仍无法相信过去两个月发生的财务灾难。他辞掉工作后,将一半遣散费投入半导体股票,结果一周内就蒸发7200美元。

他说:「如果我太太发现,我就麻烦大了。」他当时以为,股市「会永远上涨」,至今只向妻子承认自己只是运气不好,并未说明详情。

总统推动股市改革

自称为「蚂蚁」的李在明,去年竞选期间曾大力宣传自己持有的股票,并承诺到2030年让Kospi几乎翻倍至5000点。

李在明2025年6月就任总统后,加速推动资本市场改革,以支撑股价。这波政策恰逢全球AI热潮升温,市场看好三星电子与SK海力士前景之际,记忆体晶片价格大幅上涨,需求远远超过供给。

Kospi在2025年上涨76%,成为全球表现最佳股市,更让南韩成为全球以市值计第五大股市,从前一年的第13名跃升,并一举超越英国与法国。到2026年年中,三星电子与SK海力士合计占南韩交易所总市值逾50%。

这段期间,愈来愈多南韩普通投资人加入这场狂热,包括家庭主妇、学生及领取退休金的退休人士。许多新进投资人几乎一夜之间就成为「股市富翁」。

同一期间,融资贷款余额在6个月内增加79亿美元,来到271亿美元,显示愈来愈多投资人试图利用杠杆放大投资报酬。

这波热潮也吸引美国投资人目光。去年记忆体晶片超级周期启动之初,三星电子与SK海力士都没有在美国交易所挂牌,这意味着多数使用美国券商帐户的投资人无法直接买进这两档股票。

直到5月,盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)(IBKR-US)成为首家提供南韩股票直接交易服务的大型美国券商。几乎同一时间,规模不大的资产管理公司Roundhill Investments推出代号为DRAM的ETF,主打记忆体晶片制造商,让拥有大型券商帐户的美国投资人得以投资三星电子与SK海力士。两家公司合计占该基金近一半资产。

不出几周,DRAM就成为美国史上吸引新资金最多的ETF新产品,这项纪录在由贝莱德(BlackRock)、先锋(Vanguard)等金融巨擘主导的ETF业界大感意外。根据Roundhill执行长Dave Mazza,DRAM并非透过理财顾问网路销售,主力为从社群媒体得知这档ETF的散户,以及机构交易员。

FOMO成最后一根稻草

然而南韩5月推出新的杠杆ETF,却为随后的暴跌埋下伏笔。

ETF通常由多家公司股票等不同资产组成的,但新推出的ETF却设计成只持有单一公司的股票,并允许投资人进一步加杠杆,放大获利或亏损。

新产品在5月27日推出时,需求高到网站因流量过大瘫痪了好几天。到了6月,Kospi突破9000点,是2025年水准的三倍以上。

但随后,市场开始担心AI需求强度以及中国竞争加剧,半导体涨势因此逆转,许多散户最终成为这波行情的牺牲者。

首尔30岁会计师Jake Cheong]表示,他过去从未热衷股票,只做小额投资,主要持有较保守的美国指数基金。晶片股涨势初期,他还曾提醒朋友与同事,若盲目相信南韩股票暴涨,将在行情反转时付出代价。

但到了6月,他认为股市涨势太诱人,不想错过短线获利机会,于是动用大笔积蓄,斥资约2.1万美元买进SK海力士股票。不到三周,SK海力士股价上涨40%,他随即获利了结。

之后,由于SK海力士计划发行美国存托凭证(ADR)在那斯达克挂牌,Cheong认为这将有助于让在南韩挂牌的SK海力士股价保持在高档,于是他又投入约2.9万美元买进追踪SK海力士的杠杆ETF。

