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「HBM之父」:未来AI竞争看记忆体 未来3D架构决胜散热与供电 中美会追赶上来

2026-09-09 16:13:57 网络 阅读(76)

被韩媒誉为「HBM 之父」的韩国科学技术院 (KAIST) 教授金正浩 (Kim Jung-ho) 醉心表示,AI 的本质就是记忆体。

「HBM之父」:未来AI竞争看记忆体 未来3D架构决胜散热与供电 中美会追赶上来

他在接受《东亚日报》专访时提出上述颠覆性观点时指出,过去业界过度聚焦模型算法与 GPU 算力,但当大模型实际运行时,注意力机制、上下文缓存 (KV Cache) 与推论生成的每一个环节,都高度依赖记忆体系统的支撑。

金正浩表示,HBM 透过将多层 DRAM 垂直堆叠,大幅拓展资料传输的「车道数」,并生动比喻称「传统记忆像 8 道高速公路,HBM 则是 1024,甚至 2048 车道,未来可能演进至百万车道」。

然而,频宽的提升并未根除瓶颈。大模型在输出瞬间需频繁从 HBM 或未来的 HBF(高频宽闪存) 读写资料,导致 GPU 绝大部分时间处于「等待资料抵达」的闲置状态。

金正浩估计,即便部署百万个 GPU,真正用于计算的时间仅约 10%,即便透过演算法优化,也很难超过 30%。

为解决「资料搬运」的能耗与延迟问题,金正浩预测未来 AI 运算将走向「以记忆体为中心」。

他将理想的 3D 架构比喻为一栋百层大楼:「在一楼安装 GPU,资料只需搭电梯下楼计算,整栋楼解决所有事,省去长途奔波。」从 HBM4 开始,部分 GPU 功能将整合进记忆体结构中。

金正浩还进一步描绘三层异质记忆体指出,速度最快的 HBM(堆叠 DRAM) 扮演百货公司存放热数据,容量巨大的 HBF(堆叠 NAND) 如同公寓楼群存放冷数据,而他提出的 HBS(高频宽 SRAM) 则作为超低延迟的缓存。GPU/CPU 将置于顶层,专注于散热与调度。

金正浩特别点出,辉达执行长黄仁勋近期频繁访韩,正因 GPU 微架构的效能成长已近停滞,且高发热特性使其难以像记忆体般大规模堆叠。

他认为,未来 3D AI 电脑的供电与散热能力将成核心竞争力,决定企业生死。这也意味着拥有 DRAM 与 NAND 双重技术累积的三星与 SK 海力士,有机会在未来架构中占据核心地位。