杠杆意味着,一旦SK海力士股价下跌,Cheong的亏损也会被进一步放大。

接着,股灾来了。截至上周五,他手上这笔投资已重挫69%,剩余价值约9000美元。

「我过去有一条铁则:当太多人开始炫耀自己的股票获利时,我们可能已经触顶。」Cheong说,「但FOMO(害怕错过的心情)战胜了我。」

「一切就像一场梦」

25岁软体工程师李佳映(Lee Ka-young,音译)表示,今年股市大涨时赚到的钱,如今已全部吐回。她去年12月开始投资,当时刚领到新工作的第一份薪水,而她自认永远赚不到足以买房的钱,于是拿出约1.4万美元积蓄及加密货币获利投入交易帐户,用所有资金买进SK海力士,之后又转进单一股票杠杆ETF。

她甚至开设Instagram帐户,纪录自己的「致富之路」。截至5月,帐户资产已增加逾58%,相关贴文平均每月吸引400万次浏览。

当市场开始反转时,李佳映仍选择抱牢,等待行情反弹,她说:「我变贪婪了。我一直在想,如果我获利了结后,股价又继续上涨怎么办?」

如今,她的投资部位比去年12月开始投资时还少5%。她形容,自己的资产增值如此迅速,消失得也如此迅速,「感觉一切就像一场梦」。

部分投资人则不以为意,对被称为「Rollerkospi」的剧烈波动泰然处之。美国资产管理公司Federated Hermes亚洲区主管Jonathan Pines表示,他仍以长期眼光看待南韩记忆体股票。他指出,由于市场预期这些公司的高获利至少还能维持两年,投资人最终将收回大部分初始投入资金。

政治压力升高

过去两个月的股市震荡,已让李在明蒙受政治损失,他的支持率一度降至43.3%,创去年6月上任以来新低。

南韩最大在野党议员已要求调查执政党处理股市动荡的方式。总统府政策首席秘书金容范(Kim Yong-beom)曾宣称,南韩「应该有能力做到美国股市做到的事」,如今遭在野党人士提出刑事告诉,指控他不当向监管机构施压,促使单一股票杠杆产品获得批准。金容范否认相关指控。

南韩监管机构近期推出一系列紧急措施,试图平抑市场剧烈波动,单一股票杠杆产品的核准已暂停,交易这类产品所需的强制现金存款提高为三倍至约2.1万美元。监管机构也扩大散户投资人的强制线上培训课程,说明相关产品风险,并透过数小时的模拟交易训练,追踪投资人的模拟投资表现。

郑义正仍要求监管机构将单一股票杠杆ETF下市,并提出措施协助遭受重创的散户投资人。

他近日在首尔一场国会立法辩论中,甚至为南韩散户投资人默哀一分钟,并表示:「要让投资环境恢复正常,政府不能坐视不管。这需要进行大手术。」

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          "pid": 34,
          "name": "保险入门",
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      "level": 1
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      "pid": 10,
      "name": "贵金属",
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      "level": 1
    },
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      "id": 36,
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      "title": "联合国警示AI「灾难性危害」 日内瓦峰会呼吁建立全球治理机制",
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    "title": "AI狂热如何变赌局?韩股崩四成背后的杠杆陷阱 散户血泪成警世录",
    "shortTitle": "AI狂热如何变赌局?韩股崩四成背后的杠杆陷阱 散户血泪成警世",
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    "description": "在人工智慧(AI)热潮推动下,南韩股市过去一年大部分时间都是全球最火热的股市之一,然而这波行情后来瓦解,短短六周崩跌四成,为重押AI产业的投资人敲响警钟。。 华尔街日报(WSJ)报导,在这波疯狂走势中,30岁英语教师尹在怡(Yoon Jae-Yi,音译)损失了1.9万美元。在那之后,她开始削减生活开支,包括少搭计程车、少出国旅游。她甚至跳过几餐,告诉自己这等于在减肥。 这个孕育出《鱿鱼游戏》(Squid Game)与K-Pop的国家,如今坐拥全球最疯狂的股市,展现出了已经许久不曾发生在主要市场的",
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    "content": "<p>在人工智慧(AI)热潮推动下,南韩股市过去一年大部分时间都是全球最火热的股市之一,然而这波行情后来瓦解,短短六周崩跌四成,为重押AI产业的投资人敲响警钟。。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586052/l/07cda5aed423f2bc561c813fa2fb1536.jpg\" alt=\"AI狂热如何变赌局?韩股崩四成背后的杠杆陷阱 散户血泪成警世录\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>华尔街日报(WSJ)报导,在这波疯狂走势中,30岁英语教师尹在怡(Yoon Jae-Yi,音译)损失了1.9万美元。在那之后,她开始削减生活开支,包括少搭计程车、少出国旅游。她甚至跳过几餐,告诉自己这等于在减肥。</p>\n\n<p>这个孕育出《鱿鱼游戏》(Squid Game)与K-Pop的国家,如今坐拥全球最疯狂的股市,展现出了已经许久不曾发生在主要市场的惊人波动。在AI热潮信仰推动下,南韩Kospi市值一度增为原本的三倍以上,南韩记忆体晶片大厂三星电子与SK海力士(SK Hynix)飙出1兆美元级市值。</p>\n\n<p>然而,Kospi在6月、7月短短六周的时间里暴跌约40%,数十万名投资人惨遭血洗。这场云霄飞车行情目前尚未结束,Kospi目前已从低点反弹约20%。</p>\n\n<p>68岁的郑义正(Jung Eui-jung,音译)说:「波动实在太剧烈。这不是健全的投资,而是一张赌桌、一间赌场。」他领导的韩国股东联盟(Korea Stockholders&rsquo; Alliance)是代表南韩约1400万名散户的组织。</p>\n\n<p>Kospi在为期六周的崩跌中失去了约2.5兆美元市值。受创最深的是被称为「蚂蚁」的南韩散户,他们占Kospi每日成交量约60%至70%,他们对三星电子与SK海力士抱持高度信心,持续将资金投入。