不过,金正浩也警示,这并非简单的「GPU 时代」切换为「记忆体时代」,而是 GPU、HBM、先进封装、网络互连与散热的系统级竞赛。

面对中国业者积极自研 GPU/NPU 并带动本土记忆体发展的追赶压力,金正浩则对韩国业界直言:「这是一场关系生存的长期竞争,只能努力活到最后。」

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    "description": "被韩媒誉为「HBM 之父」的韩国科学技术院 (KAIST) 教授金正浩 (Kim Jung-ho) 醉心表示,AI 的本质就是记忆体。 他在接受《东亚日报》专访时提出上述颠覆性观点时指出,过去业界过度聚焦模型算法与 GPU 算力,但当大模型实际运行时,注意力机制、上下文缓存 (KV Cache) 与推论生成的每一个环节,都高度依赖记忆体系统的支撑。 金正浩表示,HBM 透过将多层 DRAM 垂直堆叠,大幅拓展资料传输的「车道数」,并生动比喻称「传统记忆像 8 道高速公路,HBM 则是 1024,",
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    "content": "<p>被韩媒誉为「HBM 之父」的韩国科学技术院 (KAIST) 教授金正浩 (Kim Jung-ho) 醉心表示,AI 的本质就是记忆体。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6528299/l/9eeff33002d109a388184bdea7099815.jpg\" alt=\"「HBM之父」:未来AI竞争看记忆体 未来3D架构决胜散热与供电 中美会追赶上来\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>他在接受《东亚日报》专访时提出上述颠覆性观点时指出,过去业界过度聚焦模型算法与 GPU 算力,但当大模型实际运行时,注意力机制、上下文缓存 (KV Cache) 与推论生成的每一个环节,都高度依赖记忆体系统的支撑。</p>\n\n<p>金正浩表示,HBM 透过将多层 DRAM 垂直堆叠,大幅拓展资料传输的「车道数」,并生动比喻称「传统记忆像 8 道高速公路,HBM 则是 1024,甚至 2048 车道,未来可能演进至百万车道」。</p>\n\n<p>然而,频宽的提升并未根除瓶颈。大模型在输出瞬间需频繁从 HBM 或未来的 HBF(高频宽闪存) 读写资料,导致 GPU 绝大部分时间处于「等待资料抵达」的闲置状态。</p>\n\n<p>金正浩估计,即便部署百万个 GPU,真正用于计算的时间仅约 10%,即便透过演算法优化,也很难超过 30%。</p>\n\n<p>为解决「资料搬运」的能耗与延迟问题,金正浩预测未来 AI 运算将走向「以记忆体为中心」。</p>\n\n<p>他将理想的 3D 架构比喻为一栋百层大楼:「在一楼安装 GPU,资料只需搭电梯下楼计算,整栋楼解决所有事,省去长途奔波。」从 HBM4 开始,部分 GPU 功能将整合进记忆体结构中。</p>\n\n<p>金正浩还进一步描绘三层异质记忆体指出,速度最快的 HBM(堆叠 DRAM) 扮演百货公司存放热数据,容量巨大的 HBF(堆叠 NAND) 如同公寓楼群存放冷数据,而他提出的 HBS(高频宽 SRAM) 则作为超低延迟的缓存。GPU/CPU 将置于顶层,专注于散热与调度。</p>\n\n<p>金正浩特别点出,辉达执行长黄仁勋近期频繁访韩,正因 GPU 微架构的效能成长已近停滞,且高发热特性使其难以像记忆体般大规模堆叠。</p>\n\n<p>他认为,未来 3D AI 电脑的供电与散热能力将成核心竞争力,决定企业生死。这也意味着拥有 DRAM 与 NAND 双重技术累积的三星与 SK 海力士,有机会在未来架构中占据核心地位。</p>\n\n<p>不过,金正浩也警示,这并非简单的「GPU 时代」切换为「记忆体时代」,而是 GPU、HBM、先进封装、网络互连与散热的系统级竞赛。</p>\n\n<p>面对中国业者积极自研 GPU/NPU 并带动本土记忆体发展的追赶压力,金正浩则对韩国业界直言:「这是一场关系生存的长期竞争,只能努力活到最后。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-9685.html\" title=\"AI短剧有多火?1分钟123万元!中国虚拟演员商单报价超过真人网红\">AI短剧有多火?1分钟123万元!中国虚拟演员商单报价超过真人网红</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-4278.html\" title=\"AI影片「龙虾时刻」来临?制作从「片段生成」转向「代理人化」\">AI影片「龙虾时刻」来临?制作从「片段生成」转向「代理人化」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-15556.html\" title=\"胡塞武装被曝用Claude Code替代工程师开发飞弹!Anthropic:已封相关帐户\">胡塞武装被曝用Claude Code替代工程师开发飞弹!Anthropic:已封相关帐户</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-6444.html\" title=\"HBM狂潮还能爽多久?AI摧毁记忆体旧模式 三巨头面临转型豪赌\">HBM狂潮还能爽多久?AI摧毁记忆体旧模式 三巨头面临转型豪赌</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-13021.html\" title=\"泽伦斯基给马斯克发「自由勋章」 背后正惦记着卫星网路大招\">泽伦斯基给马斯克发「自由勋章」 背后正惦记着卫星网路大招</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-4616.html\" title=\"半年内二度喊涨!超微打响下半年涨价第一枪 7月起AIB伙伴显卡套料涨价约10%\">半年内二度喊涨!超微打响下半年涨价第一枪 7月起AIB伙伴显卡套料涨价约10%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-07-09T02:25:36.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-09-09T08:13:57.000Z"
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