</p>\n\n<h6>杠杆ETF推波助澜</h6>\n\n<p>这波股市崩跌前,南韩在5月推出首批单一股票杠杆型交ETF,这类ETF利用债务、衍生性金融商品等工具,让「蚂蚁」投资人可以将三星电子与SK海力士的押注放大一倍。</p>\n\n<p>也就是说,若其中一档股票单日上涨5%,杠杆ETF就会上涨10%。反之,若股票下跌5%,ETF也会下跌10%。</p>\n\n<p>如今,南韩散户将矛头指向总统李在明和他领导的政府,认为政府放宽监管,才让这类潜在报酬高、风险也高的基金得以问世。南韩政府已对杠杆ETF交易祭出更严格规定,试图平抑市场波动。</p>\n\n<p>一群散户甚至将悼念花圈送往南韩国会,花圈上写着「选票上复仇」等讯息,并提出紧急诉求:「蚂蚁遭屠杀&mdash;&mdash;国会,请回应。」</p>\n\n<p>南韩总统府表示,政府一直全力设法控制市场波动,包括推出新的交易规则。</p>\n\n<h6>南韩股灾延烧美国</h6>\n\n<p>这场市场震荡甚至蔓延至美国。押注南韩晶片股的交易,可能是重押AI的避险基金Situational Awareness在7月亏损约67%的原因之一。该基金为偿还贷款,已清算大部分公开股票投资组合。</p>\n\n<p>WSJ先前报导,Situational Awareness持有大量在南韩挂牌的SK海力士股票。</p>\n\n<p>44岁音效工程师尹京民(Yoon Kyung-min,音译)表示,他至今仍无法相信过去两个月发生的财务灾难。他辞掉工作后,将一半遣散费投入半导体股票,结果一周内就蒸发7200美元。</p>\n\n<p>他说:「如果我太太发现,我就麻烦大了。」他当时以为,股市「会永远上涨」,至今只向妻子承认自己只是运气不好,并未说明详情。</p>\n\n<h6>总统推动股市改革</h6>\n\n<p>自称为「蚂蚁」的李在明,去年竞选期间曾大力宣传自己持有的股票,并承诺到2030年让Kospi几乎翻倍至5000点。</p>\n\n<p>李在明2025年6月就任总统后,加速推动资本市场改革,以支撑股价。这波政策恰逢全球AI热潮升温,市场看好三星电子与SK海力士前景之际,记忆体晶片价格大幅上涨,需求远远超过供给。</p>\n\n<p>Kospi在2025年上涨76%,成为全球表现最佳股市,更让南韩成为全球以市值计第五大股市,从前一年的第13名跃升,并一举超越英国与法国。到2026年年中,三星电子与SK海力士合计占南韩交易所总市值逾50%。</p>\n\n<p>这段期间,愈来愈多南韩普通投资人加入这场狂热,包括家庭主妇、学生及领取退休金的退休人士。许多新进投资人几乎一夜之间就成为「股市富翁」。</p>\n\n<p>同一期间,融资贷款余额在6个月内增加79亿美元,来到271亿美元,显示愈来愈多投资人试图利用杠杆放大投资报酬。</p>\n\n<p>这波热潮也吸引美国投资人目光。去年记忆体晶片超级周期启动之初,三星电子与SK海力士都没有在美国交易所挂牌,这意味着多数使用美国券商帐户的投资人无法直接买进这两档股票。</p>\n\n<p>直到5月,盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)(IBKR-US)成为首家提供南韩股票直接交易服务的大型美国券商。几乎同一时间,规模不大的资产管理公司Roundhill Investments推出代号为DRAM的ETF,主打记忆体晶片制造商,让拥有大型券商帐户的美国投资人得以投资三星电子与SK海力士。两家公司合计占该基金近一半资产。</p>\n\n<p>不出几周,DRAM就成为美国史上吸引新资金最多的ETF新产品,这项纪录在由贝莱德(BlackRock)、先锋(Vanguard)等金融巨擘主导的ETF业界大感意外。根据Roundhill执行长Dave Mazza,DRAM并非透过理财顾问网路销售,主力为从社群媒体得知这档ETF的散户,以及机构交易员。</p>\n\n<h6>FOMO成最后一根稻草</h6>\n\n<p>然而南韩5月推出新的杠杆ETF,却为随后的暴跌埋下伏笔。</p>\n\n<p>ETF通常由多家公司股票等不同资产组成的,但新推出的ETF却设计成只持有单一公司的股票,并允许投资人进一步加杠杆,放大获利或亏损。</p>\n\n<p>新产品在5月27日推出时,需求高到网站因流量过大瘫痪了好几天。到了6月,Kospi突破9000点,是2025年水准的三倍以上。</p>\n\n<p>但随后,市场开始担心AI需求强度以及中国竞争加剧,半导体涨势因此逆转,许多散户最终成为这波行情的牺牲者。</p>\n\n<p>首尔30岁会计师Jake Cheong]表示,他过去从未热衷股票,只做小额投资,主要持有较保守的美国指数基金。晶片股涨势初期,他还曾提醒朋友与同事,若盲目相信南韩股票暴涨,将在行情反转时付出代价。</p>\n\n<p>但到了6月,他认为股市涨势太诱人,不想错过短线获利机会,于是动用大笔积蓄,斥资约2.1万美元买进SK海力士股票。不到三周,SK海力士股价上涨40%,他随即获利了结。</p>\n\n<p>之后,由于SK海力士计划发行美国存托凭证(ADR)在那斯达克挂牌,Cheong认为这将有助于让在南韩挂牌的SK海力士股价保持在高档,于是他又投入约2.9万美元买进追踪SK海力士的杠杆ETF。</p>\n\n<p>杠杆意味着,一旦SK海力士股价下跌,Cheong的亏损也会被进一步放大。</p>\n\n<p>接着,股灾来了。截至上周五,他手上这笔投资已重挫69%,剩余价值约9000美元。</p>\n\n<p>「我过去有一条铁则:当太多人开始炫耀自己的股票获利时,我们可能已经触顶。」Cheong说,「但FOMO(害怕错过的心情)战胜了我。」</p>\n\n<h6>「一切就像一场梦」</h6>\n\n<p>25岁软体工程师李佳映(Lee Ka-young,音译)表示,今年股市大涨时赚到的钱,如今已全部吐回。她去年12月开始投资,当时刚领到新工作的第一份薪水,而她自认永远赚不到足以买房的钱,于是拿出约1.4万美元积蓄及加密货币获利投入交易帐户,用所有资金买进SK海力士,之后又转进单一股票杠杆ETF。</p>\n\n<p>她甚至开设Instagram帐户,纪录自己的「致富之路」。截至5月,帐户资产已增加逾58%,相关贴文平均每月吸引400万次浏览。</p>\n\n<p>当市场开始反转时,李佳映仍选择抱牢,等待行情反弹,她说:「我变贪婪了。我一直在想,如果我获利了结后,股价又继续上涨怎么办?」</p>\n\n<p>如今,她的投资部位比去年12月开始投资时还少5%。她形容,自己的资产增值如此迅速,消失得也如此迅速,「感觉一切就像一场梦」。</p>\n\n<p>部分投资人则不以为意,对被称为「Rollerkospi」的剧烈波动泰然处之。美国资产管理公司Federated Hermes亚洲区主管Jonathan Pines表示,他仍以长期眼光看待南韩记忆体股票。他指出,由于市场预期这些公司的高获利至少还能维持两年,投资人最终将收回大部分初始投入资金。</p>\n\n<h6>政治压力升高</h6>\n\n<p>过去两个月的股市震荡,已让李在明蒙受政治损失,他的支持率一度降至43.3%,创去年6月上任以来新低。</p>\n\n<p>南韩最大在野党议员已要求调查执政党处理股市动荡的方式。总统府政策首席秘书金容范(Kim Yong-beom)曾宣称,南韩「应该有能力做到美国股市做到的事」,如今遭在野党人士提出刑事告诉,指控他不当向监管机构施压,促使单一股票杠杆产品获得批准。金容范否认相关指控。</p>\n\n<p>南韩监管机构近期推出一系列紧急措施,试图平抑市场剧烈波动,单一股票杠杆产品的核准已暂停,交易这类产品所需的强制现金存款提高为三倍至约2.1万美元。监管机构也扩大散户投资人的强制线上培训课程,说明相关产品风险,并透过数小时的模拟交易训练,追踪投资人的模拟投资表现。</p>\n\n<p>郑义正仍要求监管机构将单一股票杠杆ETF下市,并提出措施协助遭受重创的散户投资人。</p>\n\n<p>他近日在首尔一场国会立法辩论中,甚至为南韩散户投资人默哀一分钟,并表示:「要让投资环境恢复正常,政府不能坐视不管。这需要进行大手术。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-1640.html\" title=\"聚餐费用再也不用算半天!苹果传推智慧拆帐功能\">聚餐费用再也不用算半天!苹果传推智慧拆帐功能</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-90.html\" title=\"黄仁勋捐赠1.08亿美元算力!CME拟推算力期货 专家:算力将成为一种新资产\">黄仁勋捐赠1.08亿美元算力!CME拟推算力期货 专家:算力将成为一种新资产</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-12690.html\" title=\"2026年全球二十大EMS与ODM:AI重塑电子代工版图\">2026年全球二十大EMS与ODM:AI重塑电子代工版图</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-5002.html\" title=\"报导:三星电子第三季DRAM价格将上调至多20%\">报导:三星电子第三季DRAM价格将上调至多20%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-2021.html\" title=\"OpenAI秘密申请IPO 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